APBRmetrics

If no objections, I submit a "subjective" prediction slate. It's just eWins rounded up/down plus a few beyond just rounding. Biggest difference is Denver, where their projected 5 thru 8 players -- Cam Johnson, Hardaway, Bruce Brown, and Valanciunas -- are all incoming and likely to out-per...

Thanks man. I came here to ask if anyone could get this, and end up doing the whole shebang. Four entries again: tm perW WS bpmW eWin Atl 43.8 42.2 43.5 43.1 Bos 38.7 47.7 41.8 37.4 Brk 27.1 33.4 28.1 26.8 Cha 31.0 27.5 31.0 32.0 Chi 33.6 38.2 34.8 32.0 Cle 49.7 54.0 52.7 49.6 Dal 53.7 43.6 45.0 50....

Distilling last season's Improved spreadsheet (from 2024 to '25) by players' age, there are interesting trends. To smooth out the results, I've averaged 3 years centered on a single age cohort: The 20-21 line is an avg of 19-20, 20-21, and 21-22. Showing total minutes (in thousands), eWins per 484 m...

Every year I neglect or forget to put an age correction in my predictions. We all know that younger players tend to be better this year than they were last year, while older guys are likely to have declined. Right? I gathered up 10 years of my own non-age-curved team win predictions and how they var...

PER and WS/48 standardized to 15.0 and .100 respectively, then adjusted upward for strength of competition; converted to "wins" (vs avg comp.) and averaged (pW+WS+eW)/3 xyzW Phx pW WS eW xyzW LVA pW WS eW .37 Kahleah Copper .42 .34 .34 .95 A'ja Wilson .90 1.08 .86 .31 Alyssa Thomas .38 .14...

A list of NBA MVP's in the VORP era. MVP's in the middle, flanked by their WS rank (L) and (R) their VORP rank that year. Outside (L) are Best-Of-the-Rest in WS and (R) in VORP. These show either the gap between the MVP and everyone else, or the actual leader, marked by an * . Double ** represents a...

A couple of entries by Kevin Pelton: his own plus ESPN BET over/under total . west KPel EBET east KPel EBET OKC 59.2 62.5 Cle 50.1 56.5 GSW 56.1 46.5 Orl 49.9 51.5 Den 52.2 53.5 NYK 47.2 53.5 LAC 49.7 47.5 Ind 45.9 38.5 Hou 46.9 53.5 Bos 45.6 40.5 LAL 45.8 48.5 Mil 44.5 42.5 Mem 44.6 40.5 Atl 44.3 4...

LVA 4 - 0 Phx avg score 91.8 - 84.5 Pyth wins 2.85 - 1.15 , eWins 2.42 - 1.58 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400 .86 A'ja Wilson LV 36 .559 30.9 11.9 4.3 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.38 .56 Jackie Young LV 35 .529 23.4 5.3 6.8 1.6 1.9 .0 1.62 .47 Chelsea Gray LV 37 .490 12.1 5.2 7.7 2.2 1.2 ...

LVA 3 - 0 Phx avg score 90.0 - 84.0 Pyth wins 2.04 - .96 , eWins 1.77 - 1.23 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400 .63 A'ja Wilson LV 36 .580 30.9 12.8 4.1 .7 2.0 1.7 2.32 .40 Jackie Young LV 34 .538 24.8 4.6 5.7 1.7 1.8 .0 1.56 .33 Chelsea Gray LV 36 .468 10.1 5.7 8.4 2.3 1.7 2....

LVA 2 - 0 Phx avg score 90.0 - 82.0 Pyth wins 1.45 - .55 , eWins 1.23 - .77 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400 .39 A'ja Wilson LV 35 .538 27.3 13.0 4.1 1.0 1.6 1.0 2.24 .26 Chelsea Gray LV 35 .486 10.0 8.1 10.3 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.49 .24 Jackie Young LV 33 .560 25.8 5.8 3.8 1.6 2.8 ...

LVA 89 - 86 Phx Pyth wins .59 - .41, eWins .56 - .44 eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400 .16 A'ja Wilson LV 38 .512 19.5 9.5 4.6 1.0 .0 1.9 1.70 .16 Dana Evans LV 25 .808 37.1 2.7 3.9 5.6 .0 .0 2.54 .11 Alyssa Thomas Phx 38 .625 16.2 9.8 8.0 .0 4.8 1.0 1.18 .11 Kahleah Copper P...

Finals Preview competition-adjusted rates . Phx min PER+ WS/40+ e400+ . LVA min PER+ WS40+ e400+ Thomas 257 25.5 .220 2.54 Wilson 287 29.2 .217 2.79 Copper 238 12.7 .096 .91 Young 280 24.5 .249 1.92 Sabally 237 21.2 .224 1.90 Gray 278 16.8 .133 1.23 Whitcomb 175 13.3 .093 1.03 Loyd 226 9.2 .073 .32 ...

Leaders thru 2 rounds: xyzW round 1+2 tm min PER+ ws40+ e400+ pW+ WS+ eW+ 1.72 A'ja Wilson LVA 287 29.2 .217 2.79 1.62 1.56 2.00 1.46 Jackie Young LVA 280 24.5 .249 1.92 1.29 1.74 1.35 1.43 Alyssa Thomas Phx 257 25.5 .220 2.54 1.24 1.41 1.63 1.17 Kelsey Mitchell Ind 261 22.5 .197 1.72 1.09 1.29 1.12...

LVA 3 - 2 Ind avg score 87.4 - 83.4 Pyth wins 3.11 - 1.89 , eWins 2.80 - 2.20 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e410 1.05 A'ja Wilson LV 36 .484 25.2 9.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 3.2 2.38 .78 Jackie Young LV 37 .660 25.9 5.3 5.7 .4 2.8 .0 1.74 .56 Aliyah Boston Ind 32 .453 13.4 14.5 4.3 .7 3.0...

Phx 3 - 1 Min avg score 82.0 - 80.5 Pyth wins 2.19 - 1.81 , eWins 2.10 - 1.90 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e413 .81 Alyssa Thomas Phx 38 .529 24.8 8.2 9.2 2.4 3.8 .5 2.18 .59 Co. Williams Min 35 .497 23.3 6.1 6.0 3.1 2.9 .0 1.73 .46 Kayla McBride Min 39 .586 21.7 3.5 2.6 .9 ....