2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Warriors won't get it done without a lot more from some combo of Green, Thompson and Poole.
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Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Curry could lead the GSW to a victory more or less by himself if BOS’s starters have another up-down performance. The closest thing to a reliable player in the Finals for the Celtics has been Brown, and yet he still had a mediocre Gm. 2.
Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Warriors 2 - 2 Celtics
avg score 105.5 - 105.25
Pyth wins 2.03 - 1.97 , eWins 2.02 - 1.98
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... otals.html
shooting : GS .562 - .558 Bos
rebounds: Bos 42.8 - 41.8 GS
turnovers: GS 14.8 - 15.0 Bos
avg score 105.5 - 105.25
Pyth wins 2.03 - 1.97 , eWins 2.02 - 1.98
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... otals.html
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.85 Stephen Curry GS 37 .656 41.9 6.4 3.6 2.0 3.0 .0 2.74
.41 Jayson Tatum Bos 40 .468 17.7 6.8 7.1 .9 3.4 .7 1.23
.40 Jaylen Brown Bos 36 .539 22.2 7.3 3.7 .8 2.7 .5 1.34
.35 Al Horford Bos 30 .723 19.6 8.9 4.2 .6 1.6 .9 1.43
.33 Robert Williams Bos 24 .893 15.7 11.5 1.8 1.8 .8 4.4 1.63
.28 Kevon Looney GS 23 .737 15.2 13.3 4.3 1.5 3.1 1.9 1.46
.27 Marcus Smart Bos 34 .554 17.4 5.1 5.1 1.9 3.4 .0 .97
.26 Andrew Wiggins GS 38 .508 14.5 8.7 1.4 1.0 2.0 1.2 .82
.18 Otto Porter GS 19 .958 18.7 4.1 2.5 2.6 .9 .0 1.15
.16 Klay Thompson GS 37 .486 14.1 2.6 1.9 1.0 .8 .7 .51
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.11 Jordan Poole GS 23 .556 18.6 3.0 3.1 1.1 4.0 .4 .58
.10 Derrick White Bos 30 .549 16.0 2.1 2.2 .9 2.7 .9 .42
.09 Draymond Green GS 35 .274 2.0 7.9 5.8 1.8 2.1 .5 .30
.07 Gary Payton GS 12 .636 11.2 5.6 3.2 1.3 .7 .7 .68
.04 Grant Williams Bos 18 .633 9.6 4.7 1.8 .5 .5 .5 .26
.03 Andre Iguodala GS 4 .875 24.5 .0 5.7 .0 2.0 .0 1.08
.03 Nemanja Bjelica GS 6 .563 10.5 8.2 1.1 2.3 2.3 .0 .50
.02 Payton Pritchard Bos 14 .500 8.1 6.4 2.8 .6 1.8 .0 .22
.01 Aaron Nesmith Bos 4 .400 5.2 5.8 3.7 1.9 .0 .0 .43
.01 Daniel Theis Bos 5 .750 6.0 7.6 1.4 .0 1.5 2.9 .19
rebounds: Bos 42.8 - 41.8 GS
turnovers: GS 14.8 - 15.0 Bos
Code: Select all
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
.81 Stephen Curry GS 149 29.3 .245 12.2 2.74
.42 Robert Williams Bos 96 23.8 .275 8.2 1.63
.39 Al Horford Bos 118 18.0 .188 6.3 1.43
.33 Kevon Looney GS 92 21.9 .208 6.4 1.46
.31 Jaylen Brown Bos 145 16.6 .081 1.3 1.34
.30 Jayson Tatum Bos 159 14.2 .039 2.5 1.23
.27 Otto Porter GS 74 18.7 .224 9.3 1.15
.23 Marcus Smart Bos 134 14.0 .071 0.6 .97
.20 Andrew Wiggins GS 150 12.9 .047 -0.7 .82
.16 Klay Thompson GS 149 11.4 .045 -0.8 .51
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
.12 Gary Payton GS 46 15.9 .187 4.5 .68
.10 Derrick White Bos 121 10.2 .033 -1.7 .41
.08 Grant Williams Bos 70 10.5 .102 -0.8 .26
.05 Jordan Poole GS 92 10.6 -.017 -3.4 .58
.04 Andre Iguodala GS 14 17.4 .232 3.0 1.08
.04 Payton Pritchard Bos 54 10.2 .035 -1.9 .22
.04 Draymond Green GS 140 6.8 .017 -4.0 .30
.03 Nemanja Bjelica GS 24 12.8 .059 0.2 .50
.03 Aaron Nesmith Bos 14 13.5 .088 3.7 .43
.02 Malik Fitts Bos 7 18.4 .193 9.3 1.24
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
.02 Nik Stauskas Bos 7 16.3 .166 5.8 .78
.02 Moses Moody GS 9 14.2 .136 4.9 -.01
.02 Daniel Theis Bos 20 8.7 .045 0.4 .19
.01 Sam Hauser Bos 8 9.9 .093 1.7 -.09
.00 Jonathan Kuminga GS 6 7.8 .060 -6.0 -.65
-.02 Juan T-Anderson GS 7 -2.9 -.274 -7.7 -.31
-.04 Damion Lee GS 7 -15.4 -.417 -24.8 -.94
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
2.02 totals GS 960 15.3 .101 2.13 1.01
1.99 totals Bos 960 14.9 .100 2.15 .99
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Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Like I stated earlier, they really didn’t need Green, Thompson and Poole to provide much — Curry could single-handedly lead GSW to a win if the BOS starters don’t ALL step-up, and that’s exactly what happened. It is almost 5 against 1 and the Celtics can’t seem to press the advantage. Even if the series ends in 6 games and a Warriors defeat, Curry should still be the NBA FMVP.
Horford has one of the highest total net impact in the series for BOS, but has been so passive in the last 2 gm. as to be close to inconsequential. Williams III as a late dark horse FMVP? At the very least, Williams III was huge for BOS and deserves more minutes in Gm. 5.
Looney didn’t have that great a game, and I’m not sure whether it was an off night or if BOS has figured something out with him. Porter had his 1st bad game that I can remember since the DEN series.
In the end, it doesn’t change the fact that Tatum, Horford and Brown wasted an awesome Williams III performance and a solid one also from Smart.
Horford has one of the highest total net impact in the series for BOS, but has been so passive in the last 2 gm. as to be close to inconsequential. Williams III as a late dark horse FMVP? At the very least, Williams III was huge for BOS and deserves more minutes in Gm. 5.
Looney didn’t have that great a game, and I’m not sure whether it was an off night or if BOS has figured something out with him. Porter had his 1st bad game that I can remember since the DEN series.
In the end, it doesn’t change the fact that Tatum, Horford and Brown wasted an awesome Williams III performance and a solid one also from Smart.
Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Plenty of recent lineup management analysis of this series on Twitter here
@bballstrategy
@bballstrategy
Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Game by game "wins" attributed to regular rotation players:
An average performance for the full 48 minutes would result in .10 wins; so .10 in less than 48 is 'good' by any measure.
Note: Celts still favored by 54-46 at b-r.com
https://www.basketball-reference.com/fr ... _prob.html
Code: Select all
Celts 1 2 3 4 T
RWilliams .07 .04 .15 .16 - .42
Horford .19 -.01 .16 .05 - .39
Brown .05 .01 .21 .04 - .31
Tatum .00 .11 .14 .05 - .30
Smart .17 -.10 .07 .09 - .23
White .10 .00 .00 .00 - .10
GWilliams-.01 .04 .05 .00 - .08
Pritchard .08 .00 .01 -.05 - .04
totals .67 .25 .73 .34 - 1.99
Dubs 1 2 3 4 T
Curry .18 .24 .10 .29 - .81
Looney .06 .20 .02 .05 - .33
Porter .09 .11 .06 .01 - .27
Wiggins .07 .02 .03 .08 - .20
Thompson .02 -.07 .14 .07 - .16
Payton .00 .07 .00 .05 - .12
Poole -.07 .08 -.01 .05 - .05
Green -.09 .12 -.07 .08 - .04
Bjelica .00 .07 -.01 -.03 - .03
totals .34 .79 .23 .66 - 2.02
Note: Celts still favored by 54-46 at b-r.com
https://www.basketball-reference.com/fr ... _prob.html
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Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
BOS-GSW series probabilities have changed to ~66-34% in the FiveThirtyEight RAPTOR-based Forecast and 71-29% for the ESPN NBA BPI.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... edictions/
https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/page/B ... ayoff-odds
The two models have Gm. 5 as a ~51-49% and 52-48% Celtics-Warriors split respectively.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... ons/games/
https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401442534
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... edictions/
https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/page/B ... ayoff-odds
The two models have Gm. 5 as a ~51-49% and 52-48% Celtics-Warriors split respectively.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... ons/games/
https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401442534
Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Suppose the Celts are just about 1.5 ppg better than the Dubs. This translates to 55-45% on neutral court.
Further suppose that means Celts favored by 65-35 in Boston, Dubs by 55-45 in SF.
Chances the Celts win in 6 = .45*.65 = .29
Winning in 7, they can win G5 and G7, or 6 and 7: .45*.35*.45 + .55*.65*.45 = .07+.16 = .23
Total = .29+.23 = .52
Further suppose that means Celts favored by 65-35 in Boston, Dubs by 55-45 in SF.
Chances the Celts win in 6 = .45*.65 = .29
Winning in 7, they can win G5 and G7, or 6 and 7: .45*.35*.45 + .55*.65*.45 = .07+.16 = .23
Total = .29+.23 = .52
Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Warriors 3 - 2 Celtics
avg score 105.2 - 103.0
Pyth wins 2.85 - 2.15 , eWins 2.67 - 2.33
shooting : GS .558 - .551 Bos
rebounds: Bos 43.6 - 41.2 GS
turnovers: GS 13.2 - 15.6 Bos
avg score 105.2 - 103.0
Pyth wins 2.85 - 2.15 , eWins 2.67 - 2.33
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.94 Stephen Curry GS 37 .598 32.2 5.9 4.3 1.8 2.6 .0 2.42
.57 Jayson Tatum Bos 41 .492 18.3 6.9 6.2 .7 3.4 .5 1.33
.48 Andrew Wiggins GS 38 .514 15.9 9.6 1.4 1.1 1.6 1.1 1.20
.45 Jaylen Brown Bos 38 .507 18.5 7.2 3.6 .8 3.0 .4 1.14
.42 Robert Williams Bos 25 .875 14.7 10.7 1.9 1.4 .6 3.3 1.60
.39 Al Horford Bos 30 .709 16.4 8.8 3.5 .5 1.7 .7 1.25
.31 Marcus Smart Bos 35 .562 17.0 4.4 4.3 1.5 3.5 .0 .86
.30 Kevon Looney GS 22 .714 12.1 12.7 4.4 1.3 2.9 1.6 1.33
.29 Klay Thompson GS 38 .523 15.9 2.7 1.8 1.2 .8 .6 .74
.19 Gary Payton GS 15 .725 16.3 6.1 2.1 2.2 .5 .4 1.28
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.16 Jordan Poole GS 21 .587 20.7 2.6 2.6 .9 3.8 .3 .73
.16 Otto Porter GS 18 .833 13.4 4.3 2.1 2.2 .8 .4 .85
.15 Draymond Green GS 35 .329 3.1 8.2 5.7 1.7 2.1 .4 .41
.07 Derrick White Bos 29 .509 12.2 1.9 2.6 1.0 2.2 .7 .23
.03 Grant Williams Bos 17 .629 8.8 4.8 1.8 .4 1.2 1.1 .18
.03 Andre Iguodala GS 4 .875 16.8 .0 7.1 .0 1.6 .0 .84
.03 Aaron Nesmith Bos 3 .438 9.2 6.9 3.3 1.7 .0 .0 .87
.02 Nemanja Bjelica GS 6 .563 8.4 8.0 .9 1.9 1.9 .0 .35
.01 Daniel Theis Bos 4 .750 5.7 7.4 1.4 .0 1.5 2.9 .13
-.01 Pa. Pritchard Bos 12 .421 6.0 6.2 2.5 .5 2.1 .0 -.05
rebounds: Bos 43.6 - 41.2 GS
turnovers: GS 13.2 - 15.6 Bos
Code: Select all
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480 perW WS bpmW eWin
.84 Curry GS 186 25.2 .193 9.3 2.42 .83 .75 .99 .94
.55 RWilliams Bos 126 23.1 .278 8.3 1.60 .50 .73 .62 .42
.44 Horford Bos 151 16.1 .162 5.2 1.25 .35 .51 .55 .39
.41 Tatum Bos 204 14.2 .044 3.0 1.33 .39 .19 .57 .57
.39 Wiggins GS 192 15.3 .081 1.0 1.20 .42 .32 .38 .48
.36 Looney GS 108 19.6 .204 5.3 1.33 .34 .46 .40 .30
.32 Brown Bos 189 14.5 .050 0.2 1.14 .37 .20 .32 .45
.32 Thompson GS 189 12.9 .081 1.2 .74 .30 .32 .39 .29
.28 Payton GS 73 20.2 .243 7.9 1.28 .24 .37 .35 .19
.27 Porter GS 89 16.1 .192 7.0 .85 .21 .36 .39 .16
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480 perW WS bpmW eWin
.26 Smart Bos 174 12.7 .058 0.2 .86 .27 .21 .29 .31
.12 Poole GS 107 13.3 .027 -1.4 .73 .18 .06 .11 .16
.12 Green GS 175 7.8 .046 -2.7 .41 .08 .17 .09 .15
.09 GWilliams Bos 86 9.6 .081 -0.8 .18 .07 .15 .11 .03
.09 White Bos 143 8.7 .024 -1.8 .23 .09 .07 .13 .07
.06 Iguodala GS 18 17.2 .244 5.6 .84 .05 .09 .07 .03
.05 Nesmith Bos 15 20.2 .171 5.7 .87 .05 .05 .06 .03
.03 Bjelica GS 29 10.6 .066 -1.1 .35 .03 .04 .03 .02
.02 Fitts Bos 7 18.7 .195 9.3 1.07 .02 .03 .04 .02
.02 Theis Bos 20 9.7 .045 0.4 .13 .02 .02 .04 .01
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480 perW WS bpmW eWin
.02 Stauskas Bos 8 14.3 .144 4.3 .58 .02 .02 .03 .01
.02 Hauser Bos 10 11.2 .132 5.2 -.05 .01 .03 .04 .00
.02 Moody GS 11 12.3 .142 3.4 -.31 .02 .03 .03 -.01
-.01 Kuminga GS 8 1.4 -.038 -10.1 -.85 -.01 -.01 -.02 -.01
-.01 Pritchard Bos 59 6.4 -.037 -4.6 -.05 .01 -.05 -.01 -.01
-.02 T-Anderson GS 8 -6.2 -.220 -12.1 -.58 -.02 -.04 -.03 -.01
-.05 Lee GS 8 -17.4 -.459 -27.0 -1.11 -.04 -.08 -.07 -.02
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480 perW WS bpmW eWin
2.71 totals GS 1200 15.4 .114 2.49 1.07 2.62 2.85 3.11 2.67
2.32 totals Bos 1200 13.9 .089 1.94 .93 2.22 2.23 2.84 2.33
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Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Curry finally had a mediocre game, but the Celtics were unable to capitalize. Even with the so-so Gm. 5 performance, he is clearly in the driver’s seat for the NBA FMVP.
Williams III seems to be the only BOS starter who has been ready for the moment since Gm. 1. At this point, in the event GSW still lose in 7 gm., I don’t see how you can justify considering any other Celtic for FMVP. Horford’s age appears to have finally caught up to him this playoffs.
Looney and Porter Jr. have been non-factors in the last 2 games, and BOS seem to have made it a point to somewhat neutralize the two. Unfortunately for the Celtics, Wiggins and Payton II decided to then have the playoff game of their lives.
Tatum had his bounce-back game. He simply needed Horford, Brown and Smart to come along with him and Williams III.
As a side note, Theis has fallen completely out of the rotation even though Grant Williams hasn’t provided much throughout the series (like in Gm. 4 and 5). Despite the shooting issues, I would have assumed Udoka would at least utilize Theis in place of Williams, even if only sparingly, for his rebounding and defense — areas where they have struggled against GSW. This would be my candidate for biggest lineup adjustment for Gm. 6, particularly for the third quarter.
Williams III seems to be the only BOS starter who has been ready for the moment since Gm. 1. At this point, in the event GSW still lose in 7 gm., I don’t see how you can justify considering any other Celtic for FMVP. Horford’s age appears to have finally caught up to him this playoffs.
Looney and Porter Jr. have been non-factors in the last 2 games, and BOS seem to have made it a point to somewhat neutralize the two. Unfortunately for the Celtics, Wiggins and Payton II decided to then have the playoff game of their lives.
Tatum had his bounce-back game. He simply needed Horford, Brown and Smart to come along with him and Williams III.
As a side note, Theis has fallen completely out of the rotation even though Grant Williams hasn’t provided much throughout the series (like in Gm. 4 and 5). Despite the shooting issues, I would have assumed Udoka would at least utilize Theis in place of Williams, even if only sparingly, for his rebounding and defense — areas where they have struggled against GSW. This would be my candidate for biggest lineup adjustment for Gm. 6, particularly for the third quarter.
Last edited by DarkStar48 on Tue Jun 14, 2022 3:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Jeff Van Gundy keeps talking about how Tatum and Brown need to give up the ball "a step quicker" and says that's exactly what they do right, when they are winning. I tend to agree.
When they are getting trapped and losing the ball, they seem to trend toward not giving up the ball, rather than giving it up earlier. Then it's a tougher than necessary shot or pass, often a turnover or an air ball.
They could just decide to force more of the offense thru Robt. Williams and Al Horford, but I think even more TO come with that. You can only get so many 80% shots, and then they become 70 or 60% shooters.
Last year it was the Suns going do-or-die with Devin Booker. This year I keep waiting for Tatum and Brown to both get hot.
Actually, both are within 2 good/great games of seizing the fmvp.
When they are getting trapped and losing the ball, they seem to trend toward not giving up the ball, rather than giving it up earlier. Then it's a tougher than necessary shot or pass, often a turnover or an air ball.
They could just decide to force more of the offense thru Robt. Williams and Al Horford, but I think even more TO come with that. You can only get so many 80% shots, and then they become 70 or 60% shooters.
Last year it was the Suns going do-or-die with Devin Booker. This year I keep waiting for Tatum and Brown to both get hot.
Actually, both are within 2 good/great games of seizing the fmvp.
Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Updated game by game 'wins'.'The Wiggins Game' was also the best showing by Thompson and Payton.
Code: Select all
Celts 1 2 3 4 5 T
RWilliams .07 .04 .15 .16 .13 - .55
Horford .19 -.01 .16 .05 .05 - .44
Tatum .00 .11 .14 .05 .11 - .41
Brown .05 .01 .21 .04 .01 - .32
Smart .17 -.10 .07 .09 .03 - .26
White .10 .00 .00 .00 -.01 - .09
GWilliams-.01 .04 .05 .00 .01 - .09
Pritchard .08 .00 .01 -.05 -.05 - -.01
totals .67 .25 .73 .34 .32 - 2.30
Dubs 1 2 3 4 5 T
Curry .18 .24 .10 .29 .03 - .84
Wiggins .07 .02 .03 .08 .19 - .39
Looney .06 .20 .02 .05 .03 - .36
Porter .09 .11 .06 .01 .00 - .27
Thompson .02 -.07 .14 .07 .16 - .32
Payton .00 .07 .00 .05 .16 - .28
Poole -.07 .08 -.01 .05 .07 - .12
Green -.09 .12 -.07 .08 .08 - .12
Bjelica .00 .07 -.01 -.03 .00 - .03
totals .34 .79 .23 .66 .68 - 2.70
Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Warriors 4 - 2 Celtics
avg score 104.8 - 100.8
Pyth wins 3.76 - 2.24 , eWins 3.38 - 2.62
shooting : GS .555 - .547 Bos
rebounds: Bos 43.2 - 41.7 GS
turnovers: GS 13.8 - 16.8 Bos
avg score 104.8 - 100.8
Pyth wins 3.76 - 2.24 , eWins 3.38 - 2.62
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
1.20 Stephen Curry GS 38 .619 33.0 6.0 4.6 1.9 2.5 .2 2.55
.59 Andrew Wiggins GS 39 .512 15.9 8.5 1.9 1.4 1.8 1.4 1.19
.58 Jaylen Brown Bos 39 .536 20.8 7.0 3.3 .8 3.2 .3 1.20
.57 Al Horford Bos 32 .765 18.0 10.0 3.1 .8 2.0 .8 1.43
.56 Jayson Tatum Bos 41 .474 16.5 6.2 6.0 1.0 3.5 .6 1.10
.49 Robert Williams Bos 27 .776 13.0 10.5 2.0 1.1 .9 3.9 1.47
.32 Marcus Smart Bos 35 .535 14.8 4.7 4.9 1.5 3.4 .0 .73
.28 Kevon Looney GS 22 .652 9.6 13.1 4.3 1.1 2.9 1.4 1.04
.27 Jordan Poole GS 21 .585 23.8 3.3 3.0 .9 3.6 .3 1.04
.27 Klay Thompson GS 38 .481 14.3 3.0 1.8 1.3 1.2 .5 .56
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.26 Gary Payton GS 15 .648 15.4 6.5 2.6 3.1 .8 .8 1.34
.22 Draymond Green GS 36 .385 4.7 8.4 5.9 1.7 2.6 .7 .48
.21 Otto Porter GS 17 .861 15.6 4.4 2.0 2.1 .7 .4 1.00
.05 Derrick White Bos 27 .476 11.4 2.1 2.8 .9 2.3 .7 .14
.04 Andre Iguodala GS 3 .875 19.0 .0 8.9 .0 1.9 .0 1.07
.04 Nemanja Bjelica GS 5 .563 11.2 10.2 1.2 2.4 2.6 .0 .69
.04 Grant Williams Bos 17 .625 9.3 5.0 2.0 .3 1.4 1.4 .19
.02 Daniel Theis Bos 3 .750 6.5 9.1 1.7 .0 1.8 3.5 .44
.00 Payton Pritchard Bos 11 .381 6.1 7.0 3.1 .5 2.8 .0 -.02
rebounds: Bos 43.2 - 41.7 GS
turnovers: GS 13.8 - 16.8 Bos
Code: Select all
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
1.15 Stephen Curry GS 226 27.0 .246 11.3 2.55
.64 Al Horford Bos 190 18.2 .184 7.0 1.43
.62 Robert Williams Bos 159 22.1 .248 7.1 1.47
.51 Andrew Wiggins GS 236 15.8 .092 2.2 1.19
.46 Jaylen Brown Bos 233 15.7 .062 1.4 1.20
.38 Jayson Tatum Bos 244 12.5 .016 2.1 1.10
.35 Kevon Looney GS 130 17.1 .188 2.6 1.04
.33 Gary Payton GS 92 19.3 .231 6.8 1.34
.32 Otto Porter GS 102 16.4 .206 7.2 1.00
.27 Marcus Smart Bos 212 12.1 .047 -0.5 .73
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
.23 Draymond Green GS 217 9.6 .067 -1.1 .48
.22 Klay Thompson GS 230 10.2 .045 -1.5 .56
.22 Jordan Poole GS 125 14.6 .078 0.1 1.04
.09 Grant Williams Bos 102 9.0 .066 -0.8 .19
.06 Andre Iguodala GS 19 16.4 .238 4.9 1.07
.05 Luke Kornet Bos 6 35.6 .308 23.3 4.18
.05 Aaron Nesmith Bos 16 17.9 .159 3.9 1.43
.04 Nemanja Bjelica GS 29 10.6 .082 -1.1 .69
.03 Derrick White Bos 159 7.4 -.007 -3.0 .14
.03 Malik Fitts Bos 7 18.7 .188 9.3 1.56
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
.02 Moses Moody GS 11 12.3 .170 3.4 .07
.02 Daniel Theis Bos 20 9.7 .035 0.4 .44
.02 Sam Hauser Bos 11 10.2 .120 4.0 .29
.01 Nik Stauskas Bos 9 8.3 .016 -1.2 .99
-.00 Juwan Morgan Bos 6 2.0 .034 -3.9 -.60
-.01 Jonathan Kuminga GS 8 3.1 .031 -10.1 -.72
-.02 Juan T-Anderson GS 8 -6.2 -.202 -12.1 -.50
-.04 Payton Pritchard Bos 67 4.5 -.068 -6.1 -.02
-.05 Damion Lee GS 8 -17.4 -.397 -27.0 -1.10
wins Finals tm Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
3.39 totals GS 1440 15.5 .127 2.70 1.11
2.61 totals Bos 1440 13.6 .078 1.74 .92
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Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Curry closed out the Finals in arguably his best statistical game of the series, and with it, sealed his clear-cut unanimous NBA FMVP case.
Horford rediscovered the fountain of youth, and likely played his way back to the FMVP race had they forced a Gm. 7. Partly helped by the fact that Williams III had a solid, but not all that remarkable performance in Gm. 6.
Wiggins had his 2 best games of the Finals in the deciding games. Wiggins as the second most valuable player on the Warriors is not something I would have expected coming into this playoff matchup.
Tatum had his worst game with the season on the line, Brown tried to come along with Horford while getting a little bit from Williams III, and Smart was close to a complete non-factor. Horford and Williams III being the best/most valuable/most impactful players in the series is precisely the problem for the Celtics.
Udoka deciding not to make rotation adjustments and to ride-and-die with Grant Williams over Theis for the last 2 games was honestly unexpected.
Horford rediscovered the fountain of youth, and likely played his way back to the FMVP race had they forced a Gm. 7. Partly helped by the fact that Williams III had a solid, but not all that remarkable performance in Gm. 6.
Wiggins had his 2 best games of the Finals in the deciding games. Wiggins as the second most valuable player on the Warriors is not something I would have expected coming into this playoff matchup.
Tatum had his worst game with the season on the line, Brown tried to come along with Horford while getting a little bit from Williams III, and Smart was close to a complete non-factor. Horford and Williams III being the best/most valuable/most impactful players in the series is precisely the problem for the Celtics.
Udoka deciding not to make rotation adjustments and to ride-and-die with Grant Williams over Theis for the last 2 games was honestly unexpected.
Re: 2022 Finals: Celtics vs Warriors
Player 'wins' defined as the avg derived from WS, BPM, PER, and eWins. Game by game.Curry had the 3 best individual games in the series.
White, Pritchard, and Bjelica each had one good game that would be greater than their series total.
Code: Select all
Celts 1 2 3 4 5 6 T
Horford .19 -.01 .16 .05 .05 .20 - .64
RWilliams .07 .04 .15 .16 .13 .07 - .62
Brown .05 .01 .21 .04 .01 .14 - .46
Tatum .00 .11 .14 .05 .11 -.03 - .38
Smart .17 -.10 .07 .09 .03 .01 - .27
GWilliams-.01 .04 .05 .00 .01 .00 - .09
White .10 .00 .00 .00 -.01 -.06 - .03
Pritchard .08 .00 .01 -.05 -.05 -.03 - -.04
totals .67 .25 .73 .34 .32 .30 - 2.61
Warriors 1 2 3 4 5 6 T
Curry .18 .24 .10 .29 .03 .31 - 1.15
Wiggins .07 .02 .03 .08 .19 .12 - .51
Looney .06 .20 .02 .05 .03 -.01 - .35
Payton .00 .07 .00 .05 .16 .05 - .33
Porter .09 .11 .06 .01 .00 .05 - .32
Green -.09 .12 -.07 .08 .08 -.07 - .23
Thompson .02 -.07 .14 .07 .16 -.10 - .22
Poole -.07 .08 -.01 .05 .07 -.04 - .22
Bjelica .00 .07 -.01 -.03 .00 .00 - .04
totals .34 .79 .23 .66 .68 .69 - 3.39
White, Pritchard, and Bjelica each had one good game that would be greater than their series total.