2020-21 season general commentary

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Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

2020-21 season general commentary

Post by Crow »

Made a bunch of comments on league stat trends and a few specific teams & players recently today at @bballstrategy on twitter. Starting here https://twitter.com/bballstrategy/statu ... 76064?s=20

If interested. Earlier days too.
Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2020-21 season general commentary

Post by Crow »

Anfernee Simons. Backup point guard with 6.9% assist rate. Has a 3pt shot but overall a below average scorer. And player. Team -20 pts / per 100 possessions with him on court. -27 on / off.

RJ Barrett will fall below 40% efg% after tonight and was already below 45% ts%. Rose and Thibodeau still believe? Did they ever really?

Tyler Herro, 2nd worst efg% in Heat's top 9 to the way off Jimmy Bulter. 2nd worst BPM in top 9 as well to 9th man Achiuwa.

Who is going to bid on Lowry? What do Ujuri and Webster want to do ob that, Siakam, etc.? Same or different? Ujuri gone to Wizards or is there an alternative landing spot?

Pistons, worse win% and SRS than last season. Slow pace, bad offense and defense. But stay the course?
Hayes was an early disaster.

Wall, career best ts%, career lowest assist rate (more than 40% below career average).


Many teams with major issues. Wait til March? I wouldn't.
Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2020-21 season general commentary

Post by Crow »

D'angelo Russell shooting 3 ball well. But BPM estimate is worst since he was a rookie (and several other metrics are same or nearly so). Team is -20 pts / 100p with him on court, -24pts on / off.
Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2020-21 season general commentary

Post by Crow »

Timberwolves perimeters worth their salaries so far:

None.

Interiors: Towns, Reid (maybe), Vanderbilt, McDaniels.
Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2020-21 season general commentary

Post by Crow »

Win now teams are by their actions showing seemingly significantly lower regard to their future 1st round picks, presumed to be late picks. Because of increased rookie contract salaries, intolerance from poor early play and development requirements, and perhaps greater satisfaction with low end vet free agent market (by exceptions and minimums).

Will be interesting to see how Thunder, Pelicans and Rockets handle their chests of picks, many of which will likely be late picks, at least for a few years.
Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2020-21 season general commentary

Post by Crow »

At least half of teams could use a significant trade. Probably not coming til the deadline for most and what happens may or may not be significant.


Warriors should imo try to trade Wiggins and / or Oubre. Will they?
Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2020-21 season general commentary

Post by Crow »

Lakers, Bucks, probably Nets.

Then 8-12 teams who might cause problems.
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