2020 Playoffs: East round 1

Home for all your discussion of basketball statistical analysis.
rlee
Posts: 3027
Joined: Tue Sep 10, 2013 3:58 pm

Re: 2020 Playoffs: East round 1

Post by rlee »

Basketball Intelligence: Today's Best NBA Reporting And Analysis: http://basketballintelligence.net/2020/ ... s-8-25-20/
Mike G
Posts: 6154
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2020 Playoffs: East round 1

Post by Mike G »

Eastern Conference leaders after 4 games.

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl    TO   Blk   e480
1.23  Antetokounmpo  Mil   33  .622   39.4  17.9   6.2    .9   4.7    .6   4.54
.95   Jayson Tatum   Bos   36  .597   28.4   9.9   2.4    .5    .9   2.3   3.14
.77  Nikola Vučević  Orl   36  .652   29.1   9.5   3.0    .8   3.2    .8   2.56
.77   Joel Embiid    Phl   36  .580   28.8  11.9   1.1   1.5   3.8   1.3   2.54
.76   Kemba Walker   Bos   33  .610   29.2   4.8   3.9   1.4   1.3    .8   2.78

.61   Fred VanVleet  Tor   33  .708   27.0   4.1   7.3   1.4   1.6    .6   2.21
.55   Bam Adebayo    Mia   34  .531   16.4  13.7   5.3   1.1   3.4   1.3   1.92
.53   Serge Ibaka    Tor   24  .733   30.5  13.6   2.4    .4   1.2   1.4   2.71
.52   Jimmy Butler   Mia   34  .564   23.3   6.5   4.1   2.7   4.3   1.1   1.85
.52   Goran Dragić   Mia   34  .562   25.1   4.9   5.1   1.3   2.8    .0   1.82

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl    TO   Blk   e480
.46  Malcolm Brogdon Ind   40  .544   18.1   4.0   7.3    .9   2.4    .0   1.39
.46   Pascal Siakam  Tor   34  .494   21.4   7.9   4.5   1.1   2.2    .3   1.64
.45   Jaylen Brown   Bos   38  .597   22.3   5.6   2.3   1.0   2.8    .2   1.44
.41   Myles Turner   Ind   37  .606   14.3  11.0    .6    .5   2.4   4.0   1.34
.38   Caris LeVert   Brk   35  .474   16.9   5.8   7.4   1.3   3.4    .3   1.30

.35   Kyle Lowry     Tor   30  .538   15.2   8.1   5.0   1.9   2.1   1.2   1.42
.35   Eric Bledsoe   Mil   26  .511   17.1   5.4   7.2   2.2   4.1   1.1   1.61
.33   Norman Powell  Tor   24  .729   26.9   5.8   1.5   1.0   1.6    .3   1.64
.33   Tobias Harris  Phl   37  .453   12.2   8.9   3.3    .5   1.2    .2   1.05
.31   T.J. Warren    Ind   39  .552   17.0   6.0   2.3   2.1   2.7    .2    .97

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl    TO   Blk   e480
.30   Jarrett Allen  Brk   33  .641   10.4  15.2   1.9    .6   3.1   2.0   1.10
.28   Tyler Herro    Mia   32  .584   17.4   4.8   3.0    .5   1.1    .3   1.05
.25   Jae Crowder    Mia   26  .557   12.3  10.6   2.0   1.4    .4    .0   1.17
.23  Khris Middleton Mil   32  .435   14.1   8.5   4.5    .9   4.5    .3    .86
.22  Victor Oladipo  Ind   31  .555   20.0   3.9   2.4   2.7   4.4    .0    .87

.20   D.J. Augustin  Orl   26  .580   16.2   2.7   6.9    .3   3.7    .0    .90
.19  Duncan Robinson Mia   25  .676   18.7   4.9   1.7    .7   1.9    .4    .89
.17   Kelly Olynyk   Mia   14  .625   14.4  16.3   2.1    .0   2.3    .6   1.52
.17   Terrence Ross  Orl   28  .575   17.5   4.5    .7    .9   1.9    .3    .74
.17  Grant Williams  Bos   10  1.06   24.9   8.0   2.5    .0   1.0   1.8   2.04
In their sweep of the Nets, the Raptors' Fred VanVleet had the 3 highest Game Scores of his playoff career. Game 4 was only his 10th best (of 41), as he played only 19 minutes -- and the Raps were +21 in that time.
Serge Ibaka had his best-ever playoff GmSc in that game 4, after his 7th and 8th best in 137 playoff games. And he was playing 20-25 minutes.
Norman Powell came up with his best ever playoff GmSc, as well as his 3rd best and his #12 of 60.
Kyle Lowry merely had 3 above-normal games, and a Gm 4 where he only went 9 minutes.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... -playoffs/
rlee
Posts: 3027
Joined: Tue Sep 10, 2013 3:58 pm

Re: 2020 Playoffs: East round 1

Post by rlee »

Basketball Intelligence: Special Edition: http://basketballintelligence.net/2020/ ... al-edition
Mike G
Posts: 6154
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2020 Playoffs: East round 1

Post by Mike G »

That ^ is a great roundup of boycott-related commentary.
Nice work, RL!
Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2020 Playoffs: East round 1

Post by Crow »

Raptors playing the best. Other teams better amp up to their best.
Mike G
Posts: 6154
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2020 Playoffs: East round 1

Post by Mike G »

Bucks 4 , Magic 1
avg score 116.2 - 107.0
pyth wins 3.75 - 1.25, eWins 3.12 - 1.88

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.47  Antetokounmpo   Mil   32  .638   40.0  17.9   5.8    .7   4.6   .7   4.45
.89   Nikola Vučević  Orl   37  .601   25.7  10.1   3.1    .8   2.7   .6   2.31
.43   Eric Bledsoe    Mil   26  .527   16.5   4.9   7.7   2.0   3.8   .8   1.56
.41  Khris Middleton  Mil   32  .466   16.1   8.7   5.0    .9   4.1   .2   1.23
.26   Brook Lopez     Mil   30  .626   15.0   5.2    .6   1.5   1.8  1.5    .82

.23   D.J. Augustin   Orl   26  .574   16.7   2.4   6.2    .3   3.2   .0    .87
.23   Terrence Ross   Orl   27  .577   17.6   5.0   1.0   1.0   2.1   .2    .80
.19   George Hill     Mil   22  .667   15.2   2.9   4.6   1.2   2.1   .0    .83
.15   Markelle Fultz  Orl   29  .472   12.8   2.5   5.1   1.3   3.4   .8    .50
.13   Evan Fournier   Orl   34  .489   11.0   4.0   2.2   1.3   2.0   .6    .37

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.11  Pat Connaughton  Mil   21  .705    9.4   7.1   2.3    .0   1.0   .6    .49
.09  Donte DiVincenzo Mil   13  .467   11.6   7.2   1.9   1.4   2.4   .9    .67
.09   Gary Clark      Orl   29  .521    6.5   6.6   1.4   1.3    .5   .5    .29
.09  Marvin Williams  Mil   15  .737   10.3   8.0    .7    .4    .9   .8    .55
.08   James Ennis     Orl   24  .443    8.1   8.2   1.5   1.5   1.9   .6    .33

.07  Wesley Matthews  Mil   23  .621   11.6   2.7   2.1   1.3   1.0   .0    .30
.04   Khem Birch      Orl   18  .615    8.1   8.2   2.0    .4   1.8   .0    .20
.01   Kyle Korver     Mil   15  .609   13.7   2.0    .3    .4   1.3   .0    .07
.01   Ersan İlyasova  Mil    5  .450    8.9   4.9    .0   2.6   1.3   .0    .11
-.00  Robin Lopez     Mil    4  .750    7.7   5.4    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.11
-.01  Wesley Iwundu   Orl   15  .438    6.4   4.2   1.3   1.2   1.3   .8   -.04
shooting: Mil .587 - .540 Orl
rebounds: Mil 50.4 - 43.0 Orl
turnovers: Orl 14.6 - 16.6 Mil

And with this, the top 40 in eWins per game in the East for round 1:

Code: Select all

eW/G    per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.294   Antetokounmpo  Mil   32  .638   40.0  17.9   5.8    .7   4.6   .7   4.45
.237   Jayson Tatum   Bos   36  .597   28.4   9.9   2.4    .5    .9  2.3   3.14
.192   Joel Embiid    Phl   36  .580   28.8  11.9   1.1   1.5   3.8  1.3   2.54
.190   Kemba Walker   Bos   33  .610   29.2   4.8   3.9   1.4   1.3   .8   2.78
.178  Nikola Vučević  Orl   37  .601   25.7  10.1   3.1    .8   2.7   .6   2.31

.153   Fred VanVleet  Tor   33  .708   27.0   4.1   7.3   1.4   1.6   .6   2.21
.137   Bam Adebayo    Mia   34  .531   16.4  13.7   5.3   1.1   3.4  1.3   1.92
.133   Serge Ibaka    Tor   24  .733   30.5  13.6   2.4    .4   1.2  1.4   2.71
.130   Jimmy Butler   Mia   34  .564   23.3   6.5   4.1   2.7   4.3  1.1   1.85
.130   Goran Dragić   Mia   34  .562   25.1   4.9   5.1   1.3   2.8   .0   1.82

eW/G    per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.116  Malcolm Brogdon Ind   40  .544   18.1   4.0   7.3    .9   2.4   .0   1.39
.114   Pascal Siakam  Tor   34  .494   21.4   7.9   4.5   1.1   2.2   .3   1.64
.113   Jaylen Brown   Bos   38  .597   22.3   5.6   2.3   1.0   2.8   .2   1.44
.102   Myles Turner   Ind   37  .606   14.3  11.0    .6    .5   2.4  4.0   1.34
.095   Caris LeVert   Brk   35  .474   16.9   5.8   7.4   1.3   3.4   .3   1.30

.088   Kyle Lowry     Tor   30  .538   15.2   8.1   5.0   1.9   2.1  1.2   1.42
.085   Eric Bledsoe   Mil   26  .527   16.5   4.9   7.7   2.0   3.8   .8   1.56
.082   Norman Powell  Tor   24  .729   26.9   5.8   1.5   1.0   1.6   .3   1.64
.081   Tobias Harris  Phl   37  .453   12.2   8.9   3.3    .5   1.2   .2   1.05
.081  Khris Middleton Mil   32  .466   16.1   8.7   5.0    .9   4.1   .2   1.23

eW/G    per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.079   T.J. Warren    Ind   39  .552   17.0   6.0   2.3   2.1   2.7   .2    .97
.076   Jarrett Allen  Brk   33  .641   10.4  15.2   1.9    .6   3.1  2.0   1.10
.070   Tyler Herro    Mia   32  .584   17.4   4.8   3.0    .5   1.1   .3   1.05
.062   Jae Crowder    Mia   26  .557   12.3  10.6   2.0   1.4    .4   .0   1.17
.056  Victor Oladipo  Ind   31  .555   20.0   3.9   2.4   2.7   4.4   .0    .87

.052   Brook Lopez    Mil   30  .626   15.0   5.2    .6   1.5   1.8  1.5    .82
.047  Duncan Robinson Mia   25  .676   18.7   4.9   1.7    .7   1.9   .4    .89
.046   D.J. Augustin  Orl   26  .574   16.7   2.4   6.2    .3   3.2   .0    .87
.045   Terrence Ross  Orl   27  .577   17.6   5.0   1.0   1.0   2.1   .2    .80
.044   Kelly Olynyk   Mia   14  .625   14.4  16.3   2.1    .0   2.3   .6   1.52

eW/G    per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.041   Grant Williams Bos   10  1.06   24.9   8.0   2.5    .0   1.0  1.8   2.04
.041   Terence Davis  Tor   13  .829   25.3   5.7   2.6    .6   2.1   .0   1.48
.040   Shake Milton   Phl   32  .611   16.0   3.6   2.7    .6   1.8   .0    .62
.039  Josh Richardson Phl   36  .515   14.6   3.7   2.8    .5   2.1   .5    .52
.038   George Hill    Mil   22  .667   15.2   2.9   4.6   1.2   2.1   .0    .83

.033   Enes Kanter    Bos   15  .449   11.0  13.7   2.7    .0   1.3   .0   1.05
.033   OG Anunoby     Tor   33  .522    9.2   5.8   1.7   1.1   1.3  1.7    .48
.032   Daniel Theis   Bos   23  .472   12.6   6.2   2.7    .8   1.4  1.6    .68
.031   Tyler Johnson  Brk   23  .585   17.1   2.5   2.5    .0   1.1   .4    .63
.030  Markelle Fultz  Orl   29  .472   12.8   2.5   5.1   1.3   3.4   .8    .50
An average player (eW/48 = 1.00) going 36 min/G would get .075 eW/G
rlee
Posts: 3027
Joined: Tue Sep 10, 2013 3:58 pm

Re: 2020 Playoffs: East round 1

Post by rlee »

Basketball Intelligence: Today's Best NBA Reporting And Analysis: http://basketballintelligence.net/2020/ ... s-8-30-20/
Post Reply