Search found 252 matches

by shadow
Tue Oct 19, 2021 12:46 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2021-22 team win prediction contest
Replies: 119
Views: 49241

Re: 2022 team win prediction contest

Code: Select all

ATL	48.7
BOS	46.8
BRK	54.0
CHA	36.1
CHI	42.2
CLE	27.1
DAL	48.1
DEN	46.9
DET	25.4
GSW	45.2
HOU	24.5
IND	42.5
LAC	43.8
LAL	50.3
MEM	42.6
MIA	47.1
MIL	55.2
MIN	36.3
NOP	40.2
NYK	42.6
OKC	21.1
ORL	21.7
PHI	51.0
PHX	51.8
POR	45.0
SAC	35.3
SAS	30.9
TOR	37.7
UTA	53.2
WAS	36.7
by shadow
Fri Jun 04, 2021 3:36 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 RAPM
Replies: 13
Views: 9511

Re: 2020-21 RAPM

Updated through all regular season games:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... ingle=true

Gobert takes the crown, by a sizable margin as well.
by shadow
Fri Mar 26, 2021 1:44 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 RAPM
Replies: 13
Views: 9511

Re: 2020-21 RAPM

Updated through games played on 3/25:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... ingle=true
by shadow
Fri Feb 26, 2021 9:04 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 RAPM
Replies: 13
Views: 9511

Re: 2020-21 RAPM

Updated through games played on 2/25:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... ingle=true
by shadow
Sun Feb 14, 2021 8:37 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 RAPM
Replies: 13
Views: 9511

Re: 2020-21 RAPM

Updated through games played on 2/13:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... ingle=true
by shadow
Wed Jan 27, 2021 6:18 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 RAPM
Replies: 13
Views: 9511

Re: 2020-21 RAPM

Updated through games played on 1/26:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... ingle=true
by shadow
Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:09 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 RAPM
Replies: 13
Views: 9511

Re: 2020-21 RAPM

Updated through games played on 1/14:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... ingle=true
by shadow
Tue Jan 05, 2021 7:10 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 RAPM
Replies: 13
Views: 9511

Re: 2020-21 RAPM

I'm using linear_model.Ridge from sklearn in python. Technically the parameter is called alpha in that function. I've never used R so I don't know how it differs from python in regards to calculating RAPM. It's probably been posted here several times, but this was one case where I saw 3000 referred ...
by shadow
Mon Jan 04, 2021 6:30 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 RAPM
Replies: 13
Views: 9511

Re: 2020-21 RAPM

Yeah, I leave the lambda at 3000 (standard found by J.E., which usually results in a range of about +/- 5 or 6 by the end of the regular season) for every run, so the early season numbers will be more compressed. There will certainly be some whacky results even with this method, but it's probably fa...
by shadow
Mon Jan 04, 2021 2:43 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 RAPM
Replies: 13
Views: 9511

2020-21 RAPM

It's still far too early for this to have much meaning, but here's a link to 2020-21 vanilla RAPM. I'll try to update it every couple of weeks. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRDbpET9PUorhyjaw4DsPLszr8xc-tes0Ae2rp3Wwr2vxPvjUoXeY0lUNQq_mq8YgOKSWYz5Xz43fCE/pubhtml?gid=0&single=true
by shadow
Tue Dec 22, 2020 1:19 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 team win projection contest
Replies: 113
Views: 63526

Re: 2020-21 team win projection contest

Code: Select all

ATL	35.3
BOS	44.0
BRK	43.4
CHA	26.1
CHI	28.7
CLE	22.1
DAL	43.1
DEN	43.6
DET	22.1
GSW	36.4
HOU	37.6
IND	38.0
LAC	47.2
LAL	48.2
MEM	32.0
MIA	42.7
MIL	49.8
MIN	29.7
NOP	35.8
NYK	22.3
OKC	22.0
ORL	31.1
PHI	43.1
PHX	39.1
POR	39.8
SAC	29.4
SAS	30.6
TOR	42.7
UTA	42.2
WAS	32.1
by shadow
Thu Sep 24, 2020 11:39 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020 playoffs
Replies: 73
Views: 40699

Re: 2020 playoffs

by shadow
Fri Sep 18, 2020 9:06 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020 playoffs
Replies: 73
Views: 40699

Re: 2020 playoffs

Team and minutes played added. Now updated through Bos/Mia Game 2:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... ingle=true
by shadow
Wed Sep 16, 2020 6:07 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020 playoffs
Replies: 73
Views: 40699

Re: 2020 playoffs

So the team I bet on to win the East got knocked out in embarrassing fashion in the second round and the team I thought was most overrated (Denver) going into the playoffs is now one series away from the Finals. Fade me to riches I guess.
by shadow
Sat Sep 12, 2020 9:29 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020 playoffs
Replies: 73
Views: 40699

Re: 2020 playoffs

This is close to being completely meaningless, but I've posted it in the past, so here is playoff only RAPM for the current playoffs:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... ingle=true