APBRmetrics

Anyone have a CSV of everyone's projections? This tm Mike Rd11 gold emin RyRi ncs sndi trzu cali shad lisp Crow 538 vegas avg 19re Atl 35.2 38.0 27.2 29 29.8 29.4 25 29 27.6 33.4 27.2 25 28 33.9 29.7 35 Bos 42.6 44.1 49.4 44 49.1 46.7 46 48 52.0 48.2 50.2 54 46 49.0 47.9 45 Brk 41.2 39.6 36.7 38 41...

Anyone have a CSV of everyone's projections?

eminence wrote: ↑Thu Oct 31, 2019 4:41 am Dang, lose watching a great player and that may ice my fate in this contest as well. Gives me a better excuse for the crazy bad prediction though right?

SMH, Gonna win on an injury. Real bad predictions come from bad modeling

They lost their starting center between game 1 and 2, and their backup center between game 2 and 3. If you look at their 4-man lineups the top 9 are a combination of the same 6 players. https://stats.nba.com/lineups/advanced/?Season=2019-20&SeasonType=Regular%20Season&GroupQuantity=4&Tea...

My model treats all rookies exactly the same. I'd say that the pels are one of the many blindspots with this model.

Using the Blend column for the contest: ... Edit: edited 10/17/19 Your current predictions bear little resemblance to your original. What do "3 year" and "1 year" refer to? Crow is correct, I found a bug in my code that was throwing away all rookie minutes. 3yr is built of 3 yr ...

Using the Blend column for the contest:



Edit: edited 10/17/19

The one posted here was an attempt to get as close as possible to JEs values. Playoffs are included here and the lambda value is different here than on the site.

You're the best, thanks for the quick answer. This difference has been bothering me for a couple of days and I've been at a complete loss for what I was doing wrong.

I'm trying to reconcile some discrepancies between my version of RAPM and JE's version of RAPM for the 2016-17 season. JE: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1CiOqGlz6zjjmjUlJBNOXflG6wYAS1RLjZjtZSQHraF4/edit RD: https://drive.google.com/open?id=1l2vD96mW6zi840CNZHKwUhVSciTqECJf Other than the ob...

I know this isn't exactly what you want but this chrome extension: https://chrome.google.com/webstore/deta ... njkfbcmeha

allows you to download the tables on a page as a csv.

Is this supposed to be who I think will win or who I think should win?

I have created a simple chrome extension for downloading data from stats(dot)nba(dot)com as csvs. I'd love for people to play around with it and give feedback. Go to the page you want, right click, and select Download data, a popup will appear asking if you want to download the data from the api end...

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1BmBC0E ... sp=sharing

Here are CSVs with play by play and players on the court going back a few years. As for analysis, I'm not sure how you could work with this data with out some knowledge of coding.

I tried to add a small luck adjustment to RAPM last year with 2 changes to the play by play: The points scored off free throws to the FT% of the shooter. If a 75% ft shooter hits both his FTs in a stint, in RAPM it would be 2 points, in LA-RAPM it is worth 1.5 points. The points scored off 3s are ch...