Search found 4424 matches

by Mike G
Sat Jul 13, 2019 3:58 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Early 2019-2020 season commentary
Replies: 65
Views: 17734

Re: Early 2019-2020 season commentary

I ranked all '90s draftees among their classmates by averaging their career rankings in Minutes, Win Shares, and total production (Pts+Reb+Ast+Stl+Blk) For example, #24 pick of 1992, Latrell Sprewell, would end up #1 in his class in career RS minutes; #2 in total production; #4 in Win Shares; rank a...
by Mike G
Sat Jul 13, 2019 1:06 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Early 2019-2020 season commentary
Replies: 65
Views: 17734

Re: Early 2019-2020 season commentary

Among 2018 rookies with at least 2500 minutes in 2 years, Jason Tatum is 7th in BPM (of 20) -- after Ben Simmons, Adebayo, Jarrett Allen, John Collins, Ball, and Mitchell. http://bkref.com/tiny/rd4ph BPM of only 0.1 does seem meager for a guy getting 30+ mpg with a contender. His 2-yr RPM is about 2...
by Mike G
Mon Jul 08, 2019 5:03 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Early 2019-2020 season commentary
Replies: 65
Views: 17734

Re: Early 2019-2020 season commentary

Sorry I don't see trades or who signed where.
I can look up each team at b-r.com under Transactions; where it's current thru June 30.
"Current season transactions are updated regularly, but not daily."
by Mike G
Mon Jul 08, 2019 12:09 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Early 2019-2020 season commentary
Replies: 65
Views: 17734

Re: Early 2019-2020 season commentary

Is there anywhere one list of offseason player movements from team to team, by trade or free agency or whatever? I'm curious if the East or West conference are getting/losing talent. Also, why are AD and DMC again on the same team? The 2 highest Usage centers with one ball? Doesn't LeBron still just...
by Mike G
Sun Jul 07, 2019 7:14 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: ULTIMATE GOAT LIST (Neutralized Stats) updated through 2019 postseason
Replies: 3
Views: 275

Re: ULTIMATE GOAT LIST (Neutralized Stats) updated through 2019 postseason

It looks like your ranking number is based on shortfall from the leaders in the other 2: Value Shares: LeBron 340.24 VS/36: Jordan .257 Ranking is by All Time Score, in which ATS = (340.24-VS)*0.01 + (.257-VS/G)*10 ... or something like that? This results in smaller-is-better ranking; and not much i...
by Mike G
Sun Jul 07, 2019 6:50 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: ULTIMATE GOAT LIST (Neutralized Stats) updated through 2019 postseason
Replies: 3
Views: 275

Re: ULTIMATE GOAT LIST (Neutralized Stats) updated through 2019 postseason

Hey, nice to see this again. I've taken a couple years off. Do you give extra weight to playoff Value Shares? Any extra for Finals performance / winning? And your per game metric is actually per minute X 36, yes? After LeBron and Jordan, the rest of the top 10 are all bigs -- Karl Malone the least c...
by Mike G
Wed Jul 03, 2019 9:58 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 playoffs
Replies: 63
Views: 23567

Re: 2019 playoffs

Both GSW and Tor being high in 3PAr, there are fewer shots inside the arc. Each team had at least one of the best mid range shooters in the league: Durant and Leonard. Both teams were top 5 in FT% at over .800, both below avg in FTA/G Given they were 1st and 3rd in eFG%, you can't fault their shot s...
by Mike G
Sun Jun 30, 2019 12:23 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus
Replies: 99
Views: 41272

Re: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus

I don't think when they occur in combination they are worth more than if Lebron James goes coast to coast. Does "coast to coast" imply he got the defensive rebound and subsequently scored an unassisted FG? If so, then it's probably equal to getting an offensive rebound and scoring. But if it's " we...
by Mike G
Sat Jun 29, 2019 2:06 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Trivia
Replies: 228
Views: 285184

Re: Trivia

How good was Kawhi Leonard's 2019 postseason? Using an amalgam of Win Shares and VORP, take the avg of WS and VORP*2 In the 3-point era -- 40 years now -- the top 20 chronologically: xy playoff yr Tm Min VORP WS 5.34 Bird 1984 BOS 961 2.98 4.72 4.71 Jordan 1989 CHI 718 2.69 4.04 4.77 Jordan 1990 CHI...
by Mike G
Tue Jun 25, 2019 3:08 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus
Replies: 99
Views: 41272

Re: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus

Supposing 5 players all go the same 40 or 48 minutes and get varying number of offensive rebounds; and we credit them with the suggested values of .18 when they get the OReb, .04 when a teammate gets it -- they add up like this: pos: C PF SF SG PG Tot OReb: 4 3 2 1 0 10 @0.18 0.72 0.54 0.36 0.18 0.0...
by Mike G
Tue Jun 25, 2019 12:43 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus
Replies: 99
Views: 41272

Re: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus

When your team has missed a shot, you no longer have possession. If you retrieve the O-Reb, you have regained possession. If you then score, you should get credit for both. It's almost like a steal and score, when you neutralize the opponent's possession and also get the points. This is clearly more...
by Mike G
Tue Jun 18, 2019 11:58 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 Finals: Warriors - Raptors
Replies: 30
Views: 4403

Re: 2019 Finals: Warriors - Raptors

BPM adjusts to the level of competition... Warriors therefore look like a below avg team -- and they were below avg for the series -- except in BPM which shows them at +1.3, equivalent to a 44-38 RS team. Raptors played like a 51-31 team. Actually, if player BPM for the GSW averaged 1.3, then the t...
by Mike G
Tue Jun 18, 2019 12:33 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: NCAA->NBA ML using raw text of historical scouting reports: done!
Replies: 20
Views: 2761

Re: NCAA->NBA ML using raw text of historical scouting reports: done!

Maybe the importance of the questions lies in whether you can get this "historical" data and conclusions in a timely manner to those who can make use of it?
If the data is still coming out, your system has to be pretty responsive.
by Mike G
Mon Jun 17, 2019 4:19 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 Free Agency Guide
Replies: 6
Views: 1086

Re: 2019 Free Agency Guide

This is great for those of us who are NBA general managers.
by Mike G
Mon Jun 17, 2019 12:10 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 playoffs
Replies: 63
Views: 23567

Re: 2019 playoffs

Interesting. Looking at decades in NBA history, just the top 100 in playoff minutes for these intervals, maybe half of whom were in the Finals. years minutes med age youngest // oldest 5060s 459- 869 27.7 22: West, Barry // 35: Sam Jones '70s 598- 904 27.2 21: Adams, McGinness // 36: Wilt '80s 570-1...