Home for all your discussion of basketball statistical analysis.
Mike G
Posts: 6423 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Thu Apr 23, 2026 3:46 pm
2-game leaders. xyz is a mix of eWins, VORP, and WS. Other available stats are shown.
Code: Select all
xyz Player Pos tm min PER WS WS/48 BPM VORP e480 eWin
.309 Shai G-A PG OKC 67 32.8 .56 .403 9.5 .20 2.57 .36
.303 Cade Cunningham PG Det 78 24.3 .32 .194 8.1 .20 2.74 .44
.299 Donovan Mitchell SG Cle 68 31.4 .43 .302 8.5 .18 2.88 .41
.295 Jayson Tatum PF Bos 71 25.1 .41 .278 8.3 .19 2.64 .39
.290 Jaylen Brown SF Bos 68 27.4 .36 .252 9.9 .21 2.58 .36
.272 James Harden PG Cle 68 27.4 .34 .241 9.3 .20 2.37 .34
.271 Luke Kennard SG LA 80 24.0 .42 .254 6.3 .17 2.05 .34
.269 Jalen Williams SG OKC 52 33.8 .44 .408 13.8 .21 2.47 .27
.268 LeBron James SF LA 78 24.1 .43 .263 5.2 .15 2.40 .39
.256 Evan Mobley PF Cle 66 26.7 .42 .305 7.1 .16 2.41 .33
xyz Player Pos tm min PER WS WS/48 BPM VORP e480 eWin
.252 Robert Williams C Por 40 36.2 .35 .418 20.0 .22 2.90 .24
.251 Nikola Jokić C Den 80 20.6 .22 .132 6.8 .18 2.22 .37
.241 Marcus Smart SG LA 69 23.4 .29 .202 8.2 .18 2.03 .29
.231 Karl-A Towns C NY 66 24.4 .32 .233 7.2 .16 2.11 .29
.220 Josh Hart SF NY 72 18.9 .27 .178 6.2 .15 1.91 .29
.209 Scoot Henderson PG Por 65 23.6 .26 .189 7.6 .16 1.80 .24
.198 VJ Edgecombe SG Phl 69 23.4 .21 .143 8.2 .18 1.48 .21
.192 Luke Kornet C SAS 42 29.9 .31 .358 11.2 .14 2.32 .20
.189 Jalen Brunson PG NY 72 20.8 .20 .135 4.1 .11 2.01 .30
.188 Jamal Murray PG Den 82 19.5 .20 .116 3.4 .12 1.73 .30
xyz Player Pos tm min PER WS WS/48 BPM VORP e480 eWin
.186 Vi. Wembanyama C SAS 45 27.6 .19 .202 8.4 .12 3.03 .28
.183 Alperen Şengün C Hou 71 21.2 .16 .109 5.4 .14 1.76 .26
.183 OG Anunoby PF NY 76 17.0 .31 .198 4.6 .13 1.23 .19
.174 Chet Holmgren PF OKC 57 24.9 .31 .258 5.4 .11 1.75 .21
.172 Collin M-Boyles PF Tor 46 28.8 .23 .239 9.6 .14 1.96 .19
.172 CJ McCollum PG Atl 69 23.7 .11 .075 6.0 .14 1.82 .26
.166 Paolo Banchero PF Orl 71 17.3 .14 .095 4.4 .12 1.70 .25
.161 Do. DiVincenzo SG Min 62 17.4 .20 .154 7.4 .15 1.21 .16
.159 Wendell Carter C Orl 61 17.9 .29 .227 5.9 .12 1.19 .15
.159 Tyrese Maxey PG Phl 76 18.9 .12 .074 4.3 .12 1.49 .24
xyz Player Pos tm min PER WS WS/48 BPM VORP e480 eWin
.159 Anthony Edwards SG Min 78 18.2 .10 .062 3.6 .11 1.71 .28
.159 Royce O'Neale SF Phx 57 20.4 .22 .184 9.9 .17 1.04 .12
.157 Onyeka Okongwu C Atl 67 19.0 .25 .177 4.3 .11 1.28 .18
.156 Ajay Mitchell SG OKC 51 22.5 .31 .288 6.9 .12 1.39 .15
.149 RJ Barrett SF Tor 68 21.7 .18 .126 3.3 .09 1.52 .22
I think at least one player from each team is included here.
Mike G
Posts: 6423 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Sat Apr 25, 2026 3:29 pm
Thru the first 22 playoff games, 20 best individual performances.
GameScore is multiplied by 100/(Opp Pts) to derive GSc2.
"game" (for lack of another term) = (GSc2 + 2*(BPM+5.25)*min/48)/3 -- the BPM component counts twice as much as adjusted GmSc, for now.
Code: Select all
game Player tm opp G GSc2 BPM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
24.1 Scottie Barnes Tor Cle 3 32.5 22.1 35 .77 33 5 11 1 1 1
22.2 Marcus Smart LAL Hou 2 27.8 21.0 36 .82 25 2 7 5 1 3
21.2 Marcus Smart LAL Hou 3 25.1 18.2 39 .76 21 4 10 5 2 3
20.4 VJ Edgecombe Phl Bos 2 27.6 17.5 35 .75 30 10 2 2 0 2
20.3 OG Anunoby NYK Atl 3 26.0 17.6 37 .76 29 9 1 1 3 0
19.2 Alperen Sengun Hou LAL 3 27.3 10.3 47 .58 33 16 6 3 1 3
19.2 Jrue Holiday Por SAS 3 23.1 15.2 41 .81 29 6 5 4 0 2
19.2 Amen Thompson Hou LAL 3 26.4 10.2 48 .66 26 11 4 3 3 1
19.0 Dylan Harper SAS Por 3 25.2 20.3 30 .92 27 10 3 1 1 1
18.4 RJ Barrett Tor Cle 3 26.3 12.4 39 .75 33 5 5 2 1 2
game Player tm opp G GSc2 BPM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
18.0 Shai G-A OKC Phx 2 28.5 10.7 38 .64 37 5 9 1 0 3
17.9 Jason Tatum Bos Phl 1 28.0 13.7 32 .64 25 11 7 2 0 1
17.5 Jalen Williams OKC Phx 1 26.8 16.1 29 .69 22 7 6 1 1 1
17.5 Jaylen Brown Bos Phl 2 23.1 13.3 38 .62 36 7 4 1 1 3
16.8 Wendell Carter Orl Det 1 19.8 14.8 37 .94 17 7 5 2 1 0
16.6 CJ McCollum Atl NYK 2 24.2 12.2 35 .64 32 3 6 2 1 2
16.6 James Harden Cle Tor 2 23.6 12.7 35 .76 28 5 4 5 1 5
16.4 Karl-A Towns NYK Atl 3 22.5 13.5 34 .72 21 17 4 2 2 3
16.3 Deni Avdija Por SAS 1 22.6 10.7 40 .64 30 10 5 1 1 2
16.3 Vi. Wembanyama SAS Por 1 24.4 12.6 33 .75 35 5 1 0 2 4
Mike G
Posts: 6423 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Thu Apr 30, 2026 2:51 pm
OKC 4 - 0 Phx
Game by game eWins, approximately.
Code: Select all
eWins by game : tm 1 2 3 4
.85 Shai G-A OKC .14 .22 .35 .14
.47 Chet Holmgren OKC .10 .11 .07 .19
.36 Is. Hartenstein OKC .07 .08 .05 .16
.33 Dillon Brooks Phx .05 .08 .12 .08
.29 Jalen Williams OKC .15 .12 .03 .00
.28 Ajay Mitchell OKC .06 .09 .04 .09
.26 Jalen Green Phx .05 .02 .12 .07
.19 Devin Booker Phx .06 .07 .06 .00
.19 Collin Gillespie Phx .02 .04 .07 .06
.14 Alex Caruso OKC .05 .05 .04
.14 Oso Ighodaro Phx .02 .02 .04 .06
.13 Royce O'Neale Phx .02 .10 -.03 .04
.12 Cason Wallace OKC .04 .03 .00 .05
.10 Jaylin Williams OKC (.06) .03 .01
.06 Luguentz Dort OKC .04 .02 .05 -.05
.06 Grayson Allen Phx .00 .06
.03 Jared McCain OKC (.04) -.01
.03 Isaiah Joe OKC .04 .01 -.02 .00
.02 Aaron Wiggins OKC .02 .00
-.03 Khaman Maluach Phx (-.03) -.01 .01
-.05 Ryan Dunn Phx -.01 -.02 -.01 -.01
(.xx) = may include some earlier minutes.
Is one of these formats better than the other?
Code: Select all
eWin Spurs 1 2 3 4 5 eWin Blazers 1 2 3 4 5
.75 Wemby .23 .05 -.02 .28 .21 .45 Avdija .19 .04 .07 .11 .04
.63 Fox .15 .06 .05 .23 .14 .38 Williams .09 .15 .06 .01 .07
.51 Castle .11 .10 .19 .11 .00 .34 Holiday .04 .07 .19 .06 -.02
.34 Kornet .10 .10 .10 -.01 .05 .22 Clingan .01 .07 .06 .03 .05
.30 Vassell .06 .15 .02 .06 .01 .12 Henderson .06 .18 .00 -.10 -.02
.30 Champagnie .06 .03 .03 .02 .16 .11 Sharpe .01 .03 .01 .05 .01
.29 Harper -.01 -.02 .26 -.05 .11 .08 Grant -.03 -.05 .03 .06 .07
.10 Johnson .00 .01 .02 .05 .02 .03 Thybulle .00 -.02 .01 .01 .03
.10 Bryant (.01) .04 .04 .01 .01 Camar -.02 .09 -.10 .02 .02
-.05 Barnes -.01 -.02 -.01 .00 -.01
Mike G
Posts: 6423 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Sat May 02, 2026 3:33 pm
Code: Select all
. Hou 1 2 3 4 5 6 . LAL 1 2 3 4 5 6
Şengün .08 .18 .22 .17 .13 .05 LeBron .20 .19 .18 -.01 .17 .24
Thompson .09 .08 .18 .18 .09 .08 Smart .06 .23 .23 .02 .00 .12
Eason .12 .02 -.02 .20 .11 .05 Ayton .15 .00 -.03 .12 .16 .10
Smith .07 .05 .07 .13 .15 .00 Rui .04 .04 .09 .05 .01 .16
Sheppard .03 .00 .03 .11 .07 -.02 Kennard .18 .16 .02 -.06 -.02 .01
Durant .07 Reaves .09 .09
Okogie .01 -.01 -.01 .04 .03 .00 Hayes .00 .04 .06 -.03 -.02 .05
Tate .02 -.02 .00 .01 .00 .02 V'bilt .00 .00 .02 .04 .00 .01
Capela -.01 .01 .01 .00 .00 .01 LaRavia .03 -.04 -.02 .00 .01 .03
F-Smith -.02 .01 -.03 Bronny (-.01) .00 .02
Holiday -.03 .00 -.03 .00 -.01 .01
Mike G
Posts: 6423 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Sun May 03, 2026 12:43 pm
Code: Select all
. Bos 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 . Phl 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Tatum .20 .19 .17 .28 .18 .13 .00 Maxey .06 .18 .15 .05 .20 .24 .28
Brown .14 .22 .15 .11 .07 .01 .21 Embiid .15 .18 .18 .28
Queta .08 .03 .06 .10 .06 .04 .12 George .05 .10 .08 .06 .11 .12 .01
Pritc'd .06 .00 .05 .20 .08 .04 .02 Edgecombe .04 .17 .04 -.06 .02 .09 .10
White .06 -.02 .05 .02 -.06 .00 .13 Grimes .01 .00 .02 .06 .08 -.01 .00
Hauser .08 .03 .02 .01 .01 .00 .01 Drummond .01 .05 .02 -.01 .05 .03 -.01
Garza .03 .02 .02 .04 .03 .05 -.05 Oubre .03 .01 .08 -.06 -.03 .05 -.01
Sch'man .02 .02 .05 .03 -.01 .02 -.02 Barlow .01 -.02 .00 -.01 .01 .00 -.01
Vučević .02 .03 .05 .00 .03 .00 -.02 Bona .0 -.04 .04 -.02 -.01 -.01 .00
Harper .06 .00 Edwards .03 .01 -.04 -.01 -.01 -.01 -.01
Walsh .02 .00 -.01 .01 .02 .02 -.02
total .74 .52 .61 .85 .38 .34 .37 total .26 .48 .39 .15 .62 .66 .63
Mike G
Posts: 6423 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Mon May 04, 2026 9:46 am
Best individual games of the first round:
Code: Select all
xyz Player tm G GmSc BPM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
28.8 Ayo Dosumnu Min 4 37.1 22.1 42 .97 43 4 1 0 1 1
24.8 Shai G-A OKC 3 38.6 19.5 38 .83 42 4 8 1 0 3
24.0 Scottie Barnes Tor 3 33.8 22.1 35 .77 33 5 11 1 1 1
23.6 OG Anunoby NYK 6 31.0 26.6 27 .90 29 7 2 4 1 0
22.2 Marcus Smart LAL 2 26.1 21.0 36 .82 25 2 7 5 1 3
21.2 Tobias Harris Det 7 28.6 16.8 36 .78 30 9 2 3 1 1
21.1 Marcus Smart LAL 3 27.1 18.2 39 .76 21 4 10 5 2 3
20.7 Jalen Brunson NYK 5 32.4 14.7 35 .74 39 3 8 0 0 1
20.5 Scottie Barnes Tor 6 28.3 12.7 48 .55 25 7 14 3 3 3
20.4 Cade Cunningham Det 5 33.8 11.5 44 .77 45 4 5 1 0 6
xyz. Player tm G GmSc BPM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
20.3 VJ Edgecombe Phl 2 26.8 17.5 35 .75 30 10 2 2 0 2
20.3 Payton Pritchard Bos 4 28.2 16.7 35 .73 32 4 5 1 0 0
20.2 OG Anunoby NYK 3 28.3 17.6 37 .76 29 9 1 1 3 0
20.2 Vi. Wembanyama SAS 4 28.5 15.9 34 .66 27 12 3 4 7 4
19.3 Nikola Jokic Den 5 30.9 14.3 38 .60 27 12 16 0 2 3
19.2 Alperen Sengun Hou 3 30.6 10.3 47 .58 33 16 6 3 1 3
19.2 Jrue Holiday Por 3 27.7 15.2 41 .81 29 6 5 4 0 2
19.2 Amen Thompson Hou 3 29.6 10.2 48 .66 26 11 4 3 3 1
19.0 De'Aaron Fox SAS 4 25.8 12.9 39 .75 28 6 7 1 2 3
18.9 Dylan Harper SAS 3 27.2 20.3 30 .92 27 10 3 1 1 1
xyz. Player tm G GmSc BPM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
18.7 Cade Cunningham Det 7 27.1 11.4 40 .71 32 1 12 0 2 4
18.4 Tyrese Maxey Phl 7 27.4 9.6 45 .73 30 11 7 0 0 1
18.4 Jason Tatum Bos 4 25.6 14.4 35 .75 30 7 11 0 0 5
18.4 RJ Barrett Tor 3 27.4 12.4 39 .75 33 5 5 2 1 2
18.2 Paolo Banchero Orl 5 30.9 11.3 41 .62 45 9 7 2 0 6
18.2 Joel Embiid Phl 7 27.3 11.6 39 .55 34 12 6 0 1 1
18.1 Paolo Banchero Orl 4 25.2 13.9 38 .54 25 12 9 3 2 3
17.9 Shai G-A OKC 2 30.5 10.7 38 .64 37 5 9 1 0 3
17.8 Jason Tatum Bos 1 25.5 13.7 32 .64 25 11 7 2 0 1
17.6 Vi. Wembanyama SAS 5 22.4 15.7 34 .88 17 14 3 0 6 1
17.6 Jaden McDaniels Min 6 27.1 8.2 45 .58 32 10 3 2 1 0
xyz = (2/3)*(BPM+5.25)*min/48 + (1/3)GmSc*100/OppPts
Mike G
Posts: 6423 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Mon May 04, 2026 10:37 pm
First round team stats, and correlations to player minutes:
Code: Select all
win PER WS/48 BPM e480 lose PER WS/48 BPM e480
OKC 20.2 .210 3.69 1.38 Phx 13.5 -.008 -0.57 .62
corr .34 .35 .13 .38 corr .54 .28 .34 .70
SAS 17.1 .173 3.07 1.32 Por 12.8 .029 0.06 .68
corr .07 .02 .02 .08 corr .80 .55 .76 .74
win PER WS/48 BPM e480 lose PER WS/48 BPM e480
NYK 18.2 .203 3.31 1.39 Atl 12.6 -.006 -0.97 .61
corr .47 .45 .59 .65 corr .68 .37 .60 .69
Min 15.1 .127 1.97 1.13 Den 13.9 .070 0.81 .87
corr -.11 -.11 -.32 -.21 corr .65 .18 .52 .68
win PER WS/48 BPM e480 lose PER WS/48 BPM e480
LAL 14.7 .120 0.47 1.08 Hou 14.2 .089 -0.15 .92
corr .63 .44 .65 .63 corr .75 .68 .78 .79
Phl 14.8 .083 1.24 .91 Bos 15.5 .121 1.87 1.09
corr .29 .18 .34 .31 corr .30 -.06 .27 .38
win PER WS/48 BPM e480 lose PER WS/48 BPM e480
Det 14.7 .133 2.18 1.15 Orl 13.0 .073 0.92 .85
corr .85 .76 .71 .89 corr .26 .12 .31 .38
Cle 15.6 .123 1.36 1.05 Tor 15.2 .085 1.01 .95
corr .69 .27 .53 .78 corr .49 .31 .54 .56
Most of the very low stat:minutes correlations are due to a team's best player(s) missing some games.