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Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Tue Apr 29, 2025 12:17 pm
by Mike G
Warriors 3 - 1 Rockets
avg score 100.5 - 98.3
Pyth wins 2.30 - 1.70 , eWins 2.15 - 1.85
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.71 Stephen Curry GS 39 .662 30.2 5.0 5.3 .9 4.2 .7 2.16
.61 Alperen Şengün Hou 37 .486 20.8 11.9 3.8 1.8 2.4 .0 1.98
.48 Jimmy Butler GS 23 .640 28.2 6.0 4.7 2.0 .5 .4 2.57
.28 Br. Podziemski GS 31 .505 15.2 5.3 3.4 1.5 1.0 .3 1.10
.27 Jalen Green Hou 33 .484 16.2 6.2 3.6 1.2 2.8 .0 .98
.25 Amen Thompson Hou 31 .456 12.7 8.1 4.0 .9 2.3 .6 .95
.20 Dillon Brooks Hou 31 .607 16.2 5.7 1.1 .9 1.7 .6 .77
.19 Fred VanVleet Hou 41 .513 12.6 3.0 3.6 1.1 1.7 .2 .56
.16 Buddy Hield GS 23 .542 14.4 4.2 2.1 2.2 .8 .0 .83
.13 Steven Adams Hou 20 .625 8.2 11.5 1.1 .8 1.7 2.0 .80
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.13 Quinten Post GS 21 .422 9.1 7.9 3.4 .8 .4 .4 .76
.12 Gary Payton GS 17 .595 13.6 5.0 3.2 1.9 1.1 .0 .87
.12 Jabari Smith Hou 24 .739 13.5 6.2 .9 .3 2.5 1.6 .58
.10 Tari Eason Hou 20 .484 10.8 7.4 .7 1.6 2.1 1.6 .60
.08 Moses Moody GS 22 .518 11.6 3.3 1.9 .8 .5 .4 .44
.05 Draymond Green GS 33 .397 5.7 7.8 2.6 2.2 4.1 1.4 .19
.04 Jonathan Kuminga GS 11 .429 13.2 3.4 3.1 .0 1.8 .8 .44
.02 Kevon Looney GS 10 .438 4.5 8.8 2.2 .8 .0 .0 .22
.00 Gui Santos GS 5 .667 16.6 3.4 1.6 .0 5.6 .0 -.11
shooting : GS .548 - .512 Hou
rebounds: Hou 47.8 - 37.0 GS
turnovers: GS 12.3 - 14.5 Hou
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... otals.html
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Wed Apr 30, 2025 12:47 pm
by Mike G
Nuggets 3 - 2 Clippers
avg score : LAC 109.2 - 105.8 Den
Pyth wins 3.02 - 1.98 , eWins 2.76 - 2.24
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e490
1.10 Nikola Jokić Den 41 .591 22.5 12.1 7.9 1.7 2.8 .7 2.62
.83 Kawhi Leonard LAC 38 .633 25.8 7.6 4.2 1.6 2.6 .6 2.11
.68 Ivica Zubac LAC 38 .654 21.0 10.3 2.2 .6 1.4 .8 1.75
.60 James Harden LAC 39 .558 18.4 5.4 6.8 1.0 2.9 .9 1.50
.59 Jamal Murray Den 42 .600 21.0 4.5 4.4 1.3 2.5 .3 1.39
.32 Aaron Gordon Den 39 .595 16.4 6.2 1.4 .5 1.6 .2 .81
.27 Norman Powell LAC 33 .568 16.9 2.8 2.6 1.4 1.8 .2 .78
.20 Kris Dunn LAC 25 .542 9.2 7.1 1.5 1.9 .0 1.2 .75
.15 Christian Braun Den 39 .469 7.5 6.7 1.8 1.2 .8 .6 .39
.10 Nicolas Batum LAC 22 .600 7.7 6.2 1.5 .9 .9 2.1 .47
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e490
.10 Ru. Westbrook Den 18 .510 15.5 5.2 1.7 1.0 2.9 .0 .55
.09 Michael Porter Den 35 .577 9.9 7.0 .9 .2 1.8 .4 .25
.03 Bogdanović LAC 16 .435 8.6 5.9 4.7 .4 3.3 .0 .18
.02 Derrick Jones LAC 19 .484 8.7 3.2 .3 .7 .7 1.4 .12
.00 Peyton Watson Den 13 .441 5.5 6.2 .8 1.8 1.5 .5 .03
-.00 Ben Simmons LAC 8 .333 1.8 5.7 2.6 .8 1.6 3.1 -.03
-.02 DeAndre Jordan Den 5 .333 1.5 5.7 2.2 .0 1.4 1.3 -.34
-.07 Jalen Pickett Den 6 .333 2.8 2.2 1.7 .0 4.3 .0 -1.08
shooting : LAC .576 - .555 Den
rebounds: Den 43.6 - 41.0 LAC
turnovers: LAC 12.4 - 14.2 Den
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Thu May 01, 2025 11:41 am
by Mike G
Warriors
3 - 2 Rockets
avg score : Hou 104.8 - 103.6 GS
Pyth wins 2.69 - 2.31 , eWins 2.60 - 2.40
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.79 Alperen Şengün Hou 36 .507 20.4 11.7 4.8 1.9 2.2 .4 2.13
.69 Stephen Curry GS 36 .636 26.2 5.0 5.5 .8 4.2 .6 1.82
.47 Amen Thompson Hou 32 .529 16.7 7.7 3.8 1.9 2.5 1.2 1.42
.47 Jimmy Butler GS 23 .568 21.2 6.3 4.0 2.2 .4 .3 1.94
.34 Fred VanVleet Hou 39 .578 16.2 2.7 3.3 1.0 1.6 .4 .82
.33 Jalen Green Hou 31 .490 15.6 7.1 3.4 1.0 2.3 .0 1.02
.32 Dillon Brooks Hou 30 .636 19.8 4.8 1.3 .8 1.6 .5 1.00
.27 Br. Podziemski GS 29 .513 13.9 5.1 3.6 1.3 1.4 .3 .91
.25 Moses Moody GS 23 .563 15.7 5.3 1.9 1.2 .3 .6 1.06
.15 Buddy Hield GS 22 .512 11.9 4.3 2.0 2.2 .7 .3 .67
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.14 Gary Payton GS 15 .611 14.2 4.7 3.3 1.6 .9 .0 .90
.13 Pat Spencer GS 5 .759 33.2 6.3 3.2 1.2 2.7 .0 2.38
.12 Steven Adams Hou 20 .556 5.8 11.4 1.2 .7 1.4 1.6 .57
.11 Tari Eason Hou 20 .541 11.7 7.6 .9 1.3 2.8 1.3 .54
.11 Jabari Smith Hou 22 .683 12.8 5.9 .8 .3 2.5 1.4 .45
.10 Quinten Post GS 20 .444 8.3 7.3 2.7 .7 1.5 1.0 .48
.08 Kevin Knox GS 4 .457 19.7 7.4 3.8 .0 .0 1.4 1.84
.06 Draymond Green GS 30 .451 6.4 7.1 2.4 2.4 4.0 1.2 .18
.03 Jonathan Kuminga GS 9 .429 12.0 3.4 2.9 .0 1.8 .8 .32
.02 Gui Santos GS 7 .682 14.5 3.5 2.2 .0 2.8 .0 .22
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.01 Trayce J-Davis GS 4 .500 7.4 9.3 .0 1.5 .0 .0 .32
.01 Kevon Looney GS 10 .409 3.9 8.8 1.6 .6 .0 .0 .07
.01 Aaron Holiday Hou 4 .450 11.3 1.5 3.9 .0 1.6 .0 .16
shooting : Hou .545 - .539 GS
rebounds: Hou 46.0 - 39.4 GS
turnovers: GS 12.6 - 14.2 Hou
T'Wolves 4 - 1 Lakers
avg score 107.4 - 100.4
Pyth wins 3.53 - 1.47 , eWins 3.02 - 1.98
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
1.04 Anthony Edwards Min 41 .525 22.9 8.2 4.9 1.0 1.2 .4 2.43
1.02 LeBron James LAL 41 .588 22.4 8.1 4.4 2.0 2.6 1.6 2.40
.88 Luka Dončić LAL 42 .594 26.1 6.2 4.4 1.0 3.8 .5 2.04
.62 Julius Randle Min 38 .598 22.6 5.5 3.8 .7 2.9 .2 1.58
.48 Jaden McDaniels Min 33 .644 18.7 7.8 1.4 1.0 1.0 .2 1.40
.30 Rudy Gobert Min 29 .554 8.6 13.8 .5 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.00
.26 Naz Reid Min 24 .667 15.8 6.0 1.8 .8 1.6 1.4 1.03
.16 Donte DiVincenzo Min 26 .381 8.4 5.5 4.0 2.4 2.1 .8 .57
.15 Austin Reaves AL 39 .529 12.7 5.1 2.9 .2 2.9 .6 .38
.15 Rui Hachimura LAL 36 .632 12.7 4.7 .9 .7 1.5 .6 .39
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.13 Mike Conley Min 24 .475 7.8 5.7 3.6 1.1 1.0 .3 .53
.03 Ja. Vanderbilt LAL 12 .438 2.8 11.0 2.5 1.9 1.9 .6 .27
-.01 Jaxson Hayes LAL 6 .389 5.6 9.7 1.0 .0 1.3 1.2 -.08
-.01 Nickeil A-W Min 20 .395 8.8 3.0 3.4 .6 2.7 .3 -.06
-.03 Jordan Goodwin LAL 6 .250 1.9 5.6 1.9 1.2 1.2 1.1 -.49
-.11 Dorian F-Smith LAL 34 .534 4.9 4.4 2.3 .2 1.1 .4 -.31
-.12 Gabe Vincent LAL 20 .500 3.6 1.8 1.5 .4 .4 .7 -.60
shooting : LA .562 - .541 Min
rebounds: Min 43.8 - 39.0 LA
turnovers: Min 11.2 - 14.6 LA
Code: Select all
. LAL min PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Min min PER WS/48 BPM e480
Dončić 208 21.3 .136 5.3 2.04 Edwards 205 22.6 .213 7.9 2.43
LeBron 204 25.2 .198 9.5 2.40 Randle 189 18.6 .171 4.5 1.58
Reaves 196 9.3 -.011 -3.7 .38 McDaniels 166 19.6 .215 3.6 1.40
Hachimura 182 12.1 .060 0.4 .39 Gobert 143 15.7 .160 0.2 1.00
F-Smith 170 6.9 .034 -2.3 -.31 DiVincenzo 132 9.0 .024 -1.8 .57
Vincent 99 4.2 .008 -3.4 -.60 Conley 120 10.6 .097 -0.4 .53
Vanderbilt 60 8.9 .069 -0.7 .27 Reid 120 17.8 .185 5.6 1.03
Goodwin 31 2.0 -.049 -8.8 -.49 A-Walker 100 3.9 -.051 -5.8 -.06
Hayes 31 6.3 .002 -10.7 -.08 Shannon 13 8.6 .077 -3.6 .74
Kleber 5 -4.2 -.233 -18.6 -1.42 Clark 3 41.6 .757 24.3 2.20
. LAL min PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Min min PER WS/48 BPM e480
Bronny 4 -19.7 -.586 -32.5 -1.32 Garza 3 39.7 .392 12.7 2.35
Knecht 4 44.9 .206 18.2 4.56 Minott 3 13.1 -.325 -24.7 1.32
Len 4 23.1 .167 -8.5 2.21 Miller 2 6.8 .108 -2.3 .61
Milton 4 -13.7 -.301 -26.1 -1.73
totals 1200 13.4 .070 0.60 .79 totals 1200 15.8 .142 2.41 1.21
min correl 1-9 .69 .51 .64 .63 min. correl 1-9 .77 .62 .72 .85
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Fri May 02, 2025 1:09 pm
by Mike G
Clippers 3 - 3 Nuggets
avg score 109.5 - 105.7
Pyth wins 3.70 - 2.30 , eWins 3.35 - 2.65
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e488
1.23 Nikola Jokić Den 41 .582 21.8 11.3 7.3 1.8 3.0 .7 2.43
.99 Kawhi Leonard LAC 39 .619 25.3 8.2 4.1 1.3 2.3 .5 2.09
.76 James Harden LAC 40 .571 19.3 5.4 6.5 1.1 3.0 .9 1.54
.74 Ivica Zubac LAC 37 .667 19.5 10.0 1.9 .7 1.3 1.1 1.62
.70 Jamal Murray Den 42 .590 19.8 5.0 4.5 1.1 2.6 .7 1.36
.38 Norman Powell LAC 34 .595 18.3 2.9 2.2 1.5 1.7 .2 .91
.37 Aaron Gordon Den 39 .595 16.1 6.1 1.2 .6 1.6 .3 .77
.19 Kris Dunn LAC 23 .513 8.6 6.7 1.8 1.7 .0 1.1 .68
.17 Ru. Westbrook Den 21 .528 14.6 6.7 2.4 .7 2.7 .0 .67
.17 Christian Braun Den 40 .519 8.3 6.2 1.6 1.0 .7 .5 .36
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e488
.16 Nicolas Batum LAC 24 .600 6.9 6.0 2.2 1.2 .7 2.2 .55
.10 Michael Porter Den 33 .565 9.2 6.9 .7 .5 1.6 .6 .25
.06 Derrick Jones LAC 19 .488 9.0 3.4 .5 .9 .6 1.7 .24
.04 Peyton Watson Den 13 .500 7.4 6.3 .7 1.6 1.3 .8 .22
.03 Bogdanović LAC 17 .434 8.2 5.9 3.7 .7 2.7 .0 .15
-.00 Ben Simmons LAC 7 .333 1.8 5.7 2.5 .8 1.6 3.1 -.02
-.03 DeAndre Jordan Den 5 .333 1.3 6.5 1.9 .0 2.5 1.2 -.51
-.07 Jalen Pickett Den 5 .333 2.8 2.3 1.6 .0 4.4 .0 -1.09
shooting : LAC .579 - .561 Den
rebounds: Den 42.8 - 40.0 LAC
turnovers: LAC 11.5 - 14.2 Den
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Fri May 02, 2025 8:16 pm
by Crow
LAC with 5 over .03 per game, DEN 3, average of 4. 3 more for each over +0.01.
LAL almost no help after first 4. GSW and HOU had 2nd tier help.
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Sat May 03, 2025 12:11 pm
by Mike G
Rockets 3 - 3 Warriors
avg score 106.5 - 104.2
Pyth wins 3.44 - 2.56 , eWins 3.22 - 2.78
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.94 Alperen Şengün Hou 36 .496 19.8 12.0 5.0 2.1 2.3 .3 2.10
.75 Stephen Curry GS 37 .619 25.1 5.3 4.7 1.0 4.3 .7 1.62
.63 Jimmy Butler GS 26 .566 21.1 6.7 4.5 1.6 .5 .5 1.91
.56 Fred VanVleet Hou 39 .626 19.0 3.5 4.0 .8 1.7 .3 1.13
.52 Amen Thompson Hou 32 .512 15.7 7.6 3.5 2.1 2.5 1.0 1.28
.37 Jalen Green Hou 32 .480 14.9 6.8 3.4 .8 2.2 .2 .94
.30 Br. Podziemski GS 29 .519 13.1 5.7 3.5 1.3 1.6 .2 .83
.29 Dillon Brooks Hou 28 .600 17.4 4.5 1.6 .9 1.7 .4 .81
.27 Moses Moody GS 23 .549 15.7 5.0 1.8 1.0 .5 .8 .96
.22 Steven Adams Hou 22 .617 9.6 9.9 .9 .7 1.1 2.0 .83
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.19 Tari Eason Hou 19 .585 12.9 7.1 1.0 2.2 2.4 1.4 .80
.17 Pat Spencer GS 5 .800 39.1 7.0 4.0 1.1 2.5 .0 2.97
.15 Gary Payton GS 16 .594 12.9 5.0 3.0 1.7 1.1 .0 .76
.12 Jabari Smith Hou 22 .721 13.6 5.8 .9 .2 2.7 1.2 .46
.11 Buddy Hield GS 21 .467 9.7 4.6 1.7 2.0 .9 .3 .42
.11 Quinten Post GS 19 .440 8.1 6.5 2.7 .9 1.2 .9 .44
.10 Draymond Green GS 31 .449 6.5 6.7 3.1 2.0 4.1 1.6 .25
.07 Kevin Knox GS 4 .457 18.0 6.8 3.5 .0 1.4 1.3 1.36
.03 Gui Santos GS 7 .708 15.7 3.4 2.8 .0 2.7 .0 .43
.03 Trayce J-Davis GS 4 .571 9.6 10.9 .0 1.3 .0 .0 .70
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.03 Jonathan Kuminga GS 7 .429 11.9 3.4 2.8 .0 1.8 .8 .33
.02 Kevon Looney GS 9 .409 3.9 9.7 1.5 .6 .0 .0 .19
.02 Aaron Holiday Hou 5 .500 13.1 2.4 3.2 .0 1.3 .0 .36
shooting : Hou .549 - .537 GS
rebounds: Hou 46.0 - 39.8 GS
turnovers: GS 13.3 - 14.0 Hou
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Sun May 04, 2025 11:04 am
by Mike G
Nuggets 4 - 3 Clippers
avg score : LAC 108.3 - 107.7 Den
Pyth wins 3.62 - 3.38 , eWins 3.56 - 3.44
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e487
1.41 Nikola Jokić Den 40 .573 21.4 11.9 7.5 2.0 3.3 .8 2.46
1.06 Kawhi Leonard LAC 38 .621 24.0 7.7 3.7 1.1 2.2 .7 1.94
.82 James Harden LAC 39 .557 17.0 5.3 6.9 1.2 2.9 .9 1.45
.75 Ivica Zubac LAC 37 .642 17.1 10.6 1.9 .7 1.6 1.0 1.44
.75 Jamal Murray Den 42 .578 18.9 5.1 4.1 1.0 2.8 .7 1.24
.52 Aaron Gordon Den 39 .597 16.9 6.0 1.6 .7 1.6 .4 .93
.33 Norman Powell LAC 34 .571 16.2 2.7 2.1 1.3 1.9 .3 .68
.32 Christian Braun Den 39 .540 10.1 6.2 1.8 1.0 .6 .4 .57
.29 Ru. Westbrook Den 22 .550 15.4 6.6 2.8 1.6 2.6 .0 .93
.18 Michael Porter Den 33 .585 10.2 7.2 .6 .5 1.4 .5 .38
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e487
.17 Kris Dunn LAC 22 .500 8.1 5.9 1.7 1.9 .2 .9 .54
.13 Nicolas Batum LAC 25 .591 6.0 5.1 2.1 1.1 .6 2.2 .37
.11 Derrick Jones LAC 18 .490 10.5 3.4 .4 1.0 .8 2.2 .40
.08 Peyton Watson Den 14 .596 8.9 6.4 .5 1.6 1.0 1.0 .41
.05 Bogdanović LAC 17 .474 9.8 5.5 3.2 .8 3.0 .0 .21
-.01 Ben Simmons LAC 6 .333 1.9 5.2 2.3 .7 1.5 2.8 -.12
-.01 DeAndre Jordan Den 5 .500 2.7 8.9 1.4 .0 1.9 .9 -.16
shooting : LAC .574 - .566
rebounds:
Den 43.3 - 39.4 LAC
turnovers: LAC 12.0 - 13.9 Den
Code: Select all
. LAC min PER WS/48 BPM e487 . Den min PER WS/48 BPM e487
Harden 276 18.3 .122 4.1 1.45 Murray 295 16.9 .094 2.4 1.24
Leonard 265 24.0 .184 7.0 1.94 Jokić 280 25.9 .207 12.4 2.46
Zubac 256 20.7 .169 2.1 1.44 Braun 276 12.4 .094 -0.1 .57
Powell 238 12.8 .048 -1.0 .68 Gordon 272 16.8 .132 0.8 .93
Batum 172 12.8 .111 4.9 .37 Porter 229 10.4 .054 -1.5 .38
Dunn 153 12.2 .096 1.1 .54 Westbrook 154 17.0 .090 1.6 .93
Jones 129 12.6 .017 -0.1 .40 Watson 95 14.1 .105 1.4 .41
Bogd'vić 117 6.7 -.037 -7.9 .21 Pickett 35 -5.5 -.224 -15.3 -.97
Simmons 42 5.6 .018 -2.9 -.12 Jordan 33 3.5 -.023 -6.0 -.16
Brown 15 49.2 .553 29.4 3.00 Strawther 16 1.6 -.005 -8.3 -.50
. LAC min PER WS/48 BPM e487 . Den min PER WS/48 BPM e487
Christie 13 14.7 .065 2.9 .28 Nnaji 9 11.0 -.048 -6.6 .31
Eubanks 13 2.8 -.017 -12.3 -.29 Tyson 9 -1.5 -.227 -16.2 -.83
Miller 13 31.8 .247 14.6 2.13 Čančar 4 -13.2 -.384 -18.1 -1.98
Mills 4 4.5 -.227 -7.5 -.26
totals 1705 16.3 .106 2.18 1.02 totals 1705 15.6 .100 1.91 .98
min corr 1-9 .83 .73 .57 .88 min correl 1-10 .62 .61 .59 .69
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Sun May 04, 2025 1:53 pm
by Crow
Only having 4 players over +0.03 didn't work in west for 3 teams. Griz barely had 5 but Thunder had 7.
Rockets with 7, Warriors 4 (and some fairly close).
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Sun May 04, 2025 10:04 pm
by Mike G
Jokic last 3 games' BPM all would rank among the bottom 11 (of 70) in the regular season.
Code: Select all
G BPM rk
1 14.6 32
2 11.1 48
3 24.1 7
4 20.4 10
5 4.8 65
6 5.9 60
7 4.0 66
During the RS he never had 3 consecutive games <10.0 BPM
He has 2 of his 8 best career
playoff BPM-games and 3 of his worst 23. (87 postseason games.)
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Mon May 05, 2025 11:47 am
by Mike G
Warriors 4 - 3 Rockets
avg score 104-104, Pyth wins and eWins 3.5-3.5
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
1.04 Alperen Şengün Hou 37 .483 19.0 12.1 4.8 1.8 2.3 .4 1.95
.96 Stephen Curry GS 38 .622 24.9 5.7 4.8 1.1 3.8 .8 1.71
.78 Jimmy Butler GS 29 .579 21.1 6.7 4.7 1.5 .6 .4 1.85
.68 Amen Thompson Hou 33 .534 17.2 7.8 3.3 1.9 2.1 1.0 1.40
.61 Fred VanVleet Hou 40 .624 18.4 3.9 3.7 .9 1.9 .3 1.05
.38 Jalen Green Hou 31 .474 13.9 6.5 3.1 .7 1.8 .3 .83
.37 Buddy Hield GS 23 .623 17.4 4.2 1.9 1.8 .7 .7 1.09
.28 Br. Podziemski GS 30 .497 12.1 5.1 3.2 1.0 1.7 .3 .64
.25 Moses Moody GS 21 .508 14.4 5.2 1.6 .9 .5 .7 .83
.25 Dillon Brooks Hou 29 .573 15.6 4.0 1.5 .9 1.8 .4 .58
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.21 Tari Eason Hou 19 .552 12.4 7.4 1.1 1.9 2.6 1.7 .76
.20 Draymond Green GS 32 .471 8.0 6.5 3.3 1.8 3.5 1.6 .43
.20 Steven Adams Hou 22 .571 8.3 9.7 .7 .6 1.1 1.7 .61
.18 Pat Spencer GS 4 .800 41.3 7.0 4.0 1.2 2.5 .0 3.10
.16 Gary Payton GS 14 .594 13.6 5.0 3.1 1.8 1.1 .0 .82
.13 Jabari Smith Hou 20 .667 12.8 6.1 .8 .2 2.4 1.1 .43
.11 Quinten Post GS 17 .440 8.4 6.2 2.7 .8 1.2 .8 .43
.04 Kevon Looney GS 9 .429 4.7 10.0 1.3 .5 .0 .5 .31
.04 Gui Santos GS 6 .708 16.5 3.3 2.9 .0 2.6 .0 .49
.02 Aaron Holiday Hou 4 .500 13.1 2.4 3.2 .0 1.3 .0 .36
.01 Jonathan Kuminga GS 7 .360 9.1 3.5 2.4 .7 2.2 .7 .09
shooting : GS .545 - .538 Hou
rebounds: Hou 46.9 - 39.6 GS
turnovers: GS 12.4 - 13.6 Hou
Code: Select all
. GSW min PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Hou min PER WS/48 BPM e480
Curry 268 19.4 .127 6.0 1.71 VanVleet 280 15.7 .158 3.2 1.05
Green 227 7.9 -.007 -2.2 .43 Şengün 256 20.5 .138 4.7 1.95
Pod'ski 212 10.8 .045 -0.5 .64 Thompson 231 19.0 .148 3.7 1.40
Butler 202 22.7 .247 7.0 1.85 Ja Green 219 11.3 .046 -1.5 .83
Hield 162 17.0 .150 5.6 1.09 Brooks 206 11.6 .100 -1.7 .58
Moody 146 13.9 .085 0.8 .83 Adams 155 16.1 .147 0.8 .61
Post 119 8.4 .033 -2.8 .43 Smith 143 12.4 .086 1.0 .43
Payton 96 14.7 .133 2.8 .82 Eason 132 14.5 .079 2.3 .76
Looney 65 8.4 .114 -6.1 .31 Holiday 27 10.2 .059 -6.2 .36
Kuminga 50 3.6 -.134 -9.2 .09 Sheppard 10 4.3 -.114 1.3 .22
. GSW min PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Hou min PER WS/48 BPM e480
Santos 39 11.0 .099 -1.4 .49 Je Green 5 17.6 .117 -0.7 .89
Spencer 28 38.3 .314 14.0 3.10 Landale 5 8.1 .007 -9.5 -.09
J-Davis 24 13.9 .142 -5.4 .74 Whitmore 5 -13.0 -.355 -21.2 -.53
Knox 24 18.4 .032 0.7 1.39 Williams 5 -21.3 -.491 -29.9 -1.99
Key 18 -1.9 -.317 -13.5 .29
totals 1680 14.3 .094 1.49 1.00 totals 1680 15.1 .111 1.42 1.00
min. correl. .38 .10 .44 .53 min. correl. .50 .51 .55 .70
Teams scored equal points in the series, yet 3 of 4 stats have unequal totals. Win Shares are especially disparate.
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Mon May 05, 2025 10:19 pm
by Mike G
Code: Select all
West 1st round summary stats correlations w player min.
tm PER WS/48 BPM e480 PER WS/48 BPM e480
OKC 17.5 .206 4.70 1.41 .27 .10 .01 .47
Min 15.8 .142 2.41 1.21 .77 .62 .72 .85
LAC 16.3 .106 2.18 1.02 .83 .73 .57 .88
GSW 14.3 .094 1.49 1.00 .38 .10 .44 .53
Hou 15.1 .111 1.42 1.00 .50 .51 .55 .70
Den 15.6 .100 1.91 .98 .62 .61 .59 .69
LAL 13.4 .070 0.60 .79 .69 .51 .64 .63
Mem 11.2 -.010 0.25 .59 -.42 -.50 -.76 -.16
avg 14.9 .102 1.87 1.00 .46 .33 .35 .57
Why are GSW and Hou not equal in 3 of 4 summary stats?
They both averaged 104 pts in their series.
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Mon May 05, 2025 10:44 pm
by Crow
Thunder performance to minutes correlations last or tied for last, putting Griz aside.
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Mon May 05, 2025 10:45 pm
by Crow
Poor shooting for J Green but not so bad elsewhere in boxscore or raw +/-.
Re: 2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1
Posted: Mon May 05, 2025 11:00 pm
by Mike G
Crow wrote: ↑Mon May 05, 2025 10:44 pm
Thunder performance to minutes correlations last or tied for last, putting Griz aside.
Some stats thought Caruso (#6 in min.) the team's best player, and #8 Joe > #1 Shai.
eWins has the highest correlations in 7 of 8 West series; 6 of 8 in the East.