APBRmetrics

I recall league sources suggesting want $7.5 billion / year. $7.5B/year would be CRAZY. The 2007 TV deal was $930M/year. That is approximately $1.7B per annum less than the 2016 contract. I believe the NBA is going to get an increase well more than that especially with expansion around the corner, ...

v-zero wrote: ↑Sat Dec 16, 2023 8:06 pm DARKO doing poorly now is heartening frankly, as I happen to know that's an excellent model.

ESPN "Expert Forecast" doing so well now is heartening frankly, as I happen to know that's a horrible model.

Yeah, pretty sure when you jettison much of your top tier talent and replace it with mediocre players, you are just bad.

https://apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.php?p=40625#p40625

In last year's postseason, A Edwards was 3rd in BPM and PER, 10th in WS/48, 19th in Ast%, 11th in Stl%, 10th in Blk% ; median in TRb%, 10th best TO%; 2nd in Usg% and .602 TS% -- only Joker also shot .600 with 30+ Usg. So not one weakness to be seen. For just 5 games. https://www.basketball-referenc...

Crow wrote: ↑Sun Nov 05, 2023 5:40 pm "...the starting lineup should be: Jones-Coulibaly-Kuzma-Gafford."

Who is the 5th?

Fixed.

Right now, WAS should be focusing on development and putting smart winning players around the core of Coulibaly, Avdija and Gafford, rather than any specific team outcomes, Kispert is also a solid young complimentary player. Jones is a good interim solution at PG, but given his age and talent level,...

Durant so far: worst BPM since his rookie season. A. Edwards: touted by several as next "face" of the league. BPM of just +2, 90th best. Better than last season but not an All-Star to me. Durant's next to worst season still slightly better than Edwards'. That’s the thing with Edwards — I’...

@Mike G, just a request to include r^2 determination coefficient in the contest analysis.

Henderson had a -15 BPM as of yesterday. Yeah, dead last in the league. Apparently 4.5 TO/G will do that; Wemby is 63rd from the bottom (-4.6) of 212 who qualify, and 50th-worst WS/48. Scoot is also last in ws/48. https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_2024_advanced.html The most prominen...

Yes, $4-5 billion seems more realistic than $7.5 billion for national deal. Possible end to or significant reduction in regional deals will affect the total. It might increase the national share. That’s a really good point about the decline of regional sports networks and how the national broadcast...

I recall league sources suggesting want $7.5 billion / year. $7.5B/year would be CRAZY. The 2007 TV deal was $930M/year. That is approximately $1.7B per annum less than the 2016 contract. I believe the NBA is going to get an increase well more than that especially with expansion around the corner, ...

I am skeptical that NBA will get the huge increase from new contracts for national game rights that they seek. I don't think it will be anywhere close to the increase won last time. With the entry of streaming services into the sports broadcasting space, I could see one of them (Apple, Amazon, Netf...

They have a projection for various Harden scenarios, but I think the Harden plays for PHI case should be the one used in the contest. With the latest Harden news, it was smart for any projections that accounted for the possibility of him not playing at all, or eventually getting traded. (Betting ma...

numberFire win predictions. Link: https://www.numberfire.com/nba/teams/power-rankings https://i.ibb.co/4snWTBM/Screenshot-2023-10-24-at-18-30-41-NBA-Team-Power-Rankings.png https://i.ibb.co/6P5Mv5J/Screenshot-2023-10-24-at-18-32-28-NBA-Team-Power-Rankings.png https://i.ibb.co/YhhY084/Screenshot-2023...

Projections via TeamRankings.

Link: https://www.teamrankings.com/nba/projections/standings/