Home for all your discussion of basketball statistical analysis.
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Thu Jun 01, 2023 1:26 am
Miami players thru 3 rounds:
Code: Select all
Jimmy Butler Bam Adebayo
rd PER WS/48 BPM e484 rd PER WS/48 BPM e484
1 33.5 .295 10.2 3.26 1 16.2 .041 -2.2 1.53
2 23.2 .219 7.1 2.14 2 16.9 .134 0.2 1.49
3 22.6 .164 5.2 2.29 3 14.3 .078 -1.1 1.23
13 25.8 .217 7.2 2.51 13 15.7 .089 -0.9 1.39
Caleb Martin Gabe Vincent
rd PER WS/48 BPM e484 rd PER WS/48 BPM e484
1 17.1 .192 2.8 1.01 1 10.0 .014 -2.7 .32
2 12.6 .121 0.3 .74 2 8.0 .025 -2.7 .55
3 20.8 .210 6.7 1.59 3 14.0 .133 0.6 .69
13 17.4 .178 3.8 1.19 13 10.9 .064 -1.4 .55
Max Strus Kyle Lowry
rd PER WS/48 BPM e484 rd PER WS/48 BPM e484
1 7.2 .061 -3.4 -.32 1 9.7 .022 -3.1 .23
2 15.3 .157 3.4 1.15 2 19.4 .210 8.3 1.64
3 9.2 .084 -2.8 .22 3 8.9 .016 -2.8 .37
13 10.7 .102 -0.9 .38 13 13.1 .092 1.4 .82
Duncan Robinson Kevin Love
rd PER WS/48 BPM e484 rd PER WS/48 BPM e484
1 16.4 .152 4.0 .95 1 18.4 .203 5.5 1.56
2 4.5 -.055 -5.6 .04 2 8.6 .055 -2.2 .85
3 20.7 .203 7.2 1.31 3 13.8 .084 -1.8 1.29
13 14.7 .113 2.5 .83 13 13.4 .117 0.8 1.21
Cody Zeller Haywood Highsmith
rd PER WS/48 BPM e484 rd PER WS/48 BPM e484
1 13.6 .115 -0.2 .82 1 18.4 .207 5.3 .96
2 2.8 -.032 -9.6 .04 2 15.3 .196 1.4 .75
3 10.4 .049 -6.6 .29 3 14.8 .179 5.9 .21
13 8.4 .036 -6.1 .33 13 15.9 .192 4.3 .58
Miami Heat
rd PER WS/48 BPM e484
1 16.6 .125 1.33 1.14
2 14.2 .119 1.28 1.13
3 15.7 .124 1.46 1.12
13 15.5 .122 1.36 1.13
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... anced.html
13 is shorthand for 'rounds 1 thru 3'. Same as T (total) for Nuggets:
Code: Select all
Jamal Murray Nikola Jokić
rd PER WS/48 BPM e480 rd PER WS/48 BPM e480
1 22.0 .188 5.3 2.28 1 28.1 .275 11.5 3.21
2 20.4 .151 3.1 1.69 2 37.3 .365 16.5 3.65
3 27.9 .257 9.1 2.27 3 27.6 .248 11.2 2.79
T 23.0 .193 5.5 2.04 T 31.6 .303 13.4 3.27
Aaron Gordon Michael Porter Jr.
1 15.2 .184 -0.9 .96 1 16.6 .182 2.9 1.55
2 11.9 .101 -1.8 .54 2 14.6 .138 0.7 1.04
3 12.6 .082 -1.0 .42 3 13.9 .104 0.8 1.00
T 13.1 .121 -1.3 .63 T 15.1 .144 1.5 1.21
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Bruce Brown
rd PER WS/48 BPM e480 rd PER WS/48 BPM e480
1 8.8 .070 -2.5 .16 1 14.7 .125 1.1 .73
2 14.6 .183 3.3 .62 2 18.1 .182 2.4 1.03
3 12.7 .095 -0.4 .39 3 15.4 .166 0.4 .64
T 12.2 .122 0.4 .41 T 16.2 .158 1.4 .82
Jeff Green Christian Braun
1 3.1 -.002 -6.0 -.62 1 10.6 .129 -0.5 -.07
2 7.6 .098 -4.1 -.04 2 5.3 .021 -5.5 -.16
3 3.9 .028 -6.0 -.49 3 -7.3 -.163 -15.7 -.76
T 4.9 .041 -5.3 -.38 T 5.8 .040 -4.8 -.20
Denver Nuggets
rd PER WS/48 BPM e480
1 16.0 .151 2.08 1.24
2 17.8 .168 2.90 1.25
3 17.3 .147 2.69 1.17
T 17.1 .155 2.55 1.22
Lifted from '2023 playoff misc." thread. Numbers may have shifted slightly since then.
Also: e480 or 484 are not different here.
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Fri Jun 02, 2023 11:23 am
Nuggets 1 - 0 Heat
104 - 93
Pythagorean wins .82 - .18 , eWins .64 - .36
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.32 Nikola Jokić Den 41 .750 33.5 9.8 12.8 .9 1.8 .9 3.78
.19 Jamal Murray Den 44 .565 25.5 5.5 8.5 .8 2.5 .0 2.04
.15 Bam Adebayo Mia 40 .520 22.3 11.2 3.8 .0 .9 .0 1.78
.09 Michael Porter Den 43 .412 9.3 12.2 .9 .0 .0 1.7 .98
.08 Aaron Gordon Den 36 .727 16.9 6.7 1.0 .0 .0 1.0 1.09
.08 Jimmy Butler Mia 38 .464 11.4 6.3 5.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 .99
.08 Gabe Vincent Mia 38 .679 19.1 1.8 4.0 .0 1.0 1.0 .98
.07 Ha. Highsmith Mia 24 .818 26.3 2.5 .0 2.7 1.3 1.3 1.40
.05 Kyle Lowry Mia 25 .688 16.5 6.0 5.3 1.3 2.6 .0 1.03
.04 Bruce Brown Den 21 .714 20.0 8.0 3.0 1.5 4.4 .0 .99
eWin per36 rates tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
-.00 Max Strus Mia 21 .000 .0 7.8 4.2 .0 .0 .0 -.01
-.00 Jeff Green Den 11 .667 9.8 2.7 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.05
-.02 Cody Zeller Mia 8 .000 .0 9.1 .0 .0 3.3 .0 -1.01
-.02 Caleb Martin Mia 25 .214 2.1 5.4 .0 1.4 .0 1.4 -.42
-.02 Christian Braun Den 9 .000 .0 3.2 3.0 .0 3.0 .0 -1.29
-.04 Kentavious C-P Den 36 .389 5.4 3.3 .0 1.0 1.0 .0 -.53
-.05 Duncan Robinson Mia 22 .250 2.4 1.3 1.2 .0 1.4 .0 -1.04
shooting :
Den .584 - .479 Mia
rebounds: Den 45 - 43 Mia
turnovers: Mia 8 - 10 Den
Code: Select all
. Heat PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Nuggs PER WS/48 BPM e480
Adebayo 20.8 .106 4.2 1.78 Murray 20.1 .164 4.1 2.04
Vincent 18.4 .213 7.6 .98 Porter 11.3 .067 -2.3 .98
Butler 16.5 .087 1.6 .99 Jokić 36.2 .486 21.0 3.78
Martin 1.2 -.076 -10.0 -.42 Gordon 19.4 .264 3.5 1.09
Lowry 16.9 .130 5.2 1.03 KCP 3.3 -.012 -10.0 -.53
Highsmith 30.3 .298 14.3 1.40 Brown 14.2 .079 1.4 .99
Robinson -5.7 -.169 -14.8 -1.04 Green 12.8 .146 -2.7 -.05
Strus -10.0 -.338 -19.0 -.01 Braun -7.7 -.153 -14.5 -1.29
Zeller -5.2 -.216 -19.7 -1.01
. totals 12.3 .048 -0.59 .68 . totals 16.8 .170 2.38 1.31
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Mon Jun 05, 2023 12:06 pm
Nuggets
1 - 1 Heat
avg score 106.0 - 102.0
Pyth wins 1.25 - .75 , eWins 1.13 - .87
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.57 Nikola Jokić Den 42 .680 35.7 10.7 7.8 .4 3.3 .4 3.29
.31 Jamal Murray Den 42 .571 20.3 5.1 8.7 .9 1.9 .0 1.79
.29 Bam Adebayo Mia 40 .566 21.0 11.2 3.8 .0 1.8 .9 1.74
.22 Jimmy Butler Mia 39 .479 14.5 5.7 7.0 .5 .9 .5 1.34
.20 Gabe Vincent Mia 35 .764 23.8 1.2 3.9 1.0 1.0 .5 1.36
.12 Aaron Gordon Den 38 .737 12.8 7.3 1.4 .0 .0 1.0 .80
.07 Michael Porter Den 35 .380 6.6 11.4 .5 .0 .5 1.0 .47
.06 Kevin Love Mia 11 .333 5.9 17.7 1.5 3.2 .0 .0 1.41
.06 Bruce Brown Den 24 .618 15.7 7.8 1.3 2.0 4.3 .0 .64
.06 Kyle Lowry Mia 25 .741 15.8 3.7 4.9 .7 3.3 .0 .62
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.06 Max Strus Mia 25 .326 7.0 5.5 6.0 .0 .0 .7 .60
.05 Ha. Highsmith Mia 15 .818 18.5 3.3 .0 2.0 1.0 1.0 .77
.03 Jeff Green Den 14 .929 17.7 2.5 1.1 .0 1.1 .0 .48
.02 Christian Braun Den 12 .750 9.3 2.8 4.7 3.6 2.5 .0 .32
-.02 Caleb Martin Mia 23 .300 2.8 7.3 .7 1.5 1.5 1.5 -.16
-.02 Cody Zeller Mia 8 .667 7.3 5.6 .0 .0 3.4 .0 -.75
-.03 Duncan Robinson Mia 20 .565 8.6 .9 1.5 .0 .8 .0 -.38
-.05 Kentavious C-P Den 37 .448 5.2 3.5 1.5 1.0 1.1 .5 -.35
shooting : Den .606 - .551 Mia
rebounds: Den 41.5 - 37.0
turnovers: Mia 9.5 - 12.0 Den
Code: Select all
. Heat PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Nuggs PER WS/48 BPM e480
Adebayo 19.3 .107 2.7 1.74 Murray 20.6 .169 4.7 1.79
Butler 17.2 .102 1.5 1.34 Jokić 33.2 .319 12.6 3.29
Vincent 22.0 .227 8.9 1.36 Gordon 17.2 .186 2.8 .80
Strus 6.1 -.036 -3.2 .60 KCP 4.4 .020 -6.7 -.35
Lowry 13.1 .082 1.4 .62 Porter 6.9 -.013 -6.7 .47
Martin 4.4 -.056 -6.6 -.16 Brown 12.5 .001 -2.3 .64
Robinson 5.4 -.008 -4.9 -.38 Green 18.5 .256 3.7 .48
Highsmith 24.7 .254 9.5 .77 Braun 15.3 .142 7.0 .32
Love 14.8 .032 -0.6 1.41
Zeller .3 -.096 -15.3 -.75
. totals 14.3 .080 0.82 .87 . totals 16.6 .135 1.74 1.12
correl : .45 .40 .48 .61 min. corr: .17 .01 -.06 .48
Added correlation between stats and minutes, bottom line.
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Thu Jun 08, 2023 12:07 pm
Nuggets 2 - 1 Heat
avg score 107.0 - 99.3
Pyth wins 2.19 - .81 , eWins 1.84 - 1.16
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.90 Nikola Jokić Den 42 .667 36.4 13.0 8.1 .3 3.1 .9 3.39
.54 Jamal Murray Den 43 .605 25.7 6.1 8.6 .8 3.4 .0 2.02
.42 Bam Adebayo Mia 40 .511 19.1 12.7 3.4 .0 1.2 .9 1.68
.30 Jimmy Butler Mia 39 .496 17.5 4.3 5.8 .3 1.2 .6 1.23
.23 Aaron Gordon Den 36 .629 13.6 8.3 2.7 .3 .0 .7 1.02
.16 Gabe Vincent Mia 34 .628 17.9 .8 2.7 1.5 .7 .4 .75
.13 Christian Braun Den 14 .840 22.7 4.5 3.5 2.7 2.3 .0 1.41
.12 Kyle Lowry Mia 26 .674 15.1 3.6 5.2 1.3 2.6 .0 .72
.08 Max Strus Mia 25 .298 4.7 5.7 6.3 .5 .0 1.0 .55
.06 Kevin Love Mia 13 .429 7.3 11.8 .9 1.9 .0 .0 .73
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.06 Ha. Highsmith Mia 11 .818 20.0 2.9 .0 1.9 .9 .9 .83
.04 Michael Porter Den 30 .328 4.5 11.1 .4 .0 .4 .8 .24
.04 Bruce Brown Den 25 .565 11.7 5.6 .9 1.3 3.2 1.3 .26
.04 Jeff Green Den 15 .944 17.3 1.5 1.4 .0 .7 .0 .43
.01 Caleb Martin Mia 26 .421 5.2 5.7 1.7 1.8 1.3 .9 .04
-.01 Duncan Robinson Mia 18 .629 11.9 1.3 1.1 .0 .6 .0 -.08
-.04 Cody Zeller Mia 7 .667 5.7 4.1 .0 .0 2.6 .0 -.79
-.08 Kentavious C-P Den 34 .463 5.3 3.5 1.1 .7 1.1 .4 -.37
shooting : Den .598 - .520 Mia
rebounds: Den 47.0 - 35.7 Mia
turnovers: Mia 7.7 - 12.7 Den
Code: Select all
. Heat PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Nuggs PER WS/48 BPM e480
Adebayo 19.5 .095 2.2 1.68 Murray 22.4 .199 5.5 2.02
Butler 17.1 .064 1.9 1.23 Jokić 32.7 .348 13.4 3.39
Vincent 15.2 .107 3.6 .75 Gordon 16.7 .192 2.9 1.02
Lowry 13.1 .078 1.4 .72 KCP 3.9 .039 -6.7 -.37
Martin 6.8 -.018 -3.6 .04 Porter 5.2 -.014 -8.4 .24
Strus 7.5 -.027 -1.7 .55 Brown 9.4 .021 -2.9 .26
Robinson 9.0 .021 -1.8 -.08 Green 14.9 .228 2.6 .43
Love 12.5 .023 -0.9 .73 Braun 24.2 .267 10.7 1.41
Highsmith 22.8 .227 7.3 .83
Zeller .0 -.087 -14.6 -.79
. totals 13.4 .052 0.27 .77 . totals 16.8 .162 2.23 1.23
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Sat Jun 10, 2023 2:37 pm
Nuggets 3 - 1 Heat
avg score 107.3 - 98.3
Pyth wins 3.05 - .95, eWins 2.52 - 1.48
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
1.09 Nikola Jokić Den 41 .641 33.8 13.3 7.3 .9 3.2 1.4 3.20
.63 Jamal Murray Den 43 .560 21.6 5.5 9.2 .8 2.6 .0 1.79
.50 Bam Adebayo Mia 41 .503 18.4 12.5 3.2 .2 2.5 .9 1.47
.45 Jimmy Butler Mia 41 .518 18.2 5.0 5.7 .2 1.2 .7 1.32
.44 Aaron Gordon Den 38 .695 19.0 8.1 3.5 .5 .5 .5 1.42
.18 Bruce Brown Den 27 .662 17.2 5.5 1.3 1.2 2.4 1.3 .83
.18 Kyle Lowry Mia 28 .667 15.3 3.7 5.7 1.0 2.5 .0 .78
.11 Kevin Love Mia 14 .585 12.6 11.0 .6 1.3 .0 .0 .96
.10 Christian Braun Den 15 .759 15.9 4.1 2.7 2.5 1.7 .5 .86
.09 Gabe Vincent Mia 30 .567 14.6 .7 2.5 1.3 1.2 .3 .36
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.06 Max Strus Mia 23 .262 3.2 6.8 5.0 .4 .0 .8 .33
.06 Michael Porter Den 29 .364 6.0 10.1 .3 .0 .3 .6 .24
.05 Ha. Highsmith Mia 8 .818 19.2 3.0 .0 1.9 .9 .9 .78
.04 Duncan Robinson Mia 20 .694 14.7 1.4 1.9 .4 .8 .0 .25
.04 Jeff Green Den 15 1.00 16.1 1.1 1.0 .5 1.1 .0 .29
.01 Caleb Martin Mia 28 .435 6.2 5.9 1.5 1.3 1.3 .6 .04
-.03 Cody Zeller Mia 7 .667 4.8 4.7 1.0 .0 2.2 1.1 -.51
-.03 Kentavious C-P Den 34 .491 5.6 3.8 1.4 1.3 .9 .8 -.11
shooting : Den .599 - .525 Mia
rebounds: Den 43.8 - 36.0 Mia
turnovers: Mia 9.5 - 11.5 Den
Code: Select all
. Heat PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Nuggs PER WS/48 BPM e480
Adebayo 16.7 .025 0.6 1.47 Murray 20.3 .184 4.2 1.79
Butler 18.7 .090 3.6 1.32 Jokić 31.1 .317 11.6 3.20
Vincent 10.9 .032 -0.9 .36 Gordon 19.5 .230 4.6 1.42
Lowry 14.1 .102 2.4 .78 KCP 7.1 .076 -3.8 -.11
Martin 7.2 -.027 -4.0 .04 Porter 5.8 -.009 -9.4 .24
Strus 4.7 -.057 -4.9 .33 Brown 15.3 .120 1.4 .83
Robinson 12.1 .072 1.5 .25 Green 13.4 .199 1.5 .29
Love 15.8 .111 3.2 .96 Braun 19.3 .213 6.7 .86
Highsmith 22.8 .222 7.3 .78
Zeller 2.4 -.044 -10.1 -.51
. totals 13.0 .043 0.07 .74 . totals 17.3 .171 2.41 1.26
Mike G
Posts: 6154 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Tue Jun 13, 2023 12:37 pm
Nuggets 4 - 1 Heat
avg score 104.6 - 96.4
Pyth wins 3.74 - 1.26 , eWins 3.12 - 1.88
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
1.38 Nikola Jokić Den 41 .659 34.6 13.0 6.5 .7 3.3 1.3 3.21
.72 Jamal Murray Den 42 .546 20.3 5.6 8.8 .9 3.2 .0 1.63
.61 Bam Adebayo Mia 42 .498 17.9 11.5 2.7 .4 2.2 .7 1.39
.57 Jimmy Butler Mia 41 .502 18.3 4.4 5.5 .7 1.1 .5 1.33
.45 Aaron Gordon Den 36 .631 15.9 7.9 3.1 .8 .7 .6 1.20
.27 Kyle Lowry Mia 29 .607 14.3 5.0 5.4 1.2 2.2 .2 .88
.19 Bruce Brown Den 27 .553 14.7 5.8 1.3 1.2 2.2 1.0 .68
.15 Michael Porter Den 29 .387 7.8 10.8 1.0 .0 .5 .5 .50
.13 Kevin Love Mia 14 .551 11.1 9.4 .5 1.5 .0 1.0 .88
.12 Christian Braun Den 16 .674 13.8 4.0 2.3 1.9 1.3 .8 .73
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.10 Max Strus Mia 25 .322 5.1 7.3 4.1 .3 .3 .9 .40
.09 Gabe Vincent Mia 28 .491 12.7 .5 2.9 1.3 1.0 .3 .29
.08 Duncan Robinson Mia 19 .639 14.2 2.1 2.6 .3 1.4 .7 .39
.06 Jeff Green Den 13 1.00 18.0 1.0 1.4 .5 1.0 .0 .48
.05 Ha. Highsmith Mia 7 .818 17.5 3.4 .0 1.7 .8 .8 .69
.04 Kentavious C-P Den 34 .493 6.8 3.8 1.5 1.5 .9 1.3 .10
.02 Caleb Martin Mia 28 .451 7.2 5.6 1.4 1.2 1.5 .7 .08
-.03 Cody Zeller Mia 5 .500 3.8 5.4 1.0 .0 2.1 1.0 -.51
shooting : Den .577 - .504 Mia
rebounds: Den 46.4 - 37.6 Mia
turnovers: Mia 9.2 - 12.2 Den
Code: Select all
. Heat PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Nuggs PER WS/48 BPM e480
Adebayo 16.1 .044 0.3 1.39 Murray 17.7 .148 2.9 1.63
Butler 18.1 .098 4.2 1.33 Jokić 30.1 .311 11.1 3.21
Lowry 14.3 .117 3.1 .88 Gordon 17.1 .205 3.1 1.20
Martin 7.1 -.008 -3.5 .08 KCP 8.7 .102 -1.6 .10
Vincent 9.0 .002 -1.9 .29 Porter 7.5 .024 -6.5 .50
Strus 6.0 -.028 -3.5 .40 Brown 13.4 .091 0.2 .68
Robinson 11.6 .060 1.6 .39 Braun 16.9 .194 5.4 .73
Love 14.9 .107 3.3 .88 Green 14.9 .236 2.6 .48
Highsmith 21.0 .220 6.1 .69 Jordan 10.1 .137 3.2 -.24
Zeller 2.6 -.041 -10.6 -.51
. totals 12.6 .049 0.28 .75 . totals 16.5 .164 2.38 1.25
Crow
Posts: 10565 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow Tue Jun 13, 2023 6:26 pm
Calvin Booth leads champion in first year as #1 executive. Very fortunate situation but got it done.