APBRmetrics

103 rookies totaled 88.6 eWins. West 48 - 41 East. Those with 250+ minutes: eWin per36 rates tm G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484 7.5 Kon Knueppel Cha 81 31 .626 21.6 6.8 3.4 .9 2.3 .3 1.42 6.7 Cooper Flagg Dal 70 33 .540 18.8 7.0 3.8 1.3 2.5 1.0 1.38 5.0 VJ Edgecombe Phl 75 35 .535 14.0 5.9 3....

The b-r.com projections I posted on Nov. 22, 15-17 games in, would avg 4.98 error from final wins.
Cha, Bos, SAS, LAC all ended up 10-12 wins better than that projection, Chi and Mia 10-11 worse.

Nov. 12 projections would be off by 5.86 MAE -- Chi too high by 16 -- after 10-12 games.

final tallies eWin per36 rates tm G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484 14.7 Nikola Jokić Den 65 35 .656 29.2 13.9 9.2 1.5 3.9 .9 3.15 14.2 Shai G-A OKC 68 33 .650 38.2 4.5 6.3 1.5 2.4 .8 3.03 12.6 Luka Dončić LAL 64 36 .602 31.6 8.3 6.9 1.7 4.1 .5 2.66 12.1 Vi. Wembanyama SAS 64 29 .613 31.4 14.3 ...

Final. . avg err rmse r^2 avg err rmse r^2 bmgm 7.39 9.41 .53 dtka 8.70 10.47 .41 Ebet 7.40 9.58 .51 knar 8.74 10.15 .45 EExp 8.16 10.07 .45 perW 8.76 11.09 .34 bpmW 8.23 10.24 .43 WShr 8.98 11.35 .31 DRKO 8.48 9.75 .49 eWin 9.07 10.84 .37 medi 8.58 11.13 .37 Crow 9.13 10.92 .38 Mgoo 8.60 10.50 .41 ...

Ebet had 3 days on top. . avg err rmse r^2 avg err rmse r^2 bmgm 7.22 9.25 .54 knar 8.53 9.92 .47 Ebet 7.24 9.42 .52 medi 8.60 10.99 .38 bpmW 7.94 10.06 .45 perW 8.63 10.97 .35 EExp 7.97 9.93 .46 WShr 8.74 11.18 .33 DRKO 8.23 9.57 .50 eWin 8.86 10.69 .38 Walr 8.31 10.05 .45 Crow 8.87 10.71 .39 avgA ...

Players ranked by their rankings in some 'advanced' stats, by best worst ranking. ranks: VORP BPM WS/48 WS PER AS Jokic 1 1 2 2 1 * Shai 2 2 1 1 2 * Wemby 4 3 4 5 3 * Doncic 3 4 9 6 5 * Kawhi 5 5 5 10 4 * J Murray 10 16 17 8 12 * Duren 18 9 3 3 6 * Durant 8 13 15 4 19 * Spida 11 8 20 18 8 * Cade 7 6...

All but the top and bottom with worst errors, per usual. . avg err rmse r^2 avg err rmse r^2 bmgm 7.21 9.12 .53 WShr 8.41 10.93 .32 Ebet 7.22 9.29 .51 medi 8.42 10.79 .38 EExp 7.75 9.69 .46 perW 8.46 10.82 .33 bpmW 7.80 9.86 .44 eWin 8.61 10.50 .37 DRKO 8.18 9.49 .48 Mgoo 8.20 10.18 .41 Crow 8.84 10...

LeBron and Bronny, in their 43rd game together, just connected on their first assist, dad to son. In 61 NBA appearances, Bronny has played 423 minutes. His Usage% is 17.7 LeBron avg's 8.0 assists/36 these last 2 seasons, or 1 every 4.5 minutes. Subtract LeBron's 28.7 Usg% from 100, and Bronny takes ...

Clipps at Pacers final 60 seconds play-by-play, with * * annotations. time Clippers - Pacers score 60.0 O. Toppin makes 2-pt dunk at rim 108-113 49.9 K. Leonard makes 2-pt jump shot from 7 ft 110-113 33.7 A. Nesmith misses 3-pt jump shot from 30 ft 31.3 Defensive rebound by Team 31.3 Loose ball foul...

From Feb. 28: Both Ebet and bmgm correctly called the dropout situation for Brk, Chi, Dal, Mem, Sac, and Uta; incorrect on Cha and Phx. They went high on Det, NYK, Phl, Tor, Hou, Min; but also Atl, Cle, and (unresolved) Den.... Since then, Atl is 10-1, Cle 8-4, Den 9-5; Phx 6-7 AvgA has gone from .5...

Nuggets with and without Gordon in 5 1/2 years: yr W L with W L w/out 21 19 6 .760 28 19 .596 22 46 29 .613 2 5 .286 23 45 23 .662 8 6 .571 24 49 24 .671 8 1 .889 25 33 18 .647 17 14 .548 26 22 9 .710 24 19 .558 tot 214 109 .663 87 64 .576 Difference of .087 Win% = 7 W/82 G

Aaron Gordon seems to be the difference-maker for the Nuggets' defense. When he's off-court, team D-Rating is 118.9, and only 4 teams are worse than that. With AG on court it's 114.0, which would be top 12 in the league. His net defensive on-off is 4.9, twice that of any other Denver player. Also 6....

In the last 6 days, profound separation between the top 2 and most of the rest. diff date: 3/21 3/27 -.05 bmgm 7.19 7.14 -.03 Ebet 7.27 7.24 .26 bpmW 7.37 7.64 .11 EExp 7.53 7.63 .27 Walr 7.70 7.97 .20 avgA 7.73 7.93 .16 Mgoo 7.74 7.90 .27 knar 7.76 8.03 .24 DRKO 7.79 8.03 .15 dtka 7.89 8.04 .13 WSh...

Looking like it could be a race, though perhaps not for good reasons. Final column is need to play games needed to reach the stupid65games rule. prob mvp? tm W% PER WS WS/48 BPM VORP ntp .533 Jokic Den .606 32.8 12.7 .318 14.4 7.9 *10 .351 Shai OKC .786 31.4 13.5 .333 12.1 6.9 7 .051 Luka LAL .643 2...

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