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Analysis of basketball through objective evidence
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2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

http://www.apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.php?t=10097

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Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Posted: Tue Apr 30, 2024 12:56 pm
by Mike G
Thunder 4 - 0 Pelicans
avg score 105.3 - 89.5
Pyth wins 3.58 - .42 , eWins 2.79 - 1.21

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.81   Shai G-A       OKC   38  .542   31.9   5.8   4.7   1.8   2.5   .7   2.58
.67  Jalen Williams  OKC   37  .590   26.4   7.2   4.8   2.1   3.0   .2   2.19
.49   Chet Holmgren  OKC   32  .565   20.6   9.9   2.5    .3   2.6  3.1   1.82
.39  Jo Valančiūnas  NOP   23  .574   24.5  17.1   1.6    .6   4.1   .0   2.10
.34   Josh Giddey    OKC   27  .610   21.5   6.8   4.3    .4   2.8   .7   1.53

.25   CJ McCollum    NOP   37  .473   16.8   4.7   3.9   1.4   4.1   .7    .81
.19   Luguentz Dort  OKC   35  .667   14.0   4.4   2.3    .9    .8   .0    .65
.18  Brandon Ingram  NOP   36  .442   13.0   4.5   2.7    .8   2.4  1.3    .60
.15   Aaron Wiggins  OKC   15  .657   15.8   6.7   3.5   1.9   2.1   .5   1.20
.13   Larry Nance    NOP   21  .625   10.7  12.6   2.2    .6   2.8   .0    .76

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.12   Herbert Jones  NOP   35  .553   13.7   5.1   2.1   1.0   3.0   .3    .41
.10   Trey Murphy    NOP   42  .479    9.0   5.6   1.6    .9   1.8  1.3    .30
.10   Naji Marshall  NOP   21  .581   13.8   4.2   1.6    .6    .8   .8    .59
.09  Jaylin Williams OKC   11  .875   14.2   4.8   2.6   1.7   1.4  1.4    .94
.05   Isaiah Joe     OKC   14  .553   13.1   4.0   1.1   1.4   1.2   .0    .45

.02   Cason Wallace  OKC   18  .545    6.1   2.7   2.2   2.8    .5   .0    .13
.00  Gordon Hayward  OKC    8  .000     .0   8.3   1.8   1.1    .0   .9    .06
-.01  Ke Williams    OKC    4  .200    2.0   6.6    .0   2.0    .0   .0   -.22
-.01  Dyson Daniels  NOP    4  .333    4.8   3.2    .0   2.6   1.7   .0   -.32
-.05  Jose Alvarado  NOP   16  .175    1.9   2.0   3.7   2.0   2.1   .5   -.35
shooting : OKC .580 - .484 NO
rebounds: NO 45.5 - 43.0 OKC
turnovers: OKC 13.0 - 18.0 NO

https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... _2024.html

Nuggets 4 - 1 Lakers
avg score 108.6 - 106.4
Pyth wins 2.84 - 2.16 , eWins 2.67 - 2.33

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.21  Nikola Jokić   Den   40  .662   27.9  15.0   8.2   1.1   3.1   .2   2.88
.99   Anthony Davis   LA   42  .656   25.2  13.9   3.2    .4   2.1  1.4   2.28
.89   LeBron James    LA   41  .629   25.9   6.2   7.2   2.2   3.6   .9   2.09
.58  Michael Porter  Den   39  .691   21.2   8.0   1.0   1.1   1.0   .4   1.40
.52   Jamal Murray   Den   40  .465   19.4   4.3   6.1    .2   2.3   .9   1.25

.38   Austin Reaves   LA   35  .579   16.7   4.0   3.4   1.5    .9   .6   1.06
.37   Aaron Gordon   Den   40  .575   12.3   9.1   3.9    .5   1.7   .2    .89
.15 D'Angelo Russell  LA   37  .480   12.1   2.8   3.8    .8   1.9   .2    .39
.03  Taurean Prince   LA   22  .561    9.5   3.7    .8    .3    .3   .6    .12
.01  Reggie Jackson  Den   10  .381    7.6   3.1   3.9    .6   1.3   .0    .05

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.00  Christian Braun Den   13  .388    6.6   5.5    .9    .0    .0   .5    .03
.00   Sp Dinwiddie    LA   15  .441    5.4   3.1   3.2    .9    .5   .4    .02
-.00  Jaxson Hayes    LA    5  .167     .6  15.1   1.1    .0   2.6   .0   -.09
-.01 Kentavious C-P  Den   36  .477    7.3   2.1   2.1   2.0   1.3   .2   -.03
-.02  Peyton Watson  Den   12  .472    7.6   1.6   1.5    .0   1.7  2.1   -.15

-.02 Justin Holiday  Den    7  .150    1.1   3.4    .8   3.3    .0   .0   -.25
-.03  Rui Hachimura   LA   30  .464    7.2   4.6    .9    .0    .5   .0   -.09
-.08  Gabe Vincent    LA   14  .292    2.1   3.8   1.3    .9   1.5   .0   -.55
shooting : LA .566 - .548 Den
rebounds: Den 46.0 - 40.6 LA
turnovers: LA 11.0 - 11.2 Den

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Posted: Fri May 03, 2024 4:39 am
by Mike G
Mavs 3 - 2 Clippers
avg score 105.6 - 100.2
Pyth wins 3.34 - 1.66 , eWins 2.92 - 2.08

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.17   Luka Dončić   Dal   42  .521   26.9   8.5   7.9    .9   3.3   .3   2.64
.86   Kyrie Irving   Dal   39  .626   27.0   5.6   4.6   1.7   2.7   .0   2.10
.72   James Harden   LAC   40  .649   22.3   3.9   6.3    .7   2.7   .9   1.75
.58   Paul George    LAC   36  .566   20.4   6.5   4.7   1.2   2.7   .4   1.55
.51   Ivica Zubac    LAC   31  .615   19.0  11.3   1.1   1.2   1.8   .7   1.59

.26   Dereck Lively  Dal   20  .683   15.8   9.7   1.0    .7   1.8  2.0   1.27
.15   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   12  .471   13.5  10.5   2.4   2.4   2.7   .6   1.25
.15  P.J. Washington Dal   35  .490    9.3   6.0    .9   1.5   1.4  1.5    .41
.14   Derrick Jones  Dal   28  .618   11.7   5.8    .5    .3   1.2  2.1    .49
.10  Daniel Gafford  Dal   17  .462    9.0   6.6   1.3   1.3   1.4  2.1    .55

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.10   Maxi Kleber    Dal   22  .789   10.0   4.7   2.7    .3   1.0   .9    .41
.08   Mason Plumlee  LAC   13  .432    7.5   9.8   1.8   1.4   1.0   .9    .58
.08   Josh Green     Dal   16  .514    6.1   6.6   1.2   2.4    .0   .8    .46
.06   Ru Westbrook   LAC   21  .333    7.6   7.8   2.7   1.8   3.4   .9    .29
.05   Terance Mann   LAC   30  .525    8.8   6.2   1.9    .0    .8   .0    .17

.01   Tim Hardaway   Dal    4  .429    6.4   5.7   1.4   1.4    .0   .0    .22
-.01  Norman Powell  LAC   29  .564   12.2   3.2    .5    .7   1.8   .0   -.05
-.03  Dante Exum     Dal    9  .219    2.8   3.4   3.3    .6   1.4   .6   -.36
-.17  Amir Coffey    LAC   21  .357    3.5   2.8    .6    .6   1.8   .3   -.77
shooting : Dal .559 - .545 LAC
rebounds: Dal 41.8 - 41.4 LAC
turnovers: Dal 11.8 - 14.0 LAC

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Posted: Sat May 04, 2024 12:06 pm
by Mike G
Mavs 4 - 2 Clippers
avg score 107.0. - 100.3
Pyth wins 4.21 - 1.79 , eWins 3.61 - 2.39

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.42  Luka Dončić    Dal   43  .507   26.3   8.0   8.5    .9   3.5   .4   2.67
1.13  Kyrie Irving   Dal   40  .639   27.1   5.5   4.4   1.7   2.4   .3   2.25
.89   James Harden   LAC   40  .605   19.7   4.3   6.9    .9   2.4   .9   1.76
.69   Paul George    LAC   37  .544   18.7   7.1   4.6   1.2   2.6   .5   1.50
.58   Ivica Zubac    LAC   32  .606   17.6  11.1   1.1    .9   1.7   .6   1.45

.37  Dereck Lively   Dal   20  .688   15.9  10.3   1.6    .8   1.5  1.6   1.44
.20  P.J. Washington Dal   35  .516    9.8   5.8   1.1   1.6   1.3  1.2    .45
.15   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   10  .471   13.2  10.3   2.3   2.5   2.7   .6   1.24
.15  Daniel Gafford  Dal   18  .521   11.3   7.1   1.0   1.0   1.4  1.6    .66
.11   Derrick Jones  Dal   29  .616   10.0   5.6    .8    .2   1.2  1.9    .30

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.09   Maxi Kleber    Dal   19  .739    9.9   4.6   2.6    .3    .9   .8    .39
.09   Ru Westbrook   LAC   19  .336    8.3   7.3   2.7   2.0   3.1   .8    .38
.09   Josh Green     Dal   17  .556    6.6   6.5   1.3   1.9    .0   .6    .41
.07   Mason Plumlee  LAC   11  .432    7.1   9.4   1.7   1.4   1.0   .9    .48
.06   Terance Mann   LAC   31  .560    9.3   6.1   2.0    .0   1.1   .0    .16

.01   Tim Hardaway   Dal    4  .429    6.2   5.7   1.4   1.4    .0   .0    .20
-.00  Norman Powell  LAC   30  .562   12.4   3.4    .4    .6   1.5   .0   -.00
-.03  P.J. Tucker    LAC    5  .917   13.7   3.4    .0    .0   3.6   .0   -.43
-.03  Dante Exum     Dal    9  .237    3.2   3.5   3.4    .6   1.2   .6   -.32
-.18  Amir Coffey    LAC   19  .386    3.5   3.1    .6    .6   1.7   .3   -.77
shooting : Dal .562 - .539 LAC
rebounds: Dal 42.3 - 42.0 LAC
turnovers: Dal 11.5 - 13.5 LAC

Re: 2024 Playoffs. West rd. 1

Posted: Sat May 04, 2024 1:28 pm
by Mike G
Converting PER and BPM (w minutes) to 'wins' , they are averaged in with WS and eWins, divided by team games played, to get this 'leaders' list.
The last 4 columns allow comparisons among the values attributed by each stat.

Code: Select all

w/Gm = wins per game   tm   Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484     pW    WS    eW    bW
.246   Nikola Jokić   Den   202   32.3   .318  14.3   2.88   1.20  1.29  1.21  1.22
.207  Anthony Edwards Min   158   27.6   .281  10.6   2.66    .78   .89   .88   .77
.192   Anthony Davis  LAL   208   27.7   .244   7.3   2.28   1.03  1.02   .99   .80
.182   LeBron James   LAL   204   26.9   .191  10.6   2.09    .97   .78   .89  1.00
.175   Kyrie Irving   Dal   240   24.1   .234   7.8   2.25    .99  1.13  1.13   .97

.163   Luka Dončić    Dal   255   21.8   .153   4.8   2.67    .92   .79  1.42   .79
.155   Shai G-A       OKC   151   21.8   .216   4.9   2.58    .54   .66   .81   .47
.147   James Harden   LAC   242   21.1   .175   7.7   1.76    .83   .85   .89   .97
.142  Jalen Williams  OKC   148   20.4   .214   5.1   2.19    .49   .64   .67   .47
.135  Michael Porter  Den   197   20.8   .191   6.4   1.40    .67   .76   .58   .71

w/Gm = wins per game   tm   Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484     pW    WS    eW    bW
.132   Devin Booker   Phx   166   22.7   .147   4.5   1.42    .63   .49   .49   .50
.128   Karl-A Towns   Min   113   24.0   .278   6.2   2.37    .46   .63   .56   .40
.123   Rudy Gobert    Min   140   20.5   .236   3.7   1.56    .46   .66   .46   .39
.117   Kevin Durant   Phx   168   21.4   .094   3.8   1.42    .59   .32   .50   .47
.103   Chet Holmgren  OKC   129   17.3   .186   3.3   1.82    .33   .48   .49   .34

.094   Austin Reaves  LAL   174   18.6   .144   3.8   1.06    .50   .50   .38   .49
.093   Paul George    LAC   222   16.5   .094   3.2   1.50    .54   .42   .69   .58
.089   Aaron Gordon   Den   201   15.9   .135   1.4    .89    .46   .55   .37   .41
.089   Ivica Zubac    LAC   192   20.1   .142   1.4   1.45    .62   .55   .58   .39
.087   Luguentz Dort  OKC   141   12.5   .222   3.0    .65    .21   .63   .19   .36

w/Gm = wins per game   tm   Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484     pW    WS    eW    bW
.081   Ni A-Walker    Min   124   15.0   .190   3.9    .86    .26   .47   .22   .35
.078  Jaden McDaniels Min   143   14.4   .171   0.9    .69    .28   .49   .21   .27
.077   Josh Giddey    OKC   106   15.4   .184   3.3   1.53    .23   .39   .34   .28
.075  Jo Valančiūnas  NOP    90   24.3   .112   3.2   2.10    .38   .20   .39   .23
.072  Dereck Lively   Dal   122   22.3   .230   4.1   1.44    .45   .56   .37   .35

.065   Jamal Murray   Den   199   14.4   .023  -0.2   1.25    .39   .09   .52   .31
.054   Mike Conley    Min   127   11.7   .108  -0.7    .89    .17   .28   .23   .18
.054   Jusuf Nurkić   Phx   104   16.9   .056   1.7   1.18    .26   .12   .26   .22
.053   Aaron Wiggins  OKC    60   18.5   .256   6.3   1.20    .17   .31   .15   .21
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... anced.html
WS = (WS/48)*min/49.7 -- in order to sum to 19, the number of games played.
perW = (PER-5.75)*min/4452
bpmW = (BPM+5.25)*min/3244
Min, Phx; OKC, NOP played 4 games; Den and LAL 5 G; Dal and LAC went 6.
All times are UTC
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