2020 Playoffs: West round 1

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Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by Mike G »

Rockets 2, Thunder 2
avg score 113.8 - 110.5
Pyth wins 2.38 - 1.62 , eWins 2.19 - 1.81

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e493
1.13  James Harden    Hou   38  .590   30.9   7.6   7.2   1.9   2.4   .2   3.68
.51  Shai G-Alexander OKC   41  .583   16.3   6.6   2.8   1.1   1.0   .4   1.51
.50   Chris Paul      OKC   38  .585   19.7   6.9   3.8   1.5   3.5   .5   1.61
.38   Jeff Green      Hou   35  .704   17.4   6.3   2.1    .5   1.3   .5   1.33
.30   Eric Gordon     Hou   34  .464   17.7   3.3   3.0   1.1   2.4  1.1   1.10

.28   Danuel House    Hou   37  .634   14.9   6.5   1.9    .5   1.2   .0    .94
.27  Danilo Gallinari OKC   34  .591   18.5   4.9   1.1    .5   2.1   .3    .98
.25   Steven Adams    OKC   30  .589   12.4  13.4   2.0    .3   3.7   .3   1.04
.23  Dennis Schröder  OKC   34  .542   18.4   2.9   3.6    .5   3.2   .0    .86
.10  Robert Covington Hou   28  .593    9.4   5.8   1.4   1.9   1.9  1.6    .42

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e493
.09   Darius Bazley   OKC   16  .688    9.9  11.2    .8    .0   1.6   .0    .67
.05   P.J. Tucker     Hou   37  .621    9.1   7.1   1.3    .5   1.3   .0    .17
.05   Nerlens Noel    OKC   13  .517    6.7   9.6    .9    .0    .0  1.7    .47
-.00  Ben McLemore    Hou   16  .575    9.1   3.9    .4   1.0    .5   .0   -.02
-.04  Luguentz Dort   OKC   24  .388    6.7   5.7    .9    .4   1.7  1.5   -.21
-.05  Austin Rivers   Hou   21  .380    5.2   5.4   1.9    .4   1.1   .0   -.28
shooting: Hou .572 - .561 OKC
rebounds: OKC 48.5 - 40.8 Hou
turnovers: Hou 11 - 15 OKC


Lakers 3 , Blazers 1
avg score 113.8 - 102.8
Pyth wins 3.18 - .82 , eWins 2.59 - 1.41

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.91   LeBron James    LAL   33  .647   34.6  10.7   9.9   1.4   6.0   .3   3.34
.90   Anthony Davis   LAL   32  .573   33.2  10.3   4.2   1.7   1.5  2.3   3.40
.41   Damian Lillard  Por   36  .602   25.0   3.5   3.5    .5   3.6   .3   1.37
.31   Jusuf Nurkić    Por   31  .545   15.4  12.1   2.9    .6   3.3   .0   1.20
.31   JaVale McGee    LAL   14  .737   20.7  16.2   1.7    .7    .7  4.0   2.72

.29   CJ McCollum     Por   38  .494   16.7   5.5   1.8   1.2   2.2   .5    .93
.21  Hassan Whiteside Por   23  .615   11.7  10.5    .3    .4   1.9  3.9   1.13
.13   Dwight Howard   LAL   19  .620   12.1  11.1   1.5    .4   1.8   .4    .86
.13   Kyle Kuzma      LAL   24  .529   14.3   6.1    .9    .3   1.1   .3    .67
.12   Danny Green     LAL   26  .493   10.7   4.0    .9   2.1   1.1  1.4    .56

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.11  Carmelo Anthony  Por   34  .441   10.7   4.8   2.0   1.4   2.2   .5    .40
.08   Wenyen Gabriel  Por   13  .656   13.9   6.2   2.1   1.3   3.2  1.3    .71
.07   Kentav. C-Pope  LAL   26  .506   12.6   2.3    .9   1.1    .8   .0    .31
.06   Mario Hezonja   Por   15  .452    8.3   7.3   2.2   1.6   1.1   .0    .53
.05   Alex Caruso     LAL   24  .417    6.3   3.9   4.8   1.4   2.2   .4    .24

.01  Anfernee Simons  Por   14  .341    5.9   3.4   3.8   1.2   1.2   .0    .11
.01  Markieff Morris  LAL   18  .483    5.1   5.4   1.5    .4    .5   .9    .04
-.01  Dion Waiters    LAL    8  .500    7.4   1.9   1.7   1.0   1.1   .0   -.13
-.07  J.R. Smith      LAL   12  .350    7.6    .0   1.7    .7   4.2   .0   -.71
-.10  Gary Trent Jr.  Por   28  .478    6.7   1.7    .2    .6    .9   .0   -.42
shooting: LA .544 - .517 Por
rebounds: LA 50.3 - 40.8 Por
turnovers: LA 14.3 - 15.3 Por

https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... _2020.html
rlee
Posts: 3027
Joined: Tue Sep 10, 2013 3:58 pm

Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by rlee »

Basketball Intelligence: Today's Best NBA Reporting And Analysis: http://basketballintelligence.net/2020/ ... s-8-25-20/
Mike G
Posts: 6154
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by Mike G »

Jazz 3, Nuggets 2
avg score 121.8 - 114.2
Pyth wins 3.51 - 1.49 , eWins 3.00 - 2.00

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e490
1.35 Donovan Mitchell Uta   36  .699   40.6   4.4   4.6   .8   3.5   .2   3.66
1.11  Jamal Murray    Den   36  .681   29.1   7.0   5.0   .6   1.5   .4   2.98
.79   Nikola Jokić    Den   38  .620   23.0   8.3   3.5   .4   2.5   .6   2.07
.54   Rudy Gobert     Uta   38  .662   15.8  10.7   1.1   .6   1.7  1.4   1.40
.49   Mike Conley     Uta   18  .778   29.5   2.1   4.2  1.6    .8   .4   2.66

.37  Jordan Clarkson  Uta   29  .611   19.5   4.3   2.3   .7   1.2   .0   1.23
.20   Michael Porter  Den   27  .626   13.9   7.8    .6   .3   1.4   .8    .72
.19   Joe Ingles      Uta   33  .619   10.1   3.8   4.3   .9    .9   .0    .56
.08   Mason Plumlee   Den   10  .455    4.3  14.6   2.9   .6   1.8  1.7    .79
.06   Tony Bradley    Uta    9  .391    4.2  15.8    .5  1.3   2.7  1.3    .64

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e490
.05   Paul Millsap    Den   24  .506    8.9   5.5   1.3  1.2   1.6  1.2    .22
.04   Georges Niang   Uta   17  .618   11.2   5.0    .9   .0    .8   .0    .21
.01  Emmanuel Mudiay  Uta    7  .433    7.7   5.6   1.4   .0    .9   .9    .14
.00   Monte Morris    Den   26  .481    7.6   2.8   3.0   .8   1.1   .3    .01
.00   Royce O'Neale   Uta   34  .630    5.7   7.2   2.8  1.3   2.3   .4    .00

-.03  Juwan Morgan    Uta   16  .409    2.3   8.9   1.7   .8    .4   .0   -.16
-.03  Jerami Grant    Den   34  .547    9.3   4.1   1.4   .4   1.8  1.1   -.08
-.05  PJ Dozier       Den   16  .439    5.1   5.6   2.3   .4   1.7   .4   -.33
-.18  Torrey Craig    Den   23  .542    5.1   4.2    .4   .3   1.3   .3   -.77
shooting: Utah .637 - .583 Den
rebounds: Uta 42 -41 Den
turnovers: Den 11.4 -12.0 Uta


Clippers 3 , Mavs 2
avg score 129.8 - 121.0
Pyth wins 3.59 - 1.41 , eWins 3.04 - 1.96

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e490
1.26  Kawhi Leonard   LAC   39  .619   27.5   9.2   3.5   1.7   2.3   .6   3.19
.99   Luka Dončić     Dal   35  .578   25.9  10.4   6.3   1.3   5.6   .6   2.81
.43   Lou Williams    LAC   29  .664   20.0   4.4   4.4    .7   2.9   .0   1.44
.40  Kr'ps Porziņģis  Dal   19  .689   21.7   9.9    .5    .0   1.2  1.2   2.08
.37   Marcus Morris   LAC   32  .660   12.6   7.6   2.1   1.6    .7   .2   1.11

.36   Paul George     LAC   35  .495   15.1   6.8   2.7   1.0   2.3   .2   1.00
.33   Ivica Zubac     LAC   23  .675   13.2   9.9   1.0    .3    .3  1.5   1.40
.23   Tim Hardaway    Dal   34  .567   14.0   4.2   1.5    .4    .4   .0    .66
.21   Trey Burke      Dal   24  .642   15.5   2.8   2.0   1.7   1.4   .6    .85
.17  Boban Marjanović Dal   13  .600   12.2  13.7   1.3    .0   1.4   .5   1.27

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e490
.13  Montrezl Harrell LAC   19  .617   14.7   6.4    .5    .0   2.1  1.7    .69
.10   Dorian F-Smith  Dal   31  .536    7.5   6.5   2.5   1.6   1.4   .7    .33
.06   Seth Curry      Dal   29  .722   13.6   2.1   1.2   1.0   1.5   .0    .20
.06   Reggie Jackson  LAC   22  .618   10.0   4.7   2.2    .3    .6   .0    .25
.04  Patrick Beverley LAC    4  .571   11.2   9.0   1.4   3.5   1.8   .0    .91

.03   Landry Shamet   LAC   20  .661   11.3   3.9   1.1   1.4   1.8   .3    .16
-.02  Delon Wright    Dal   11  .640    8.1   1.7   2.9   2.9   3.0   .0   -.18
-.06  JaMychal Green  LAC   14  .579    7.0   4.7    .0    .5    .9   .9   -.46
-.08 M Kidd-Gilchrist Dal   10  .375    4.2   2.4   1.3    .6    .6   .6   -.79
-.09  Maxi Kleber     Dal   34  .456    4.0   7.1   1.1    .4    .9  1.1   -.26
shooting: LAC .617 - .586
rebounds: LAC 45.2 - 43.4 Dal
turnovers: LAC 11.8 - 12.8 Dal
rlee
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by rlee »

Basketball Intelligence: Today's Best NBA Reporting And Analysis: http://basketballintelligence.net/2020/ ... s-8-26-20/
Mike G
Posts: 6154
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by Mike G »

Boycott days. Some teams have played 5 games -- Dal-LAC and Den-Uta -- while others have played 4: LAL-Por and Hou-OKC.
Here in one list they are ranked by eWins per team game.

Code: Select all

eW/G    per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.282   James Harden    Hou   38  .590   30.9   7.6   7.2   1.9   2.4   .2   3.68
.270  Donovan Mitchell Uta   36  .699   40.6   4.4   4.6    .8   3.5   .2   3.66
.253   Kawhi Leonard   LAC   39  .619   27.5   9.2   3.5   1.7   2.3   .6   3.19
.228   LeBron James    LAL   33  .647   34.6  10.7   9.9   1.4   6.0   .3   3.34
.225   Anthony Davis   LAL   32  .573   33.2  10.3   4.2   1.7   1.5  2.3   3.40

.221   Jamal Murray    Den   36  .681   29.1   7.0   5.0    .6   1.5   .4   2.98
.198   Luka Dončić     Dal   35  .578   25.9  10.4   6.3   1.3   5.6   .6   2.81
.159   Nikola Jokić    Den   38  .620   23.0   8.3   3.5    .4   2.5   .6   2.07
.127  Shai G-Alexander OKC   41  .583   16.3   6.6   2.8   1.1   1.0   .4   1.51
.124   Chris Paul      OKC   38  .585   19.7   6.9   3.8   1.5   3.5   .5   1.61

eW/G    per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.108   Rudy Gobert     Uta   38  .662   15.8  10.7   1.1    .6   1.7  1.4   1.40
.102  Damian Lillard   Por   36  .602   25.0   3.5   3.5    .5   3.6   .3   1.37
.099   Mike Conley     Uta   18  .778   29.5   2.1   4.2   1.6    .8   .4   2.66
.094   Jeff Green      Hou   35  .704   17.4   6.3   2.1    .5   1.3   .5   1.33
.086   Lou Williams    LAC   29  .664   20.0   4.4   4.4    .7   2.9   .0   1.44

.080  Krist. Porziņģis Dal   19  .689   21.7   9.9    .5    .0   1.2  1.2   2.08
.077   Jusuf Nurkić    Por   31  .545   15.4  12.1   2.9    .6   3.3   .0   1.20
.076   JaVale McGee    LAL   14  .737   20.7  16.2   1.7    .7    .7  4.0   2.72
.075   Eric Gordon     Hou   34  .464   17.7   3.3   3.0   1.1   2.4  1.1   1.10
.074  Jordan Clarkson  Uta   29  .611   19.5   4.3   2.3    .7   1.2   .0   1.23

eW/G    per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.073   Marcus Morris   LAC   32  .660   12.6   7.6   2.1   1.6    .7   .2   1.11
.072   CJ McCollum     Por   38  .494   16.7   5.5   1.8   1.2   2.2   .5    .93
.072   Paul George     LAC   35  .495   15.1   6.8   2.7   1.0   2.3   .2   1.00
.071   Danuel House    Hou   37  .634   14.9   6.5   1.9    .5   1.2   .0    .94
.067  Danilo Gallinari OKC   34  .591   18.5   4.9   1.1    .5   2.1   .3    .98

.066   Ivica Zubac     LAC   23  .675   13.2   9.9   1.0    .3    .3  1.5   1.40
.063   Steven Adams    OKC   30  .589   12.4  13.4   2.0    .3   3.7   .3   1.04
.059  Dennis Schröder  OKC   34  .542   18.4   2.9   3.6    .5   3.2   .0    .86
.053  Hassan Whiteside Por   23  .615   11.7  10.5    .3    .4   1.9  3.9   1.13
.046  Tim Hardaway Jr. Dal   34  .567   14.0   4.2   1.5    .4    .4   .0    .66
 
Final column is eWins per 480 minutes. When there has been an overtime in the series, it's actually per 490 min. In either case 1.00 is average for the series.
Effective shooting% is Pts/(2*FGA+FTA). Counting stats are per 36 minutes and per 100 Pts and 44 Reb per team.
Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by Mike G »

Rockets 3, Thunder 2
avg score 113.8 - 104.4
pyth wins 3.79 - 1.21 , eWins 3.15 - 1.85

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e490
1.44  James Harden    Hou   36  .628   35.5   6.5   7.2   1.8   2.7   .4   3.95
.54   Chris Paul      OKC   36  .576   19.3   6.6   3.6   1.2   3.7   .6   1.45
.45   Eric Gordon     Hou   34  .480   19.2   3.3   3.1   1.3   2.2   .9   1.33
.42   Jeff Green      Hou   34  .650   16.1   6.9   2.0    .4   1.2   .6   1.22
.38  Shai G-Alexander OKC   40  .548   13.7   5.7   2.9    .9   1.6   .4    .94

.37   Steven Adams    OKC   29  .604   13.1  13.9   1.6    .3   3.0   .3   1.24
.32  Robert Covington Hou   29  .659   14.2   6.1   1.8   2.3   1.8  1.3   1.09
.32   Dennis Schröder OKC   31  .554   19.9   2.6   3.3    .7   3.1   .2   1.00
.31   Danuel House    Hou   35  .577   14.1   6.8   2.0    .6   1.5   .0    .87
.20  Danilo Gallinari OKC   31  .551   15.7   5.3    .9    .7   2.8   .2    .61

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e490
.15   Darius Bazley   OKC   18  .571    9.8  12.1    .9    .0   1.6   .4    .83
.09   P.J. Tucker     Hou   34  .605    9.5   7.1   1.5    .9   1.5   .0    .26
.08   Nerlens Noel    OKC   13  .459    5.8  11.5    .8    .0    .0  1.9    .59
.08 Russell Westbrook Hou    5  .250    6.9   8.6   9.2   1.5    .0   .0   1.59
.04   Hamidou Diallo  OKC    5  .448   12.5   6.8   1.0    .0   2.6  2.4    .72

-.00  Austin Rivers   Hou   21  .375    5.5   5.6   2.2    .9    .9   .3   -.01
-.01  Ben McLemore    Hou   15  .542    8.4   3.6    .7    .8    .4   .0   -.08
-.01  Mike Muscala    OKC    4  .750    4.2   5.7   1.2    .0    .0   .0   -.33
-.02  Abdel Nader     OKC    5  .250    2.4   3.4    .0   1.2    .0  2.4   -.35
-.05 Terrance Ferguson OKC   7  .375    3.4   2.6    .7    .9    .0   .0   -.63
-.12  Luguentz Dort   OKC   24  .323    6.1   4.4   1.0    .3   2.0  1.2   -.49
shooting: Hou .563 - .525 OKC
rebounds: OKC 50.4 - 43.6 Hou
turnovers: Hou 11.0 - 15.6 OKC


Lakers 4 , Blazers 1
Avg score 117.2 - 106.6
Pyth wins 3.90 - 1.10 , eWins 3.20 - 1.80

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.15  Anthony Davis   LAL   33  .637   36.7  10.1   3.9   1.6   1.4  1.8   3.40
1.14  LeBron James    LAL   33  .692   36.5  10.9   9.4   1.3   5.9   .4   3.34
.43   CJ McCollum     Por   39  .527   19.2   5.4   2.3   1.1   2.8   .4   1.05
.43   Jusuf Nurkić    Por   32  .518   14.5  11.7   3.2   1.6   3.0   .2   1.28
.37   Damian Lillard  Por   29  .602   24.1   3.6   3.4    .5   3.6   .3   1.24

.28   JaVale McGee    LAL   13  .714   17.4  14.3   1.8    .5   1.1  3.2   2.02
.21  Hassan Whiteside Por   21  .548    9.9  11.5    .5    .3   2.0  3.3    .95
.19   Dwight Howard   LAL   19  .609   14.7  11.0   1.1    .3   1.8   .3    .98
.18  Carmelo Anthony  Por   35  .507   13.6   5.2   1.6   1.0   2.7   .4    .50
.15 Kentavious C-Pope LAL   26  .523   14.3   1.9   1.8   1.7   1.2   .0    .54

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.14   Kyle Kuzma      LAL   24  .470   12.5   5.7    .9    .5    .9   .5    .54
.12   Danny Green     LAL   27  .460    9.3   3.6   1.4   1.9   1.5  1.6    .42
.08  Anfernee Simons  Por   16  .466    8.9   4.3   3.1   2.4   1.6   .0    .46
.08   Alex Caruso     LAL   24  .450    6.8   3.9   4.1   2.2   2.6   .6    .32
.07   Wenyen Gabriel  Por   11  .656   13.4   6.3   2.0   1.3   3.2  1.3    .66

.07   Mario Hezonja   Por   14  .479    8.7   7.2   2.1   1.4   1.4   .0    .46
.03  Markieff Morris  LAL   18  .514    6.0   6.5   1.5    .4    .8   .7    .14
.01   Jaylen Hoard    Por    8  .583    9.3   6.7    .6    .0   1.5   .0    .11
-.01  Dion Waiters    LAL    6  .500    7.3   1.9   1.7   1.0   1.1   .0   -.12
-.05  Gary Trent Jr.  Por   31  .495    8.4   2.2    .5    .9   1.1   .0   -.16
-.09  J.R. Smith      LAL   11  .350    6.4    .0   1.4    .6   4.2   .0   -.80
shooting: LA .572 - .529 Por
rebounds: LA 48.4 - 42.8 Por
turnovers: LA 15.0 - 16.0 Por
rlee
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by rlee »

Basketball Intelligence: Today's Best NBA Reporting And Analysis: http://basketballintelligence.net/2020/ ... s-8-30-20/
Mike G
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by Mike G »

Clippers 4 , Mavs 2
avg score 126.7 - 117.0
pyth wins 4.45 - 1.55 , eWins 3.73 - 2.27

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e488
1.68  Kawhi Leonard   LAC   39  .625   29.0   9.7   3.8   2.2   2.5   .5   3.48
1.29  Luka Dončić     Dal   36  .581   27.6   9.8   6.2   1.2   5.3   .5   2.93
.42   Lou Williams    LAC   27  .608   18.9   4.3   4.3    .6   2.9   .0   1.27
.42   Marcus Morris   LAC   29  .681   13.9   7.2   2.0   1.7    .7   .2   1.19
.42   Ivica Zubac     LAC   25  .698   13.9  10.2    .8    .2    .5  1.2   1.37

.41   Kri. Porziņģis  Dal   16  .689   22.4   9.8    .5    .0   1.2  1.2   2.13
.40   Paul George     LAC   36  .474   14.7   7.0   3.2    .8   2.8   .2    .90
.23  Boban Marjanović Dal   14  .594   12.3  13.1   1.3    .0   1.2   .8   1.35
.22   Trey Burke      Dal   26  .578   12.9   4.2   1.9   1.8   1.4   .4    .69
.15   Tim Hardaway    Dal   34  .532   12.6   3.7   1.4    .4    .5   .0    .37

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e488
.14   D Finney-Smith  Dal   32  .560    8.8   6.3   2.5   1.3   1.7   .6    .35
.12  Montrezl Harrell LAC   18  .607   14.0   6.0    .5    .0   1.9  1.5    .54
.11   Reggie Jackson  LAC   23  .651   11.6   5.0   1.9    .2   1.0   .2    .38
.05   Landry Shamet   LAC   23  .658   10.6   3.1   1.6   1.5   1.6   .5    .17
.04   Seth Curry      Dal   29  .694   12.8   2.1   1.1   1.2   1.6   .0    .11

-.01  Delon Wright    Dal    9  .640    8.6   1.7   2.9   2.9   3.0   .0   -.09
-.03  JaMychal Green  LAC   14  .592    8.0   5.7    .3    .4    .8   .7   -.15
-.07 M Kidd-Gilchrist Dal    9  .412    4.5   3.2   1.1    .5    .5   .5   -.67
-.09  Maxi Kleber     Dal   34  .444    4.2   6.8   1.1    .4    .7  1.3   -.21
shooting: LAC .609 - .571 Dal
rebounds: LAC 46.3 - 43.2 Dal
turnovers: LAC 12.0 - 12.7 Dal


Jazz 3 , Nuggets 3
avg score 119.3 - 115.0
Pyth wins 3.72 - 2.28 , eWins 3.36 - 2.64

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e488
1.66 Donovan Mitchell Uta   37  .712   40.5   4.8   4.5  1.2   3.5   .2   3.68
1.45  Jamal Murray    Den   38  .721   32.5   6.6   4.9   .5   2.1   .3   3.15
.97   Nikola Jokić    Den   37  .621   22.7   7.7   4.2   .8   2.5   .5   2.11
.63   Mike Conley     Uta   21  .758   27.2   3.2   4.5  1.5   1.2   .3   2.46
.58   Rudy Gobert     Uta   39  .619   13.5  10.9   1.0   .6   1.3  1.3   1.22

.36  Jordan Clarkson  Uta   29  .578   17.2   4.5   2.2  1.0   1.4   .0   1.01
.20  Michael Porter   Den   28  .574   11.0   9.3    .6   .2   1.4   .6    .59
.15   Joe Ingles      Uta   33  .606    8.9   3.3   4.2   .7    .8   .2    .38
.11   Mason Plumlee   Den   10  .455    3.5  14.9   2.8   .9   1.5  1.9    .86
.05   Paul Millsap    Den   23  .517    8.8   6.2   1.2  1.3   1.9  1.0    .19

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e488
.04   Monte Morris    Den   26  .516    8.4   2.9   3.2   .7   1.0   .2    .13
.04   Tony Bradley    Uta    8  .360    3.5  14.8    .5  1.2   2.5  1.2    .39
.03   Georges Niang   Uta   18  .634   11.2   4.5    .7   .0    .6   .3    .16
.01  Emmanuel Mudiay  Uta    6  .433    7.6   5.7   1.4   .0    .9   .9    .13
-.01  Jerami Grant    Den   34  .603   10.8   3.7   1.2   .4   2.1  1.2   -.03

-.03  Juwan Morgan    Uta   13  .409    2.1   8.7   1.6   .8    .4   .0   -.18
-.05  PJ Dozier       Den   13  .439    5.2   5.7   2.4   .4   1.7   .4   -.29
-.07  Royce O'Neale   Uta   35  .586    5.1   6.6   2.6  1.2   2.2   .4   -.15
-.09  Torrey Craig    Den   23  .586    6.1   5.2    .8   .8   1.1   .5   -.33
Shooting: Uta .630 - .602 Den
rebounds: Den 41.3 - 40.0 Uta
turnovers: Uta 11.7 - 12.2 Den
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by rlee »

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Mike G
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by Mike G »

Rockets 3 , Thunder 3
avg score 111.5 - 104.3
Pyth wins 4.25 - 1.75 , eWins 3.62 - 2.38

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e488
1.63  James Harden    Hou   36  .626   36.2   6.8   6.9   1.5   3.0   .3   3.65
.77   Chris Paul      OKC   37  .586   21.4   6.4   3.4   1.5   3.0   .5   1.69
.48   Eric Gordon     Hou   34  .465   18.0   3.6   3.5   1.5   2.5   .9   1.16
.48  Robert Covington Hou   30  .692   15.8   5.9   1.4   2.8   1.6  1.6   1.29
.40  Danilo Gallinari OKC   31  .577   19.0   5.4   1.0   1.0   2.3   .2   1.05

.39   Jeff Green      Hou   31  .623   15.2   7.5   1.7    .4   1.6   .5   1.00
.38   Steven Adams    OKC   29  .560   12.2  14.1   1.5    .4   3.3   .2   1.05
.37   Danuel House    Hou   34  .589   14.3   6.2   1.8   1.1   1.2   .0    .87
.37  Shai G-Alexander OKC   40  .537   13.5   4.9   3.2    .8   2.0   .5    .75
.33   Dennis Schröder OKC   32  .522   18.3   3.4   3.0    .7   3.1   .2    .84

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e488
.22   Darius Bazley   OKC   19  .606   11.0  11.9   1.4    .0   1.5   .3    .97
.17   P.J. Tucker     Hou   34  .598    9.6   7.8   1.5   1.1   1.6   .2    .40
.11 Russell Westbrook Hou    9  .400   15.6   7.0   6.2   1.4   5.0   .0   1.09
.07   Nerlens Noel    OKC   14  .463    5.6   9.8    .6    .7    .4  1.9    .42
.04   Hamidou Diallo  OKC    4  .448   13.2   6.6   1.0    .0   2.5  2.4    .74

-.02  Abdel Nader     OKC    4  .250    2.5   3.3    .0   1.2    .0  2.4   -.31
-.02  Ben McLemore    Hou   13  .542    7.9   3.5    .7    .8    .4   .0   -.13
-.03  Austin Rivers   Hou   20  .353    4.9   5.1   1.9   1.1    .8   .3   -.11
-.07  Terr. Ferguson  OKC    7  .273    2.6   2.8    .6    .8    .8   .0   -.81
-.08  Luguentz Dort   OKC   23  .378    8.8   4.4   1.1    .5   3.1  1.3   -.28
shooting: Hou .562 - .526 OKC
rebounds: OKC 50.5 - 43.2 Hou
turnovers: Hou 12.8 - 16.2 OKC
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by rlee »

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Mike G
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by Mike G »

Nuggets 4 , Jazz 3
avg score: Uta 113.4 - 110.0 Den
Pyth wins 4.20 - 2.80 , eWins 3.85 - 3.15

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e487
1.86 Donovan Mitchell Uta   38  .683   39.1   5.2   4.0   1.0   4.3   .3   3.42
1.60  Jamal Murray    Den   38  .676   30.5   5.7   4.8    .6   2.1   .3   2.92
1.31  Nikola Jokić    Den   38  .617   24.5   8.5   4.2    .7   2.4   .4   2.42
.78   Rudy Gobert     Uta   39  .621   14.5  11.8    .9    .5   1.3  1.4   1.41
.71   Mike Conley     Uta   24  .660   21.9   3.3   4.8   1.8   1.2   .2   2.10

.43  Jordan Clarkson  Uta   29  .574   17.1   4.4   2.1   1.0   1.3   .0   1.05
.31   Michael Porter  Den   26  .568   12.7   9.9    .9    .6   1.8   .6    .84
.19   Joe Ingles      Uta   33  .561    8.4   4.0   4.3    .6    .7   .2    .40
.13   Monte Morris    Den   26  .505    8.8   3.1   3.6   1.2    .8   .2    .35
.10   Mason Plumlee   Den   10  .455    3.3  14.2   2.6    .8   1.3  2.1    .72

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e487
.06   Georges Niang   Uta   16  .644   12.0   4.4    .9    .0    .6   .3    .27
.03   Tony Bradley    Uta    7  .360    3.9  14.6    .5   1.2   2.5  1.2    .33
.02   Paul Millsap    Den   22  .527    9.0   5.6   1.4   1.1   2.0   .9    .08
.01  Emmanuel Mudiay  Uta    5  .433    8.2   5.6   1.5    .0    .9   .9    .16
-.05  PJ Dozier       Den   11  .439    5.6   5.6   2.5    .4   1.7   .4   -.32

-.06  Juwan Morgan    Uta   12  .333    2.0   8.2   1.5    .7    .4   .0   -.32
-.09  Gary Harris     Den    7  .267    2.9   3.8    .6   1.4   1.5  1.4   -.90
-.10  Jerami Grant    Den   34  .581    9.8   3.8   1.2    .3   2.1  1.1   -.21
-.11  Torrey Craig    Den   24  .539    5.7   5.6   1.0    .6    .9   .6   -.31
-.15  Royce O'Neale   Uta   36  .557    4.9   6.0   2.3   1.3   2.1   .3   -.29
shooting: Uta .607 - .581 Den
rebounds: Den 42.0 - 41.1 Uta
turnovers: 12.0 - 12.0
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by Mike G »

Rockets 4 , Thunder 3
avg score 110.4 - 104.0
Pyth wins 4.83 - 2.17 , eWins 4.16 - 2.84

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e487
1.74  James Harden    Hou   36  .605   32.4   6.2   7.1   1.6   3.2   .7   3.32
.97   Chris Paul      OKC   37  .596   21.0   7.0   4.4   1.6   3.5   .4   1.81
.69  Robert Covington Hou   31  .684   16.6   6.5   1.5   2.9   1.3  1.8   1.54
.56   Eric Gordon     Hou   34  .500   18.7   3.4   3.2   1.4   2.9   .9   1.15
.47   Steven Adams    OKC   30  .573   11.9  13.6   1.3    .7   3.0   .4   1.08

.46  Shai G-Alexander OKC   40  .562   14.1   4.7   3.2    .9   2.1   .4    .80
.44   Jeff Green      Hou   30  .653   15.9   7.0   1.7    .3   1.6   .5   1.02
.37  Danilo Gallinari OKC   30  .559   17.0   6.3   1.0    .9   2.8   .2    .84
.36   Danuel House    Hou   33  .573   13.3   6.4   1.6    .9   1.1   .0    .76
.35  Dennis Schröder  OKC   32  .498   16.3   3.7   3.1    .6   2.7   .2    .74

eWin   per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e487
.25   Darius Bazley   OKC   18  .639   11.1  11.2   1.2    .0   1.6   .7    .95
.21 Russell Westbrook Hou   12  .431   17.1   7.9   4.5    .9   3.9   .0   1.23
.20   P.J. Tucker     Hou   35  .556    8.4   7.9   1.6   1.5   1.4   .2    .41
.04   Nerlens Noel    OKC   14  .477    5.4   8.6    .8    .6    .7  1.6    .20
.03   Hamidou Diallo  OKC    4  .448   12.5   6.5    .9    .0   2.4  2.3    .67

.03   Luguentz Dort   OKC   25  .449   13.0   4.4   1.1    .4   3.4  1.3    .08
-.01  Mike Muscala    OKC    3  .750    4.3   5.5   1.2    .0    .0   .0   -.31
-.02  Abdel Nader     OKC    4  .250    2.5   3.3    .0   1.1    .0  2.3   -.35
-.02  Ben McLemore    Hou   11  .542    7.9   3.3    .7    .8    .4   .0   -.15
-.06  Austin Rivers   Hou   18  .308    4.1   4.6   1.7   1.2    .7   .2   -.25
-.07 Terrance Ferguson OKC   6  .273    2.5   2.8    .6    .7    .8   .0   -.85
shooting: Hou .558 - .534 OKC
rebounds: OKC 49.9 - 43.3 Hou
turnovers: Hou 12.7 - 17.0 OKC


With this, the first round concludes. Ranked by eWins per game, the top 40 in the West:

Code: Select all

eW/G    per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e484
.279   Kawhi Leonard   LAC   39  .625   29.0   9.7   3.8   2.2   2.5   .5   3.48
.265  Donovan Mitchell Uta   38  .683   39.1   5.2   4.0   1.0   4.3   .3   3.42
.248   James Harden    Hou   36  .605   32.4   6.2   7.1   1.6   3.2   .7   3.32
.231   Anthony Davis   LAL   33  .637   36.7  10.1   3.9   1.6   1.4  1.8   3.40
.228   LeBron James    LAL   33  .692   36.5  10.9   9.4   1.3   5.9   .4   3.34

.228   Jamal Murray    Den   38  .676   30.5   5.7   4.8    .6   2.1   .3   2.92
.215   Luka Dončić     Dal   36  .581   27.6   9.8   6.2   1.2   5.3   .5   2.93
.186   Nikola Jokić    Den   38  .617   24.5   8.5   4.2    .7   2.4   .4   2.42
.138   Chris Paul      OKC   37  .596   21.0   7.0   4.4   1.6   3.5   .4   1.81
.111   Rudy Gobert     Uta   39  .621   14.5  11.8    .9    .5   1.3  1.4   1.41

eW/G    per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e484
.101   Mike Conley     Uta   24  .660   21.9   3.3   4.8   1.8   1.2   .2   2.10
.099  Robert Covington Hou   31  .684   16.6   6.5   1.5   2.9   1.3  1.8   1.54
.086   CJ McCollum     Por   39  .527   19.2   5.4   2.3   1.1   2.8   .4   1.05
.086   Jusuf Nurkić    Por   32  .518   14.5  11.7   3.2   1.6   3.0   .2   1.28
.080   Eric Gordon     Hou   34  .500   18.7   3.4   3.2   1.4   2.9   .9   1.15

.074   Damian Lillard  Por   29  .602   24.1   3.6   3.4    .5   3.6   .3   1.24
.071   Lou Williams    LAC   27  .608   18.9   4.3   4.3    .6   2.9   .0   1.27
.070   Marcus Morris   LAC   29  .681   13.9   7.2   2.0   1.7    .7   .2   1.19
.070   Ivica Zubac     LAC   25  .698   13.9  10.2    .8    .2    .5  1.2   1.37
.068  Kri'ps Porziņģis Dal   16  .689   22.4   9.8    .5    .0   1.2  1.2   2.13

eW/G    per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e484
.067   Steven Adams    OKC   30  .573   11.9  13.6   1.3    .7   3.0   .4   1.08
.067   Paul George     LAC   36  .474   14.7   7.0   3.2    .8   2.8   .2    .90
.066  Shai G-Alexander OKC   40  .562   14.1   4.7   3.2    .9   2.1   .4    .80
.062   Jeff Green      Hou   30  .653   15.9   7.0   1.7    .3   1.6   .5   1.02
.062  Jordan Clarkson  Uta   29  .574   17.1   4.4   2.1   1.0   1.3   .0   1.05

.056   JaVale McGee    LAL   13  .714   17.4  14.3   1.8    .5   1.1  3.2   2.02
.052  Danilo Gallinari OKC   30  .559   17.0   6.3   1.0    .9   2.8   .2    .84
.052   Danuel House    Hou   33  .573   13.3   6.4   1.6    .9   1.1   .0    .76
.050  Dennis Schröder  OKC   32  .498   16.3   3.7   3.1    .6   2.7   .2    .74
.045   Michael Porter  Den   26  .568   12.7   9.9    .9    .6   1.8   .6    .84

eW/G    per36 rates    tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e484
.042  Hassan Whiteside Por   21  .548    9.9  11.5    .5    .3   2.0  3.3    .95
.039   Dwight Howard   LAL   19  .609   14.7  11.0   1.1    .3   1.8   .3    .98
.038  Boban Marjanović Dal   14  .594   12.3  13.1   1.3    .0   1.2   .8   1.35
.037  Carmelo Anthony  Por   35  .507   13.6   5.2   1.6   1.0   2.7   .4    .50
.036   Trey Burke      Dal   26  .578   12.9   4.2   1.9   1.8   1.4   .4    .69

.035   Darius Bazley   OKC   18  .639   11.1  11.2   1.2    .0   1.6   .7    .95
.031 Russell Westbrook Hou   12  .431   17.1   7.9   4.5    .9   3.9   .0   1.23
.029  K Caldwell-Pope  LAL   26  .523   14.3   1.9   1.8   1.7   1.2   .0    .54
.029   P.J. Tucker     Hou   35  .556    8.4   7.9   1.6   1.5   1.4   .2    .41
.028   Joe Ingles      Uta   33  .561    8.4   4.0   4.3    .6    .7   .2    .40
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by rlee »

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Crow
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Re: 2020 Playoffs: West round 1

Post by Crow »

Thunder playoff starting lineup (with Dort): -39 pts / 100 possessions. Seems like almost anything would have been better.

3 PGs together, +10 pts / 100p but underutilized. It was the huge winner in regular season and the only major positive in playoffs and they still failed to max it. Slugs.

Team lost on coaching / analytic / front office failure on lineup usage.
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