players improved from 2021 to 2022

[Mike G]

In the minutes they've played and the improvement in their rates, ranked by additional equivalent wins generated.

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eW+    per36 rates     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484       Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  e484
.63   Ja Morant       Mem  .592   27.3   5.9   6.8   2.00      .527   18.0   4.3   6.9   .93
.56  Harrison Barnes  Sac  .650   23.9   8.6   1.9   1.70      .614   14.6   6.6   2.7   .80
.56   Miles Bridges   Cha  .593   22.7   8.0   2.7   1.80      .619   15.7   7.4   2.4   .99
.55   Nikola Jokić    Den  .674   37.6  16.2   5.9   3.72      .637   27.8  11.9   7.4  2.67
.54 Spencer Dinwiddie Was  .553   21.6   5.7   6.7   1.69  Brk .526    9.6   7.4   4.5   .49

.54   Cole Anthony    Orl  .554   19.1   7.7   5.1   1.45      .490   13.6   6.0   4.4   .63
.53   Paul George     LAC  .618   34.0   7.5   4.6   2.74      .590   24.4   7.4   5.0  1.69
.50   DeMar DeRozan   Chi  .584   31.0   6.3   3.6   2.27  SAS .577   21.3   4.3   6.0  1.42
.49   Jimmy Butler    Mia  .606   32.6   7.5   5.4   2.97      .591   22.4   7.6   6.3  1.99
.45   Tyler Herro     Mia  .573   27.9   6.5   4.3   1.89      .538   16.4   6.1   3.4   .91

eW+    per36 rates     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484       Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  e484
.40  Dejounte Murray  SAS  .503   17.4   8.2   7.2   1.86      .505   14.6   7.6   5.0  1.16
.40   Kevin Durant    Brk  .657   35.8   8.5   5.3   2.89      .653   29.7   7.7   5.3  2.22
.39   Myles Turner    Ind  .662   21.4  11.3   1.3   1.83      .588   13.8   7.3    .9  1.07
.39   Will Barton     Den  .557   18.4   4.7   4.1   1.27      .532   13.0   4.9   3.2   .57
.37   Seth Curry      Phl  .749   24.5   3.9   2.0   1.38      .602   16.1   3.0   3.1   .70

.33  Anthony Edwards  Min  .511   22.3   7.0   3.1   1.47      .517   17.1   5.2   2.6   .85
.33   Giannis A       Mil  .607   33.8  12.1   6.8   3.20      .617   29.4  11.7   5.4  2.58
.31   LaMelo Ball     Cha  .530   20.7   7.2   6.4   1.82      .532   16.9   7.3   6.6  1.29
.30   Bam Adebayo     Mia  .576   28.1  16.3   1.6   2.48      .613   20.2   9.9   4.8  1.74
.29   Draymond Green  GSW  .555   10.9   9.7   7.4   1.24      .524    6.9   7.7   8.3   .64

This season is on the left, last year on the right.
Dinwiddie's jump is relative to just 3 games last year; he's still improved from any previous season.

Slow starters:

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eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  e484       Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.29   De'Aaron Fox   Sac  .439   14.5   3.9   5.5   .77      .554   21.3   3.6   5.7   1.27
-.29  De'Andre Hunter Atl  .559   15.4   3.4    .5   .35      .592   17.8   5.9   2.0   1.07
-.30   Chris Boucher  Tor  .407    9.7   9.6    .5   .77      .623   20.4  10.0   1.4   1.89
-.31   Frank Jackson  Det  .407    7.7   2.8    .9  -.23      .590   18.8   4.3   1.6    .88
-.32   Clint Capela   Atl  .569   13.0  15.1    .7  1.45      .591   17.7  17.4    .8   2.17

-.34   Mason Plumlee  Cha  .476    7.2  10.9   2.8   .75  Det .624   13.9  12.6   4.3   1.45
-.35  Nikola Vučević  Chi  .451   13.2  11.2   4.5  1.45      .556   22.4  12.2   3.3   2.08
-.35   Mo Bamba       Orl  .597   13.4  10.5   2.1  1.09      .549   16.6  12.8   1.4   1.70
-.44  Robert Williams Bos  .693   12.8   9.0   1.4  1.11      .708   17.3  13.8   2.9   2.09
-.57  Michael Porter  Den  .420   10.6   8.0   2.2   .67      .657   23.5   8.8   1.1   1.76

[Mike G]

For corroboration, same top 20 along with today's PER, WS/48, and BPM. (Still yesterday's eW/484.)
* marks a "disagreement" in the line.

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. improved     tm   e484   Min   PER   WS/48   BPM     e484    PER   WS/48   BPM
Ja Morant     Mem   2.00   280   25.6   .151   3.2      .93   16.7   .074   -0.8
Harr. Barnes  Sac   1.70   298   23.2   .220   4.3      .80   15.4   .103   -0.2
Miles Bridges Cha   1.80   322   23.6   .185   4.6      .99   14.7   .105    0.2
Nikola Jokić  Den   3.72   248   34.7   .348  14.0     2.67   31.3   .301   11.7
Sp. Dinwiddie Was   1.69   215   20.2   .166   2.4      .49   10.1   .045   -1.4

Cole Anthony  Orl   1.45   308   17.4   .121   0.6      .63   12.1  -.001   -3.3
Paul George   LAC   2.74   242   26.8   .196   8.9     1.69   20.5   .139    3.7
DeMar DeRozan Chi   2.27   279   25.4   .230   2.9  *  1.42   22.0   .172    3.2
Jimmy Butler  Mia   2.97   277   28.4   .340   9.5     1.99   26.5   .255    7.5
Tyler Herro   Mia   1.89   250   18.6   .169   2.5      .91   13.3   .049   -1.6

. improved     tm   e484   Min   PER   WS/48   BPM     e484    PER   WS/48   BPM
Dej. Murray   SAS   1.86   273   20.5   .147   3.2     1.16   16.5   .074    0.6
Kevin Durant  Brk   2.89   276   29.4   .269   8.3     2.22   26.4   .206    6.9
Myles Turner  Ind   1.83   243   22.8   .197   4.7     1.07   15.3   .110    0.4
Will Barton   Den   1.27   261   16.8   .133   1.9      .57   11.8   .061   -2.0
Seth Curry    Phl   1.38   293   19.8   .182   0.5      .70   12.9   .118   -0.9

Ant. Edwards  Min   1.47   251   17.2   .080  -0.7      .85   13.9   .017   -2.6
Giannis A     Mil   3.20   251   33.0   .300  12.1     2.58   29.2   .244    8.8
LaMelo Ball   Cha   1.82   272   21.0   .127   3.1     1.29   17.5   .093    1.9
Bam Adebayo   Mia   2.48   220   22.1   .219   2.7  ** 1.74   22.7   .197    4.7
Dray. Green   GSW   1.24   228   14.4   .158   1.2  *   .64   13.3   .112    1.5

Bam had a bad night, as did Herro.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/le ... anced.html

[Crow]

Best ever season marks for D Murray on both halves of BPM. Big increase in assists. 3pt fg% is average but recovered from being down last season.

[Mike G]

Everyone within 1/2 of the leader:

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eW+    per36 rates   tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.87   Ja Morant     Mem  .559   24.7   6.5   6.3   1.89      .527   18.0   4.3   6.9    .93
.82   Cole Anthony  Orl  .569   20.2   7.5   4.6   1.57      .490   13.6   6.0   4.4    .63
.80 Harrison Barnes Sac  .645   22.2   7.9   2.0   1.58      .614   14.6   6.6   2.7    .80
.77   Nikola Jokić  Den  .652   34.7  16.1   6.4   3.69      .637   27.8  11.9   7.4   2.67
.76   Will Barton   Den  .566   19.5   5.1   4.1   1.45      .532   13.0   4.9   3.2    .57

.72   Kevin Durant  Brk  .668   36.8   8.4   5.3   2.95      .653   29.7   7.7   5.3   2.22
.70  Sp. Dinwiddie  Was  .535   19.7   6.1   6.8   1.61  Brk .526    9.6   7.4   4.5    .49
.60   Ricky Rubio   Cle  .515   16.3   4.4   7.4   1.29  Min .508    9.2   4.5   7.0    .53
.59 Dejounte Murray SAS  .499   17.3   8.0   6.9   1.83      .505   14.6   7.6   5.0   1.16
.58   LaMelo Ball   Cha  .535   18.9   8.2   6.9   1.88      .532   16.9   7.3   6.6   1.29

eW+    per36 rates   tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.58   Myles Turner  Ind  .665   20.1  11.3   1.3   1.79      .588   13.8   7.3    .9   1.07
.57  Stephen Curry  GSW  .625   35.8   6.8   6.5   3.00      .645   34.3   5.4   5.0   2.35
.55  Draymond Green GSW  .546   10.4  10.3   8.3   1.36      .524    6.9   7.7   8.3    .64
.54  Miles Bridges  Cha  .544   18.6   7.0   2.9   1.47      .619   15.7   7.4   2.4    .99
.54   Paul George   LAC  .558   28.7   7.5   5.2   2.33      .590   24.4   7.4   5.0   1.69

.52 Anthony Edwards Min  .524   23.0   5.6   2.9   1.45      .517   17.1   5.2   2.6    .85
.49  DeMar DeRozan  Chi  .562   26.6   5.7   3.7   1.94  SAS .577   21.3   4.3   6.0   1.42
.49  Darius Garland Cle  .615   19.9   2.4   6.9   1.22      .542   16.3   2.7   5.2    .62
.46  Grayson Allen  Mil  .622   19.9   4.7   1.6   1.23  Mem .579   14.4   4.5   2.6    .69
.44   Tyler Herro   Mia  .556   22.4   5.8   3.6   1.41      .538   16.4   6.1   3.4    .91
.43  Nicolas Batum  LAC  .697   17.2   7.4   1.9   1.40      .612   11.0   6.5   2.6    .71

The above list is ranked by [eWins per 484 min. difference]*Min/484 -- 'difference' between last year and this year.
We could also compare this year's numbers with career-previous rates. This would weed out guys just bouncing back from one bad season.
Using some readily accessible numbers; this year on the left, vs everything prior to this season on the right:

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xyz      player        tm    mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
1.92   Nikola Jokić   Den   32.2   34.2   .346  13.9      26.0   .228    7.9
1.68  Harrison Barnes Sac   36.5   21.3   .201   3.5      13.5   .088   -1.0
1.57   Cole Anthony   Orl   33.9   17.9   .112   1.5      12.1  -.001   -3.3
1.45  Darius Garland  Cle   33.5   16.3   .109   0.8      11.3  -.001   -3.6
1.39   Grayson Allen  Mil   29.8   17.5   .168   2.4      11.6   .078   -1.8

1.37   Myles Turner   Ind   28.4   22.4   .207   5.1      16.7   .128    0.5
1.20   Tyler Herro    Mia   33.0   18.0   .128   2.0      12.9   .050   -1.6
1.20   Nicolas Batum  LAC   28.8   18.0   .206   5.5      14.7   .108    1.6
1.17   Ja Morant      Mem   35.0   24.3   .128   3.1      17.1   .081   -0.2
1.13   Miles Bridges  Cha   36.2   19.5   .127   2.3      13.3   .075   -1.1

xyz      player        tm    mpg   PER   WS/48   BPM       PER   WS/48   BPM
1.01   Will Barton    Den   33.5   17.7   .154   3.0      14.3   .079   -0.2
0.88   DeMar DeRozan  Chi   35.1   23.0   .193   2.1      18.5   .120    0.6
0.88   Stephen Curry  GSW   33.8   27.4   .286   8.4      24.0   .206    6.5
0.82  Anthony Edwards Min   36.3   16.9   .069   0.2      13.9   .017   -2.6
0.79   LaMelo Ball    Cha   31.9   21.5   .139   4.1      17.5   .093    1.9

0.75   Kevin Durant   Brk   34.7   29.2   .269   8.3      25.2   .217    6.7
0.73  Dejounte Murray SAS   34.0   19.4   .122   1.9      15.6   .074    0.2
0.52   Sp. Dinwiddie  Was   29.4   17.8   .152   1.3      15.4   .107    0.3
0.21  Draymond Green  GSW   29.5   15.3   .174   2.2   *  14.9   .129    2.6
0.20   Paul George    LAC   35.3   22.0   .135   4.9  *   19.4   .153    4.1
0.14   Ricky Rubio    Cle   27.8   16.5   .108   1.0      15.7   .101    0.6

These 21 contenders average a PER increase of 4.4 over previous career rates. Also up .067 in WS/48 and +2.8 in BPM.
Jokic is almost doubling those. Rubio is following his worst season with an above-avg one.
xyz is just the avg of 3 ratios. Multiply by mpg and Barnes is right there with the Joker.
* means one number is not even as good as career rate.

[Crow]

Morant bad on raw on the court plus minus (-7pts / 100p) and on / off (-6).

Slightly negative on DARKO projection and same for DRIP.

"Getting his" is only part of the job.

-12 in 3rd quarter tonight after yesterday's -24.

[Mike G]

Season at 21.6%

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eW+    per36 rates     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.19  Ja Morant       Mem  .558   23.9   6.3   6.2   1.90      .527   18.0   4.3   6.9    .93
.99   Cole Anthony    Orl  .543   18.9   6.9   5.4   1.48      .490   13.6   6.0   4.4    .63
.93 Spencer Dinwiddie Was  .530   18.6   5.9   6.2   1.47  Brk .526    9.6   7.4   4.5    .49
.85   P.J. Tucker     Mia  .677   10.6   8.3   1.8    .66  Mil .505    4.2   5.3   1.4   -.13
.82   Will Barton     Den  .557   17.7   5.6   4.2   1.29      .532   13.0   4.9   3.2    .57

.82   DeMar DeRozan   Chi  .579   27.8   5.3   3.9   2.02  SAS .577   21.3   4.3   6.0   1.42
.81   Tyler Herro     Mia  .565   24.0   6.2   3.7   1.57      .538   16.4   6.1   3.4    .91
.80   Ricky Rubio     Cle  .511   17.1   4.5   6.7   1.23  Min .508    9.2   4.5   7.0    .53
.79   Nikola Jokić    Den  .658   33.2  15.2   6.4   3.48      .637   27.8  11.9   7.4   2.67
.78   LaMelo Ball     Cha  .525   18.9   8.2   7.0   1.87      .532   16.9   7.3   6.6   1.29

eW+    per36 rates     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484       Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.77   Draymond Green  GSW  .584   10.4   9.7   8.8   1.40      .524    6.9   7.7   8.3    .64
.74  Anthony Edwards  Min  .529   22.1   6.0   3.0   1.42      .517   17.1   5.2   2.6    .85
.72   Stephen Curry   GSW  .630   35.1   6.4   6.7   2.97      .645   34.3   5.4   5.0   2.35
.72  Harrison Barnes  Sac  .619   19.8   7.3   2.2   1.32      .614   14.6   6.6   2.7    .80
.71  Dejounte Murray  SAS  .487   16.2   8.4   6.7   1.76      .505   14.6   7.6   5.0   1.16

.69   Darius Garland  Cle  .564   19.5   2.6   6.5   1.20      .542   16.3   2.7   5.2    .62
.68   Paul George     LAC  .539   27.4   7.6   5.0   2.18      .590   24.4   7.4   5.0   1.69
.61   Jimmy Butler    Mia  .607   28.7   6.5   5.3   2.55      .591   22.4   7.6   6.3   1.99
.60   Andrew Wiggins  GSW  .586   25.6   5.3   1.9   1.59      .561   18.4   5.0   2.1   1.03
.56  Malcolm Brogdon  Ind  .566   22.4   6.5   5.7   1.76      .555   19.5   5.3   4.8   1.22

3 members of the GSW here ^

And 3 of the bottom 10 are in Atlanta:

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eW+     per36 rates     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484 '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.66   Mason Plumlee   Cha  .535    8.2   9.2   3.2    .78 Det .624   13.9  12.6   4.3   1.45
-.65  Robert Williams  Bos  .721   13.5  11.5   1.5   1.32     .708   17.3  13.8   2.9   2.09
-.65   Clint Capela    Atl  .580   13.3  14.8   1.2   1.54     .591   17.7  17.4    .8   2.17
-.59   Michael Porter  Den  .414    9.9   8.1   2.1    .66     .657   23.5   8.8   1.1   1.76
-.59 Bogdan Bogdanović Atl  .551   13.7   4.2   2.5    .67     .613   20.0   4.5   3.5   1.27

-.58   Mo Bamba        Orl  .536   11.5  10.5   2.0   1.15     .549   16.6  12.8   1.4   1.70
-.57   Jordan Nwora    Mil  .494   12.0   5.6   2.0    .49     .580   21.7   8.0    .8   1.36
-.55   Chris Boucher   Tor  .438   10.0   9.9    .6    .78     .623   20.4  10.0   1.4   1.89
-.50  De'Andre Hunter  Atl  .513   12.3   3.5    .7    .25     .592   17.8   5.9   2.0   1.07
-.49   Reggie Bullock  Dal  .463    7.3   4.2   1.0   -.03 NYK .602   14.4   4.1   1.7    .66

eW+     per36 rates     tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484 '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.49  Jordan Clarkson  Uta  .474   18.3   4.1   2.6    .95     .545   24.4   5.5   3.1   1.54
-.49   Terrence Ross   Orl  .503   11.4   2.3   2.3    .24     .523   16.3   4.1   2.3    .76
-.48   Tony Bradley    Chi  .563    8.8  10.4   1.0    .53 OKC .668   17.2  12.6   1.7   1.63
-.47   Nikola Vučević  Chi  .450   12.5  11.6   4.1   1.45     .556   22.4  12.2   3.3   2.08
-.46   Kent Bazemore   LAL  .433    5.8   3.3   1.2    .00 GSW .558   12.1   6.0   2.4    .67

-.45   Joe Ingles      Uta  .598   10.5   4.1   4.3    .55     .666   18.0   4.7   5.7   1.08
-.45   Jaren Jackson   Mem  .514   16.2   7.7   1.2   1.12     .541   19.8   8.6   1.4   1.61
-.44   Doug McDermott  SAS  .571   13.6   3.1   1.3    .36 Ind .630   20.2   4.8   1.5   1.07
-.42   Malik Beasley   Min  .446   10.6   3.7   2.1    .41     .566   18.5   4.7   2.1    .92
-.41   Joel Embiid     Phl  .547   24.4  11.1   4.2   2.17     .618   34.1  12.4   3.0   2.91

[Mike G]

Morant bad on raw on the court plus minus (-7pts / 100p) and on / off (-6).

After 4+ games without Ja, the Grizz are now +7.5 pts/100 poss when he isn't on the floor.
If he remains out, they project to a 54-28 record.

[Crow]

Spent a lot of time thinking about / discussing Morant at @bballstrategy in recent days. Probably unwise use of time but a main conclusion was Morant is bad with bench players and mainly on defense. Very little impact on team offense. Should play with starters to the max / almost exclusively. Does not stabilize / help bench units on average. The pattern this season is that they lose with him.

[Mike G]

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484 '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.52   Darius Garland Cle  .583   22.2   3.1   7.2   1.48     .542   16.3   2.7   5.2    .62
1.44   Ja Morant      Mem  .554   25.3   6.3   6.6   2.02     .527   18.0   4.3   6.9    .93
1.28  Dejounte Murray SAS  .502   17.7   8.6   7.4   1.88     .505   14.6   7.6   5.0   1.16
1.24  Draymond Green  GSW  .576   10.9   9.9   9.0   1.45     .524    6.9   7.7   8.3    .64
1.17   P.J. Tucker    Mia  .608    9.5   7.6   2.4    .64 Mil .505    4.2   5.3   1.4   -.13

1.15   Cole Anthony   Orl  .549   19.6   6.5   5.4   1.42     .490   13.6   6.0   4.4    .63
1.05   Trae Young     Atl  .572   27.5   4.2   8.9   2.11     .575   25.1   4.2   8.7   1.54
1.05   DeMar DeRozan  Chi  .580   27.9   5.6   3.8   1.99 SAS .577   21.3   4.3   6.0   1.42
1.00   Will Barton    Den  .546   17.0   5.7   4.1   1.17     .532   13.0   4.9   3.2    .57
.99   Sp. Dinwiddie   Was  .516   15.6   6.1   5.9   1.20 Brk .526    9.6   7.4   4.5    .49

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484 '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.99   LaMelo Ball     Cha  .533   18.9   8.4   7.6   1.87     .532   16.9   7.3   6.6   1.29
.96   Nikola Jokić    Den  .640   31.7  15.3   7.1   3.36     .637   27.8  11.9   7.4   2.67
.94   Jarrett Allen   Cle  .702   23.0  12.5   1.9   2.02     .643   15.8  12.5   1.7   1.45
.94   Ricky Rubio     Cle  .482   14.6   4.8   7.0   1.11 Min .508    9.2   4.5   7.0    .53
.89  Anthony Edwards  Min  .526   20.1   5.7   3.4   1.31     .517   17.1   5.2   2.6    .85

.83   Andrew Wiggins  GSW  .584   24.7   5.4   2.0   1.54     .561   18.4   5.0   2.1   1.03
.79   Stephen Curry   GSW  .609   34.0   5.9   6.6   2.79     .645   34.3   5.4   5.0   2.35
.77  G Antetokounmpo  Mil  .581   31.5  12.7   6.0   3.06     .617   29.4  11.7   5.4   2.58
.76   Luguentz Dort   OKC  .561   18.6   4.3   1.9    .95     .506   13.7   4.2   1.6    .49
.75   Desmond Bane    Mem  .582   19.7   5.4   2.3   1.17     .597   14.6   5.0   2.4    .71
.74  Harrison Barnes  Sac  .618   19.7   7.2   2.2   1.30     .614   14.6   6.6   2.7    .80

Team by team, everyone with .30 eWins more or less than expected at this time, from last season's rates; corroborated (or not) by these other summary stats.

Code: Select all

eW+     Atl          Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1.05   Trae Young    855   24.9  .178    4.3   2.11      23.0  .163    3.6   1.54
-.50 De'Andre Hunter 306    7.6 -.011   -5.6    .26      15.7  .123    0.8   1.07
-.51  Da. Gallinari  472   15.2  .129    0.6    .75      16.3  .146    0.9   1.30
-.54  Bg. Bogdanović 564   12.9  .084   -1.2    .78      17.6  .142    3.8   1.27
-.78   Clint Capela  747   21.1  .194    1.3   1.63      24.3  .207    2.5   2.17
                                 
eW+    Bos           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.53  Dennis Schröder 836   15.5  .095   -1.8   1.12  LAL 13.8  .093   -1.1    .84
.48   Marcus Smart   862   13.0  .089   -0.7    .89      13.8  .100   -0.6    .64
.43   Al Horford     647   19.4  .181    4.4   1.60  OKC 17.4  .101    3.3   1.30
.38  Grant Williams  565   12.7  .134   -0.6    .56       7.5  .046   -4.0    .25
.32   Jayson Tatum   945   19.3  .100    1.2   1.88      21.3  .137    3.7   1.74
-.31   Enes Freedom  179   17.5  .149   -2.5    .94  Por 22.4  .204    0.2   1.79
-.86   Ro. Williams  529   20.1  .205    2.0   1.28      25.7  .258    6.1   2.09
                                 
eW+    Brk           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.50   La. Aldridge   542   21.3  .180    1.1   1.51      15.7  .080   -0.6   1.09
.43   Kevin Durant   832   25.6  .214    6.5   2.44      26.4  .206    6.9   2.22
.36   Patty Mills    718   13.5  .115   -0.1    .73  SAS 11.8  .062   -1.6    .52
-.46   Bruce Brown   496   11.3  .089   -2.1    .63      16.1  .144   -0.3   1.11
-.49   Jevon Carter  307    5.3  .014   -4.9   -.05  Phx 12.2  .104    0.5    .75
                                 
eW+    Cha           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.99   LaMelo Ball    799   21.2  .127    3.8   1.87      17.5  .093    1.9   1.29
.56   Miles Bridges  995   17.3  .101    0.5   1.24      14.7  .105    0.2    .99
.36   Cody Martin    659   15.2  .126    1.2    .64      10.6  .061   -2.2    .39
-.43  Gordon Hayward 928   16.0  .088   -1.0    .99      17.6  .114    1.4   1.24
-.64  Mason Plumlee  523   14.2  .103   -0.6    .83  Det 18.7  .164    2.1   1.45
                                 
eW+    Chi           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1.05  DeMar DeRozan  846   23.5  .197    2.9   1.99  SAS 22.0  .172    3.2   1.42
.36   Alex Caruso    658   14.8  .149    1.5    .84  LAL 11.1  .095   -0.2    .60
.36   Zach LaVine    910   21.4  .153    3.4   1.86      21.5  .138    3.7   1.69
-.47  Alize Johnson  116   11.2  .092   -4.6    .26  Brk 23.5  .227    2.6   2.26
-.54   Tony Bradley  256   12.5  .105   -2.6    .58  OKC 20.7  .192    1.2   1.63
-.67  Nikola Vučević 630   15.9  .085    0.0   1.54      22.9  .129    5.1   2.08
                                 
eW+    Cle           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1.52  Darius Garland 829   17.2  .116    1.3   1.48      14.2  .033   -1.6    .62
.94   Jarrett Allen  768   23.8  .240    4.1   2.02      20.1  .166    0.9   1.45
.94   Ricky Rubio    752   13.6  .077   -1.1   1.11  Min 13.5  .085   -2.2    .53
.54   Cedi Osman     445   16.6  .157    3.9   1.07      10.3  .014   -2.8    .50
                                 
eW+    Dal           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
-.34  Willie C-Stein 177    8.7  .052   -4.5    .08      14.3  .147   -1.6   1.02
-.34  Dwight Powell  480   15.0  .162   -1.2    .82      16.8  .188    0.7   1.19
-.45   Tim Hardaway  758   12.5  .070   -2.2    .82      15.7  .105    0.1   1.13
-.82  Reggie Bullock 544    5.1 -.003   -6.2   -.10  NYK 11.1  .114   -0.1    .66
                                 
eW+    Den           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1.00  Will Barton    777   15.6  .083    0.7   1.17      11.8  .061   -2.0    .57
.96   Nikola Jokić   657   33.6  .301   14.1   3.36      31.3  .301   11.7   2.67
.32   Aaron Gordon   816   16.0  .124   -0.5    .99      14.5  .066    0.0    .83
.30   Monte Morris   755   13.3  .077   -2.1    .82      14.0  .115   -0.8    .65
-.39  Austin Rivers  314    4.7 -.017   -6.3   -.21       9.9  .072   -2.2    .41
-.60  Michael Porter 265    8.3 -.028   -5.3    .65      20.6  .173    3.0   1.76
                                 
eW+    Det           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.60   Killian Hayes  488    8.5  .014   -4.4    .45       5.3 -.081   -7.3   -.12
-.36  Isaiah Stewart 560   14.6  .105   -2.9    .93      16.4  .132   -1.2   1.26
-.64  Frank Jackson  519   10.4  .031   -3.5    .26      13.3  .076   -2.1    .88
                                 
eW+    GSW           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1.24  Draymond Green 726   15.6  .177    4.0   1.45      13.3  .112    1.5    .64
.83  Andrew Wiggins  761   17.2  .160    0.2   1.54      15.0  .080   -0.7   1.03
.79   Stephen Curry  820   25.2  .257    8.7   2.79      26.3  .201    8.1   2.35
.64   Kevon Looney   443   15.5  .200   -1.6   1.29      11.9  .139   -1.5    .61
.60   Jordan Poole   761   15.1  .136   -0.7   1.49      15.1  .094   -0.6   1.13
-1.36  Gary Payton   351   21.2  .273    5.4   1.41      29.2  .331    9.5   3.30
                                 
eW+    Hou           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.51   Jae'Sean Tate  675   15.0  .099   -1.6   1.09      13.8  .088   -1.2    .74
-.30   Daniel Theis  388   11.0  .068   -3.2    .62  Chi 15.0  .128   -0.2   1.02
                                 
eW+    Ind           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.66 Domantas Sabonis 920   22.2  .199    3.8   1.94      20.6  .149    3.9   1.62
.65  Malcolm Brogdon 779   19.7  .156    3.4   1.60      17.9  .105    1.5   1.22
.60   Myles Turner   757   19.2  .174    2.8   1.43      15.3  .110    0.4   1.07
-.40   Torrey Craig  397   13.4  .119   -0.5    .53  Phx 14.2  .133    0.3   1.04
-.44  Oshae Brissett 221    9.3  .033   -3.2    .24      17.2  .165    0.4   1.23
-.55   Kelan Martin  337   10.9  .039   -3.3    .37      13.9  .066   -2.3   1.19
                                 
eW+    LAC           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.48   Eric Bledsoe   685   11.8  .066   -1.4    .79  NOP 11.5  .053   -2.3    .47
.39   Paul George    861   18.0  .070    2.4   1.89      20.5  .139    3.7   1.69
.32   Nicolas Batum  400   15.1  .162    3.5   1.07      12.9  .132    1.4    .71
-.32   Serge Ibaka   154    9.4  .072   -3.8    .44      18.2  .150    0.8   1.47
-.43   Terance Mann  686   12.1  .113   -2.0    .60      13.8  .141   -0.1    .93
                                 
eW+     LAL          Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
-.42   Malik Monk    629   12.6  .078   -1.4    .55  Cha 13.6  .054   -1.9    .89
-.45  Kent Bazemore  350    5.5  .023   -5.9    .03  GSW 10.6  .065   -1.7    .67
-.46 Wayne Ellington 366    8.5  .063   -2.1    .04  Det 12.2  .088   -0.4    .67
-.51  Dwight Howard  337   17.7  .174    0.6    .98  Phl 17.8  .159   -1.9   1.73
                                 
eW+    Mem           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1.44  Ja Morant      619   24.4  .160    3.5   2.02      16.7  .074   -0.8    .93
.75   Desmond Bane   755   16.0  .103   -0.3   1.17      12.2  .093   -1.0    .71
-.35  Kyle Anderson  470   14.6  .094   -0.8    .81      17.2  .143    3.1   1.18
                                 
eW+    Mia           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1.17  P.J. Tucker    719   11.4  .127    0.6    .64  Mil  5.5  .034   -4.3   -.13
.58   Tyler Herro    764   15.6  .055    0.0   1.26      13.3  .049   -1.6    .91
.45   Jimmy Butler   607   26.9  .270    8.5   2.33      26.5  .255    7.5   1.99
-.33   Udonis Haslem  23    9.3  .111   -4.9    .29      54.6  .475   31.1   7.16
-1.14 Dewayne Dedmon 405   16.1  .166   -1.2   1.08      24.5  .256    1.9   2.47
                                 
eW+    Mil           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.77   Antetokounmpo  746   30.2  .268    9.7   3.06      29.2  .244    8.8   2.58
.49  Pat Connaughton 752   15.3  .157    1.6    .92      11.3  .108   -0.4    .63
.46   Grayson Allen  718   14.7  .147    0.9    .98  Mem 12.8  .101   -0.5    .69
-.74   Jordan Nwora  372    9.7  .028   -4.1    .37      16.1  .068   -1.3   1.36
                                 
eW+     Min          Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.89  Anthony Edwards 911   15.9  .069    0.6   1.31      13.9  .017   -2.6    .85
.52   D'A Russell    686   16.0  .086    1.0   1.38      17.6  .063    1.1   1.03
.35 Patrick Beverley 429   15.8  .153    1.8   1.06  LAC 12.0  .119    0.0    .69
-.42  Taurean Prince 358    7.5  .042   -4.0    .15  Cle 12.1  .052   -2.0    .73
-.56  Malik Beasley  642   10.3  .053   -2.6    .47      14.6  .053   -0.6    .92
                                 
eW+     NOP          Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
-.30   Jaxson Hayes  232   18.0  .129   -2.5    .79      19.1  .176    0.5   1.44
-.41  To. Satoranský 328    6.3 -.008   -6.9   -.07  Chi 13.8  .113   -0.7    .55
-.41 Jo. Valančiūnas 847   22.8  .164    2.1   1.95  Mem 24.4  .213    2.7   2.20
                                 
eW+     NYK          Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
-.33  Julius Randle  881   17.7  .084    1.0   1.59      19.7  .140    3.7   1.79
-.43   Taj Gibson    223    8.8  .057   -5.3    .10      16.0  .195    1.4   1.05
-.47  Evan Fournier  707   12.0  .048   -2.5    .70  Bos 16.7  .107    1.0   1.05
-.63   Im. Quickley  530   13.3  .085   -2.1    .67      15.8  .125    0.6   1.27
                                 
eW+    OKC           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.76   Luguentz Dort  756   14.5  .081   -1.8    .95      10.1  .011   -3.7    .49
-.54  Derrick Favors 301   14.8  .104   -3.3    .81  Uta 19.7  .237    2.0   1.70
                                 
eW+    Orl           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1.15  Cole Anthony   681   17.4  .077    0.7   1.42      12.1 -.001   -3.3    .63
.37  Wendell Carter  758   18.3  .135    1.4   1.48      16.7  .118   -1.5   1.26
-.71  Terrence Ross  624    9.2 -.010   -5.4    .19      13.2  .030   -2.4    .76
-.82   Mo Bamba      732   16.1  .095    0.3   1.13      19.3  .117    0.0   1.70
                                 
eW+    Phl           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.42   Seth Curry     822   15.4  .112   -0.9    .93      12.9  .118   -0.9    .70
-.32  Furkan Korkmaz 558   11.2  .025   -3.3    .53      12.8  .092   -0.3    .83
-.34   Paul Reed     137   15.9  .126   -1.7    .69      21.2  .162   -0.9   1.93
-.44   Joel Embiid   526   26.2  .189    4.7   2.48      30.3  .266    7.2   2.91
-.47  Andre Drummond 509   18.2  .128   -0.4   1.38  LAL 19.4  .077   -0.9   1.85
                                 
eW+    Phx           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.62   Chris Paul     778   21.2  .218    4.1   1.81      21.4  .201    4.7   1.44
.55   Devin Booker   676   19.6  .127    1.1   1.84      19.2  .104   -0.1   1.47
.35   JaVale McGee   372   25.1  .219    0.3   2.00  Den 17.0  .068   -2.1   1.56
-.30   Abdel Nader   145    5.1 -.005   -6.9   -.01      13.4  .095   -0.4   1.00
-.39  Mikal Bridges  833   13.5  .143    0.5    .75      16.4  .164    3.0   1.00
                                 
eW+    Por           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.58   Jusuf Nurkić   645   23.1  .184    2.6   2.03      20.5  .133    2.0   1.62
-.30   Tony Snell    243    3.9 -.012   -5.3   -.32  Atl  9.5  .099   -0.9    .30
-.36   Cody Zeller   319   17.6  .164   -1.9    .84  Cha 18.2  .156   -0.3   1.41
-.39   CJ McCollum   848   16.7  .066    0.2   1.18      20.8  .141    3.3   1.43
-.58  Damian Lillard 714   18.3  .092   -0.2   1.37      25.6  .209    5.9   1.79
                                 
eW+    Sac           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.74  Harrison Barnes 694   18.7  .155    1.9   1.30      15.4  .103   -0.2    .80
.37  Richaun Holmes  596   22.8  .220    2.0   1.75      20.2  .165    0.3   1.47
.33  Ty. Haliburton  773   15.4  .095    2.0    .92      16.2  .096    1.1    .73
-.35   Alex Len      278   12.0  .072   -3.9    .55  Was 16.4  .133   -0.6   1.19
                                 
eW+    SAS           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
1.28 Dejounte Murray 835   20.2  .124    3.2   1.88      16.5  .074    0.6   1.16
.35   Jakob Poeltl   497   19.8  .163   -0.1   1.39      17.5  .148    0.7   1.07
-.34  Doug McDermott 432   12.4  .085   -2.5    .67  Ind 15.6  .112   -0.5   1.07
                                 
eW+    Tor           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.62   Gary Trent     792   15.5  .118    0.6    .98      12.1  .045   -2.7    .62
.35   Fred VanVleet  916   17.2  .114    1.9   1.28      16.8  .108    2.2   1.11
-.44   Pr. Achiuwa   556   10.4  .030   -4.7    .73  Mia 14.2  .085   -4.5   1.14
-.68  Chris Boucher  323   16.3  .088   -2.5    .85      21.9  .201    2.9   1.89
                                 
eW+    Uta           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.44 Donovan Mitchell 779   22.3  .176    3.6   2.08      21.3  .167    3.5   1.83
.42 Bojan Bogdanović 751   16.8  .161    0.8   1.23      14.0  .113   -0.8    .98
.39   Royce O'Neale  716   12.7  .146    2.8    .72       9.9  .121    0.4    .48
-.41  Eric Paschall  238    9.5  .079   -2.6    .15  GSW 13.4  .062   -3.2   1.00
-.46   Joe Ingles    616   13.3  .155    2.1    .70      15.9  .180    3.4   1.08
-.76 Jordan Clarkson 622   13.5  .065   -2.6    .92      17.1  .111    1.1   1.54
                                 
eW+    Was           Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      PER   WS/48   BPM   e484
.99   Sp. Dinwiddie  658   14.9  .099   -0.1   1.20  Brk 10.1  .045   -1.4    .49
.49   Ke. C-Pope     760   12.7  .085   -0.1    .78  LAL 10.7  .107   -0.9    .49
-.35  Dāvis Bertāns  244    5.7  .000   -6.5    .00      11.4  .101   -1.0    .72
-.43   Bradley Beal  828   16.8  .051   -0.7   1.41      22.7  .132    3.2   1.69

Mavs, Pels, Knicks have nobody significantly improved this year.
Cavs, Dubs, Heat have no real negatories.

[Crow]

Informative.

[Mike G]

At 60% of the season (and not including last night's games), most wins added in this year's minutes, beyond last year's rates.

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
3.19   Ja Morant      Mem  .562   27.5   6.8   6.7   2.15      .527   18.0   4.3   6.9    .93
2.81  Darius Garland  Cle  .570   21.9   3.5   8.1   1.53      .542   16.3   2.7   5.2    .62
2.50   P.J. Tucker    Mia  .633   12.3   7.6   2.7    .87  Mil .505    4.2   5.3   1.4   -.13
2.49  Dejounte Murray SAS  .505   17.9   8.7   8.0   1.94      .505   14.6   7.6   5.0   1.16
2.06   Nikola Jokić   Den  .642   31.1  15.8   7.6   3.37      .637   27.8  11.9   7.4   2.67

1.96   Desmond Bane   Mem  .585   21.5   5.4   2.6   1.38      .597   14.6   5.0   2.4    .71
1.88  Anthony Edwards Min  .561   22.0   5.3   3.4   1.45      .517   17.1   5.2   2.6    .85
1.52   Jarrett Allen  Cle  .690   22.2  12.5   2.0   1.99      .643   15.8  12.5   1.7   1.45
1.45   Cole Anthony   Orl  .508   17.0   6.5   5.8   1.22      .490   13.6   6.0   4.4    .63
1.43   Kevon Looney   GSW  .564   11.6  13.3   2.8   1.29      .568    7.3   9.6   3.1    .61

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.41   DeMar DeRozan  Chi  .573   26.5   5.4   4.5   1.86  SAS .577   21.3   4.3   6.0   1.42
1.40   Trae Young     Atl  .575   27.3   4.4   8.6   1.99      .575   25.1   4.2   8.7   1.54
1.37   Kevin Love     Cle  .609   24.0  11.1   3.1   1.99      .550   15.6  11.1   2.9   1.24
1.37   Will Barton    Den  .536   16.1   5.7   4.2   1.06      .532   13.0   4.9   3.2    .57
1.34   Devin Booker   Phx  .544   27.3   5.9   4.4   1.94      .577   26.0   4.6   3.6   1.47

1.34   Miles Bridges  Cha  .581   18.9   7.3   3.0   1.37      .619   15.7   7.4   2.4    .99
1.32   Antetokounmpo  Mil  .599   33.2  12.4   6.1   3.06      .617   29.4  11.7   5.4   2.58
1.28  Draymond Green  GSW  .571   10.5   9.5   8.7   1.25      .524    6.9   7.7   8.3    .64
1.25   Ricky Rubio    Cle  .481   14.5   5.1   7.5   1.15  Min .508    9.2   4.5   7.0    .53
1.24   LaMelo Ball    Cha  .535   19.1   8.1   7.3   1.73      .532   16.9   7.3   6.6   1.29
1.22   Fred VanVleet  Tor  .564   19.8   4.6   6.0   1.49      .528   16.3   4.1   5.5   1.11

And the downers, limited to those who played at least 600 minutes last season:

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484   '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-1.70  Jordan Clarkson Uta  .513   17.7   4.5   2.7    .90      .545   24.4   5.5   3.1   1.54
-1.52   Joe Ingles     Uta  .555    9.8   4.1   4.5    .42      .666   18.0   4.7   5.7   1.08
-1.41   Chris Boucher  Tor  .544   14.3   9.9    .5   1.13      .623   20.4  10.0   1.4   1.89
-1.36   Julius Randle  NYK  .500   17.5  10.4   4.9   1.40      .557   23.0   9.7   5.3   1.79
-1.21   Imm. Quickley  NYK  .518   13.9   3.6   4.2    .70      .548   21.5   4.0   3.5   1.27

-1.19  Nikola Vučević  Chi  .506   15.8  12.7   3.5   1.66      .556   22.4  12.2   3.3   2.08
-1.16  Robert Williams Bos  .732   15.7  11.9   2.3   1.60      .708   17.3  13.8   2.9   2.09
-1.13   Mason Plumlee  Cha  .584    9.2  10.6   3.5    .92  Det .624   13.9  12.6   4.3   1.45
-1.08   Mo Bamba       Orl  .554   13.0  11.0   1.7   1.20      .549   16.6  12.8   1.4   1.70
-1.08   Clint Capela   Atl  .560   13.1  16.1   1.5   1.71      .591   17.7  17.4    .8   2.17

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484   '21: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-1.08   Malik Beasley  Min  .504   13.2   3.8   1.8    .51      .566   18.5   4.7   2.1    .92
-1.00 Danilo Gallinari Atl  .576   13.8   6.3   1.7    .75      .601   20.0   6.4   2.0   1.30
-.96   Isaiah Stewart  Det  .544   10.1  11.5   1.5    .80      .590   13.1  11.5   1.3   1.26
-.96   Taj Gibson      NYK  .551    6.1   8.1   1.1    .27      .650   11.0   9.8   1.3   1.05
-.95 Russell Westbrook LAL  .504   17.1   8.1   6.9   1.29  Was .500   16.8  11.0   9.5   1.56

-.95   Derrick Favors  OKC  .506    9.8   9.4   1.5    .77  Uta .652   15.0  13.3   1.5   1.70
-.93   Terance Mann    LAC  .563   12.3   5.9   2.4    .62      .594   13.8   7.3   2.7    .93
-.93 Jonas Valančiūnas NOP  .596   20.6  14.4   2.6   1.87  Mem .626   21.8  15.7   1.9   2.20
-.92   Reggie Bullock  Dal  .520    8.9   4.6   1.5    .19  NYK .602   14.4   4.1   1.7    .66
-.92   Torrey Craig    Ind  .570   10.4   6.8   1.8    .52  Phx .576   12.3   9.2   1.8   1.04

[Mike G]

It's turned into a runaway. Only 5 others with even half as much improvement.

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
4.74   Ja Morant      Mem  .566   29.6   6.4   6.0   2.20     .527   18.0   4.3   6.9    .93
3.52  Darius Garland  Cle  .582   23.4   3.6   7.6   1.56     .542   16.3   2.7   5.2    .62
3.36  Dejounte Murray SAS  .521   19.0   8.6   7.6   1.96     .505   14.6   7.6   5.0   1.16
3.13   P.J. Tucker    Mia  .600   11.3   7.5   2.5    .76 Mil .505    4.2   5.3   1.4   -.13
2.58   Nikola Jokić   Den  .642   31.2  15.8   7.5   3.29     .637   27.8  11.9   7.4   2.67

2.58   Desmond Bane   Mem  .573   21.3   5.5   2.6   1.36     .597   14.6   5.0   2.4    .71
2.26   DeMar DeRozan  Chi  .581   27.3   5.7   4.2   1.91 SAS .577   21.3   4.3   6.0   1.42
2.14   Antetokounmpo  Mil  .614   34.0  12.7   5.6   3.15     .617   29.4  11.7   5.4   2.58
2.07   Kevon Looney   GSW  .573   11.6  13.4   3.0   1.30     .568    7.3   9.6   3.1    .61
2.00   Jarrett Allen  Cle  .683   22.3  12.5   1.6   1.98     .643   15.8  12.5   1.7   1.45

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.85   Jayson Tatum   Bos  .555   28.0   8.2   3.8   2.12     .569   24.4   7.6   3.6   1.74
1.71   Devin Booker   Phx  .553   27.1   5.5   4.2   1.90     .577   26.0   4.6   3.6   1.47
1.71   Trae Young     Atl  .580   27.5   4.1   8.1   1.93     .575   25.1   4.2   8.7   1.54
1.67  Anthony Edwards Min  .543   20.5   4.8   3.3   1.26     .517   17.1   5.2   2.6    .85
1.66   Will Barton    Den  .542   16.0   5.8   3.7   1.01     .532   13.0   4.9   3.2    .57

1.59   Cole Anthony   Orl  .513   16.7   6.1   5.3   1.07     .490   13.6   6.0   4.4    .63
1.53  Gary Trent Jr.  Tor  .541   18.0   2.9   1.8   1.00     .530   15.3   3.0   1.5    .62
1.53   Jakob Poeltl   SAS  .601   16.8  11.2   2.8   1.52     .603   11.3  10.3   2.1   1.07
1.52  Cameron Johnson Phx  .642   19.1   5.3   1.6   1.18     .559   14.0   5.2   1.7    .72
1.51   Kevin Love     Cle  .581   22.1  11.0   2.8   1.81     .550   15.6  11.1   2.9   1.24

[Crow]

PJ Tucker probably the most unexpected.

Looney's play has been important .

[Mike G]

At age 36, Tucker may be "ineligible" for MIP, by some unwritten standard.
He has career high 3FG%, 2FG% and TS%; highest Ast%, ORtg, WS/48; highest BPM and PER in many years.
Last year he was at or near career lows in most of these. Go figure.
Last year, 67% of his FGA were 3's; this year 46%

His unexpected/'bonus' production is more than any 2 other members of the Heat; and almost nobody is under-producing relative to last year.

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 rates   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
3.13   P.J. Tucker   .600   11.3   7.5   2.5    .76 Mil .505    4.2   5.3   1.4   -.13
1.34   Tyler Herro   .546   21.7   5.3   3.7   1.27     .538   16.4   6.1   3.4    .91
1.23   Caleb Martin  .605   15.2   6.3   1.5   1.01 Cha .458    9.2   6.3   2.6    .51
1.00   Gabe Vincent  .560   13.8   3.0   4.2    .68     .495   11.7   3.3   3.1    .34
0.85   Bam Adebayo   .578   21.8  12.1   3.5   2.03     .613   20.2   9.9   4.8   1.74

0.22   Jimmy Butler  .567   23.5   7.0   5.4   2.06     .591   22.4   7.6   6.3   1.99
0.20 Duncan Robinson .569   15.9   4.1   2.0    .74     .624   15.8   4.1   1.7    .69
0.16   KZ Okpala     .517    9.5   5.7   1.6    .40     .444    6.0   5.8   1.3    .08

eW+     per36 rates   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.01   Kyle Guy      .536   12.5   2.8   2.6    .37 Sac .444    9.7   5.6   4.0    .40
-.04   Kyle Lowry    .564   13.8   5.2   7.5   1.04 Tor .585   16.3   5.5   6.7   1.05
-.09 Markieff Morris .531   13.0   5.2   2.2    .45 LAL .505   11.2   8.4   2.0    .68
-.11   Max Strus     .601   16.6   4.7   1.7    .82     .593   17.7   3.1   1.5    .86

They total 8.8 eWins more than expected in their minutes played; and they're projecting to 8.5 wins more than our average prediction in the contest thread.

[Mike G]

Code: Select all

eW+     improved        tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
4.72   Ja Morant       Mem  .565   29.1   6.3   5.9   2.14     .527   18.0   4.3   6.9    .93
4.38   Darius Garland  Cle  .569   22.4   3.4   7.4   1.49     .542   16.3   2.7   5.2    .62
3.81  Dejounte Murray  SAS  .527   19.4   8.3   7.4   1.94     .505   14.6   7.6   5.0   1.16
3.59   Desmond Bane    Mem  .587   22.1   5.4   2.7   1.48     .597   14.6   5.0   2.4    .71
3.25   P.J. Tucker     Mia  .588   10.2   7.4   2.4    .67 Mil .505    4.2   5.3   1.4   -.13

3.23   Nikola Jokić    Den  .649   31.5  15.4   7.0   3.30     .637   27.8  11.9   7.4   2.67
2.71   Jayson Tatum    Bos  .569   28.7   8.1   3.9   2.22     .569   24.4   7.6   3.6   1.74
2.64   Devin Booker    Phx  .568   28.4   5.2   4.1   2.01     .577   26.0   4.6   3.6   1.47
2.37   Trae Young      Atl  .592   28.4   3.9   8.2   1.97     .575   25.1   4.2   8.7   1.54
2.31   Antetokounmpo   Mil  .615   33.3  12.6   5.2   3.09     .617   29.4  11.7   5.4   2.58

eW+     improved        tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
2.22   DeMar DeRozan   Chi  .578   26.5   5.3   3.9   1.81 SAS .577   21.3   4.3   6.0   1.42
2.19  Anthony Edwards  Min  .553   20.4   5.0   3.3   1.28     .517   17.1   5.2   2.6    .85
2.13 Ty. Haliburton   ScInd .590   14.8   4.2   6.6   1.11 Sac .582   13.6   3.6   5.0    .73
2.12   Miles Bridges   Cha  .584   19.4   6.9   3.0   1.35     .619   15.7   7.4   2.4    .99
1.99   Tyler Herro     Mia  .555   22.2   5.7   3.8   1.36     .538   16.4   6.1   3.4    .91

1.98   Luka Dončić     Dal  .561   29.5   9.5   7.8   2.55     .577   27.2   8.4   8.1   2.13
1.97   Kevon Looney    GSW  .576   10.6  12.6   3.0   1.16     .568    7.3   9.6   3.1    .61
1.97   Pascal Siakam   Tor  .555   21.1   8.3   4.3   1.67     .538   18.4   7.2   4.0   1.30
1.93   Gary Trent      Tor  .540   17.9   2.9   1.8   1.00     .530   15.3   3.0   1.5    .62
1.92   Kevin Love      Cle  .585   21.6  11.3   2.8   1.79     .550   15.6  11.1   2.9   1.24