APBRmetrics

Update going into the WCF game 7. tm now Mgoo er srs er a>z er z>a er Cle 6 6 0 6 0 16 10 6 0 Det 6 11 5 14 8 6 0 10 4 LAL 4 5 1 4 0 14 10 6 2 Min 6 6 0 6 0 10 4 6 0 NYK 12 14 2 11 1 10 2 6 6 OKC 11 16 5 16 5 6 5 10 1 Phl 4 6 2 5 1 6 2 14 10 SAS 11 11 0 11 0 6 5 16 5 total err. 15 15 38 28 SRS corre...

Spurs 3 - 3 Thunder avg score 113 - 110 Pyth wins 3.53 - 2.47 , eWins 3.27 - 2.73 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e497 1.26 Vi. Wembanyama SA 37 .608 29.3 11.6 3.1 1.4 3.1 3.0 2.82 .78 Shai G-A OKC 37 .510 23.3 2.6 7.7 1.7 3.5 .8 1.74 .59 Stephon Castle SA 36 .595 20.0 5.0 7.5 1...

MVP vs wannaVP Thru 5 games of the WCF Shai looks like a model of consistency, while Wemby may take 20 shots or 4 shots, get 20 rebounds or 4 rebounds. Here are their regular season and playoff averages and their average deviations (from their averages) in each interval. Wemby USG% ORtg DRtg GmSc BP...

Thunder 3 - 2 Spurs avg score 113.8 - 112.0 Pyth wins 2.76 - 2.24 , eWins 2.63 - 2.37 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e500 .97 Vi. Wembanyama SA 39 .608 27.1 11.2 3.1 1.2 2.9 2.8 2.51 .72 Shai G-A OKC 39 .530 23.2 2.8 8.4 2.0 3.5 .9 1.85 .56 Alex Caruso OKC 25 .780 29.6 3.4 3.6 ...

In order of vote-points received -- conveniently, these are the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd teams -- along with their Ranks in 5 stats: vote allNBA tm PER WS ws48 BPM vorp avg 500 Shai OKC 2 1 1 2 2 1.6 500 Jokic Den 1 2 2 1 1 1.4 498 Wemby SAS 3 6 4 3 4 4 482 Doncic LAL 4 8 9 4 3 6 414 Cade Det 15 22 17 6 8 ...

Knicks 4 - 0 Cavs avg score 118.8 - 99.5 Pyth wins 3.65 - .35 , eWins 2.83 - 1.17 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e493 .57 Jalen Brunson NY 40 .554 25.4 3.2 6.7 .9 2.6 .0 1.75 .55 Karl-A Towns NY 35 .643 19.2 13.7 4.0 1.5 2.7 1.1 1.96 .45 Josh Hart NY 31 .548 18.6 10.0 6.2 2.6 3...

Opponent adjusted could be an additional step. I've experimented with that, and in this rendition "wins" still add up to # of games played. The BPM component gives a bonus for opponent strength, while PER punishes team defense (relative to offense) and WS over-rewards winning margin. All ...

A wee bit late: Leaders thru 2 rounds. xyzW xyz/G player tm min PER WS/48 BPM e484 pWin WS bWin eWin 1.82 .182 Karl-A Towns NYK 285 30.4 .393 14.4 3.03 1.63 2.24 1.72 1.80 1.80 .129 Evan Mobley Cle 494 20.7 .189 6.6 1.79 1.66 1.86 1.80 1.85 1.64 .117 Cade Cunningham Det 572 18.2 .098 3.4 1.71 1.58 1...

Spurs 2 - 2 Thunder avg score 111.5 - 110.5 Pyth wins 2.12 - 1.88 , eWins 2.06 - 1.94 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e505 .91 Vi. Wembanyama SA 39 .637 30.7 12.8 3.8 1.2 3.2 2.8 2.95 .58 Shai G-A OKC 39 .516 22.5 3.0 8.5 1.9 2.9 .9 1.87 .35 Alex Caruso OKC 24 .778 26.0 3.6 2.6 ...

Knicks 3 - 0 Cavs avg score 115.0 - 101.7 Pyth wins 2.51 - .49, eWins 2.01 - .99 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e497 .53 Jalen Brunson NY 43 .565 27.6 3.6 6.8 1.1 3.2 .0 2.04 .38 Josh Hart NY 33 .554 20.7 8.6 5.5 2.5 3.0 .0 1.91 .36 Karl-A Towns NY 37 .579 15.4 12.8 3.9 1.3 2.6...

Thunder 2 - 1 Spurs avg score 120.0 - 114.3 Pyth wins 1.97 - 1.03 , eWins 1.73 - 1.27 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e513 .60 Vi. Wembanyama SA 42 .642 25.4 13.8 3.1 .8 2.7 2.6 2.47 .45 Shai G-A OKC 42 .516 21.1 2.8 8.7 1.8 2.2 1.2 1.84 .37 Alex Caruso OKC 27 .797 31.5 3.7 2.7 ...

After 2 games against the Spurs, OKC centers have been much less productive than in previous series. According to b-r.com, the fraction of their minutes at C: Hartenstein 1.00 Holmgren .45 Jaylin W .69 https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/OKC/2026.html#all_pbp_stats Applying these factors to t...

Knicks 2 - 0 Cavs avg score 112.0 - 98.5 Pyth wins 1.69 - .31 , eWins 1.35 - .65 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e505 .41 Jalen Brunson NY 44 .548 27.3 3.7 7.9 1.3 2.9 .0 2.40 .31 Josh Hart NY 32 .574 25.5 6.9 5.9 1.8 2.0 .0 2.42 .28 Donovan Mitchell Cle 40 .598 25.2 4.5 1.7 2.6...

Of OKC's top 9 players, Holmgren ranks 8th or 9th in all 4 stats. And eWins actually gives the least total credit to these 5: . who tm min PER WS/48 BPM e530 pW WS bW eW Wemby SAS 86 33.1 .332 13.2 3.00 .50 .52 .44 .49 Shai OKC 90 20.7 .128 5.8 1.72 .27 .21 .28 .29 Caruso OKC 58 33.6 .348 19.7 2.25 ...

Thunder 1 - 1 Spurs avg score 118.5 - 117.5 Pyth wins 1.06 - .94 , eWins 1.03 - .97 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e530 .49 Vi. Wembanyama SA 43 .639 27.8 19.6 3.5 .8 3.1 3.0 3.00 .29 Shai G-A OKC 45 .495 21.5 2.7 7.5 2.5 2.2 1.2 1.72 .24 Alex Caruso OKC 29 .814 33.8 2.9 3.2 1....