APBRmetrics

Alternative improved list, based on other stats, this season vs career rates. *eWins are this year / last year only -- I don't maintain career rates. wins+ 2026: PER WS/48 BPM *e484 yrs PER WS/48 BPM *e484 3.05 Shai 31.6 .338 11.8 3.20 7 24.0 .200 6.0 2.88 2.45 Jokić 36.7 .387 16.8 3.67 10 28.8 .264...

Allstar game reserves to be announced tomorrow. OK, well first, here is a goofy ranking of players, West and East, based on their ranks in PER, WS, WS/48, BPM, and VORP. It's just the average of those 5 rankings. avg ranks: PER WS w48 BPM vorp avg ranks: PER WS w48 BPM vorp 1.4 Jokić 1 2 1 1 2 7.8 G...

Season 59% complete. eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 2.36 Jamal Murray Den .614 25.2 4.6 6.4 1.94 .577 19.3 4.0 4.8 1.21 2.19 Michael Porter Brk .610 26.1 8.7 3.1 1.95 Den .610 18.3 7.8 1.8 1.11 2.10 Tyrese Maxey Phl .591 25.3 3.9 5.4 1.97 .554 21.1 3.3 4.8 1.39 2.00 J...

Season at 59%, rookies total 69 projected eWins. With 220+ minutes: e82 per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484 7.3 Kon Knueppel Cha 1531 .637 21.0 6.8 3.5 .9 2.5 .2 1.38 7.1 Cooper Flagg Dal 1493 .550 18.5 6.8 3.6 1.4 2.4 .8 1.34 5.3 Derik Queen NOP 1273 .539 13.9 10.4 4.7 1.4 3.6 1.3 1...

Season at 59% eW/82 per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484 17.4 Shai G-A OKC 1571 .658 38.9 4.7 6.0 1.4 2.3 .9 3.20 14.3 Nikola Jokić Den 1130 .701 33.4 13.3 9.6 1.5 3.7 .8 3.67 13.6 Luka Dončić LAL 1410 .602 30.5 8.5 7.4 1.6 4.4 .5 2.68 12.5 Tyrese Maxey Phl 1761 .591 25.3 3.9 5.4 1.8 ...

Everyone takes a beating from yesterday's season-best averages, by an avg of .17 -- none more than bpmW, by .27 . avg err rmse r^2 avg err rmse r^2 knar 6.38 7.72 .51 EExp 6.73 8.11 .47 DRKO 6.43 7.67 .52 dtka 6.82 8.22 .46 Walr 6.44 8.00 .48 eWin 6.99 8.66 .41 bmgm 6.47 7.81 .55 25pr 7.06 9.20 .35 ...

Crow wrote: ↑Wed Jan 28, 2026 12:11 am These are career to date impact estimates or to a certain year or peak?

Rookie season averages in these stats, by draft pick, 2013-2025

Based on previous 13 seasons of rookies, these are the averages -- heavily "smoothed" -- for draft picks, that I assigned for 4 stats I entered. pk PER WS/48 BPM e484 1 17.8 .141 1.8 1.34 2 17.7 .139 1.7 1.32 3 17.0 .131 1.1 1.20 4 16.1 .123 0.6 1.08 5 15.1 .111 0.1 .98 6 14.4 .102 -0.3 .9...

Yes.^^ I messed around with age adjustment and decided (again) not to bother. Also "yes" for WShr, perW, and eWin. Today's top-to-bottom spread is smallest yet! Down from 2.47 on Jan 9, to 1.91 now. The whole field has improved since then, by an avg of .60 in MAE: 1.04 KPel .89 DQin .88 Cr...

. avg err rmse r^2 avg err rmse r^2 bpmW 6.22 7.71 .52 Ebet 6.82 7.94 .54 knar 6.34 7.67 .51 dtka 6.84 8.15 .46 Walr 6.40 7.86 .50 25pr 6.88 8.99 .37 avgA 6.41 7.97 .49 Crow 6.90 8.68 .44 DRKO 6.42 7.59 .52 eWin 6.95 8.51 .42 WShr 6.48 8.48 .43 medi 7.37 8.94 .45 Mgoo 6.50 8.21 .46 perW 7.38 9.15 ....

Another season best for Crow and the 4th consecutive days of best for knar and 25pr . . avg err rmse r^2 .avg err rmse r^2 bpmW 6.16 7.78 .52 25pr 6.90 8.96 .38 DRKO 6.21 7.65 .53 EExp 6.96 8.19 .47 knar 6.26 7.67 .53 dtka 6.98 8.29 .46 Walr 6.47 7.98 .49 eWin 7.00 8.56 .43 avgA 6.51 8.06 .49 Crow 7...

Top 10 Career PER, WS/48, and BPM thru a given age. Regular season only. PER 25 WS/48 25 BPM 25 29.6 Jordan .293 Kareem 10.7 Jordan 29.4 Wilt .262 Jordan 9.2 * Erving 27.4 Davis .257 Wilt 9.0 LeBron 27.4 Kareem .253 Robinson 8.0 Jokic 26.9 LeBron .247 Macauley 7.7 Robinson 26.9 Robinson .242 Johnsto...

Yesterday a Facebook post from Basketball-Reference.com noted that Joel Embiid has just passed their 15,000 career minutes threshold and now appears among their all-time leaders lists. He is 2nd in career PER! Of course being only 31 years old, his final career stats are likely to drop off, as in fa...

Smallest errors of the season for BPM, WS, knarsu, dtkavana, betmgm, and 25pyth-regr. . avg err rmse r^2 avg err rmse r^2 DRKO 6.06 7.65 .52 EExp 6.75 8.00 .48 bpmW 6.19 7.78 .51 dtka 6.91 8.18 .46 Walr 6.30 7.84 .50 eWin 6.96 8.54 .42 knar 6.35 7.66 .52 perW 7.09 9.25 .34 bmgm 6.45 7.77 .56 25pr 7....

When Chris Paul had played a few NBA games, he was compared to Oscar Robertson. The statistical similarity was first noted in this forum. In 20 seasons, he outlasted Oscar by several years. And according to b-r.com, these 2 are still the most similar to one another in NBA history, based on their ann...