Warriors lineup management

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Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Warriors lineup management

Post by Crow »

Draymond talking about winning championship.

Warriors listed in 12th place to win title on line used by BRef.
Crow
Posts: 10727
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Warriors lineup management

Post by Crow »

No way Kuminga should still be on Warriors after trade deadline.

He doesn't fit. Awful +/- in playoffs every time. Bad with Butler. Meh or less with most. Good with Curry in regular season became just mild positive in playoffs. Not enough.

Current standoff. Neither of two main outcomes is that good for Warriors.

Have they worked 3+ team deals hard? That is what I would have been trying.

Kuminga to Kings? Would have absolutely no qualms about that. He isn't going to help them win. Shouldn't care how many points he puts up but apparently they do. From business marketing perspective? I wouldn't.

They have plenty of issues beyond Kuminga but get rid of him. If still trying to contend for a title, shift focus to the several or many things needed for even a plausible case for that. Quite unlikely but get after it. I'd be willing to trade anyone on roster besides Curry or expected in if the fit doesn't take hold early.

Trading Curry is not considered an option by them but I would consider it next summer depending on what happens this playoffs. I would be very open to trading Butler if a good offer came.
Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Warriors lineup management

Post by Crow »

Kerr ended at 740 lineups used last season. None over 3 minutes per game for season, only 2 over 1 minute on average, only 5 over 30 seconds / gm / season.

More this season? Seems likely.
Crow
Posts: 10727
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Warriors lineup management

Post by Crow »

Kerr uses 1338 different quads in rs. About 30% more than league average.
Crow
Posts: 10727
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Warriors lineup management

Post by Crow »

Curry Butler Kuminga Green Horford was used in a crucial late stretch last night and worked.

The quad with Horford was barely tested last season and this season and was bad in both overall.

This is an obvious group to test thoroughly to find out what happens on average.

It shouldn't be a spur of moment, heat of battle suggestion, imo.

Consider all combinations of key players and prioritize which to test most orcat all. Can't adequately test that many, so pick carefully and adjust based on results.
Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Warriors lineup management

Post by Crow »

7th best offensive efficiency, 6th worst defense. 3-1 but only 16th best net margin.

Solid lineup results at top but issues lower down.
Crow
Posts: 10727
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Warriors lineup management

Post by Crow »

Kuminga

career best 3pt fg%, Efg%, ts%, ft%. 2pt fg% recovered from career low last season

very weak / career low fg% at the rim but career best from 3-10 feet and well above at the rim fg%

best rebounding

60% increase in turnover rate

20% decline in usage

lowest stock rate

worst D-BPM

overall BPM just modestly above career low and 130% worse than last season.

best raw +/- on and on / off

for 10 most used lineups, it is 5 strong, 5 weak, nothing in between

generally great pairs with starters, mostly terrible with bench

team stat level detail with and without shows generally better stats with except 40% less stocks

15 pt improvement in team offensive efficiency with vs without. 6 pts worse on defense.
Crow
Posts: 10727
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Warriors lineup management

Post by Crow »

7 of 10 Horford pairs are negative so far, almost all badly.

13 of 13 Richard pairs are negative. Almost all very badly.

About half of Moody and Kuminga pairs are negative, entirely with bench players.
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