2025 Playoffs: West Conf. Rd 1

[Mike G]

Nuggets 1 - 0 Clippers
112 - 110 in overtime
Pythagorean wins .56 - .44 , eWins .53 - .47

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e530
.24   Nikola Jokić   Den   46  .537   23.4   7.8   8.4   2.5   1.6   .8   2.72
.22   James Harden   LAC   43  .640   30.2   5.5   7.7    .0   1.7   .9   2.68
.14   Ivica Zubac    LAC   39  .618   20.9  13.2   1.5    .9   1.9   .0   1.85
.12   Aaron Gordon   Den   46  .658   22.2   7.0    .7   1.7   2.4   .0   1.36
.11   Jamal Murray   Den   48  .467   15.1   7.5   4.7    .8   2.3   .0   1.16

.07   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   41  .667   22.3   5.8   1.5   2.5   6.2   .0    .94
.07   Ru. Westbrook  Den   34  .395   12.2   8.4   2.5   2.0   1.0   .0   1.03
.03   Kris Dunn      LAC   31  .625   11.8   3.8   1.0   1.1    .0  1.2    .56
.01   Norman Powell  LAC   37  .480   11.3   3.2   3.3    .9   4.0  1.0    .21
.01   Derrick Jones  LAC   24  .400    4.5   5.8    .0   1.2    .0  2.7    .27

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e530
.01   Peyton Watson  Den   14  .600   14.1   4.9    .0   2.3   2.2   .0    .45
.01  Christian Braun Den   45  .550    8.5   2.7    .7   1.7    .0   .0    .08
.00   Nicolas Batum  LAC   24  .750   13.0   2.9   1.1    .0   2.7   .0   -.02
.00   Ben Simmons    LAC   13  .000     .0   5.2   3.9    .0    .0  2.4   -.03
-.01  Bogdanović     LAC   12  .000     .0  14.0   4.3    .0   7.8   .0   -.61

-.03 Michael Porter  Den   26  .375    3.3   6.2    .0    .0   1.4   .0   -.52

shooting : LAC .585 - .521 Den
rebounds : Den 45 - 44 LAC
turnovers: Den 11 - 20 LAC

https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... otals.html

T'Wolves 1 - 0 Lakers
117 - 95
Pyth wins .94 - .06 , eWins .72 - .28

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.19  Anthony Edwards Min   35  .478   24.1   9.0   8.7   1.0   1.0   .0   2.58
.18  Jaden McDaniels Min   33  .962   29.7  10.7   2.1   1.0    .0   .0   2.59
.15   Luka Dončić    LAL   40  .698   29.3   7.9    .7   2.1   4.6   .0   1.80
.12   Naz Reid       Min   31  .885   24.9   5.5   1.9    .0    .0  2.1   1.93
.09   LeBron James   LAL   36  .500   16.4   5.5   2.5   2.3   4.1  3.1   1.26

.08   Mike Conley    Min   22  .818   16.7   5.4   4.7   4.6   1.7   .0   1.65
.06 Donte DiVincenzo Min   25  .500   11.9   6.8   4.7   2.4   1.3   .0   1.14
.04   Julius Randle  Min   35  .696   18.1   5.6   4.8    .0   7.3   .0    .54
.03 Nickeil A-Walker Min   20  .350   11.2   1.7   4.4    .0    .0  1.6    .68
.02   Austin Reaves  LAL   37  .552   13.4   3.2   2.4    .0   2.0   .0    .32

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.02  Ja. Vanderbilt  LAL   14  .333    3.7   9.7   3.7   2.6    .0   .0    .79
.02   Rui Hachimura  LAL   30  .500    9.0   6.6   2.0    .0   1.2   .0    .30
.02   Rudy Gobert    Min   24  .500    3.1   9.9   1.4    .0    .0  1.5    .33
-.03  Gabe Vincent   LAL   25  .500    3.1    .0   1.0    .0    .0  1.3   -.53
-.03 Dorian F-Smith  LAL   33  .300    2.3   3.2   1.6    .0    .0   .0   -.46

shooting : Min .643 - .522 LA
rebounds : Min 44 - 38 LA
turnovers: Min 10 - 13 LA

[Crow]

An average of a bit less than 4 players per team over .03 by eWins. Those are the main positives. The rest barely registered here and didn't "matter".

A bit over 2 at or over .10.

Get the best 2 and best 4. Which is most important? In the end probably the best 4. Spend on that first and then the rest as there are leftovers.

Best 4 performances beat opponent top 4 in all wins yesterday. 3 times by huge amounts.

Gobert starts out with a .02, on a max. Other metrics could be brought to bare, to better get at individual defense.

Randle and Reaves also underperformed their top 4 rank / pay.

[Crow]

Denver starters 30 pts better per 100p without Porter than with yesterday.

[Mike G]

Thunder 1 - 0 Grizzlies
131 - 80
Pyth wins 1.00 - .00 , eWins .75 - .25

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.12  Jalen Williams  OKC   26  .625   34.9   5.1   9.1   3.9   3.0  1.4   2.24
.11   Chet Holmgren  OKC   21  .679   41.4  12.7   3.7   1.6    .0  3.4   2.62
.09  Is. Hartenstein OKC   21  .875   31.1  10.2   9.4   1.6    .0   .0   2.15
.08   Shai G-A       OKC   23  .455   28.9   3.5   8.5    .0   3.3  3.1   1.71
.08   Aaron Wiggins  OKC   26  .677   36.7   4.1   3.0    .0   2.9   .0   1.51

.07   Luguentz Dort  OKC   22  .750   25.1   3.6   3.6   4.7   1.7  1.6   1.52
.07   Marvin Bagley  Mem   16 1.063   31.2  12.5    .0   4.9   2.4  2.2   2.04
.06  Jaylin Williams OKC   19  .818   21.9   7.0   6.2   1.8   6.0  3.8   1.56
.05   Ja Morant      Mem   26  .436   18.0   4.7   3.9    .0   1.5  1.4    .96
.05 Kenrich Williams OKC   16  .333   16.1  13.3   2.4   4.2    .0   .0   1.40

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03   Cason Wallace  OKC   13  1.00    7.2   4.1   9.0   2.6   2.9   .0   1.04
.03   Jay Huff       Mem   12  .667   18.9   6.7    .0    .0   3.3  6.0   1.05
.03   Santi Aldama   Mem   19  .417    7.2   8.4   4.0    .0    .0   .0    .65
.03   Ajay Mitchell  OKC   14  .417   15.6   1.9   5.6    .0    .0   .0    .86
.02   Zach Edey      Mem   20  .364    5.4  18.1   1.3    .0   3.9   .0    .60

.02   Alex Caruso    OKC   12   ---     .0   6.7  13.0    .0    .0   .0    .71
.02   Luke Kennard   Mem   12  .625   11.7  10.0    .0   3.3   6.5   .0    .63
.01   Lamar Stevens  Mem   12  .222    8.6  13.4   2.1    .0   3.3   .0    .57
.01   Scotty Pippen  Mem   22  .111    2.2   3.7   4.6   1.8   5.4   .0    .29
.01   Isaiah Joe     OKC   20  .600   13.5   1.3   2.0    .0   3.8   .0    .23

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.01   John Konchar   Mem   25  .250    2.1   4.8   2.0   1.6   1.6   .0    .16
.01  Vince Williams  Mem   19  .750    4.5   6.3   1.3   2.1   6.2   .0    .13
.00   Jaren Jackson  Mem   29  .154    3.5   4.2   1.7   1.4   4.1   .0    .04
-.01  Desmond Bane   Mem   27  .346    9.0   3.0    .0    .0   5.8   .0   -.10

shooting : OKC .615 - .404 Mem
rebounds: OKC 54 - 43 Mem
turnovers: OKC 16 - 24 Mem


Warriors 1 - 0 Rockets
95 - 85
Pyth wins .81 - .19 eWins .66 - .34

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.25   Stephen Curry   GS   40  .775   48.3   5.7   2.8    .9   4.7   .0   3.04
.24   Jimmy Butler    GS   42  .568   30.7   6.3   5.4   4.1   1.1   .0   2.80
.15  Alperen Şengün  Hou   36  .650   32.5   9.0    .9   3.3   5.4   .0   2.02
.12   Br. Podziemski  GS   35  .500   18.1   8.7   5.4   2.0   1.3   .0   1.68
.06   Amen Thompson  Hou   33  .364    7.2   9.8   5.9   1.2   2.4  1.1    .80

.05   Jabari Smith   Hou   25  1.10   24.4   7.2    .0   1.3   5.2  1.2   1.03
.04   Steven Adams   Hou   20  .600    9.6  17.7   1.3    .0   1.6   .0   1.07
.04   Gary Payton     GS   16  .583   18.0   5.8   1.9   3.5   2.4   .0   1.13
.03   Dillon Brooks  Hou   34  .500   11.8   3.2   1.9   1.2    .0   .0    .41
.01  Draymond Green   GS   37  .400    4.1   6.2   3.1   2.8   2.5  1.0    .13

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.01   Tari Eason     Hou   21  .300    5.8   5.6    .0   3.2   1.5  1.4    .20
.01   Jalen Green    Hou   31  .219    4.5   9.3   2.1    .0   1.3   .0    .09
-.00  Moses Moody     GS   28  .583   12.2   2.7   1.4    .0   1.7   .0   -.01
-.01  Fred VanVleet  Hou   40  .263    5.8    .9   5.6   1.0   2.0   .0   -.08
-.02  Buddy Hield     GS   15  .250    2.8   2.1    .0   1.9    .0   .0   -.49

shooting : GS .572 - .438 Hou
rebounds: Hou 52 - 36 GS
turnovers: GS 14 - 17 Hou

[Crow]

Number above .1 ewins per game and .03 bounces around a bit, but a pattern has been set. May see what the average is by the end. Will look for last playoffs.


Last playoffs, the number about .1 ewins per game was generally under 2 but reached 2.25 in conference. The number over .03 was around 5 but reached 6 in finals. Number over .1 fell to 1.5 in finals.

[Mike G]

Best of the West thru one game, according to VORP:

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West 1 G        Tm   min    PER    WS  WS/48    BPM  VORP
Nikola Jokić    Den   46   25.9   .23   .240   14.6   .19
Jimmy Butler    GSW   42   28.9   .30   .345   13.2   .16
James Harden    LAC   43   27.4   .29   .326   12.8   .16
Naz Reid        Min   31   32.5   .25   .380   18.1   .16
Jaden McDaniels Min   33   37.6   .33   .483   16.4   .15

Marvin Bagley   Mem   16   46.3   .12   .354   28.5   .12
Is. Hartenstein OKC   21   35.9   .29   .661   21.1   .12
Stephen Curry   GSW   40   25.7   .23   .281    9.7   .12
Luka Dončić     LAL   40   29.6   .12   .138    9.4   .12
Chet Holmgren   OKC   21   35.5   .29   .652   19.2   .11

West 1 G        Tm   min    PER    WS  WS/48    BPM  VORP
Jalen Williams  OKC   26   29.3   .24   .451   14.7   .11
Luguentz Dort   OKC   22   23.4   .19   .418   17.7   .11
Alperen Şengün  Hou   36   23.7   .11   .148    9.8   .11
Aaron Gordon    Den   46   20.1   .19   .202    4.8   .08
Mike Conley     Min   22   23.7   .15   .323   10.8   .07

Br. Podziemski  GSW   35   16.9   .15   .204    5.5   .07
Ivica Zubac     LAC   39   22.5   .15   .182    4.2   .06
Jaylin Williams OKC   19   17.0   .12   .310    9.6   .06
Ja Morant       Mem   26   13.3  -.04  -.077    4.8   .04
Aaron Wiggins   OKC   26   18.6   .17   .319    4.8   .04

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West 1 G        Tm   min    PER     WS   WS/48     BPM   VORP
Jaren Jackson   Mem   29   -5.9   -.25   -.414   -13.6   -.08
Scotty Pippen   Mem   22   -9.4   -.20   -.439   -17.0   -.08
Desmond Bane    Mem   27   -4.8   -.20   -.352   -13.1   -.08
Bogdanović      LAC   12  -15.9   -.12   -.474   -25.8   -.07
Jalen Green     Hou   31   -1.4   -.10   -.159   -10.8   -.07

Fred VanVleet   Hou   40    -.1   -.08   -.095    -6.9   -.05
Dorian F-Smith  LAL   33    3.3   -.08   -.111    -7.4   -.05
Quinten Post    GSW   12   -8.2   -.05   -.182   -16.0   -.04
Michael Porter  Den   26    1.0   -.02   -.035    -8.0   -.04
Nickeil A-W     Min   20    7.1    .01    .030    -8.2   -.03

West 1 G        Tm   min    PER     WS   WS/48     BPM   VORP
Julius Randle   Min   35    8.7   -.02   -.030    -5.5   -.03
Lamar Stevens   Mem   12   -5.3   -.12   -.471   -12.0   -.03
Austin Reaves   LAL   37   10.4   -.04   -.055    -5.1   -.03
Dillon Jones    OKC    8   -5.8   -.02   -.117   -14.8   -.03
Jaxson Hayes    LAL    8    5.0   -.04   -.218   -14.6   -.03

Buddy Hield     GSW   15    1.1   -.01   -.047    -8.5   -.02
Kevon Looney    GSW    9   -4.3   -.01   -.044   -12.2   -.02
Zach Edey       Mem   20    6.8   -.06   -.152    -6.4   -.02
Moses Moody     GSW   28    6.2    .06    .109    -4.6   -.02
John Konchar    Mem   25    1.9   -.06   -.118    -4.9   -.02

[Mike G]

Clippers 1 - 1 Nuggets
avg score 107.5 - 107.0
Pyth wins 1.03 - .97 , eWins 1.02 - .98

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e505
.43   Nikola Jokić   Den   45  .573   22.8   9.7   7.8   2.5   3.7   .4   2.46
.36   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   40  .803   33.4   4.3   2.6   2.2   3.7   .5   2.30
.30   James Harden   LAC   41  .595   23.1   4.2   6.6    .4   2.7  1.3   1.84
.24   Ivica Zubac    LAC   40  .627   17.7  11.9   2.3    .9   1.8   .0   1.53
.20   Jamal Murray   Den   45  .550   17.4   5.0   4.6    .8   2.8   .4   1.10

.14   Aaron Gordon   Den   42  .582   16.9   6.8    .8    .9   1.7   .0    .87
.11   Ru. Westbrook  Den   29  .468   14.2   7.5   1.9   1.7   1.7   .0    .94
.08  Michael Porter  Den   30  .563   10.0  13.0    .5    .6   2.4   .0    .68
.07   Kris Dunn      LAC   30  .500    8.0   5.7   1.5   2.4    .0  1.2    .63
.05   Norman Powell  LAC   35  .455   11.9   1.6   3.0   2.1   2.6   .5    .34

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e505
.03   Peyton Watson  Den   14  .563    9.9   7.5   1.0   2.3   1.1   .0    .60
.03   Nicolas Batum  LAC   21  .682   11.4   4.7    .6   1.5   1.5   .8    .40
.00   Jalen Pickett  Den    6  .667   10.1   5.6   2.2    .0   2.5   .0    .07
.00   Derrick Jones  LAC   22  .417    6.3   4.6    .0    .7    .7  1.5    .00
-.00  Ben Simmons    LAC   11  .500    2.6   4.6   3.6    .0    .0  1.5   -.03

-.01  Chr. Braun     Den   40  .444    6.2   4.7   1.2   1.4    .9   .0   -.05
-.04  Bogdanović     LAC   14  .000     .0   7.2   3.8   1.1   5.8   .0   -.83

shooting : LAC .581 - .542 Den
rebounds: Den 47.5 - 38.0 LAC
turnovers: 15.5 - 15.5

[Mike G]

Thunder 2 - 0 Grizzlies
avg score 124.5 - 89.5
Pyth wins 1.98 - 02 , eWins 1.49 - .51

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.27  Jalen Williams  OKC   31  .603   30.2   5.6   6.7   2.2   1.9   .6   2.11
.27   Chet Holmgren  OKC   27  .629   30.1  12.0   1.4    .6    .7  4.7   2.37
.23   Shai G-A       OKC   31  .442   27.6   5.6   6.1   1.1   2.5  1.2   1.84
.16  Is. Hartenstein OKC   24  .667   17.6  11.6   6.2    .7   1.6   .8   1.60
.12   Ja Morant      Mem   33  .440   17.3   2.7   3.9   1.2   3.6  1.1    .88

.12   Luguentz Dort  OKC   27  .588   15.2   6.9   1.4   1.9    .7   .7   1.05
.11   Aaron Wiggins  OKC   17  .659   33.0   3.3   2.0    .9   2.0   .0   1.61
.11   Alex Caruso    OKC   17  .650   14.8   5.8   7.1   2.8    .0  1.0   1.52
.09   Desmond Bane   Mem   33  .444   12.3   7.6   1.6    .6   3.0   .6    .63
.07   Jaren Jackson  Mem   32  .455   13.4   5.0    .8    .6   1.8   .0    .54

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06  Jaylin Williams OKC   11  .818   15.9   7.6   4.6   1.4   4.7  3.0   1.28
.06   Cason Wallace  OKC   19  .700    7.4   3.1   5.6   1.7    .9   .9    .74
.06   Zach Edey      Mem   23  .471    5.0  12.3   2.2    .0   2.6  1.6    .60
.06   Marvin Bagley  Mem   14  .944   17.3   6.9    .0   2.6   3.8  1.2    .96
.05 Kenrich Williams OKC    8  .333   13.1  14.1   2.1   3.9    .0   .0   1.52

.04   Isaiah Joe     OKC   18  .542   13.6   3.9   2.9    .0   2.9   .0    .49
.03   Santi Aldama   Mem   25  .441    7.9   5.9   1.4    .0   1.5   .0    .30
.03   Scotty Pippen  Mem   27  .333    7.7   4.0   2.4    .8   3.0   .0    .27
.03   Jay Huff       Mem    6  .667   18.3   5.3    .0    .0   3.0  5.5   1.10
.02   Ajay Mitchell  OKC    7  .417   12.9   2.0   4.9    .0    .0   .0    .75

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.02   Luke Kennard   Mem   15  .563    8.0   6.5   1.6   1.2   4.8  1.1    .33
.01   Lamar Stevens  Mem    6  .222    7.9  10.7   1.9    .0   3.0   .0    .47
.00   John Konchar   Mem   18  .200    1.3   4.5   2.0   1.0   1.0   .0    .03
.00  Vince Williams  Mem   10  .750    4.4   5.1   1.2   2.0   5.7   .0   -.07

shooting : OKC .570 - .454 Mem
rebounds: OKC 54.5 - 42.5 Mem
turnovers: OKC 11.5 - 19.5 Mem


T-Wolves 1 - 1 Lakers
avg score 101.0 - 94.5
Pyth wins 1.41 - .59 , eWins 1.20 - .80

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.51   Luka Dončić    LAL   42  .654   34.5   9.7   4.0    .9   4.2   .4   2.95
.30  Anthony Edwards Min   38  .500   22.2   7.5   4.0    .5   1.6   .0   1.88
.26   Naz Reid       Min   26  .727   30.2   5.3   1.9   2.0   2.2  1.3   2.44
.25   Julius Randle  Min   37  .652   26.8   4.9   5.1    .5   4.3   .5   1.64
.25   LeBron James   LAL   38  .500   17.2   8.5   4.4   1.4   3.1  1.9   1.58

.24  Jaden McDaniels Min   36  .660   21.2   7.3   1.4    .5    .6   .5   1.59
.09   Austin Reaves  LAL   40  .542   14.1   4.0   3.3    .0   1.5   .0    .52
.05 Donte DiVincenzo Min   21  .464   10.3   7.7   4.8   1.7   2.8   .0    .58
.05   Mike Conley    Min   22  .429    6.4   8.3   3.1   2.5   1.8   .0    .53
.04   Rui Hachimura  LAL   32  .513   10.4   6.3   1.0   1.1   1.8   .6    .33

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Rudy Gobert    Min   27  .444    4.8   9.2    .6   1.4    .0   .7    .32
.01  Ja. Vanderbilt  LAL   11  .250    1.6   9.3   3.1   3.3   1.8   .0    .26
-.03  Nickeil A-W    Min   25  .324    5.2   2.4   4.1    .0    .8   .7   -.25
-.03  Jaxson Hayes   LAL    9  .300    3.4   9.1    .0    .0   2.2  2.0   -.84
-.04  Gabe Vincent   LAL   22  .643    8.1    .0   1.5    .0    .9  1.6   -.44
-.06  Dorian F-Smith LAL   36  .455    4.0   4.4   1.4    .0    .0   .5   -.39

shooting : Min .553 - .537 LA
rebounds: LA 39.5 - 39.0 Min
turnovers: Min 11.5 - 13.5 LA

[Mike G]

Rockets 1 - 1 Warriors
avg score 97.0 - 94.5
Pyth wins 1.17 - .83 , eWins 1.09 - .91

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.36   Stephen Curry   GS   39  .689   32.1   5.5   5.4    .9   5.3   .5   2.27
.35  Alperen Şengün  Hou   37  .573   24.5  13.3   3.8   2.6   4.7   .0   2.32
.30   Jalen Green    Hou   33  .517   25.7   7.1   4.2   1.7   1.9   .0   2.21
.25   Jimmy Butler    GS   25  .560   23.5   6.9   4.1   3.5    .8   .0   2.38
.13   Amen Thompson  Hou   28  .475   12.4   6.9   5.5    .7   1.5   .7   1.09

.10   Dillon Brooks  Hou   30  .563   18.2   4.0   1.8    .6   2.2   .6    .80
.08   Tari Eason     Hou   23  .526   13.8   7.2    .6   1.4   1.6   .7    .82
.07   Moses Moody     GS   26  .679   16.4   2.9   1.3    .7   1.6   .7    .62
.07   Pat Spencer     GS    6  .786   37.9   2.6   2.3    .0    .0   .0   2.61
.06  Br. Podziemski   GS   25  .368    8.5   6.2   3.5   1.4    .8   .0    .61

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Steven Adams   Hou   18  .583    6.1  13.3    .8    .9   1.0   .8    .76
.05   Jabari Smith   Hou   25  .889   14.7   7.3    .0    .7   3.6  1.3    .52
.03   Fred VanVleet  Hou   42  .304    5.2   3.3   3.7   1.8   1.0   .4    .16
.02 Jonathan Kuminga  GS   13  .423   11.7   3.7   2.2    .0   1.3  1.2    .40
.02   Kevon Looney    GS   11  .500    6.9   6.9   3.7    .0    .0   .0    .45

.02  Draymond Green   GS   34  .462    6.3   6.3   2.1   3.2   4.3  1.1    .11
.01   Gary Payton     GS   14  .389    6.3   4.4   2.0   3.1   1.2   .0    .21
.01   Quinten Post    GS   19  .500    9.3   2.6   1.5    .8    .0   .0    .14
.00   Buddy Hield     GS   16  .438    5.8   5.0    .9    .9    .0   .0   -.03
.00   Gui Santos      GS    9  .667   17.3   3.5   1.6    .0   5.7   .0   -.07

shooting : GS .549 - .543 Hou
rebounds: Hou 49.5 - 34.5 GS
turnovers: GS 14.5 - 15.0 Hou

[Mike G]

2 games in:

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.51   Luka Dončić    LAL   42  .654   34.5   9.7   4.0    .9   4.2   .4   2.95
.43   Nikola Jokić   Den   45  .573   22.8   9.7   7.8   2.5   3.7   .4   2.46
.36   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   40  .803   33.4   4.3   2.6   2.2   3.7   .5   2.30
.36   Stephen Curry   GS   39  .689   32.1   5.5   5.4    .9   5.3   .5   2.27
.35  Alperen Şengün  Hou   37  .573   24.5  13.3   3.8   2.6   4.7   .0   2.32

.30   Jalen Green    Hou   33  .517   25.7   7.1   4.2   1.7   1.9   .0   2.21
.30   James Harden   LAC   41  .595   23.1   4.2   6.6    .4   2.7  1.3   1.84
.30  Anthony Edwards Min   38  .500   22.2   7.5   4.0    .5   1.6   .0   1.88
.27  Jalen Williams  OKC   31  .603   30.2   5.6   6.7   2.2   1.9   .6   2.11
.27   Chet Holmgren  OKC   27  .629   30.1  12.0   1.4    .6    .7  4.7   2.37

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.26   Naz Reid       Min   26  .727   30.2   5.3   1.9   2.0   2.2  1.3   2.44
.25   Julius Randle  Min   37  .652   26.8   4.9   5.1    .5   4.3   .5   1.64
.25   LeBron James   LAL   38  .500   17.2   8.5   4.4   1.4   3.1  1.9   1.58
.25   Jimmy Butler    GS   25  .560   23.5   6.9   4.1   3.5    .8   .0   2.38
.24   Ivica Zubac    LAC   40  .627   17.7  11.9   2.3    .9   1.8   .0   1.53

.24  Jaden McDaniels Min   36  .660   21.2   7.3   1.4    .5    .6   .5   1.59
.23   Shai G-A       OKC   31  .442   27.6   5.6   6.1   1.1   2.5  1.2   1.84
.20   Jamal Murray   Den   45  .550   17.4   5.0   4.6    .8   2.8   .4   1.10
.16  Is. Hartenstein OKC   24  .667   17.6  11.6   6.2    .7   1.6   .8   1.60
.14   Aaron Gordon   Den   42  .582   16.9   6.8    .8    .9   1.7   .0    .87

[Mike G]

Thunder 3 - 0 Grizz
avg score 121.0 - 95.7
Pyth wins 2.87 - .13 , eWins 2.19 - .81

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.45  Jalen Williams  OKC   33  .609   30.8   6.0   5.9   2.2   1.9   .7   2.22
.42   Chet Holmgren  OKC   29  .643   31.9  11.4    .8    .4    .9  2.9   2.33
.38   Shai G-A       OKC   34  .468   26.5   5.1   6.4   1.1   2.6  1.1   1.80
.21  Is. Hartenstein OKC   23  .625   15.8  11.4   6.3    .5   2.2   .5   1.47
.20   Alex Caruso    OKC   19  .639   16.1   7.1   5.7   4.1   1.2  1.1   1.66

.17   Ja Morant      Mem   27  .470   18.2   2.5   5.1    .9   2.8   .9   1.01
.13   Jaren Jackson  Mem   34  .491   14.2   5.5   1.1    .7   2.3   .4    .60
.11   Luguentz Dort  OKC   30  .478    9.0   6.9    .8   1.6    .8   .8    .60
.11   Scotty Pippen  Mem   31  .518   13.4   4.2   3.0   1.6   3.8   .4    .58
.10   Aaron Wiggins  OKC   13  .558   26.2   3.0   1.6    .8   1.7   .0   1.25

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.10   Desmond Bane   Mem   34  .409    9.4   7.6   2.2   1.1   3.8   .7    .47
.09   Zach Edey      Mem   25  .630    7.3  10.6   2.2    .0   2.6  1.5    .60
.09   Isaiah Joe     OKC   17  .676   18.5   3.6   2.6    .6   2.0   .0    .86
.09   Cason Wallace  OKC   20  .667    8.0   4.6   4.8   1.6    .6   .5    .72
.07   Marvin Bagley  Mem    9  .944   22.0   6.6    .0   2.3   3.7  1.2   1.15

.06  Jaylin Williams OKC    8  .818   15.8   8.4   3.8   1.3   3.9  2.5   1.19
.06   Santi Aldama   Mem   27  .468    8.7   5.8   1.2    .0   1.3   .4    .33
.05 Kenrich Williams OKC    5  .333   10.0  15.4   2.0   4.1    .0   .0   1.51
.04   Luke Kennard   Mem   21  .500    5.7   5.6   2.0   2.1   2.2   .5    .34
.02   Ajay Mitchell  OKC    6  .429   10.7   3.5   3.7    .0    .0   .0    .58

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.01   John Konchar   Mem   17  .389    2.9   4.2   1.9    .6    .7   .6    .07
-.00 Vince Williams  Mem    6  .750    4.9   4.8   1.3   1.7   5.3  1.7   -.02
                                 

shooting : .565 - .490
rebounds: 50.7 - 42.0
turnovers: 11.3 - 18.3


Clippers 2 - 1 Nuggets
avg score 110.7 - 99.0
Pyth wins 2.44 - .56 , eWins 1.97 - 1.03

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e497
.62   Nikola Jokić   Den   42  .609   22.2  10.2   8.3   1.9   3.2   .3   2.44
.59   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   38  .713   33.5   6.7   3.8   1.6   3.3   .3   2.55
.51   James Harden   LAC   39  .593   25.2   5.0   7.8    .3   2.3   .9   2.19
.39   Ivica Zubac    LAC   38  .629   21.1  11.6   2.1    .7   2.0   .3   1.72
.24   Jamal Murray   Den   42  .578   18.2   3.7   4.0    .8   2.9   .3    .95

.19   Norman Powell  LAC   33  .549   18.0   1.6   3.4   1.9   1.9   .4    .94
.15   Aaron Gordon   Den   39  .540   15.0   7.1    .5    .6   1.9   .0    .62
.15   Nicolas Batum  LAC   23  .794   15.8   5.4   1.3   1.0   1.0  1.9   1.05
.14   Kris Dunn      LAC   27  .525    9.3   8.2   1.3   1.9    .0  1.4    .86
.08   Ru. Westbrook  Den   22  .444   12.0   6.8   2.0   1.4   2.0   .0    .61

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e497
.06  Michael Porter  Den   32  .481    7.5  10.4    .6    .4   1.9   .4    .32
.03   Derrick Jones  LAC   22  .476    9.3   3.6    .0   1.0   1.0  2.0    .23
.01   Ben Simmons    LAC   10  .250    1.3   6.8   3.9   1.1   1.1  2.1    .17
-.01  Peyton Watson  Den   15  .458    6.1   6.0    .6   1.3   1.4   .0   -.08
-.01  Chr. Braun     Den   39  .439    5.9   5.0   1.0   1.2    .9   .3   -.05

-.04  Jalen Pickett  Den    8  .500    4.7   3.0   1.1    .0   4.2   .0   -.91
-.05   Bogdanović    LAC   13  .091     .6   6.2   5.4    .9   5.2   .0   -.60

shooting : LAC .589 - .522 Den
rebounds: Den 44.3 - 41.3 LAC
turnovers: LAC 14.0 - 15.7 Den

[Mike G]

Jokic had 89.1 Ast% last night.

Both teams with temporary coaches seem to be floundering.

[Mike G]

Wolves 2 - 1 Lakers
avg score 106.0 - 97.7
Pyth wins 2.23 - .77 , eWins 1.87 - 1.13

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.63   LeBron James    LA   39  .591   24.0   9.1   3.7   1.6   2.4  1.9   2.58
.55   Luka Dončić     LA   41  .607   25.8   9.0   4.6    .9   4.6   .6   2.13
.53  Anthony Edwards Min   39  .521   22.2   7.6   4.7    .9   1.8   .3   2.15
.42  Jaden McDaniels Min   37  .643   23.4   6.7   1.2   1.0    .8   .3   1.84
.38   Julius Randle  Min   38  .637   24.4   5.0   4.2    .6   3.7   .3   1.57

.28   Naz Reid       Min   26  .729   22.8   6.5   1.2   1.3   1.5   .9   1.70
.14   Mike Conley    Min   22  .545   10.1   7.6   4.0   2.2   1.3   .0   1.05
.12   Austin Reaves   LA   40  .536   13.8   5.1   3.1    .0   2.3   .3    .49
.09 Donte DiVincenzo Min   24  .426    8.7   7.2   4.4   1.4   2.3  1.5    .61
.01  Ja. Vanderbilt   LA   11  .417    3.3  11.6   1.8   2.2   2.3  1.0    .16

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.00   Rudy Gobert    Min   26  .409    2.9   7.8    .8   1.8    .5   .9    .02
-.00  Rui Hachimura   LA   34  .528    8.6   5.7   1.2   1.1   2.4   .7   -.02
-.01  Nickeil A-W    Min   21  .341    5.5   3.8   3.9    .5   1.3   .6   -.06
-.03  Jordan Goodwin  LA    8  .375    2.5   4.9   1.3   1.5   1.6  1.4   -.61
-.04  Gabe Vincent    LA   20  .700    8.4    .7   1.5    .0    .6  1.2   -.30

-.04  Jaxson Hayes    LA    9  .357    4.0   8.0    .0    .0   1.6  1.4   -.71
-.11  Dorian F-Smith  LA   33  .529    5.0   3.5   1.5    .0    .8   .3   -.51

shooting : Min .560 - .555 LA
rebounds: LA 39.0 - 38.7 Min
turnovers: Min 11.3 - 15.3 LA

[Mike G]

Dubs 2 - 1 Rockets
avg score 97.7 - 95.7
Pyth wins 1.71 - 1.29 , eWins 1.60 - 1.40

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.73   Stephen Curry   GS   39  .680   36.2   5.6   6.1    .9   4.1   .9   2.96
.41  Alperen Şengün  Hou   35  .496   19.8  12.6   3.8   1.8   3.5   .0   1.87
.33   Jalen Green    Hou   35  .495   18.4   6.4   4.2   1.5   1.6   .0   1.50
.25   Jimmy Butler    GS   17  .560   24.1   6.6   4.1   3.5    .8   .0   2.40
.17   Dillon Brooks  Hou   29  .606   18.5   5.1   1.5    .9   2.4   .8    .91

.13   Amen Thompson  Hou   31  .405   10.2   6.8   4.7    .8   2.7   .8    .69
.12   Steven Adams   Hou   18  .682   10.4  11.9   1.5   1.2   1.3   .6   1.06
.10  Br. Podziemski   GS   27  .400    9.5   5.3   2.9   1.3    .5   .0    .57
.10   Gary Payton     GS   16  .639   17.3   4.3   1.7   1.8   1.3   .0    .96
.09   Jabari Smith   Hou   25  .778   14.6   6.6    .0    .4   2.8  1.6    .60

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.09   Tari Eason     Hou   21  .483   12.0   7.7    .4   1.0   1.6  1.4    .70
.09   Moses Moody     GS   25  .591   13.8   3.3   1.8    .5    .5   .5    .58
.07   Buddy Hield     GS   20  .571   13.2   3.5   1.4   2.0   1.1   .0    .55
.07   Quinten Post    GS   21  .368    5.7   7.7   2.9   1.0    .0   .5    .51
.06   Fred VanVleet  Hou   41  .386    8.2   3.3   3.3   1.6   1.7   .3    .24

.04  Draymond Green   GS   34  .388    6.0   6.9   2.7   2.8   4.7  1.8    .21
.04 Jonathan Kuminga  GS   14  .429   13.4   3.2   3.0    .0   1.7   .8    .45
.02   Kevon Looney    GS   12  .438    5.1   8.1   2.3    .8    .0   .0    .29

shooting : GS .544 - .493 Hou
rebounds: Hou 50.0 - 38.0 GS
turnovers: GS 13.0 - 15.0 Hou


Clippers 2 - 2 Nuggets
avg score 107.8 - 99.5
Pyth wins 2.97 - 1.03 , eWins 2.49 - 1.51

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e493
.96   Nikola Jokić   Den   42  .620   26.1  12.1   7.6   1.8   2.9   .4   2.79
.73   Kawhi Leonard  LAC   39  .654   31.4   7.1   3.1   1.8   2.9   .2   2.31
.61   James Harden   LAC   40  .582   22.6   4.6   7.8    .7   2.6  1.2   1.90
.58   Ivica Zubac    LAC   39  .636   21.6  11.3   2.7    .8   1.5   .5   1.87
.29   Norman Powell  LAC   34  .588   20.6   2.3   2.7   1.7   2.0   .3   1.07

.27   Jamal Murray   Den   42  .526   15.8   4.3   4.2   1.0   2.9   .2    .80
.22   Aaron Gordon   Den   40  .557   14.8   6.4   1.3    .6   1.7   .2    .68
.15   Nicolas Batum  LAC   22  .652   12.8   5.4   1.3   1.2    .8  1.9    .82
.12   Kris Dunn      LAC   26  .414    6.7   8.7   1.3   1.5    .0  1.1    .59
.08  Michael Porter  Den   34  .553   10.1   8.1    .9    .3   2.2   .3    .29

Win   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e493
.08   Ru. Westbrook  Den   17  .444   12.0   6.7   2.0   1.4   2.0   .0    .57
.06  Christian Braun Den   40  .442    7.2   5.2   1.7   1.1    .9   .7    .18
.03   Derrick Jones  LAC   20  .462    8.7   3.4    .4    .9    .8  1.6    .15
.00   Ben Simmons    LAC    9  .400    2.6   5.5   3.1    .9   1.8  2.6    .00
-.02  Peyton Watson  Den   15  .433    5.4   5.8    .5   1.6   1.7   .0   -.17

-.03  Bogdanović     LAC   14  .250    2.7   6.6   4.6    .6   3.6   .0   -.29
-.06  Jalen Pickett  Den    7  .333    2.7   2.3   1.8    .0   3.5   .0   -.94

shooting : LAC .570 - .524 Den
rebounds: Den 45.0 - 41.8 LAC
turnovers: LAC 13.0 - 15.3 Den


Thunder 4 - 0 Grizzlies
avg score 120.0 - 100.5
pyth wins 3.65 - .35 , eWins 2.83 - 1.17

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.64   Shai G-A       OKC   35  .512   28.7   5.0   6.0   1.3   2.1  1.0   2.18
.57  Jalen Williams  OKC   34  .585   26.5   5.4   5.4   1.6   1.6   .5   2.02
.51   Chet Holmgren  OKC   29  .607   25.0   9.4    .9    .9   1.0  3.5   2.11
.33  Is. Hartenstein OKC   24  .643   15.7  13.1   5.6   1.9   2.8   .4   1.71
.26   Alex Caruso    OKC   21  .580   12.6   6.3   5.9   3.7    .8  1.2   1.53

.21   Scotty Pippen  Mem   32  .541   17.2   6.1   3.2   1.1   4.2   .3    .79
.19   Ja Morant      Mem   21  .470   19.1   2.6   5.4    .9   2.8   .9   1.11
.16   Zach Edey      Mem   27  .676    7.8  10.3   1.9    .0   2.1  3.4    .73
.14   Isaiah Joe     OKC   16  .708   20.7   3.5   2.5   1.0   1.6   .0   1.06
.14   Aaron Wiggins  OKC   14  .551   24.1   3.6   1.2   1.8   1.9   .0   1.24

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.13   Santi Aldama   Mem   31  .591   12.8   6.7   1.6    .0   1.5   .3    .53
.12   Desmond Bane   Mem   35  .433   11.9   6.9   2.8    .8   4.1   .5    .42
.11   Jaren Jackson  Mem   34  .471   13.2   5.2   1.3   1.1   3.1   .5    .39
.07   Marvin Bagley  Mem    7  .944   22.7   7.2    .0   2.5   3.8  1.2   1.27
.06   Cason Wallace  OKC   21  .457    6.2   4.0   4.0   1.2    .4   .8    .37

.06  Vince Williams  Mem   10  .875   13.3   6.2   2.9   1.8   2.8   .9    .79
.06   Luguentz Dort  OKC   30  .448    7.3   6.0    .6   1.2    .6   .6    .23
.05  Jaylin Williams OKC    7  .692   12.0   7.9   3.4   1.2   3.6  2.3    .85
.05 Kenrich Williams OKC    4  .300    8.9  17.3   1.9   4.0   2.0   .0   1.44
.04   Jay Huff       Mem    5  .667   14.1   5.6   1.5    .0   2.0  5.7   1.12

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03   Luke Kennard   Mem   20  .500    6.1   5.9   2.8   1.7   2.7   .4    .18
.03   John Konchar   Mem   17  .500    4.3   6.3   2.4   1.0   1.0  1.0    .18
.02   Ajay Mitchell  OKC    4  .429   10.8   3.9   3.8    .0    .0   .0    .50
.01   Lamar Stevens  Mem    3  .222    6.0  11.1   2.3    .0   3.0   .0    .21

shooting : OKC .555 - .518 Mem
rebounds: OKC 46.3 - 44.3 Mem
turnovers: OKC 10.5 - 19.3 Mem

Code: Select all

. OKC          min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      . Mem        min   PER   WS/48   BPM  e484
Shai G-A       140   21.9   .216   6.4   2.18      Desmond Bane 139    7.0  -.121  -4.2   .42
Jalen Williams 136   22.9   .250   7.6   2.02     Jaren Jackson 137    9.1  -.061  -3.5   .39
Luguentz Dort  118    6.5   .106  -2.9    .23     Scotty Pippen 129   12.3   .001  -0.8   .79
Chet Holmgren  116   23.1   .288   7.7   2.11      Santi Aldama 122   11.5   .030   1.3   .53
Hartenstein     94   20.8   .262   6.3   1.71      Zach Edey    108   13.6   .083   2.6   .73

Alex Caruso     83   21.3   .291  12.5   1.53      Ja Morant     82   15.3  -.041   4.5  1.11
Cason Wallace   82    8.9   .148   0.4    .37      Luke Kennard  80    8.3  -.027  -0.6   .18
Isaiah Joe      65   18.7   .233   7.9   1.06      John Konchar  69    8.4   .044   0.9   .18
Aaron Wiggins   55   17.4   .142   1.5   1.24     Vince Williams 38   16.2   .130   8.4   .79
Jaylin Williams 29   11.0   .138   1.7    .85      Marvin Bagley 28   23.6   .117   9.2  1.27

. OKC          min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e484      . Mem        min   PER   WS/48   BPM  e484
Ajay Mitchell   17    7.2   .098  -4.1    .50      Jay Huff      18   20.6   .162   9.2  1.12
Kenr. Williams  17   11.0  -.001  -5.4   1.44      Lamar Stevens 12   -7.5   -.46 -13.3   .21
Dillon Jones     8   -6.0  -.258 -14.8   -.95                     
. totals       960   17.5   .206   4.70  1.41     .  totals     960   11.2  -.010   0.25  .59

correl. to minutes:  .27    .10    .01    .47                         -.42   -.50  -.76  -.16

total WS 4.1 to -.2

[Mike G]

Wolves 3 - 1 Lakers
avg score 108.5 - 101.5
Pyth wins 2.83 - 1.17 , eWins 2.42 - 1.58

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.94   LeBron James    LA   41  .625   23.7   9.0   4.2   1.8   2.5  2.0   2.78
.92  Anthony Edwards Min   41  .569   26.0   7.7   4.6    .7   1.5   .4   2.74
.67   Luka Dončić     LA   42  .606   26.0   6.4   3.7    .9   4.4   .6   1.91
.49   Julius Randle  Min   39  .600   21.5   5.4   3.7    .7   2.6   .2   1.51
.47  Jaden McDaniels Min   37  .642   18.8   7.9   1.5   1.0   1.1   .2   1.52

.28   Naz Reid       Min   25  .714   18.8   6.7   1.6   1.1   1.6   .7   1.35
.20   Austin Reaves   LA   39  .552   13.3   5.4   3.2    .2   2.1   .7    .62
.14 Donte DiVincenzo Min   25  .403    8.4   5.9   3.8   2.8   1.6  1.1    .66
.10   Mike Conley    Min   23  .465    6.9   5.8   3.6   1.6    .9   .4    .53
.04   Rui Hachimura   LA   36  .600   10.6   5.1   1.1    .8   1.7   .5    .14

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.00  Ja. Vanderbilt  LA   10  .417    2.7  11.0   1.5   1.8   2.0   .9   -.03
-.01  Rudy Gobert    Min   26  .368    3.4   9.6    .6   1.7   1.6   .7   -.06
-.02  Nickeil A-W    Min   19  .385    7.5   3.7   3.3    .5   2.1   .5   -.13
-.02  Jaxson Hayes    LA    8  .389    5.0  10.0   1.0    .0   1.3  1.2   -.35
-.05  Jordan Goodwin  LA    8  .250    1.7   6.0   2.0   1.2   1.3  1.1   -.74

-.10  Gabe Vincent    LA   18  .583    5.1   1.0   1.3    .5    .5  1.0   -.67
-.13  Dorian F-Smith  LA   35  .500    4.3   4.6   2.4    .0   1.1   .5   -.46

shooting : LA .569 -.556 Min
rebounds: Min 41.3 - 39.5 LA
turnovers: Min 10.8 - 14.5 LA