Home for all your discussion of basketball statistical analysis.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Fri Apr 29, 2016 10:51 am
Code: Select all
. Hawks min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Paul Millsap 218 17.7 .166 4.5 1.56 .75 .35 .71
Kyle Korver 203 14.6 .193 4.8 .95 .82 .35 .40
Al Horford 196 19.4 .204 7.1 1.73 .83 .45 .71
Kent Bazemore 193 14.6 .126 1.1 1.29 .51 .15 .52
Jeff Teague 176 15.4 .112 -1.5 1.49 .41 .02 .55
Mike Scott 118 15.8 .189 1.0 1.01 .46 .09 .25
Thabo Sefolosha 112 10.0 .090 1.8 .58 .21 .11 .14
Dennis Schroder 111 11.1 .030 -3.8 .91 .07 -.05 .21
Tim Hardaway 59 6.7 .043 -4.4 .18 .05 -.04 .02
Mike Muscala 45 10.1 .072 -2.8 .57 .07 -.01 .05
Kirk Hinrich 15 8.8 .099 -5.0 .38 .03 -.01 .01
Lamar Patterson 10 -1.3 -.292 -12.7 .57 -.06 -.03 .01
Kris Humphries 9 30.2 .303 12.2 3.27 .06 .03 .06
. totals 1465 14.8 .138 1.9 1.19 4.21 1.41 3.64
. Celtics min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Isaiah Thomas 220 18.2 .124 2.7 1.54 .57 .26 .71
Evan Turner 214 10.3 .006 -1.1 .69 .03 .05 .31
Jae Crowder 197 7.1 -.004 -1.7 .46 -.02 .01 .19
Marcus Smart 193 12.6 .083 2.2 .67 .33 .20 .27
Jonas Jerebko 162 13.7 .136 1.4 .87 .46 .14 .29
Amir Johnson 134 17.1 .157 .7 1.24 .44 .09 .35
Terry Rozier 99 9.9 .091 -.9 .26 .19 .03 .05
Jared Sullinger 81 6.0 -.076 -6.3 .65 -.13 -.09 .11
R.J. Hunter 41 2.1 -.034 -5.8 -.35 -.03 -.04 -.03
Tyler Zeller 38 19.4 .133 -1.8 1.37 .11 .00 .11
Avery Bradley 33 16.7 .114 -.2 .95 .08 .01 .07
Kelly Olynyk 32 -8.2 -.283 -12.1 -1.00 -.19 -.08 -.07
Jordan Mickey 10 24.8 .232 6.4 1.72 .05 .02 .04
James Young 10 -6.4 -.209 -14 -1.32 -.04 -.03 -.03
. totals 1464 11.8 .060 -.4 .77 1.84 .58 2.36
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Sat Apr 30, 2016 9:21 pm
Code: Select all
. Blazers min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
C.J. McCollum 230 15.2 .115 .0 .98 .55 .12 .47
Damian Lillard 229 16.9 .100 1.3 1.37 .48 .19 .66
Al-Farouq Aminu 192 13.4 .077 1.3 1.01 .31 .16 .41
Mason Plumlee 177 21.1 .220 6.8 1.84 .81 .39 .68
Maur. Harkless 172 14.6 .116 .1 .87 .42 .09 .31
Allen Crabbe 148 8.6 .074 -1.1 .01 .23 .03 .00
Ger. Henderson 130 9.9 .044 -2.9 .52 .12 -.03 .14
Ed Davis 102 12.3 .109 -.4 .70 .23 .04 .15
Chris Kaman 32 -.9 -.227 -13.0 -.04 -.15 -.09 .00
Noah Vonleh 10 10.8 -.004 4.8 1.32 .00 .02 .03
Luis Montero 6 44.2 .249 16.2 4.32 .03 .03 .05
Pat Connaughton 6 31.3 .250 2.6 2.02 .03 .01 .03
Brian Roberts 6 -9.7 -.162 -9.8 -1.38 -.02 -.01 -.02
. totals 1440 14.2 .101 .6 .97 3.03 .94 2.90
. Clippers min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Jamal Crawford 199 13.9 .016 -3.0 .86 .07 -.05 .35
DeAndre Jordan 198 24.5 .234 6.8 2.03 .97 .44 .84
J.J. Redick 166 11.6 .026 -3.4 .49 .09 -.06 .17
Jeff Green 159 13.6 .105 .0 .55 .35 .08 .18
Austin Rivers 144 12.9 .037 -1.6 .77 .11 .01 .23
Blake Griffin 127 17.1 .077 .1 1.49 .20 .07 .39
Chris Paul 125 34.1 .333 14.2 3.15 .87 .51 .82
Luc Mbah a Moute 78 5.9 .067 -.5 -.39 .11 .03 -.06
Cole Aldrich 77 21.8 .254 6.4 1.45 .41 .16 .23
Wesley Johnson 77 11.1 .098 .9 .27 .16 .06 .04
Paul Pierce 54 -3.2 -.149 -8.0 -.74 -.17 -.08 -.08
Pablo Prigioni 26 -6.2 -.229 -12.2 -.58 -.12 -.07 -.03
C.J. Wilcox 7 -1.3 -.075 -7.9 -.33 -.01 -.01 .00
. totals 1437 15.8 .101 1.0 1.03 3.02 1.08 3.08
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Mon May 02, 2016 12:23 pm
Code: Select all
. Heat min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Luol Deng 237 23.2 .277 7.8 1.89 1.37 .58 .94
Joe Johnson 236 11.2 .109 2.2 .61 .54 .25 .30
Dwyane Wade 218 22.1 .160 4.5 2.07 .73 .35 .94
Goran Dragic 209 15.4 .121 1.9 1.39 .53 .20 .61
Ha. Whiteside 204 26.2 .310 6.0 2.37 1.32 .41 1.01
Josh Richardson 202 8.2 .086 2.4 .30 .36 .22 .12
Justise Winslow 166 11.3 .128 1.8 .55 .44 .16 .19
Gerald Green 52 4.5 -.070 -13.9 .42 -.08 -.15 .05
Amare Stoudemire 51 15.0 .178 -.3 .87 .19 .02 .09
Josh McRoberts 48 6.8 .053 1.3 .43 .05 .04 .04
Udonis Haslem 27 4.3 .031 -4.1 .26 .02 -.01 .01
Dorell Wright 16 38.7 .555 14.3 3.60 .19 .07 .12
Briante Weber 6 5.4 .041 -2.3 .17 .01 .00 .00
Tyler Johnson 6 40.5 .554 19.0 3.76 .07 .03 .05
. totals 1678 16.3 .164 3.2 1.28 5.72 2.16 4.47
. Hornets min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Kemba Walker 260 18.8 .021 .3 1.41 .11 .15 .76
Courtney Lee 257 8.7 .041 -1.1 .05 .22 .06 .03
Marvin Williams 228 6.1 -.028 -3.6 .17 -.13 -.09 .08
Frank Kaminsky 190 10.5 .045 -1.0 .49 .18 .05 .20
Jeremy Lin 189 14.9 .071 -1.4 .76 .28 .03 .30
Al Jefferson 168 22.3 .111 .3 1.62 .39 .10 .57
Nicolas Batum 144 12.5 .031 -2.2 .58 .09 -.01 .17
Cody Zeller 137 17.1 .142 -3.5 1.06 .41 -.05 .30
Spencer Hawes 53 15.3 .083 -1.2 .94 .09 .01 .10
Troy Daniels 18 -11.6 -.404 -21.5 -.65 -.15 -.09 -.02
Jeremy Lamb 12 40.3 .263 12.9 3.08 .07 .04 .08
Jorge Gutierrez 12 -6.9 -.366 -15.9 -.37 -.09 -.04 -.01
Aaron Harrison 7 -.6 .008 -8.0 -.71 .00 -.01 -.01
Ty. Hansbrough 6 .0 -.021 -5.4 -1.04 .00 -.01 -.01
. totals 1681 13.2 .042 -1.7 .72 1.46 .14 2.53
Code: Select all
. Raptors min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Kyle Lowry 270 11.8 .034 .8 .93 .19 .19 .52
DeMar DeRozan 253 9.2 -.039 -4.8 .78 -.21 -.18 .41
DeMarre Carroll 199 10.6 .079 1.7 .32 .33 .18 .13
Pa. Patterson 187 13.6 .118 2.4 .58 .46 .21 .23
Jo. Valanciunas 184 25.7 .223 1.8 2.33 .85 .17 .89
Cory Joseph 161 21.6 .213 5.8 1.43 .71 .31 .48
Bismack Biyombo 137 18.4 .169 -.6 1.42 .48 .05 .41
Norman Powell 126 13.8 .123 1.3 .63 .32 .10 .16
Terrence Ross 85 9.2 .050 -1.8 .52 .09 .00 .09
Luis Scola 55 -1.1 -.121 -7.3 -.16 -.14 -.07 -.02
Delon Wright 10 -9.4 -.350 -13.9 -.82 -.07 -.03 -.02
Jason Thompson 9 13.4 .046 -9.2 .66 .01 -.02 .01
James Johnson 3 46.4 .728 -2.0 3.28 .05 .00 .02
. totals 1679 14.0 .088 .2 .95 3.08 .93 3.32
. Pacers min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Paul George 275 28.1 .292 10.2 2.58 1.67 .84 1.48
George Hill 235 17.4 .191 4.7 1.00 .94 .39 .49
Monta Ellis 225 14.0 .073 1.8 1.05 .34 .21 .49
Solomon Hill 198 11.8 .167 2.6 .40 .69 .23 .16
Myles Turner 197 14.5 .049 -1.0 1.00 .20 .05 .41
Ian Mahinmi 172 11.8 .066 -.2 .73 .24 .08 .26
Rodney Stuckey 125 11.5 .047 -1.9 .75 .12 .00 .20
C.J. Miles 92 3.5 -.094 -8.1 .29 -.18 -.14 .06
Ty Lawson 74 5.2 -.048 -5.5 .11 -.07 -.06 .02
Lavoy Allen 51 7.3 .027 -3.1 .22 .03 -.01 .02
Jordan Hill 15 4.6 -.018 -3.7 .63 -.01 -.01 .02
Glenn Robinson 10 32.9 .286 3.8 1.96 .06 .01 .04
Joseph Young 10 10.4 -.117 -6.9 1.54 -.02 -.01 .03
. totals 1679 15.0 .114 1.8 1.05 4.00 1.58 3.68
Paul George had more eWins, Win Shares, and VORP than any 2 to 3 teammates or opponents.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Mon May 02, 2016 12:55 pm
First round teams, ranked by BPM.
Code: Select all
Win PER WS/48 BPM e480 Lose PER WS/48 BPM e480
OKC 19.2 .218 4.9 1.41 Dal 13.1 -.019 -2.3 .59
SAS 19.8 .247 4.8 1.46 Mem 11.2 -.044 -3.1 .54
GSW 17.4 .215 4.8 1.42 Hou 10.7 -.017 -3.4 .58
Mia 16.3 .164 3.2 1.28 Cha 13.2 .042 -1.7 .72
Cle 18.2 .161 2.9 1.24 Det 16.1 .045 .1 .74
Atl 14.8 .138 1.9 1.19 Bos 11.8 .060 -.4 .77
Tor 14.0 .088 .2 .95 Ind 15.0 .114 1.8 1.05
Por 14.2 .101 .6 .97 LAC 15.8 .101 1.0 1.03
Those would be avg player rates. Multiply by 5 then:
Code: Select all
Win WS/G BPM eW/G Lose WS/G BPM eW/G
OKC 1.09 24.3 .71 Dal -.10 -11.7 .29
SAS 1.24 24.1 .73 Mem -.22 -15.7 .27
GSW 1.07 23.8 .71 Hou -.09 -17.0 .29
Mia .82 15.8 .64 Cha .21 -8.3 .36
Cle .81 14.4 .62 Det .22 .3 .37
Atl .69 9.3 .60 Bos .30 -2.1 .39
Tor .44 1.1 .47 Ind .57 8.8 .53
Por .51 3.0 .48 LAC .50 5.1 .51
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Mon May 02, 2016 1:59 pm
Individual stars of the first round.
PER and BPM are multiplied by minutes/36/G to get these figures.
xyz is then the 4 stats multiplied together, and then sqrt'd. No units are implied.
Code: Select all
xyz per game tm min BPMG PERG WS/G eW/G
5.61 Russell Westbrook OKC 180 14.2 32.4 .272 .220
4.98 Kawhi Leonard SAS 126 13.0 31.0 .288 .184
4.57 Paul George Ind 275 11.1 30.7 .239 .211
4.35 Chris Paul LAC 125 12.3 29.6 .217 .205
2.93 Kyrie Irving Cle 151 5.3 29.0 .188 .184
2.61 LeBron James Cle 165 6.4 26.7 .141 .196
2.33 Luol Deng Mia 237 7.3 21.8 .195 .134
2.18 Klay Thompson GSW 170 6.0 21.0 .188 .143
2.10 DeAndre Jordan LAC 198 6.2 22.5 .161 .139
2.08 Hassan Whiteside Mia 204 4.9 21.2 .188 .144
xyz per game tm min BPMG PERG WS/G eW/G
1.79 Enes Kanter OKC 102 4.9 20.1 .190 .113
1.72 Serge Ibaka OKC 162 7.3 18.6 .190 .093
1.65 James Harden Hou 193 6.3 24.2 .091 .138
1.64 Draymond Green GSW 177 7.0 16.9 .162 .116
1.54 Al Horford Atl 196 6.4 17.6 .139 .118
1.41 Mason Plumlee Por 177 5.6 17.3 .135 .113
1.35 Paul Millsap Atl 218 4.5 17.9 .126 .118
1.32 Dwyane Wade Mia 218 3.9 19.1 .104 .134
1.27 Shaun Livingston GSW 135 4.1 15.9 .164 .100
1.08 Isaiah Thomas Bos 220 2.8 18.5 .095 .118
sideshowbob
Posts: 54 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 4:43 am
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by sideshowbob Wed May 04, 2016 2:59 pm
Warriors have turned into a defensive juggernaut with Curry out.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Mon May 09, 2016 12:25 pm
Round 2 rates are derived by subtracting 1st round minutes*rates, from their current/final min*rates.
Code: Select all
. Cavs min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
LeBron James 145 27.1 .247 11.4 2.50 .75 .48 .75
Kyrie Irving 140 22.9 .258 4.1 1.74 .75 .21 .51
J.R. Smith 138 13.4 .144 6.5 .49 .41 .29 .14
Kevin Love 131 19.3 .164 1.5 1.95 .45 .11 .53
Tr. Thompson 117 13.6 .091 1.3 .67 .22 .10 .16
Channing Frye 77 30.7 .316 9.6 2.05 .51 .22 .33
Iman Shumpert 69 18.3 .251 7.2 .81 .36 .16 .12
M Dellavedova 55 2.2 -.009 -8.1 .02 -.01 -.08 .00
Ri. Jefferson 48 21.5 .252 5.8 1.30 .25 .09 .13
Mo Williams 13 11.0 .080 -1.6 .10 .02 .00 .00
Timofey Mozgov 13 -4.8 -.067 -2.4 -1.03 -.02 .00 -.03
James Jones 8 -27.0 -.731 -32.2 -1.32 -.12 -.06 -.02
Dahntay Jones 7 37.7 .351 9.7 2.00 .05 .02 .03
. totals 961 18.7 .181 4.5 1.33 3.62 1.55 2.66
. Hawks min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Paul Millsap 147 17.7 .022 .8 1.04 .07 .10 .32
Kent Bazemore 132 8.4 -.066 -2.6 .16 -.18 -.02 .04
Al Horford 131 15.2 .012 .4 .70 .03 .08 .19
Kyle Korver 113 8.7 -.006 -3.0 -.07 -.01 -.03 -.02
Jeff Teague 103 14.9 .004 -5.3 .84 .01 -.08 .18
Th. Sefolosha 91 18.0 .132 2.9 .81 .25 .11 .15
De. Schroder 80 23.3 .075 3.4 1.51 .13 .11 .25
Kris Humphries 47 31.4 .326 9.3 2.12 .32 .13 .21
Mike Scott 43 13.9 .050 -.5 .46 .05 .02 .04
Tim Hardaway 28 -4.2 -.342 -16.2 -.82 -.20 -.10 -.05
Mike Muscala 22 21.7 .182 -.1 .72 .08 .01 .03
Kirk Hinrich 12 .7 -.104 -7.7 -.40 -.03 -.02 -.01
La. Patterson 10 6.9 -.076 -5.3 -.20 -.02 -.01 .00
. totals 959 14.8 .025 -.7 .67 .50 .30 1.34
In < 12 mpg, Kris Humphries led Atl in WS and vorp; 3rd in eWins.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Tue May 10, 2016 1:05 pm
Stars of the 2nd round, after 4 games by everyone.
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
.87 Dwyane Wade Mia 37 .562 30.8 6.9 3.5 1.2 3.2 .5 3.02
.81 Draymond Green GSW 41 .609 21.6 9.8 5.8 1.6 1.8 3.4 2.43
.75 LeBron James Cle 36 .564 26.2 9.4 8.2 3.0 4.6 .5 2.50
.71 Jonas Valanciunas Tor 25 .647 24.9 15.7 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.5 3.66
.69 LaMarcus Aldridge SAS 38 .641 30.6 7.3 1.0 .2 1.3 1.2 2.17
.66 Russell Westbrook OKC 36 .419 19.3 7.0 12.3 2.0 3.4 .2 2.22
.63 Damian Lillard Por 42 .548 25.3 3.3 5.6 1.3 2.2 .2 1.84
.59 Kawhi Leonard SAS 34 .565 26.5 8.6 3.8 1.9 3.0 .8 2.10
.55 Kevin Durant OKC 40 .610 27.2 6.2 3.8 .5 3.7 .4 1.66
.53 Kevin Love Cle 33 .494 19.5 15.9 3.0 .3 2.1 .5 1.95
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
.52 Klay Thompson GSW 39 .595 27.5 3.0 2.1 1.2 1.9 .2 1.63
.51 Kyrie Irving Cle 35 .612 24.6 1.7 6.7 1.3 2.0 .7 1.74
.39 Kyle Lowry Tor 41 .456 15.1 4.3 5.4 2.5 3.7 .0 1.24
.36 Hassan Whiteside Mia 22 .622 14.1 15.0 .5 2.1 1.8 1.7 2.15
.36 Tony Parker SAS 30 .562 16.4 4.4 8.9 .6 2.0 .3 1.43
.34 Goran Dragic Mia 37 .533 19.9 5.5 3.0 .0 3.8 .2 1.20
.33 Al-Farouq Aminu Por 36 .680 18.5 8.5 1.1 .3 2.3 1.3 1.15
.33 Channing Frye Cle 19 .821 30.8 6.2 1.3 .9 1.4 .8 2.05
.32 Paul Millsap Atl 37 .489 14.6 9.9 2.4 1.2 3.0 1.7 1.04
.30 Joe Johnson Mia 40 .411 11.0 5.3 2.8 1.1 .5 .5 .96
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Wed May 11, 2016 10:13 pm
Tim Duncan turned 40 between the 1st and 2nd round of this year's playoffs. Other of his numbers also changed:
Code: Select all
vs G mpg FGA FTA Pts Reb Ast Stl Bk GmSc
Mem 4 20.2 3.3 2.3 5.8 6.3 2.0 .5 2.0 7.6
OKC 5 20.6 5.0 1.2 3.4 3.6 1.2 .0 .8 1.7
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Thu May 12, 2016 12:10 pm
Code: Select all
. Warriors min PER WS/48 BPM e490 WS vorp eWin
Draymond Green 199 27.0 .268 10.9 2.19 1.11 .64 .89
Klay Thompson 191 24.7 .192 3.4 1.73 .77 .26 .67
Ha. Barnes 169 8.6 .041 -3.0 .20 .15 -.04 .07
Andre Iguodala 158 10.3 .071 .1 .12 .23 .08 .04
Sh. Livingston 117 12.6 .028 -4.6 .66 .07 -.08 .16
Andrew Bogut 87 20.3 .185 6.2 1.61 .34 .18 .29
Stephen Curry 73 31.5 .266 10.9 2.67 .40 .24 .40
Le. Barbosa 66 17.1 .121 -1.5 .68 .17 .01 .09
Ian Clark 47 6.0 -.051 -9.3 -.07 -.05 -.09 -.01
Festus Ezeli 43 22.1 .192 -2.2 1.35 .17 .00 .12
Ma. Speights 36 11.7 -.036 -5.7 1.03 -.03 -.03 .08
Brandon Rush 22 1.1 -.025 -7.1 -.51 -.01 -.03 -.02
Ande. Varejao 16 27.0 .314 10.9 1.36 .10 .05 .04
. totals 1224 17.9 .134 1.9 1.13 3.42 1.18 2.81
. Blazers min PER WS/48 BPM e490 WS vorp eWin
C.J. McCollum 212 13.1 .004 -1.7 .68 .02 .02 .29
Damian Lillard 208 23.4 .142 5.3 1.71 .62 .38 .72
Al-F. Aminu 180 18.2 .125 3.2 1.13 .17 .23 .42
Allen Crabbe 154 17.2 .149 3.2 .72 .48 .20 .23
Mason Plumlee 129 7.6 -.088 -2.9 .67 -.24 -.03 .18
Ge. Henderson 104 8.8 -.008 -3.1 .15 -.02 -.03 .03
Ed Davis 103 17.7 .143 2.2 .93 .31 .11 .20
Ma. Harkless 100 10.2 -.050 -4.3 .65 -.10 -.06 .13
Brian Roberts 30 3.3 -.060 -9.6 -.44 -.04 -.06 -.03
. totals 1220 15.1 .059 0.5 .87 1.49 .77 2.19
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Fri May 13, 2016 12:59 pm
Code: Select all
. Thunder min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Kevin Durant 246 22.4 .155 4.5 1.81 .80 .40 .93
Ru. Westbrook 220 23.9 .127 10.2 2.33 .58 .67 1.07
Steven Adams 215 17.4 .183 3.3 1.04 .82 .29 .46
Serge Ibaka 190 12.9 .117 2.4 .49 .46 .21 .20
An. Roberson 146 7.3 .053 3.0 .06 .16 .18 .02
Dion Waiters 140 9.9 .061 .0 .29 .18 .07 .08
Enes Kanter 136 17.3 .150 -1.7 .96 .42 .01 .27
Randy Foye 44 9.9 .060 -1.6 .25 .05 .00 .02
Cameron Payne 39 -9.9 -.357 -14.1 -.85 -.29 -.12 -.07
Anthony Morrow 24 6.4 .040 -5.0 -.44 .02 -.02 -.02
Nick Collison 23 7.1 .084 1.8 -.16 .04 .02 -.01
Kyle Singler 12 -4.2 -.073 -7.6 -.92 -.02 -.02 -.02
Nazr Mohammed 4 36.1 .370 6.4 2.56 .03 .01 .02
. totals 1439 15.5 .109 2.8 .98 3.26 1.71 2.95
. Spurs min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
La. Aldridge 224 26.8 .211 3.2 2.04 .98 .29 .95
Kawhi Leonard 213 24.9 .175 8.1 2.10 .78 .54 .93
Danny Green 184 16.5 .178 9.0 .74 .68 .51 .28
Tony Parker 175 15.4 .078 1.3 1.00 .28 .14 .36
Tim Duncan 137 7.0 -.018 -3.2 .18 -.05 -.04 .05
Manu Ginobili 116 13.7 .089 2.9 .62 .21 .14 .15
David West 104 9.0 -.012 -1.9 .43 -.03 .00 .09
Patrick Mills 89 10.4 .005 -.6 .40 .01 .03 .07
Boris Diaw 77 10.2 -.012 -1.1 .37 -.02 .02 .06
Kyle Anderson 61 8.0 -.005 -.1 .11 -.01 .03 .01
Andre Miller 20 19.7 .232 4.9 1.01 .10 .03 .04
Kevin Martin 20 -13.2 -.407 -18.6 -.59 -.17 -.08 -.02
Bo. Marjanovic 19 20.5 .204 9.5 1.51 .08 .05 .06
. totals 1439 16.2 .095 2.6 1.02 2.85 1.66 3.05
How is it that OKC's aggregate WS and BPM are better than the Spurs'? They were outscored in the series.
Danny Green ended up with BPM of 7.9 in the playoffs. In the season, he was 2.7; never above 5.0.
Nate
Posts: 132 Joined: Tue Feb 24, 2015 2:35 pm
Post
by Nate Fri May 13, 2016 7:43 pm
Mike G wrote:
[/code]How is it that OKC's aggregate WS and BPM are better than the Spurs'? They were outscored in the series.
OKC only got outscored by 3 points over the course of the series but there are significant differences in free throws made and taken, rebounds, and field goals.
Green has really good 3-point shooting in the playoffs. It might just be small sample size.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Mon May 16, 2016 11:30 am
Code: Select all
. Raptors min PER WS/48 BPM e501 WS vorp eWin
Kyle Lowry 283 20.6 .165 7.8 2.23 .97 .70 1.26
DeMar DeRozan 269 14.4 .023 -4.2 1.45 .13 -.15 .78
DeMarr Carroll 237 12.1 .149 2.4 .66 .74 .26 .31
Pa. Patterson 223 9.0 .079 .0 .05 .37 .11 .02
Bi. Biyombo 181 16.1 .178 1.9 1.36 .67 .17 .49
Cory Joseph 178 7.7 .044 -3.3 .20 .16 -.06 .07
Terrence Ross 166 13.7 .094 .3 .67 .32 .10 .22
Jo Valanciunas 101 31.3 .322 10.5 3.50 .68 .32 .71
Norman Powell 54 3.8 .020 -2.0 -.16 .02 .00 -.02
Jason Thompson 22 6.5 .128 -2.6 -.55 .06 .00 -.02
Lucas Nogueira 21 15.0 .218 -6.0 1.03 .10 -.02 .04
James Johnson 13 -1.7 -.082 2.1 -1.02 -.02 .01 -.03
Luis Scola 6 -23.5 -.304 -20. -1.88 -.04 -.03 -.02
. totals 1754 14.1 .114 1.2 1.04 4.16 1.41 3.81
. Heat min PER WS/48 BPM e501 WS vorp eWin
Goran Dragic 263 15.0 .083 .6 1.26 .46 .17 .66
Luol Deng 258 8.6 .047 1.1 .11 .25 .20 .06
Joe Johnson 256 12.2 .071 -.5 .79 .38 .10 .40
Dwyane Wade 255 22.8 .140 3.8 2.37 .74 .37 1.21
Jo. Richardson 185 9.5 .082 1.1 .26 .32 .15 .10
Ju. Winslow 164 9.1 .072 -1.4 .21 .24 .02 .07
Ha. Whiteside 87 20.2 .193 .6 1.82 .35 .06 .32
Josh McRoberts 86 17.7 .207 4.6 .96 .37 .14 .16
Gerald Green 58 8.7 .049 -2.1 .21 .06 .00 .02
Udonis Haslem 58 14.9 .150 .3 .95 .18 .03 .11
Tyler Johnson 55 13.2 .195 1.4 .55 .22 .05 .06
Am. Stoudemire 31 8.4 -.023 -8.0 .15 -.01 -.05 .01
. totals 1756 13.7 .097 .8 .87 3.56 1.24 3.18
Miami ends up with some 9.1 Win Shares for their 7 wins (and 8.6 pythagorean wins).
http://www.basketball-reference.com/tea ... s_advanced
It may be that b-r.com is extending their WS/48 over their 49.1 mpg, and then somehow doubling the surplus?
Overtime pays double?
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Tue May 17, 2016 9:53 pm
Round 2 rates.
In this display, equal weight is given to PER, WS, BPM, and eWins. PER and BPM are converted to quasi win shares, and the 4 are averaged.
BPM is unique in that actual lineup strength is considered. By playing superior competition, even losing teams can average more than .50 bpm-wins per game.
Code: Select all
xW/G tm player min PER WS/48 BPM e484
.800 Cle totals 960 18.7 .181 4.5 1.33
.652 GSW totals 1225 17.9 .134 1.9 1.10
.580 OKC totals 1440 15.5 .109 2.8 .98
.574 SAS totals 1440 16.2 .095 2.6 1.02
.563 Tor totals 1755 14.1 .114 1.2 1.04
.503 Mia totals 1755 13.7 .097 .8 .87
.451 Por totals 1225 15.1 .059 .5 .85
.345 Atl totals 960 14.8 .025 -.7 .67
xW/G tm player min PER WS/48 BPM e484
.219 Tor Jonas Valanciunas 101 31.3 .322 10.5 3.50
.212 GSW Stephen Curry 73 31.5 .266 10.9 2.67
.212 GSW Draymond Green 199 27.0 .268 10.9 2.19
.197 Cle LeBron James 145 27.1 .247 11.4 2.50
.168 Tor Kyle Lowry 283 20.6 .165 7.8 2.23
.162 OKC Russell Westbrook 220 23.9 .127 10.2 2.33
.156 SAS LaMarcus Aldridge 224 26.8 .211 3.2 2.04
.156 SAS Kawhi Leonard 213 24.9 .175 8.1 2.10
.153 Por Damian Lillard 208 23.4 .142 5.3 1.71
.150 OKC Kevin Durant 246 22.4 .155 4.5 1.81
xW/G tm player min PER WS/48 BPM e484
.146 GSW Klay Thompson 191 24.7 .192 3.4 1.73
.145 Cle Kyrie Irving 140 22.9 .258 4.1 1.74
.139 Mia Dwyane Wade 255 22.8 .140 3.8 2.37
.108 Cle Kevin Love 131 19.3 .164 1.5 1.95
.108 Cle Channing Frye 77 30.7 .316 9.6 2.05
.108 OKC Steven Adams 215 17.4 .183 3.3 1.04
.102 SAS Danny Green 184 16.5 .178 9.0 .74
.100 Por Al-Farouq Aminu 180 18.2 .125 3.2 1.13
.097 Mia Hassan Whiteside 87 20.2 .193 .6 1.82
.090 Cle J.R. Smith 138 13.4 .144 6.5 .49
A player going 48 mpg at "average" proficiency would contribute .100 W/G.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Tue May 31, 2016 11:55 am
Eastern conference finals, rates extracted from those at the end of round 2:
Code: Select all
. Cavs min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
LeBron James 220 34.7 .408 17.2 3.29 1.87 1.06 1.51
Kyrie Irving 210 23.5 .200 5.1 2.12 .88 .37 .93
J.R. Smith 189 13.7 .178 5.6 .63 .70 .36 .25
Kevin Love 181 20.7 .255 7.3 1.77 .96 .42 .67
Tr. Thompson 166 11.4 .178 3.1 .58 .62 .21 .20
Iman Shumpert 109 6.3 .097 2.6 -.06 .22 .13 -.01
Ri. Jefferson 99 14.6 .172 -.2 .93 .36 .04 .19
Channing Frye 98 24.8 .331 9.7 1.84 .68 .29 .38
Ma. Dellavedova 68 7.0 .031 -7.1 .39 .04 -.09 .06
James Jones 26 6.4 .089 -.2 -.31 .05 .01 -.02
Mo Williams 26 -14.1 -.421 -19. -.98 -.23 -.11 -.05
Dahntay Jones 24 2.6 -.016 -5.8 -.06 -.01 -.02 .00
Timofey Mozgov 23 17.0 .202 .0 1.70 .10 .01 .08
. totals 1439 18.1 .208 5.4 1.39 6.23 2.68 4.17
. Raptors min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
DeMar DeRozan 224 19.9 .046 -.8 1.20 .22 .07 .56
Kyle Lowry 213 17.4 .015 1.9 1.19 .07 .21 .53
Bi. Biyombo 188 14.1 .099 -1.4 .85 .39 .03 .33
Pa. Patterson 173 7.7 -.028 -1.3 .03 -.10 .03 .01
DeM. Carroll 160 5.8 -.095 -4.2 .13 -.32 -.09 .04
Cory Joseph 113 12.3 -.048 -3.4 .57 -.11 -.04 .13
Terrence Ross 84 3.8 -.144 -6.8 -.11 -.25 -.10 -.02
James Johnson 82 9.9 .035 -2.9 .36 .06 -.02 .06
Luis Scola 79 7.3 .059 -1.2 .04 .10 .02 .01
Jo. Valanciunas 36 19.7 -.027 -3.1 1.01 -.02 -.01 .08
Delon Wright 29 12.1 .035 -2.9 .86 .02 -.01 .05
Norman Powell 26 15.6 -.209 -12. 1.00 -.11 -.07 .05
Jason Thompson 24 3.2 -.102 -3.6 -.08 -.05 -.01 .00
. totals 1431 12.4 -.004 -2.0 .62 -.12 .01 1.83
Raps with less total WinShare after this series than they had after round 2. And almost zero VORP.
Western finals:
Code: Select all
. Warriors min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Dr. Green 263 11.2 .031 2.8 .76 .17 .31 .41
Stephen Curry 257 24.7 .195 7.9 2.24 1.05 .64 1.20
Klay Thompson 241 17.8 .085 1.3 1.33 .42 .20 .67
An. Iguodala 231 12.9 .120 4.5 .49 .58 .37 .24
Ha. Barnes 205 10.2 .075 1.9 .27 .32 .20 .12
Andrew Bogut 128 16.9 .174 6.2 1.16 .46 .26 .31
Sh. Livingston 115 5.7 -.035 -4.9 .17 -.08 -.08 .04
Ma. Speights 60 12.4 -.042 -8.1 .98 -.05 -.09 .12
Festus Ezeli 59 19.2 .129 -2.6 1.30 .16 -.01 .16
Leandro Barbosa 43 13.5 .081 1.4 .50 .07 .04 .04
Ian Clark 30 7.7 -.057 -3.6 .43 -.04 -.01 .03
Brandon Rush 23 9.6 .124 -3.0 .50 .06 -.01 .02
An. Varejao 22 16.6 .231 3.0 .71 .11 .03 .03
. totals 1677 14.8 .092 2.4 .97 3.23 1.85 3.39
. Thunder min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Kevin Durant 289 21.3 .122 3.2 1.76 .74 .37 1.06
Ru. Westbrook 274 26.0 .174 11.3 2.36 .99 .91 1.35
Serge Ibaka 250 13.6 .118 2.4 .58 .62 .27 .30
Dion Waiters 219 5.4 .000 -2.7 -.05 .00 -.04 -.02
Andre Roberson 208 15.0 .139 4.6 .81 .60 .34 .35
Steven Adams 200 15.5 .145 .8 .88 .61 .14 .37
Enes Kanter 85 14.8 .053 -4.9 1.07 .09 -.06 .19
Randy Foye 85 3.2 .001 -2.9 -.44 .00 -.02 -.08
Anthony Morrow 27 16.0 .117 -2.6 .75 .07 .00 .04
Kyle Singler 20 - .3 -.096 -10. -.34 -.04 -.04 -.01
Cameron Payne 15 14.1 -.006 -3.4 .88 .00 -.01 .03
Nick Collison 7 28.3 .323 -6.8 2.58 .05 -.01 .04
Nazr Mohammed 2 -15.3 -.341 -35. .25 -.01 -.02 .00
. totals 1681 15.7 .106 2.4 1.03 3.71 1.84 3.61