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2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Mon May 06, 2024 9:04 pm
by Mike G
Previews. Round 1 stats:

Code: Select all

. NYK       mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e488     . Ind     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e488
Hart        46   15.1   .105    2.4   1.01     Siakam    38   22.0   .169    3.6   1.74
Brunson     44   23.1   .148    5.6   2.03    Haliburton 36   17.4   .105    0.8   1.25
Anunoby     42   12.1   .054   -0.5    .49     Nesmith   35    9.7   .054   -2.7    .43
DiVincenzo  32   12.5   .073    1.1    .65     Nembhard  35   16.1   .155    0.4    .88
Hartenstein 26   18.6   .138    1.5   1.13     Turner    33   20.7   .169    4.7   1.62
McBride     23   16.3   .142    3.7    .78     Toppin    19   19.7   .115    0.5   1.40
Robinson    17   16.6   .127   -0.1    .70     McConnell 18   17.9   .090    0.1   1.16
Bogdanović   9   10.7   .028   -1.5    .79     Sheppard  18   10.4   .064   -1.2    .28
Achiuwa      5    9.6  -.037   -2.2    .43     Jackson    4   13.1   .153   -7.5    .76
. totals   244   16.0   .103    1.9   1.01    . totals  236   16.6   .117    0.6   1.08


. Bos      mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . Cle    mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Tatum      38   20.0   .226    3.6   2.16      Mitchell 37   20.3   .097    4.4   2.01
Holiday    35   10.8   .138    0.9    .61      Garland  34   12.4   .058   -0.7    .93
White      34   25.8   .321   10.3   2.18      Mobley   34   15.4   .112    1.4   1.07
Brown      34   19.1   .108    0.6   1.85      Strus    33    8.7   .072   -1.1    .26
Horford    26   17.3   .242    4.9   1.15      Okoro    23    5.8   .027   -2.6   -.20
Pritchard  23    6.5   .095   -4.9    .10      LeVert   22    9.4   .012   -1.2    .46
Porziņģis  21   18.9   .235    4.2   1.60      Allen    18   27.3   .305    8.4   2.41
Hauser     17   17.6   .238    5.7   1.04      Niang    13   -3.0  -.171  -11.3   -.73
Kornet      5   19.1   .291    6.3   1.10      Morris   11    6.1   .006   -5.1    .36
.                                              Merrill   7   15.9   .244    4.6   1.03
.                                             Thompson   6   10.3   .069   -1.2    .28
. totals  233   17.3   .199   3.25   1.39    . totals  240   12.7   .076    0.2    .85

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Tue May 07, 2024 11:46 am
by Mike G
Knicks 1 - 0 Pacers
121 - 117
Pythagorean Wins .61 - .39 , eWins .56 - .44

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.22   Jalen Brunson   NY   43  .652   37.1   6.9   4.4    .0   3.7   .9   2.43
.19   Josh Hart       NY   48  .706   19.9  13.4   5.3   2.2   4.1   .8   1.87
.09   Obi Toppin     Ind   19  .857   24.1  11.3   4.0    .0    .0  1.7   2.17
.07   Myles Turner   Ind   35  .605   20.9   2.3   2.4   1.1   1.2  1.0    .98
.07  T.J. McConnell  Ind   22  .563   23.4   1.7   3.5   4.6   1.7   .0   1.49

.07   Pascal Siakam  Ind   37  .528   14.8   6.5   3.9   1.0   1.1   .0    .87
.06 Donte DiVincenzo  NY   44  .735   19.4   3.4    .7    .0   1.8  1.7    .66
.06  Isaiah Jackson  Ind   13  .615   16.1  13.3   1.9    .0    .0  7.3   2.20
.06   OG Anunoby      NY   42  .464    7.8  10.6   3.0   1.7   1.9   .0    .66
.05   Is Hartenstein  NY   36  .650   12.3   8.3   3.5    .0   1.1   .0    .67

eWin   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Aaron Nesmith  Ind   31  .667   13.6   7.8   2.8    .0   1.4   .0    .61
.02   Ben Sheppard   Ind   18  .800   14.6   4.0   2.8    .0    .0   .0    .64
.02   Ty Haliburton  Ind   36  .500    4.8   2.2   6.3   4.1   3.5   .0    .24
.01  Andrew Nembhard Ind   29  .500   10.0   2.8   3.9    .0    .0   .0    .17
.00   Mi Robinson     NY   12  1.00    6.7   7.0   2.3    .0    .0   .0    .03
-.02  Miles McBride   NY   11  .000     .0    .0   2.4    .0    .0   .0   -.84
shooting : NY .637 - .600 Ind
rebounds: NY 40 - 32 Ind
turnovers: Ind 8 - 15 NY

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Wed May 08, 2024 12:08 pm
by Mike G
Celtics 1 - 0 Cavs
120 - 95
Pyth wins .96 - .04 , eWins .73 - .27

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.22   Jaylen Brown   Bos   34   .800   49.0   6.2   2.2   .0   1.6  1.1   3.17
.17   Derrick White  Bos   33   .781   38.1   1.1   5.7   .0    .0   .0   2.42
.16 Donovan Mitchell Cle   37   .600   33.1   5.6   3.8  1.2   3.0   .0   2.02
.12   Jayson Tatum   Bos   35   .429   16.0  11.0   5.3   .0   1.6  3.2   1.66
.12   Evan Mobley    Cle   32   .654   20.4  14.2   2.7   .0   1.2  1.2   1.78

.06 Payton Pritchard Bos   24   .615   27.5   6.7   2.9  1.1   6.3   .0   1.24
.06   Al Horford     Bos   28   .500    8.5  10.0   5.4  1.0    .0   .0   1.02
.05   Jrue Holiday   Bos   36   .500   12.0   5.8   2.1   .0    .0  1.0    .64
.04   Luke Kornet    Bos   21   .500    6.2  15.0   3.2   .0   2.4  3.2    .98
.04  Darius Garland  Cle   35   .467   10.9   3.0   4.0  1.3    .0   .0    .57

eWin   per36 rates    tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.01   Caris LeVert   Cle   26   .286    2.5   8.7   3.0   .0    .0  1.3    .27
.01  Xavier Tillman  Bos    7   1.00   13.8  12.6    .0   .0    .0   .0    .88
.01 Tristan Thompson Cle   16   .667    7.9   3.9   1.6   .0    .0  2.0    .28
.01   Marcus Morris  Cle    9   .500    7.5   9.9    .0   .0    .0   .0    .33
-.00  Isaac Okoro    Cle   29   .500   10.1   1.2   1.0   .0    .0   .0   -.04

-.03  Sam Hauser     Bos   17   .000     .0   1.8    .0   .0    .0   .0   -.81
-.03  Sam Merrill    Cle   18   .000     .0    .0   1.4   .0    .0   .0   -.81
-.05  Max Strus      Cle   35   .313    2.5   2.0    .0   .0   1.1   .0   -.75
shooting : Bos .606 - .492 Cle
rebounds: Bos 55 - 38 Cle
turnovers: Cle 5 - 9 Bos

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Thu May 09, 2024 12:04 pm
by Mike G
Knicks 2 - 0 Pacers
avg score 125.5 - 119.0
Pyth wins 1.34 - .66 , eWins 1.17 - .83

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.37   Jalen Brunson   NY   38  .667   34.3   4.8   4.5   1.4   3.3   .5   2.32
.31   Josh Hart       NY   48  .717   17.1  13.5   4.8   1.5   4.4   .8   1.57
.27   Ty Haliburton  Ind   36  .714   21.1   4.5   6.6   3.7   2.8   .0   1.83
.19   OG Anunoby      NY   35  .569   17.0   8.5   3.1   1.0   1.2   .5   1.32
.19  Is Hartenstein   NY   38  .711   12.7  10.9   4.9    .0   1.1   .5   1.19

.17   Obi Toppin     Ind   20  .821   26.6   8.1   2.5    .8    .0   .8   2.12
.17 Donte DiVincenzo  NY   44  .697   19.5   4.8   1.8    .4   1.4   .8    .95
.14  T.J. McConnell  Ind   23  .560   17.7   4.0   8.1   2.2   2.3   .0   1.49
.10   Pascal Siakam  Ind   37  .446   10.4   8.3   2.6    .5    .5   .5    .64
.06  Isaiah Jackson  Ind   14  .542   10.1  10.8   1.6    .0    .0  4.4   1.11

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04  Andrew Nembhard Ind   28  .650   14.6   1.4   3.9    .0    .7   .0    .32
.04   Myles Turner   Ind   33  .475   10.7   5.5   1.7    .6   1.8  1.1    .27
.04   Ben Sheppard   Ind   19  .864   15.0   1.9   1.9    .0    .0   .0    .46
-.00  Pr Achiuwa      NY   16  .750    7.3   7.3    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.04
-.00  Mi Robinson     NY    6  1.00    5.8   6.2   2.1    .0    .0   .0   -.15

-.02  Aaron Nesmith  Ind   33  .563    7.7   4.3   2.1    .6   1.8   .0   -.17
-.06  Miles McBride   NY   16  .286    1.6    .0   1.7    .0    .0   .0   -.88
shooting : NY .654 - .598 Ind
rebounds: NY 42.0 - 33.0 Ind
turnovers: Ind 8.5 - 13.0 NY

2-game summaries with rates derived by subtracting round 1 rates from current levels at:
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... anced.html

Code: Select all

. Ind     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . NYK      mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Siakam    37   12.5  -.045   -5.9    .64      Hart      48   20.9   .140    5.1   1.57
H'burton  36   26.8   .174   11.4   1.83     DiVincenzo 44   19.9   .160    2.7    .95
Turner    33    9.4  -.085   -7.4    .27    Hartenstein 38   19.5   .206    5.2   1.19
Nesmith   33    7.2  -.043   -6.1   -.17      Brunson   38   31.6   .277    6.5   2.32
Nembhard  28   13.3   .037   -3.8    .32      Anunoby   35   19.4   .113    1.8   1.32
McConnell 23   25.4   .114    4.9   1.49      Achiuwa   16   12.5   .135   -4.5   -.04
Toppin    20   35.2   .306   15.6   2.12      McBride   16   -1.9  -.090  -12.8   -.88
Sheppard  19   19.4   .115    6.2    .46      Robinson   6    7.0   .137    0.9   -.15
Jackson   14   24.8   .188    1.4   1.11      
.totals  240   17.9   .061    0.8    .83     . totals  240   19.5   .154    2.3   1.17

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Fri May 10, 2024 11:43 am
by Mike G
Celtics 1 - 1 Cavs
avg score 107.0 - 106.5
Pyth wins 1.03 - .97 , eWins 1.02 - .98

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.42 Donovan Mitchell Cle   39  .626   33.5   6.7   5.5    .5   2.2   .0   2.59
.36   Evan Mobley    Cle   33  .655   24.0  13.8   4.0    .6    .6  1.7   2.62
.29   Jayson Tatum   Bos   37  .494   19.0   9.4   5.3    .5   1.2  1.5   1.90
.26   Jaylen Brown   Bos   33  .646   30.4   5.8   1.6    .0   1.4   .6   1.95
.19   Derrick White  Bos   32  .603   20.8   3.0   5.6    .0    .7   .6   1.45

.15  Darius Garland  Cle   35  .609   15.1   5.6   4.2   1.1   1.2   .0   1.06
.15 Payton Pritchard Bos   22  .630   24.0   5.2   4.1   1.4   2.7   .0   1.62
.09   Caris LeVert   Cle   27  .481   13.1   8.5   3.3    .0   2.1   .6    .86
.08   Al Horford     Bos   28  .563   10.2   6.7   3.1    .6    .8   .7    .71
.04   Luke Kornet    Bos   17  .500    5.4  12.2   1.7    .0   1.1  1.8    .64

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03   Jrue Holiday   Bos   36  .429    5.8   4.3   2.5   1.0    .0   .5    .22
.03   Isaac Okoro    Cle   25  .639   17.1   1.5    .6    .8   2.5   .0    .30
.02 Tristan Thompson Cle   13  .417    3.8   5.9   2.9    .0    .0  2.2    .31
.01  Xavier Tillman  Bos    9  1.00    4.8   7.8   1.4   1.4    .0   .0    .30
.01   Georges Niang  Cle    9  .500   10.4   6.4   1.3    .0   1.7   .0    .24

-.01  Marcus Morris  Cle   13  .500    5.6   3.6    .0   1.2    .0   .0   -.14
-.04  Sam Merrill    Cle   11  .000     .0   1.4   1.2    .0    .0   .0   -.81
-.04  Sam Hauser     Bos   13  .333    1.0   2.3    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.79
-.05  Max Strus      Cle   38  .472    5.5   4.2    .4    .0    .6   .0   -.29
shooting : Bos .560 - .559 Cle
rebounds: Bos 43.0 - 41.0 Cle
turnovers: Bos 8.0 - 8.5 Cle

2-game 'advanced' stats:

Code: Select all

. Bos     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . Cle    mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Tatum     37   20.0   .136    3.6   1.90      Mitchell 39   26.0   .207   11.4   2.59
Holiday   36    8.7   .044   -3.6    .22      Strus    38    4.2  -.006   -6.0   -.29
Brown     33   24.5   .198    4.6   1.95      Garland  35   14.6   .116    2.8   1.06
White     32   17.7   .173    5.1   1.45      Mobley   33   28.4   .293   11.2   2.62
Horford   28   12.0   .104    1.3    .71      LeVert   27   13.4   .016   -3.6    .86
Pritchard 22   25.3   .196    8.8   1.62      Okoro    25    9.6   .035   -1.8    .30
Kornet    17   19.1   .255    1.0    .64      Thompson 13   12.2   .101    2.8    .31
Hauser    13   -2.0  -.035  -10.1   -.79      Morris   13    9.3   .042   -0.7   -.14
Tillman    9   11.1   .187    0.5    .30      Merrill  11  -10.4  -.252  -18.1   -.81
.                                             Niang     9   11.7   .029   -3.1    .24
. total  225   15.8   .128    1.48  1.02      totals  240   14.3   .092    1.43   .98
Celts have scored 1 more point in the series yet have huge lead in aggregate WS and PER.
I see Porzingis is down .023 and 0.3 respectively in those stats, since round 1. Jarrett Allen is down slightly. Neither has played any minutes here.

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Fri May 10, 2024 3:33 pm
by Crow
Tatum's shooting, Mobley's play including rebounding, both making it close.

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Sat May 11, 2024 12:09 pm
by Mike G
Knicks 2 - 1 Pacers
avg score 119.0 - 116.3
Pyth wins 1.72 - 1.28 , eWins 1.61 - 1.39

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.53  Ty. Haliburton  Ind   36  .688   25.4   4.5   6.5   3.2   2.5   .3   2.32
.42   Jalen Brunson   NY   38  .587   28.6   3.0   4.8   1.2   3.9   .3   1.77
.42   Josh Hart       NY   47  .697   14.2  14.2   4.3   1.5   4.0   .5   1.44
.33 Donte DiVincenzo  NY   44  .667   21.9   4.0   1.7    .5   1.2   .8   1.21
.24  Is. Hartenstein  NY   38  .717   10.6   9.8   4.8    .0   1.1   .6   1.02

.23   Pascal Siakam  Ind   35  .532   16.4   8.6   2.3    .4   1.5   .7   1.04
.21   OG Anunoby      NY   23  .569   17.7   8.0   3.2   1.0   1.1   .5   1.45
.18   Myles Turner   Ind   34  .538   14.1   7.6   1.5    .4   1.5  1.8    .84
.17   Obi Toppin     Ind   19  .723   18.4   6.0   3.0   1.1    .6   .5   1.39
.14  T.J. McConnell  Ind   21  .486   13.4   4.4   6.4   2.1   2.1   .0   1.08

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.09  Isaiah Jackson  Ind   14  .567    9.8   8.9   1.8    .0    .0  3.7   1.00
.06   Alec Burks      NY    7  .737   17.7   6.2   1.1   1.3    .0  1.3   1.27
.04   Ben Sheppard   Ind   18  .656   10.2   3.9   1.9    .6    .0   .0    .32
.03  Andrew Nembhard Ind   29  .554   10.7   3.2   4.7    .0   1.3   .0    .16
.02 Precious Achiuwa  NY   18  .700    7.7   8.5    .0    .0   1.3  1.8    .15

-.00  Aaron Nesmith  Ind   35  .609    8.2   5.1   1.7    .7   1.1   .0   -.01
-.01  Mi. Robinson    NY    4  1.00    5.9   5.7   2.1    .0    .0   .0   -.22
-.07  Miles McBride   NY   20  .438    4.5   1.2   1.4    .5    .0   .0   -.55
shooting : NY .631 - .588 Ind
rebounds: NY 41.7 - 36.0 Ind
turnovers: Ind 9.0 - 13.0 NY

Code: Select all

. Ind     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . NYK     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
H'burton  36   28.8   .213   13.7   2.32      Hart      47   17.8   .102    3.0   1.44
Nesmith   35    8.8   .027   -3.3   -.01     DiVincenzo 44   21.4   .172    4.1   1.21
Siakam    35   16.9   .042   -2.8   1.04    Hartenstein 38   17.6   .179    4.4   1.02
Turner    34   15.6   .047   -2.8    .84      Brunson   38   23.8   .125    1.3   1.77
Nembhard  29    9.3   .013   -5.7    .16      Anunoby   23   19.4   .104    1.8   1.45
McConnell 21   18.2   .017   -0.7   1.08      McBride   20    4.6  -.005   -7.3   -.55
Toppin    19   25.1   .214    9.2   1.39      Achiuwa   18   13.3   .097   -3.9    .15
Sheppard  18   14.9   .085    2.4    .32      Burks      7   27.5   .316   11.0   1.27
Jackson   14   22.3   .172    2.6   1.00      Robinson   4    8.0   .137    0.9   -.22
.totals  240   17.4   .085    1.1    .92     . totals  239   18.4   .127    1.7   1.08

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Sun May 12, 2024 10:14 am
by Mike G
Celtics 2 - 1 Cavs
avg score 106.7 - 102.0
Pyth wins 1.93 - 1.07 , eWins 1.72 - 1.28

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.64 Donovan Mitchell Cle   40  .651   31.7   6.1   4.3  1.0   1.3   .0   2.57
.57   Jayson Tatum   Bos   38  .521   24.3  11.0   5.4   .6   2.6  1.3   2.40
.49   Jaylen Brown   Bos   35  .687   30.9   7.2   2.1   .3   1.6   .3   2.24
.44   Evan Mobley    Cle   34  .663   21.7  11.6   2.9   .8   1.6  1.1   2.07
.23   Derrick White  Bos   33  .553   16.3   3.2   4.7   .3    .9   .7   1.10

.20  Darius Garland  Cle   36  .551   13.9   4.7   4.5   .7   1.5   .3    .89
.19   Jrue Holiday   Bos   36  .563   11.1   5.9   3.3   .6    .4   .7    .83
.17 Payton Pritchard Bos   22  .630   18.7   5.3   4.3   .9   2.3   .0   1.26
.15   Caris LeVert   Cle   28  .513   14.4   8.0   2.5   .0   1.8   .4    .88
.06   Luke Kornet    Bos   14  .563    6.3  11.2   1.4   .0    .9  2.2    .70

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.05   Al Horford     Bos   32  .435    5.3   7.2   2.7   .4    .5   .4    .25
.02   Dean Wade      Cle    6  .417    6.7   5.7   4.8   .0    .0  1.8    .67
.01 Tristan Thompson Cle   10  .417    3.4   6.8   2.4   .0    .0  1.9    .22
.01  Xavier Tillman  Bos    6  1.00    4.5   8.6   1.5  1.5    .0   .0    .32
.01   Georges Niang  Cle    6  .500   11.2   6.5   1.4   .0   1.7   .0    .27

-.02  Marcus Morris  Cle   10  .389    4.1   4.1    .0  1.0    .0   .0   -.30
-.02  Isaac Okoro    Cle   23  .500   11.0   1.7    .9  1.1   2.3   .0   -.16
-.05  Sam Hauser     Bos   12  .667    6.2   1.8    .0   .0   1.0   .0   -.62
-.07  Sam Merrill    Cle   11  .000     .0    .9    .8   .0    .0   .0   -.98
-.09  Max Strus      Cle   37  .442    5.0   4.5    .9   .0    .7   .0   -.37
shooting : Bos .576 - .547 Cle
rebounds: Bos 43.3 - 39.0. Cle
turnovers: Cle 8.3 - 9.3 Bos

Code: Select all

. Bos     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . Cle   mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Tatum     38   22.1   .157    4.4   2.40     Mitchell 40   27.3   .234   13.3   2.57
Holiday   36   14.5   .148    1.9    .83      Strus   37    3.1  -.030   -6.7   -.37
Brown     35   25.9   .243    6.6   2.24      Garland 36   13.4   .068    0.9    .89
White     33   14.7   .140    3.0   1.10      Mobley  34   24.7   .222    7.7   2.07
Horford   32    7.7   .071   -2.6    .25      LeVert  28   14.9   .038   -1.8    .88
Pritchard 22   20.5   .180    6.1   1.26      Okoro   23    5.5  -.067   -5.0   -.16
Kornet    14   18.6   .256    1.8    .70      Merrill 11   -7.9  -.206  -15.7   -.98
Hauser    12    3.5   .023   -5.1   -.62     Thompson 10   11.0   .102    0.9    .22
Tillman    6   11.4   .190    0.5    .32      Morris  10    5.7  -.051   -4.4   -.30
.                                             Niang    6   11.7  -.012   -3.1    .27
.                                             Wade     6   13.0   .098    5.5    .67
totals   228   16.3   .148   2.19   1.14    . totals 240   13.7   .069   0.95    .85

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Mon May 13, 2024 1:09 pm
by Mike G
Pacers 2 - 2 Knicks
avg score 117.5 - 111.5
Pyth wins 2.67 - 1.33 , eWins 2.33 - 1.67

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.71  Ty. Haliburton  Ind   34  .683   26.7   5.3   6.7   2.5   1.9   .3   2.50
.49   Jalen Brunson   NY   36  .552   26.4   3.0   4.9   1.5   3.6   .3   1.62
.35   Pascal Siakam  Ind   32  .566   18.7   8.2   2.5    .6   1.2   .6   1.34
.31  T.J. McConnell  Ind   21  .516   18.1   5.1   8.8   2.4   2.4   .0   1.76
.31   Josh Hart       NY   41  .625   11.7  11.7   4.2   1.3   4.0   .4    .91

.31   Myles Turner   Ind   32  .612   16.8   7.6   1.8    .6   2.1  2.3   1.17
.31 Donte DiVincenzo  NY   41  .601   17.6   4.1   2.2    .6   1.5   .9    .90
.27   Obi Toppin     Ind   19  .696   20.5   5.2   3.4   1.3    .4   .9   1.68
.21   OG Anunoby      NY   18  .569   17.8   7.2   3.2   1.0   1.2   .5   1.42
.20  Is. Hartenstein  NY   34  .712    9.6   8.9   4.0    .0   1.5   .5    .71

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.16   Alec Burks      NY   11  .667   21.8   6.8   1.9    .7    .0   .7   1.69
.16  Isaiah Jackson  Ind   15  .563   12.2   9.9   1.4   1.1    .6  2.7   1.24
.09  Andrew Nembhard Ind   27  .606   13.0   3.0   5.6    .0   1.7   .0    .40
.07   Aaron Nesmith  Ind   32  .581    8.6   7.8   1.7    .6   1.2   .3    .27
.06   Ben Sheppard   Ind   18  .600    9.4   6.4   1.6    .5    .0   .0    .42

.03 Precious Achiuwa  NY   20  .611    7.5   8.5    .0    .0   1.0  1.3    .18
-.04  Miles McBride   NY   23  .441    7.7   2.7   2.2    .7   1.2   .0   -.21
shooting : Ind .604 - .575 NY
rebounds: NY 42.0 - 40.0 Ind
turnovers: Ind 10.3 - 13.3 NY

Code: Select all

. Ind     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . NYK     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
H'burton  34   28.6   .264   12.3   2.50     DiVincenzo 41   17.3   .093    1.8    .90
Nesmith   32    9.7   .072   -3.2    .27      Hart      41   14.0   .029    0.5    .91
Turner    32   18.1   .122    0.8   1.17      Brunson   36   21.7   .064    1.7   1.62
Siakam    32   18.6   .127   -0.9   1.34    Hartenstein 34   15.1   .116    1.7    .71
Nembhard  27   10.5   .076   -4.0    .40      McBride   23    6.2  -.042   -5.6   -.21
McConnell 21   22.0   .129    2.8   1.76      Achiuwa   20   14.0   .082   -4.0    .18
Toppin    19   26.0   .251    9.6   1.68      Anunoby   18   19.0   .072    1.8   1.42
Sheppard  18   13.1   .106    0.3    .42      Burks     11   29.5   .331   11.5   1.69
Jackson   15   21.9   .184    1.0   1.24      Sims       5   21.1   .252    3.7    .58
McDermott  3   -7.9  -.170  -12.8  -1.54      Milton     4   -3.1  -.214  -13.3   -.51
J Smith    3   41.1   .585   25.6   3.05      Jeffries   3    8.5  -.046   -3.0    .30
K Brown    3   -6.8  -.270  -12.0   -.66      Robinson   3    7.0   .050    0.9   -.21
J Walker   2    5.6  -.293   -9.2   -.41      Diakite    2    5.0  -.123   -6.0   -.30
. totals 240   18.1   .138    1.87  1.17     . totals  240   15.9   .071    0.46   .83

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Tue May 14, 2024 10:56 am
by Mike G
Celtics 3 - 1 Cavs
avg score 107.3 - 102.0
Pyth wins 2.64 - 1.36 , eWins 2.32 - 1.68

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.80   Jayson Tatum   Bos   40  .532   25.2  11.0   5.2    .9   2.9  1.2   2.42
.65   Jaylen Brown   Bos   35  .688   32.4   7.9   1.9    .2   2.7   .3   2.21
.63 Donovan Mitchell Cle   30  .651   31.5   6.1   4.3   1.0   1.4   .0   2.51
.54   Evan Mobley    Cle   36  .661   21.0  10.8   2.7    .8   2.0   .8   1.82
.35  Darius Garland  Cle   37  .545   17.0   4.1   4.7   1.1   1.6   .2   1.14

.32   Jrue Holiday   Bos   38  .605   12.4   6.2   3.7   1.1    .8   .7   1.02
.26   Derrick White  Bos   33  .525   13.0   4.7   4.6    .5    .6   .6    .95
.24   Caris LeVert   Cle   30  .518   14.9   7.1   2.5    .6   1.6   .6    .97
.20 Payton Pritchard Bos   23  .682   18.3   4.3   3.6    .7   2.0   .0   1.05
.10   Luke Kornet    Bos   15  .643    9.7  11.1   1.0    .0   1.7  2.0    .77

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Al Horford     Bos   31  .406    4.8   7.6   2.1    .3    .3   .6    .22
.04 Tristan Thompson Cle   10  .563    6.1   6.7   3.1    .0    .0  1.4    .47
.01  Xavier Tillman  Bos    5  1.00    4.5   8.7   1.6   1.5    .0   .0    .32
.01   Max Strus      Cle   39  .500    6.9   4.9   2.1    .5    .8   .0    .02
.00   Georges Niang  Cle    6  .500   10.2   4.6   1.0    .0   1.2   .0    .07

-.00   Dean Wade     Cle   10  .400    3.8   3.2   2.0    .8    .0  1.6   -.01
-.02  Marcus Morris  Cle    7  .389    4.1   4.1    .0   1.0    .0   .0   -.30
-.04  Isaac Okoro    Cle   22  .403    7.5   2.5   1.4    .9   1.8   .4   -.24
-.06  Sam Hauser     Bos   13  .625    5.2   2.6    .0    .0    .7   .0   -.57
-.07  Sam Merrill    Cle   12  .241    1.7   1.9   1.6    .0    .0   .0   -.65
shooting : Bos .583 - .541 Cle
rebounds: Bos 44.5 - 37.3 Cle
turnovers: Cle 8.3 - 10.8 Bos

Code: Select all

. Bos    mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . Cle    mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Tatum     40   23.1   .173   4.7   2.42      Strus    39    6.7   .017   -3.6    .02
Holiday   38   16.2   .175   4.4   1.02      Garland  37   15.3   .068    1.7   1.14
Brown     35   24.9   .225   4.8   2.21      Mobley   36   22.3   .181    5.7   1.82
White     33   13.3   .141   1.8    .95      LeVert   30   15.6   .046   -0.7    .97
Horford   31    7.1   .052  -3.5    .22      Mitchell 30   27.3   .212   13.3   2.51
Pritchard 23   19.1   .199   5.7   1.05      Okoro    22    3.6  -.113   -7.4   -.24
Kornet    15   18.4   .230   1.0    .77      Merrill  12   -1.1  -.114  -10.6   -.65
Hauser    13    4.0   .038  -4.7   -.57      Wade     10    8.2   .042   -0.3   -.01
Tillman    5   11.2   .187   0.5    .32      Thompson 10   16.3   .179    4.4    .47
.                                            Morris    7    5.7  -.069   -4.4   -.30
.                                            Niang     6   10.6  -.026   -3.2    .07
. totals 231   16.4   .153   2.3   1.16     . totals 240   13.9   .062    0.8    .84

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Wed May 15, 2024 10:42 am
by Mike G
Knicks 3 - 2 Pacers
avg score 113.4 - 112.2
Pyth wins 2.68 - 2.32 , eWins 2.59 - 2.41

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.80   Jalen Brunson   NY   38  .557   29.7   3.2   5.0   1.2   3.4   .2   2.04
.79  Ty. Haliburton  Ind   34  .679   24.0   4.6   6.2   2.3   2.0   .7   2.23
.48   Josh Hart       NY   40  .598   12.9  12.1   3.9   1.3   3.8   .6   1.15
.46   Pascal Siakam  Ind   32  .572   19.4   8.3   2.3    .7   1.4   .5   1.40
.42 Donte DiVincenzo  NY   39  .554   16.6   5.0   2.5   1.2   1.5  1.0   1.05

.39   Myles Turner   Ind   31  .622   17.4   7.2   1.8    .9   2.6  2.4   1.21
.37  Is. Hartenstein  NY   33  .710   10.0  11.6   4.3    .0   1.4   .7   1.07
.28  T.J. McConnell  Ind   21  .500   15.3   3.8   7.9   1.8   2.2   .0   1.29
.26   Obi Toppin     Ind   19  .671   17.0   5.4   3.0    .9    .7   .6   1.27
.24   OG Anunoby      NY   14  .569   18.9   7.5   3.3   1.1   1.1   .5   1.61

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.22   Alec Burks      NY   14  .693   21.3   6.8   1.2    .5    .0   .4   1.56
.12  Isaiah Jackson  Ind   13  .563   10.1   8.8   1.1    .9    .9  2.7    .88
.10  Andrew Nembhard Ind   27  .580   12.6   2.8   5.2    .0   1.9   .3    .37
.07 Precious Achiuwa  NY   20  .542    6.7   8.3    .6    .7    .7  1.7    .32
.05   Aaron Nesmith  Ind   31  .557    8.5   7.2   1.8    .5   1.4   .2    .16

.03   Jericho Sims    NY    5  .875    8.6   9.0    .0   2.4    .0   .0    .67
.02   Ben Sheppard   Ind   19  .647    8.6   4.4   1.6    .3    .3   .0    .08
-.02  Miles McBride   NY   26  .480    9.2   2.2   2.5    .5   1.1   .0   -.09
shooting : Ind .594 - .569 NY
rebounds: NY 44.2 - 37.8 Ind
turnovers: Ind 11.8 - 12.4 NY

Code: Select all

. Ind     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . NYK     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
H'burton  34   26.3   .217   10.8   2.23      Hart      40   14.1   .060    0.7   1.15
Siakam    32   19.1   .113   -0.3   1.40     DiVincenzo 39   16.1   .103    1.1   1.05
Nesmith   31    8.3   .028   -4.3    .16      Brunson   38   23.1   .129    3.0   2.04
Turner    31   17.5   .082    1.5   1.21    Hartenstein 33   17.8   .173    3.3   1.07
Nembhard  27   10.3   .036   -3.9    .37      McBride   26    7.6   .014   -4.1   -.09
McConnell 21   19.3   .080    1.1   1.29      Achiuwa   20   13.9   .099   -2.5    .32
Sheppard  19   11.5   .079   -0.1    .08      Anunoby   14   19.0   .132    1.8   1.61
Toppin    19   22.6   .196    6.9   1.27      Burks     14   28.3   .315   11.7   1.56
Jackson   13   20.2   .149   -0.1    .88      Sims       5   23.4   .276    5.3    .67
McDermott  3   -6.4  -.162  -11.9  -1.46      Milton     3    7.5  -.022   -3.2   -.05
Smith      3   26.3   .347   11.9   1.28      Jeffries   3    6.8  -.015   -4.2    .00
Walker     3   -9.5  -.580  -22.7  -1.16      Robinson   2    7.0   .146    0.9   -.26
Brown      3   -5.2  -.224  -11.2   -.86      Diakite    2    3.9  -.075   -6.8   -.38
. totals 239   16.4   .094    0.9    .96     . totals  240   16.5   .112    1.3   1.04

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Thu May 16, 2024 10:58 am
by Mike G
Celtics 4 - 1 Cavs
avg score 108.4 - 101.2
Pyth wins 3.57 - 1.43 , eWins 3.03 - 1.97

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.00  Jayson Tatum   Bos   40  .556   24.6  10.9   5.7   1.3   2.5   .9   2.38
.72   Evan Mobley    Cle   37  .648   23.0   9.9   2.7    .9   2.1  1.0   1.86
.67   Jaylen Brown   Bos   36  .665   27.4   7.2   2.9    .4   2.8   .4   1.78
.60 Donovan Mitchell Cle   24  .651   31.4   6.2   4.2   1.0   1.3   .0   2.40
.38   Derrick White  Bos   33  .526   14.1   5.1   4.9    .4    .5   .9   1.09

.34   Jrue Holiday   Bos   39  .613   12.9   5.7   3.7    .8   1.3   .6    .85
.32  Darius Garland  Cle   38  .491   13.7   3.3   5.1   1.3   1.7   .2    .81
.28   Al Horford     Bos   32  .511    9.6  10.1   2.8    .4   1.3  1.2    .86
.24   Caris LeVert   Cle   24  .518   14.9   7.3   2.5    .6   1.5   .6    .95
.23 Payton Pritchard Bos   23  .700   19.0   4.0   2.9    .5   1.7   .0    .99

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.13   Luke Kornet    Bos   15  .722   13.4  10.2    .9    .0   1.9  1.7    .88
.09   Marcus Morris  Cle   13  .711   16.5   3.7    .0   1.7    .5   .0    .72
.08   Max Strus      Cle   40  .505    7.6   5.3   3.0    .4    .8   .0    .20
.04 Tristan Thompson Cle    9  .563    5.7   8.5   2.9    .0    .7  1.3    .43
.02  Xavier Tillman  Bos    4  1.00    5.0   9.4   1.6   1.4    .0   .0    .40

-.02  Georges Niang  Cle    7  .393    6.3   4.7    .8    .0    .9   .0   -.24
-.02  Isaac Okoro    Cle   20  .427    8.1   3.4   1.5    .8   1.5   .4   -.08
-.02  Sam Hauser     Bos   12  .625    7.2   4.6    .5    .0    .6   .0   -.15
-.02  Dean Wade      Cle   13  .423    4.2   3.4   2.3    .6   1.2  1.1   -.16
-.07  Sam Merrill    Cle   15  .410    4.2   2.1   1.0    .0    .0   .0   -.45
shooting : Bos .597 - .548 Cle
rebounds: Bos 44.2 - 35.4 Cle
turnovers: Cle 8.6 - 11.4 Bos

Code: Select all

. Bos     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . Cle   mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Tatum     40   24.5   .224    6.5   2.38      Strus   40    7.6   .024   -2.8    .20
Holiday   39   14.8   .153    2.2    .85      Garland 38   12.6   .011   -1.2    .81
Brown     36   21.0   .189    2.7   1.78      Mobley  37   23.8   .167    5.7   1.86
White     33   14.3   .153    1.8   1.09      LeVert  24   15.4   .028   -0.7    .95
Horford   32   13.0   .115    0.4    .86     Mitchell 24   27.0   .177   13.3   2.40
Pritchard 23   18.8   .200    4.8    .99      Okoro   20    4.8  -.097   -6.7   -.08
Kornet    15   19.0   .238    0.5    .88      Merrill 15    3.2  -.025   -7.1   -.45
Hauser    12    7.3   .078   -3.2   -.15      Wade    13    5.3  -.004   -3.1   -.16
Tillman    4   11.2   .183    0.5    .40      Morris  13   18.6   .131    5.9    .72
.                                            Thompson  9   14.8   .140    2.2    .43
.                                             Niang    7    4.0  -.149   -9.5   -.24
. totals 233   17.0   .167    2.3   1.21    . totals 240   13.7   .050    0.4    .79

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Sat May 18, 2024 11:54 am
by Mike G
Pacers 3 - 3 Knicks
avg score 112.8 - 111.7
Pyth wins 3.21 - 2.79 , eWins 3.10 - 2.90

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.95  Ty. Haliburton  Ind   34  .672   23.3   5.0   6.6   2.0   1.9   .9   2.25
.90   Jalen Brunson   NY   38  .549   28.9   2.9   5.0   1.0   3.1   .2   1.92
.64   Pascal Siakam  Ind   32  .566   20.9   8.4   2.8   1.0   1.4   .4   1.61
.51   Myles Turner   Ind   31  .632   18.1   7.6   2.0    .8   2.4  2.3   1.31
.49 Donte DiVincenzo  NY   39  .553   16.1   4.9   2.4   1.3   1.2  1.0   1.01

.48   Josh Hart       NY   39  .565   11.5  11.8   3.8   1.1   3.7   .6    .99
.41  Is. Hartenstein  NY   33  .686    9.0  11.1   4.6    .2   1.4   .6    .98
.35  T.J. McConnell  Ind   20  .511   16.5   3.8   7.6   1.8   2.1   .0   1.41
.30   Obi Toppin     Ind   19  .702   17.7   5.5   2.7    .8    .8   .5   1.23
.23   OG Anunoby      NY   12  .569   19.0   7.5   3.3   1.0   1.2   .5   1.60

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.22   Alec Burks      NY   16  .643   18.3   6.0   1.2    .3    .0   .3   1.14
.20  Andrew Nembhard Ind   29  .589   13.0   3.6   5.1    .0   1.5   .4    .56
.16  Isaiah Jackson  Ind   13  .596   10.4   8.5   1.9    .7    .8  3.3    .98
.13 Precious Achiuwa  NY   21  .551    7.8   8.7    .5   1.0    .6  1.8    .51
.08   Aaron Nesmith  Ind   31  .542    8.6   7.3   2.2    .4   1.4   .2    .21

.02   Miles McBride   NY   28  .549   11.6   2.2   2.2    .6   1.6   .0    .07
.00   Ben Sheppard   Ind   19  .627    8.2   4.7   1.3    .3    .5   .0    .01
shooting : Ind .594 - .565 NY
rebounds: NY 42.7 - 39.3 Ind
turnovers: Ind 11.3 - 11.8 NY

Code: Select all

. Ind     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . NYK     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
H'burton  34   25.7   .217   10.5   2.25      Hart      39   13.1   .033   -0.5    .99
Siakam    32   20.7   .134    1.0   1.61     DiVincenzo 39   16.2   .097    1.1   1.01
Turner    31   18.6   .113    2.2   1.31      Brunson   38   22.4   .109    2.3   1.92
Nesmith   31    8.6   .037   -4.6    .21    Hartenstein 33   17.0   .156    2.8    .98
Nembhard  29   11.9   .072   -2.2    .56      McBride   28    9.7   .024   -3.1    .07
McConnell 20   20.9   .101    2.0   1.41      Achiuwa   21   16.3   .119   -1.5    .51
Sheppard  19   10.2   .064   -1.8    .01      Burks     16   23.8   .257    7.0   1.14
Toppin    19   22.5   .197    6.5   1.23      Anunoby   12   19.0   .104    1.8   1.60
Jackson   13   22.4   .196    3.0    .98                     
. totals 229   16.9   .108    1.2   1.03     . totals  225   16.4   .099    0.9    .97

Re: 2024 Playoffs. East rd. 2

Posted: Mon May 20, 2024 12:08 pm
by Mike G
Pacers 4 - 3 Knicks
avg score 115.3 - 111.3
Pyth wins 4.31 - 2.69 , eWins 3.90 - 3.10

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.08 Ty. Haliburton  Ind   34  .683   24.6   5.1   6.4   1.8   2.0   .9   2.20
.88   Jalen Brunson   NY   36  .537   26.6   2.6   5.4    .9   2.9   .1   1.66
.71   Pascal Siakam  Ind   32  .574   20.3   8.0   2.9   1.0   1.4   .5   1.49
.61 Donte DiVincenzo  NY   39  .591   18.4   4.8   2.1   1.4   1.7   .8   1.07
.60   Myles Turner   Ind   32  .646   18.1   7.6   1.8    .7   2.3  2.6   1.30

.51   Josh Hart       NY   39  .550   10.5  11.6   3.8   1.2   3.2   .5    .91
.46  T.J. McConnell  Ind   21  .535   18.0   4.0   8.1   1.8   2.4   .2   1.54
.37  Is. Hartenstein  NY   33  .649    7.4  11.3   4.2    .3   1.6   .6    .77
.37   Alec Burks      NY   17  .674   22.1   6.2   1.4    .3    .0   .3   1.45
.35   Obi Toppin     Ind   19  .663   17.1   6.3   3.4    .7    .8   .8   1.28

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.32  Andrew Nembhard Ind   30  .632   15.1   4.1   5.2    .2   2.0   .4    .74
.24   OG Anunoby      NY   11  .605   20.2   7.2   3.0   1.0   1.1   .5   1.55
.23  Isaiah Jackson  Ind   13  .635   13.9   9.1   2.1    .7   1.1  3.2   1.23
.18   Aaron Nesmith  Ind   31  .628   11.0   7.3   2.0    .5   1.4   .2    .40
.10 Precious Achiuwa  NY   22  .506    6.7   7.8    .6    .9    .5  1.6    .30

.06   Ben Sheppard   Ind   20  .631    8.2   5.7   1.8    .7    .5   .2    .22
-.01  Miles McBride   NY   30  .500    9.6   2.9   2.1    .5   1.5   .2   -.03
shooting : Ind .615 - .563 NY
rebounds: NY 40.6 - 38.4 Ind
turnovers: NY 11.6 - 11.7 Ind

Code: Select all

. Ind     mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . NYK    mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
H'burton  34   26.3   .230   10.2   2.20    DiVincenzo 39   17.9   .109    2.6   1.07
Siakam    32   20.4   .139    0.8   1.49      Hart     39   13.3   .032   -0.6    .91
Turner    32   19.2   .127    2.2   1.30      Brunson  36   21.3   .083    1.9   1.66
Nesmith   31   11.1   .080   -2.9    .40   Hartenstein 33   15.1   .118    1.2    .77
Nembhard  30   13.5   .091   -1.8    .74      McBride  30    7.8  -.019   -5.2   -.03
McConnell 21   21.6   .125    2.6   1.54      Achiuwa  22   13.1   .071   -3.8    .30
Sheppard  20   11.1   .089   -0.1    .22      Burks    17   26.6   .286    8.3   1.45
Toppin    19   21.4   .196    5.6   1.28      Anunoby  11   20.4   .093    3.4   1.55
Jackson   13   22.4   .205    2.3   1.23      Sims      4   23.1   .258    6.7    .92
J Smith    3   17.9   .198    4.6    .83      Milton    3    3.9  -.083   -6.8   -.26
McDermott  3   -7.5  -.187  -14.0  -1.30      Jeffries  3   11.9   .064    0.5    .19
K Brown    2   -4.3  -.226  -14.2   -.60      Diakite   2    2.1  -.102   -8.0   -.20
Walker     2   -8.4  -.502  -20.5  -1.03      Robinson  2    6.1   .031    0.9   -.10
.totals  240   17.7   .126   1.55   1.12     . totals 240   15.9   .084   0.51    .88