NBA Draft board 6/26
Lottery
Edey
Clingan
Holmes
Sheppard
Shannon
Dante
Carter
Spencer
Newton
Knecht
KJ Simpson
Scheierman
Jay Williams
Mogbo
More 1st rd
Filipowski
McCain
Sarr
Disu
Shead
Freeman
Ware
LeDee
Dillingham
Castle
Topic
Watson
Beekman
Dil Jones
Larsson
Kolek
2nd rd
Risacher
Cryer
Bridges
Ingram
PJ Hall
Pember
Holland
McCullar
Dav Jones
Post
Da Silva
Ighodaro
Oduro
K Johnson
Buzelis
Tyson
Furphy
Dunn
I Jones
Crawford
Alexander
Mitchell
Bacot
Collier
T Smith
Minix
Salaun
C Williams
Some UDFA candidates
Nunez
M Brown
2024 Draft prospect board
Re: 2024 Draft prospect board
If I re-did my board now, what would I change?
Probably would put Ware and DaSilva higher. Maybe Disu, LeDee, Pember and Hall somewhat lower. Perhaps a few more adjustments but not that much.
Probably would put Ware and DaSilva higher. Maybe Disu, LeDee, Pember and Hall somewhat lower. Perhaps a few more adjustments but not that much.
Re: 2024 Draft prospect board
I probably said something similar on Twitter in past... but I'll add here.
For 2019 draft class, only 14 of 60 have produced a net career VORP over +1. Sure more might get to positive VORP after awhile but tough to add enough positive in 5 years to undo the negatives. Really need to time young players with competitive window to endure the weak when it matters less and get the good at the right time.
I should focus more on the top and let others labor over marginal positives if at all / later contributors.
But the average draft rank of the 14 positives is almost 18th. So focus on best prospects but don't expect GMs to take them that high on average.
Fit gets slighted over BPA; but if you don't fit, you often won't play and won't have immediate realized value.
Mocks will and should be very different than big boards. But I havent and probably won't do the extra work a mock unless asked and paid to do it.
The value of draft really depends on team and stage of competitive cycle. Can pursue / get what a team wants / needs from other markets. Comparative value, now and in future, reliability and durability varies and should be studied more.
Lightly used draft picks are an interesting secondary market, if you can interpret usage, look deeper into indicators in limited, cloudy data.
For 2019 draft class, only 14 of 60 have produced a net career VORP over +1. Sure more might get to positive VORP after awhile but tough to add enough positive in 5 years to undo the negatives. Really need to time young players with competitive window to endure the weak when it matters less and get the good at the right time.
I should focus more on the top and let others labor over marginal positives if at all / later contributors.
But the average draft rank of the 14 positives is almost 18th. So focus on best prospects but don't expect GMs to take them that high on average.
Fit gets slighted over BPA; but if you don't fit, you often won't play and won't have immediate realized value.
Mocks will and should be very different than big boards. But I havent and probably won't do the extra work a mock unless asked and paid to do it.
The value of draft really depends on team and stage of competitive cycle. Can pursue / get what a team wants / needs from other markets. Comparative value, now and in future, reliability and durability varies and should be studied more.
Lightly used draft picks are an interesting secondary market, if you can interpret usage, look deeper into indicators in limited, cloudy data.
Re: 2024 Draft prospect board
Early comments on a few best ranked players and then talk about approach to draft analysis:
https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/1851867522636931526
https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/1851867522636931526
Re: 2024 Draft prospect board
Not a single rookie is above neutral on Darko projection. Only 3 sophomores are.
Re: 2024 Draft prospect board
Status report on my best 2024 picks and a few from 2022 and 2023 at my twitter handle, if interested.
Re: 2024 Draft prospect board
Sheppard's is probably the biggest disappointment to me. Need to consider his responsibility along with Coach and front office.
Can this change / work out? Probably not this season. Next? The ones after that?
Can this change / work out? Probably not this season. Next? The ones after that?
Re: 2024 Draft prospect board
Accurate pick to performance by BPM continues for Edey and Clingan and Mogbo. Strong recent improvement for Shannon and Spencer and Filipowski.
Actual lottery picks not in my lottery generally continue to under-perform for the GMs that picked them.
Actual lottery picks not in my lottery generally continue to under-perform for the GMs that picked them.
Re: 2024 Draft prospect board
Another performance update was made (10 days ago):
https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/1908222604131131493
https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/1908222604131131493
Re: 2024 Draft prospect board
Comparing GMs to ESPN pick to performance on Twitter today. And to my board. For group checked, I am way ahead.
https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/1915484323089932675 and another thread before that with more details.
More comparative review of draft picks, results, approaches:
https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/1962736411020587130
https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/1915484323089932675 and another thread before that with more details.
More comparative review of draft picks, results, approaches:
https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/1962736411020587130