Chriss was at +0.74 in overall vanilla RAPM as of 12/6. He was -4.49 last year.
Z-scores made more sense because the range of the ratings at this point in the season is a fair amount smaller than it is at the end of a season when there's more data. For instance, Curry is first as of 12/6 at +3.78, whereas LeBron was first last year at +8.28.
Improved Players 2017-18
Re: Improved Players 2017-18
Only about half of these seem to be in agreement with their boxscore stats' differences.shadow wrote:Here are the top 20 most improved players in vanilla RAPM. The improvement is in terms of how much higher their RAPM z-score is this year compared to last year.Code: Select all
Player Improvement Kyle Korver 3.71 Dwight Powell 3.55 ...
In some cases, RPM joins in with the non-concurrence.
Denzel Valentine appears as one of the most unimproved, z-score difference of -2.80; here are some other rates, last year and this year:
Code: Select all
. yr mpg TS% PER WS48 BPM e484 RPM
1617 17 .490 7.3 .031 -2.8 .20 -2.2
1718 29 .501 10.9 .041 -1.3 .69 -1.5
impr 12 .011 3.6 .010 1.5 .49 .7
About 1/3 of the total sample is pretty weird when you look at other summary stats. Showing just the changes from last season:
Code: Select all
z+ improvements tm mpg TS% PER WS/48 BPM e484 RPM
-3.18 LeBron James Cle -1 .051 4.2 .057 2.7 .07 -1.3
-2.80 D Valentine Chi 12 .011 3.6 .010 1.5 .49 .7
-2.76 Kevin Love Cle -2 .043 3.1 .052 0.6 .11 -2.5
-2.64 Dragan Bender Phx 7 .065 1.7 .032 1.4 .09 -.4
-2.43 Gorgui Dieng Min -15 .027 2.2 .023 -0.9 .20 -5.0
-2.08 Joe Ingles Uta 6 .014 1.6 .003 0.0 .34 .1
z+ improvements tm mpg TS% PER WS/48 BPM e484 RPM
1.99 Yogi Ferrell Dal 2 .016 -3.5 -.020 -0.8 -.48 2.3
2.08 Dwyane Wade Cle -6 .008 -1.6 -.006 -2.0 -.35 .8
3.13 Marquese Chriss Phx -1 -.023 -1.3 .001 0.6 -.12 2.4
3.55 Dwight Powell Dal 0 -.038 -2.0 -.033 0.0 .01 3.2
These numbers are a couple days old. The LeBron-Love-Wade dynamic is interesting for sure.
Re: Improved Players 2017-18
Team by team, players above .30 eWins improvement or below -.30
Several teams in the East are stacked with improved players. This year on the left, last year on the right.
Several teams in the East are stacked with improved players. This year on the left, last year on the right.
Code: Select all
eW+ Atl Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.87 Isaiah Taylor .479 10.6 3.6 4.5 .48 Hou .188 1.0 1.9 2.2 -.59
.72 Taurean W-Prince .539 13.8 6.4 2.8 .73 .503 11.0 5.6 1.9 .38
.61 Kent Bazemore .529 14.8 6.1 4.6 1.04 .497 14.0 4.4 3.3 .72
eW+ Bos Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.13 Jaylen Brown .557 17.7 6.8 1.5 1.00 .531 12.2 5.9 1.8 .45
.51 Terry Rozier .478 12.6 6.6 3.3 .88 .462 9.4 6.2 3.7 .58
.43 Kyrie Irving .596 30.9 3.4 6.0 2.17 Cle .573 26.5 3.4 6.5 1.98
.42 Marcus Morris .517 18.4 8.4 2.5 1.30 Det .503 15.5 5.3 2.1 .78
.38 Aron Baynes .520 12.0 10.4 1.8 .87 Det .560 10.9 9.7 .8 .58
.37 Al Horford .597 17.0 9.0 6.7 1.68 .548 15.2 8.0 6.2 1.51
eW+ Brk Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.49 S Dinwiddie .524 15.8 4.4 9.0 1.46 .566 10.6 4.2 4.7 .56
.67 DeMarre Carroll .536 15.0 8.4 2.3 1.03 Tor .525 12.8 5.7 1.5 .63
.61 R H-Jefferson .562 18.2 7.9 2.8 1.31 .505 12.2 9.2 3.1 .93
.40 D'Angelo Russell .531 25.9 6.0 7.9 1.78 LAL .512 18.4 4.6 5.6 1.20
.39 Joe Harris .577 13.4 3.8 2.3 .51 .554 11.7 4.4 1.6 .25
.38 Caris LeVert .515 14.0 4.7 5.2 .85 .549 12.3 5.3 3.1 .62
.35 Allen Crabbe .532 13.7 5.0 1.9 .58 Por .596 12.8 3.5 1.4 .36
-.35 Quincy Acy .469 8.4 7.2 1.1 .15 .555 12.0 6.8 1.1 .52
eW+ Cha Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.46 Dwight Howard .537 19.0 15.1 1.6 1.55 Atl .607 17.4 16.0 1.8 1.79
-.66 Kemba Walker .543 22.4 3.7 5.9 1.55 .562 24.4 4.2 6.0 1.85
-.69 Nicolas Batum .497 11.5 5.0 5.9 .75 .522 15.7 6.8 6.6 1.35
eW+ Chi Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.52 Kris Dunn .492 15.7 6.1 6.6 1.19 Min .428 6.4 4.6 4.7 .23
.95 Denzel Valentine .517 11.3 6.5 3.4 .72 .490 9.4 5.2 2.1 .20
.54 David Nwaba .597 11.7 7.6 2.2 .86 LAL .597 9.9 5.4 1.1 .27
.53 Bobby Portis .566 20.1 10.9 2.3 1.55 .540 14.7 10.1 1.2 1.00
.43 Nikola Mirotic .644 26.2 10.3 .9 1.98 .540 15.1 7.9 1.5 .97
.35 Jerian Grant .529 13.1 3.8 6.8 .94 .548 13.0 3.8 4.1 .71
eW+ Cle Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.87 Jeff Green .594 16.6 5.8 2.5 .99 Orl .497 12.9 4.8 1.6 .41
-.67 Dwyane Wade .507 15.7 5.6 6.4 1.18 Chi .500 22.1 5.5 4.7 1.64
-1.16 Jae Crowder .527 11.2 4.4 1.6 .34 Bos .603 15.3 6.8 2.6 .99
eW+ Dal Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.55 Yogi Ferrell .559 12.8 4.1 2.8 .52 .527 14.1 3.6 5.0 .79
-.63 Wesley Matthews .523 12.3 3.3 2.8 .43 .526 14.5 4.1 3.0 .69
-.72 Dirk Nowitzki .558 16.9 8.1 2.5 1.21 .524 19.9 9.9 2.1 1.62
eW+ Den Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.71 Jamal Murray .550 19.4 4.2 3.3 1.00 .514 13.8 4.3 3.3 .61
.52 Trey Lyles .628 17.3 8.6 1.9 1.22 Uta .460 12.8 7.3 2.2 .67
.37 Will Barton .554 16.7 6.2 4.1 1.17 .538 15.2 5.5 4.3 .99
-.40 Mason Plumlee .531 12.0 10.5 3.6 1.13 .545 13.8 10.6 5.0 1.44
-.44 Nikola Jokic .602 20.1 13.4 5.6 2.12 .629 21.6 13.1 6.6 2.41
-.82 Wilson Chandler .518 11.0 6.5 2.8 .55 .539 16.0 7.6 2.4 1.01
eW+ Det Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.45 L Galloway .562 16.2 4.6 1.8 .88 Sac .507 12.1 3.5 2.0 .36
.45 Stanley Johnson .476 9.4 4.9 1.9 .35 .433 7.7 4.7 2.4 .08
.44 Eric Moreland .500 4.2 11.4 2.5 .68 Sac .500 4.6 6.7 .6 .00
.33 A Tolliver .618 14.3 4.9 1.9 .65 Sac .588 10.5 6.0 1.7 .37
-.71 Avery Bradley .521 18.2 2.9 2.3 .67 Bos .544 16.6 6.9 2.7 1.07
eW+ GSW Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.01 Omri Casspi .658 15.2 10.2 2.8 1.36 Min .518 9.1 6.3 1.9 .29
.56 David West .646 18.2 9.0 5.3 1.88 .564 12.0 8.0 6.6 1.19
-.45 Andre Iguodala .516 7.0 5.3 4.7 .46 .616 9.8 5.3 5.0 .76
-1.03 Kevin Durant .612 27.1 7.7 6.2 2.21 .638 28.2 9.2 5.9 2.74
eW+ Hou Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.08 Clint Capela .679 21.4 17.3 2.3 2.44 .628 18.9 12.7 1.8 1.71
.38 Eric Gordon .573 21.7 2.4 2.9 .97 .552 16.7 3.1 3.2 .77
eW+ Ind Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.91 Victor Oladipo .586 26.6 5.9 4.0 1.83 OkC .529 17.2 4.9 3.0 .97
1.69 D Sabonis .585 18.1 12.4 2.9 1.44 OkC .466 9.8 6.7 1.9 .31
.57 Lance Stephenson .507 12.4 8.4 4.5 .93 .482 10.6 5.0 5.6 .54
.52 Darren Collison .578 14.9 3.9 7.0 1.19 Sac .563 15.8 2.9 5.4 .93
-.49 Cory Joseph .527 10.4 3.8 4.0 .52 Tor .512 13.6 4.3 5.0 .82
eW+ LAC Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.32 M Harrell .635 20.8 9.2 2.0 1.68 Hou .650 17.0 7.2 2.4 1.15
-.51 DeAndre Jordan .636 13.1 17.2 1.3 1.56 .652 15.8 16.5 1.5 1.81
-.53 Blake Griffin .531 23.6 8.1 5.0 1.76 .557 23.6 9.1 5.7 2.14
eW+ LAL Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.19 Brandon Ingram .503 15.4 5.6 3.2 .81 .467 10.0 5.0 2.4 .26
.63 Jordan Clarkson .534 20.7 4.2 4.6 1.14 .522 16.1 3.6 2.9 .68
.48 Larry Nance .586 13.7 10.8 2.1 1.32 .560 10.1 8.9 2.1 .77
-.42 Brook Lopez .526 19.6 6.9 2.7 1.28 Brk .568 23.8 6.6 2.9 1.61
eW+ Mem Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.78 Tyreke Evans .563 22.6 6.2 4.7 1.63 Sac .494 16.8 6.1 5.2 1.23
.51 Chandler Parsons .603 16.6 5.2 3.4 .96 .431 10.7 4.9 3.2 .47
.33 Andrew Harrison .529 12.8 4.0 4.3 .66 .465 9.8 3.4 4.8 .35
-.64 Mike Conley .510 20.1 2.8 4.5 1.18 .593 25.0 4.1 7.0 2.02
-.73 Mario Chalmers .455 10.8 4.6 4.8 .59 .548 15.6 4.0 5.4 1.08
-.78 Marc Gasol .518 19.6 9.6 4.0 1.50 .545 22.1 7.1 5.1 1.84
eW+ Mia Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.35 Justise Winslow .486 10.1 9.1 3.1 .79 .394 10.0 5.6 3.9 .52
-.65 Tyler Johnson .536 13.6 4.7 2.6 .66 .527 16.1 4.7 3.6 1.03
-.86 Goran Dragic .533 19.7 4.9 5.1 1.23 .565 23.7 4.2 6.2 1.69
-.95 Dion Waiters .483 16.6 3.2 4.5 .76 .501 19.4 4.2 5.3 1.27
eW+ Mil Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.57 Khris Middleton .572 20.1 5.4 4.4 1.32 .562 17.4 5.4 4.0 1.07
.49 Giannis A .597 28.9 10.7 4.3 2.57 .586 24.1 9.7 5.4 2.35
-.46 Eric Bledsoe .538 20.5 4.8 4.9 1.37 Phx .550 22.7 5.4 6.4 1.71
-.58 Thon Maker .477 7.2 7.4 1.5 .38 .550 14.0 8.0 1.5 .88
eW+ Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.32 Nemanja Bjelica .719 17.4 6.9 1.7 1.08 .521 10.5 7.4 2.2 .51
.31 Jamal Crawford .530 18.0 2.2 4.5 .85 LAC .519 15.5 2.1 3.6 .59
-1.04 Karl-A Towns .611 21.1 12.7 2.0 1.84 .609 25.0 13.0 2.6 2.28
-1.04 Andrew Wiggins .488 16.1 4.2 1.7 .71 .525 21.5 4.2 2.2 1.13
-1.11 Jeff Teague .544 14.5 3.1 7.7 .99 Ind .562 17.7 4.8 8.5 1.55
-1.31 Jimmy Butler .554 19.5 5.8 4.6 1.48 Chi .571 24.6 6.1 5.0 2.05
eW+ NOP Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.43 Jameer Nelson .535 7.3 3.8 6.0 .33 Den .541 10.9 3.4 6.9 .63
-.45 Ian Clark .453 8.7 3.1 2.9 .11 GSW .570 14.7 3.6 3.0 .65
-.74 Anthony Davis .630 25.0 11.1 2.4 2.14 .567 28.0 11.7 2.0 2.52
-.82 Jrue Holiday .566 16.5 4.4 5.4 1.03 .526 16.7 4.3 8.0 1.37
-1.32 D Cousins .570 24.8 12.8 5.0 2.08 .549 28.4 12.4 4.6 2.65
eW+ NYK Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.64 Jarrett Jack .487 9.4 5.3 8.3 .80 NOP .750 7.1 0.0 4.9 -.21
.95 Kr Porzingis .547 27.8 8.1 1.4 1.87 .538 19.2 8.0 1.5 1.31
.81 Courtney Lee .571 15.3 4.4 3.1 .86 .554 11.9 3.9 2.5 .48
.33 Enes Kanter .633 20.6 15.4 2.0 1.97 OkC .587 23.7 10.9 1.5 1.76
eW+ OkC Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.83 Jerami Grant .573 14.1 6.3 1.4 .82 .544 9.3 4.7 1.0 .20
.71 Steven Adams .638 17.4 10.7 1.1 1.37 .577 14.2 9.7 1.4 .97
.48 Raymond Felton .500 14.7 3.7 5.3 .96 LAC .493 10.3 4.6 4.2 .52
-.63 Carmelo Anthony .498 19.4 7.3 1.7 1.19 NYK .528 22.8 6.3 2.8 1.49
-1.05 Paul George .526 20.0 5.8 3.1 1.28 Ind .578 24.6 6.9 3.3 1.74
-2.71 R Westbrook .490 24.3 10.1 10.1 2.42 .542 34.1 11.5 10.4 3.55
eW+ Orl Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.89 Aaron Gordon .597 18.8 8.6 2.2 1.39 .523 15.0 6.5 2.2 .89
.59 Jonathon Simmons .550 17.7 4.7 2.6 .76 SAS .496 11.9 4.1 3.3 .47
.33 Evan Fournier .590 19.6 3.6 3.2 1.02 .546 18.3 3.5 3.0 .83
.30 Mario Hezonja .555 12.2 6.3 2.0 .57 .448 9.5 5.2 2.0 .17
-.31 Elfrid Payton .533 13.7 4.7 7.9 1.07 .514 14.9 5.9 7.4 1.30
-.36 M Speights .491 16.4 5.8 1.6 .76 LAC .577 18.7 10.1 1.8 1.35
eW+ Phl Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
-.33 J.J. Redick .569 16.6 2.8 3.7 .75 LAC .592 20.0 3.0 2.0 .92
eW+ Phx Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.71 T.J. Warren .520 20.1 6.4 1.5 1.18 .534 15.5 6.1 1.3 .86
.69 Devin Booker .564 24.9 4.7 4.1 1.43 .523 21.5 3.3 3.4 1.03
.56 Alex Len .583 13.7 14.4 2.0 1.37 .541 13.1 11.7 1.0 .95
-.56 Tyler Ulis .459 10.8 2.8 5.9 .41 .470 12.3 3.0 6.7 .76
eW+ Por Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.64 Ed Davis .540 10.6 14.1 .8 1.04 .548 8.5 11.0 1.2 .49
.37 Shabazz Napier .598 18.2 3.8 3.0 1.11 .525 13.8 4.1 4.4 .73
.34 Noah Vonleh .554 9.1 13.0 1.1 .90 .516 8.7 11.3 .9 .51
.33 Meyers Leonard .684 21.4 9.1 1.9 1.65 .504 10.3 6.8 2.0 .44
-.36 Evan Turner .486 10.9 5.1 3.2 .43 .486 11.4 5.3 4.4 .64
-.37 M Harkless .478 8.2 5.2 1.1 .26 .563 12.4 5.8 1.5 .58
-.45 Damian Lillard .555 27.3 5.1 6.0 1.94 .575 27.8 5.1 5.8 2.13
-.67 C.J. McCollum .543 22.4 4.0 2.9 1.25 .578 24.2 3.9 3.8 1.53
eW+ Sac Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.40 Buddy Hield .553 19.1 6.0 2.0 1.03 .537 15.9 5.3 2.3 .73
-1.23 George Hill .595 15.1 4.6 3.1 .78 Uta .589 22.8 4.2 5.1 1.62
eW+ SAS Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.85 L Aldridge .552 25.6 9.5 2.2 1.94 .525 20.0 8.6 2.4 1.56
.72 Kyle Anderson .558 12.5 8.2 4.1 1.15 .518 8.5 7.3 3.3 .64
.45 Dejounte Murray .459 12.6 9.5 5.0 1.05 .496 14.3 4.7 5.5 .69
-.30 Manu Ginobili .515 14.6 4.0 4.1 .63 .525 14.1 4.3 5.1 .89
-.41 Patty Mills .557 14.9 3.2 4.3 .77 .573 16.2 2.9 5.8 1.02
eW+ Tor Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.81 Jakob Poeltl .661 15.4 9.8 .9 1.18 .575 9.6 9.3 .7 .41
.62 Pascal Siakam .492 10.9 8.9 3.6 1.02 .518 9.9 8.3 .8 .50
-.48 Kyle Lowry .594 18.8 7.4 8.7 1.79 .611 25.0 4.9 6.9 2.03
-.55 DeMar DeRozan .574 27.4 4.9 5.9 2.00 .541 30.4 5.6 4.3 2.26
eW+ Uta Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
.72 Jonas Jerebko .600 13.9 8.6 1.7 1.02 Bos .533 7.5 7.7 2.1 .31
.54 Alec Burks .542 18.6 6.5 2.2 1.15 .493 15.0 6.6 1.6 .73
.53 Thabo Sefolosha .603 14.0 7.0 1.5 .95 Atl .513 9.5 6.2 2.4 .55
.49 Joe Ingles .604 13.3 5.4 5.2 .92 .599 12.0 5.0 4.2 .69
-.53 Rudy Gobert .619 15.2 12.4 1.5 1.41 .660 18.2 14.7 1.4 1.89
-.54 Ricky Rubio .511 15.1 5.1 6.2 .93 Min .527 11.9 4.9 9.7 1.21
eW+ Was Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.02 Mike Scott .650 18.8 6.7 1.6 1.03 Atl .363 6.0 6.4 2.9 .15
.97 Kelly Oubre .528 13.9 6.6 1.3 .74 .510 9.5 5.8 1.0 .22
.60 T Satoransky .558 11.0 5.3 5.2 .82 .474 6.5 4.0 4.2 .10
.44 Otto Porter .585 17.1 7.9 2.1 1.32 .623 15.0 7.6 1.7 1.08
-.54 John Wall .499 20.6 4.2 9.4 1.74 .532 22.5 4.4 10.4 2.12
Re: Improved Players 2017-18
Looking up this year's numbers at b-r.com and espn -- then converting to "wins" added in this year's minutes, relative to last year's rates -- here's how my bottom 12 rank, by average of these 4:Towns, Wiggins, Cousins, and George all show small improvements in RPM; the other stats concur with eWins that they've dropped off.
For Westbrook, it's BPM that has fallen most sharply. For Crowder, it's RPM. With Hill, Durant, and Teague, it's Win Shares.
Code: Select all
wins degraded PER WS/48 BPM RPM PER WS/48 BPM RPM
-1.99 Westbrook 23.7 .160 8.0 4.9 30.7 .224 15.5 6.0
-1.35 Crowder 10.1 .059 -2.2 -2.3 15.0 .137 1.5 3.7
-1.24 J Butler 21.8 .172 3.5 4.7 25.2 .236 6.9 7.1
-1.16 G Hill 14.1 .080 -.4 -.7 19.4 .182 3.6 3.2
-.98 Durant 24.9 .204 5.3 3.4 27.7 .278 8.0 5.6
-.93 Teague 15.0 .078 -.5 .6 19.2 .147 1.9 1.5
-.92 Waiters 11.0 .003 -3.9 -2.2 14.6 .056 -.9 .0
For Westbrook, it's BPM that has fallen most sharply. For Crowder, it's RPM. With Hill, Durant, and Teague, it's Win Shares.
Re: Improved Players 2017-18
At 49% thru the season:
Going off this list, the following players also have substantial gains in PER, WS/48 and BPM.
Scaling them to wins added (as with eWins+ above) and averaging the 4:BPM loves Oladipo, Tyreke, Scott, Booker, Brown, and Capela, relative to last year.
Win Shares says Adams, Murray, Casspi, and RHJ are hot.
PER is highest on Sabonis and Aldridge.
eWins recognizes Dinwiddie, Dunn, Oubre, Valentine.
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 '17: Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
2.38 Victor Oladipo Ind .595 27.0 5.9 4.2 1.93 OkC .529 17.2 4.9 3.0 .97
2.19 Domantas Sabonis Ind .581 17.9 12.0 3.0 1.45 OkC .466 9.8 6.7 1.9 .31
2.14 Kris Dunn Chi .489 16.1 5.8 7.4 1.22 Min .428 6.4 4.6 4.7 .23
2.11 S Dinwiddie Brk .539 17.0 3.9 8.7 1.50 .566 10.6 4.2 4.7 .56
1.55 L Aldridge SAS .553 26.4 9.8 2.2 2.11 .525 20.0 8.6 2.4 1.56
1.50 Tyreke Evans Mem .571 23.8 6.3 5.4 1.85 Sac .494 16.8 6.1 5.2 1.23
1.42 Brandon Ingram LAL .512 15.8 5.7 3.3 .78 .467 10.0 5.0 2.4 .26
1.35 Jaylen Brown Bos .543 17.6 6.8 1.6 1.00 .531 12.2 5.9 1.8 .45
1.28 Kelly Oubre Was .549 14.8 6.4 1.5 .79 .510 9.5 5.8 1.0 .22
1.28 Denzel Valentine Chi .528 11.5 6.8 3.5 .72 .490 9.4 5.2 2.1 .20
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.26 Jamal Murray Den .558 20.3 4.7 3.5 1.13 .514 13.8 4.3 3.3 .61
1.19 K Porzingis NYK .529 26.5 8.0 1.3 1.83 .538 19.2 8.0 1.5 1.31
1.18 Clint Capela Hou .659 21.1 17.0 2.2 2.35 .628 18.9 12.7 1.8 1.71
1.16 Aaron Gordon Orl .580 19.8 8.8 2.0 1.41 .523 15.0 6.5 2.2 .89
1.15 T.J. Warren Phx .530 21.1 6.4 1.6 1.28 .534 15.5 6.1 1.3 .86
1.09 Taurean W-Prince Atl .540 14.5 7.0 2.9 .81 .503 11.0 5.6 1.9 .38
1.02 Mike Scott Was .656 18.1 6.1 1.4 .87 Atl .363 6.0 6.4 2.9 .15
1.01 Omri Casspi GSW .661 14.5 9.6 2.7 1.17 Min .518 9.1 6.3 1.9 .29
1.00 Devin Booker Phx .565 25.6 4.6 4.3 1.47 .523 21.5 3.3 3.4 1.03
.94 R H-Jefferson Brk .540 18.2 8.7 2.8 1.37 .505 12.2 9.2 3.1 .93
.94 Steven Adams OkC .640 17.4 10.5 1.2 1.36 .577 14.2 9.7 1.4 .97
Scaling them to wins added (as with eWins+ above) and averaging the 4:
Code: Select all
xyz+ improved tm PER WS/48 BPM PER WS/48 BPM
3.00 Victor Oladipo Ind 24.5 .171 5.0 13.6 .086 -1.4
2.46 Tyreke Evans Mem 22.8 .164 4.7 15.5 .046 -.9
2.40 D Sabonis Ind 19.3 .140 .4 6.9 .022 -4.9
1.71 Mike Scott Was 16.0 .126 -.2 6.0 -.009 -5.1
1.59 S Dinwiddie Brk 18.1 .164 2.4 12.7 .101 -.9
1.51 L Aldridge SAS 24.4 .210 2.5 18.7 .149 1.1
1.40 Kris Dunn Chi 15.3 .032 .5 8.1 .004 -2.2
1.39 Steven Adams OkC 21.5 .209 3.5 16.5 .129 .5
1.39 Devin Booker Phx 19.0 .096 .8 14.6 .035 -2.3
1.33 Jaylen Brown Bos 13.3 .106 .0 10.3 .053 -4.0
xyz improved tm PER WS/48 BPM PER WS/48 BPM
1.31 Jamal Murray Den 16.3 .105 -.3 12.0 .038 -2.5
1.20 Omri Casspi GSW 17.1 .177 .4 10.0 .037 -3.0
1.16 Brandon Ingram LAL 12.4 .044 -2.4 8.6 -.007 -4.0
1.15 Clint Capela Hou 25.9 .247 3.5 21.5 .185 1.0
1.09 Aaron Gordon Orl 19.1 .123 1.3 14.5 .076 -.7
1.06 Kelly Oubre Was 13.2 .111 -.1 9.1 .062 -2.3
1.02 D Valentine Chi 11.7 .066 -.3 7.3 .031 -2.8
1.01 R H-Jefferson Brk 17.8 .133 .5 13.7 .070 -1.0
Win Shares says Adams, Murray, Casspi, and RHJ are hot.
PER is highest on Sabonis and Aldridge.
eWins recognizes Dinwiddie, Dunn, Oubre, Valentine.
Re: Improved Players 2017-18
Don't hear Valentine discussed. Very poor start iirc. RPM of better than -1 is not bad for a 2nd yr guy.
Re: Improved Players 2017-18
With the season at 76%, only 6 others with even half as much bonus eWins as either of the OK -> Ind guys.8 of the top 9 in the East, and 3 of those came from the West.
Hard to find anyone with big improvement going east to west. Jerebko (Bos to Utah) ranks 45th. Sefolosha (Atl to Utah) is 70th.
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
3.55 V Oladipo Ind .573 25.6 5.9 4.4 1.86 OkC .529 17.2 4.9 3.0 .97
3.47 D Sabonis Ind .566 17.0 12.0 3.0 1.41 OkC .466 9.8 6.7 1.9 .31
2.83 S Dinwiddie Brk .519 15.1 4.1 8.5 1.32 .566 10.6 4.2 4.7 .56
2.70 B Ingram LAL .525 16.2 5.7 4.0 .94 .467 10.0 5.0 2.4 .26
2.51 Kris Dunn Chi .476 14.8 5.6 7.1 1.13 Min .428 6.4 4.6 4.7 .23
2.02 D Valentine Chi .517 11.6 6.9 3.8 .77 .490 9.4 5.2 2.1 .20
1.89 T Satoransky Was .622 11.9 4.9 6.4 .96 .474 6.5 4.0 4.2 .10
1.84 Jaylen Brown Bos .541 16.9 6.3 2.1 .94 .531 12.2 5.9 1.8 .45
1.68 Kelly Oubre Was .543 14.0 6.1 1.5 .68 .510 9.5 5.8 1.0 .22
1.63 L Aldridge SAS .556 25.2 9.2 2.3 1.97 .525 20.0 8.6 2.4 1.56
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.62 Jamal Murray Den .577 18.8 4.5 3.8 1.03 .514 13.8 4.3 3.3 .61
1.61 Terry Rozier Bos .516 14.8 6.5 3.8 1.09 .462 9.4 6.2 3.7 .58
1.59 Clint Capela Hou .647 20.5 15.9 1.7 2.22 .628 18.9 12.7 1.8 1.71
1.55 Jerami Grant OkC .563 13.4 7.1 1.3 .78 .544 9.3 4.7 1.0 .20
1.54 Tyreke Evans Mem .554 22.3 6.3 5.8 1.72 Sac .494 16.8 6.1 5.2 1.23
1.49 Trey Lyles Den .588 17.3 9.0 2.2 1.29 Uta .460 12.8 7.3 2.2 .67
1.48 Ed Davis Por .601 10.9 13.6 .9 1.11 .548 8.5 11.0 1.2 .49
1.46 D Murray SAS .474 13.3 10.1 5.4 1.27 .496 14.3 4.7 5.5 .69
1.44 M Hezonja Orl .559 14.6 6.2 2.1 .81 .448 9.5 5.2 2.0 .17
1.39 L Stephenson Ind .501 13.5 8.4 4.6 1.00 .482 10.6 5.0 5.6 .54
1.39 Steven Adams OkC .624 16.4 10.6 1.2 1.32 .577 14.2 9.7 1.4 .97
Hard to find anyone with big improvement going east to west. Jerebko (Bos to Utah) ranks 45th. Sefolosha (Atl to Utah) is 70th.
Re: Improved Players 2017-18
Most improved is year over year and obviously some were horrible last season.
It would be a different list but it would also interesting to know who improved most compared to and over position average for x years experience or age.
If you improved a lot but are still below average for your age / experience that should imo temper the excitement about the accomplishment, some.
It would be a different list but it would also interesting to know who improved most compared to and over position average for x years experience or age.
If you improved a lot but are still below average for your age / experience that should imo temper the excitement about the accomplishment, some.
Re: Improved Players 2017-18
Obviously some would never give the MIP award to either a below avg player nor to a superstar who was already a star.
The one change that makes sense to me is to compare the current season to a player's best previous season ever; thus negating those guys bouncing back from one terrible season.
However, as long as the words "most improved" are used, I'll just take them literally. Biggest per-minute improvement times minutes, basically.
The one change that makes sense to me is to compare the current season to a player's best previous season ever; thus negating those guys bouncing back from one terrible season.
However, as long as the words "most improved" are used, I'll just take them literally. Biggest per-minute improvement times minutes, basically.
Re: Improved Players 2017-18
At 86% of the season; this season on the left, last year on the right:In addition to the improvements seen above, Oladipo has doubled last year's steals and blocks rates.
DeJounte Murray is a 6-5 PG whose only improvement is to double his rebound rates. On the Spurs he's 2nd in both DReb% (to Gasol) and OReb% (Aldridge), among their top 12. Oh, he's doubled his stealing rate and cut turnovers also.
Best rebounding guards (700+ min.)Just 2 dozen guards (not G-F) get even half the rebounds that the top 2 get.
Just 9 get half the OReb Murray gets.
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
3.92 Oladipo Ind .562 25.2 5.9 4.3 1.82 .529 17.2 4.9 3.0 .97
3.57 Sabonis Ind .559 16.7 11.7 2.9 1.37 .466 9.8 6.7 1.9 .31
3.06 Dinwiddie Brk .516 14.5 4.1 8.5 1.29 .566 10.6 4.2 4.7 .56
2.85 Dunn Chi .483 14.9 5.3 7.0 1.13 .428 6.4 4.6 4.7 .23
2.78 Ingram LAL .525 16.2 5.7 4.1 .96 .467 10.0 5.0 2.4 .26
2.47 Valentine Chi .526 11.9 6.9 3.9 .82 .490 9.4 5.2 2.1 .20
2.33 Satoransky Was .620 11.9 4.9 6.4 .97 .474 6.5 4.0 4.2 .10
2.10 Aldridge SAS .555 25.5 9.4 2.3 2.03 .525 20.0 8.6 2.4 1.56
1.98 J Brown Bos .545 17.1 6.3 2.1 .96 .531 12.2 5.9 1.8 .45
1.95 J Murray Den .575 18.6 4.6 3.8 1.05 .514 13.8 4.3 3.3 .61
eW+ per36 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.88 Rozier Bos .517 14.9 6.3 3.9 1.09 .462 9.4 6.2 3.7 .58
1.86 Grant OkC .576 13.6 7.0 1.3 .81 .544 9.3 4.7 1.0 .20
1.77 Oubre Was .543 13.9 6.0 1.4 .67 .510 9.5 5.8 1.0 .22
1.76 D Murray SAS .478 13.5 10.0 5.1 1.28 .496 14.3 4.7 5.5 .69
1.70 Carroll Brk .546 15.2 8.2 2.5 1.04 .525 12.8 5.7 1.5 .63
1.68 Adams OkC .624 16.4 10.5 1.3 1.34 .577 14.2 9.7 1.4 .97
1.59 Davis Por .602 10.3 13.7 1.0 1.06 .548 8.5 11.0 1.2 .49
1.59 Wa.-Prince Atl .538 14.8 6.2 2.8 .74 .503 11.0 5.6 1.9 .38
1.59 Capela Hou .638 19.5 15.7 1.6 2.14 .628 18.9 12.7 1.8 1.71
1.57 T Evans Mem .552 22.0 6.2 5.7 1.71 .494 16.8 6.1 5.2 1.23
1.57 Hezonja Orl .538 14.0 6.1 2.0 .75 .448 9.5 5.2 2.0 .17
DeJounte Murray is a 6-5 PG whose only improvement is to double his rebound rates. On the Spurs he's 2nd in both DReb% (to Gasol) and OReb% (Aldridge), among their top 12. Oh, he's doubled his stealing rate and cut turnovers also.
Best rebounding guards (700+ min.)
Code: Select all
TRb% guards tm ORb% DRb%
14.9 D Murray SAS 7.4 22.5
14.9 Westbrook OKC 5.5 25.0
10.7 Ball LAL 4.0 17.5
10.5 Nwaba Chi 5.4 16.1
10.4 Valentine Chi 2.5 18.8
10.2 Burks Uta 2.0 18.3
10.0 Paul Hou 2.4 17.4
9.9 Rozier Bos 3.5 16.0
9.7 Lowry Tor 3.2 16.0
9.5 Wade Cle-Mia 4.1 14.8
6.3 median NBA 2.0 10.7Just 9 get half the OReb Murray gets.
Re: Improved Players 2017-18
Final rankings. Estimated additional wins added in this year's minutes, over the same minutes at last year's rates.
Code: Select all
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
4.62 Victor Oladipo Ind .568 25.0 5.9 4.5 1.84 OkC .529 17.2 4.9 3.0 .97
3.94 D Sabonis Ind .557 16.5 11.5 2.9 1.36 OkC .466 9.8 6.7 1.9 .31
3.23 S Dinwiddie Brk .518 14.2 4.0 8.4 1.24 .566 10.6 4.2 4.7 .56
2.92 Brandon Ingram LAL .526 16.2 5.8 4.2 .98 .467 10.0 5.0 2.4 .26
2.85 T Satoransky Was .606 11.1 5.3 6.3 .94 .474 6.5 4.0 4.2 .10
2.83 L Aldridge SAS .561 26.0 9.6 2.3 2.10 .525 20.0 8.6 2.4 1.56
2.79 Kris Dunn Chi .483 14.8 5.3 7.0 1.11 Min .428 6.4 4.6 4.7 .23
2.52 D Valentine Chi .524 11.9 6.7 3.8 .78 .490 9.4 5.2 2.1 .20
2.36 Jaylen Brown Bos .553 17.7 6.1 2.1 .98 .531 12.2 5.9 1.8 .45
2.31 Joe Ingles Uta .619 14.3 5.2 6.1 1.12 .599 12.0 5.0 4.2 .69
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
2.27 Jamal Murray Den .569 18.2 4.5 4.0 1.04 .514 13.8 4.3 3.3 .61
2.27 Terry Rozier Bos .515 14.8 6.4 4.1 1.11 .462 9.4 6.2 3.7 .58
2.24 T W-Prince Atl .544 15.8 6.0 3.0 .82 .503 11.0 5.6 1.9 .38
2.21 Jerami Grant OkC .592 14.0 6.7 1.2 .85 .544 9.3 4.7 1.0 .20
2.19 Dejounte Murray SAS .479 13.3 10.0 5.0 1.30 .496 14.3 4.7 5.5 .69
2.04 Mario Hezonja Orl .539 14.1 6.1 2.2 .77 .448 9.5 5.2 2.0 .17
2.01 Clint Capela Hou .638 19.5 15.5 1.6 2.19 .628 18.9 12.7 1.8 1.71
1.96 Steven Adams OkC .617 16.2 10.6 1.4 1.35 .577 14.2 9.7 1.4 .97
1.86 Kelly Oubre Was .526 13.4 5.9 1.5 .62 .510 9.5 5.8 1.0 .22
1.85 Larry Nance LA/Cl .605 13.5 11.4 2.1 1.40 LAL .560 10.1 8.9 2.1 .77
eW+ per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484 Eff% Sco Reb Ast e484
1.82 Kyle Anderson SAS .572 11.4 7.7 3.9 1.08 .518 8.5 7.3 3.3 .64
1.77 Allen Crabbe Brk .553 14.9 5.3 2.0 .75 Por .596 12.8 3.5 1.4 .36
1.76 DeMarre Carroll Brk .541 14.9 8.0 2.5 1.02 Tor .525 12.8 5.7 1.5 .63
1.75 Jusuf Nurkic Por .520 20.6 13.0 2.8 1.87 .518 16.1 12.6 3.3 1.46
1.65 Trey Burke NYK .559 19.5 3.2 7.1 1.46 Was .531 12.9 2.3 4.8 .44
1.63 Aaron Gordon Orl .523 17.7 8.9 2.5 1.30 .523 15.0 6.5 2.2 .89
1.59 Darren Collison Ind .602 16.2 3.4 6.6 1.31 Sac .563 15.8 2.9 5.4 .93
1.59 Mike Scott Was .594 15.1 6.1 2.0 .69 Atl .363 6.0 6.4 2.9 .15
1.59 J Valanciunas Tor .618 21.9 15.2 2.0 2.15 .592 19.0 14.3 1.1 1.71
1.56 Jakob Poeltl Tor .652 12.6 8.9 1.4 .91 .575 9.6 9.3 .7 .41