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eWins 2024
Posted: Tue Dec 05, 2023 3:51 am
by Mike G
top 50 projected to the full season, currently at 24%
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
19.2 Nikola Jokić Den 34 .624 31.2 13.9 8.2 1.2 3.1 .8 3.47
16.4 Shai G-A OKC 35 .626 32.2 5.8 5.6 2.7 2.3 .9 2.93
15.4 Joel Embiid Phl 35 .602 32.5 12.1 6.1 .9 3.9 2.0 3.11
14.7 Luka Dončić Dal 36 .605 28.9 8.2 6.8 1.6 3.9 .5 2.53
14.3 Giannis A Mil 34 .625 30.0 11.3 4.2 1.4 4.4 1.4 2.56
13.6 Jayson Tatum Bos 37 .612 28.8 8.5 3.6 1.1 3.4 .4 2.17
13.3 Kevin Durant Phx 37 .623 30.8 6.7 5.0 .7 3.5 1.2 2.35
13.2 Anthony Davis LAL 35 .601 22.9 12.6 2.7 1.0 2.2 2.9 2.31
11.9 Alperen Şengün Hou 33 .580 23.5 10.1 5.3 1.1 2.8 .8 2.14
11.8 LeBron James LAL 34 .628 26.5 8.1 5.6 1.4 3.9 .8 2.16
e82 11-20 tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
11.6 T Haliburton Ind 34 .662 25.9 4.1 9.1 1.1 2.7 .7 2.26
11.5 Tyrese Maxey Phl 38 .588 24.0 4.5 5.5 .7 1.5 .6 1.85
11.3 Karl-A Towns Min 33 .609 25.6 9.9 2.9 1.0 3.2 .8 1.97
10.9 Jalen Brunson NYK 36 .584 25.5 3.9 5.0 1.0 2.0 .1 1.80
10.9 Anthony Edwards Min 35 .573 27.7 6.1 4.5 1.3 3.3 .5 2.03
10.9 Stephen Curry GSW 33 .659 32.0 5.3 4.2 .8 3.8 .2 2.11
10.7 D Sabonis Sac 35 .605 17.8 12.4 5.9 .9 3.2 .9 1.79
10.7 Scottie Barnes Tor 35 .556 18.7 9.4 4.5 1.8 2.4 1.4 1.80
10.0 Kawhi Leonard LAC 34 .572 22.0 6.3 3.0 1.5 1.6 .7 1.70
9.8 De'Aaron Fox Sac 36 .582 27.2 4.8 5.4 1.6 2.0 .4 2.19
e82 21-30 tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
9.8 Paul George LAC 36 .575 23.1 5.9 3.6 1.5 2.5 .2 1.61
9.7 Chet Holmgren OKC 30 .640 21.9 9.4 2.7 1.2 2.3 2.7 1.90
9.5 Julius Randle NYK 35 .497 18.9 10.8 5.1 .7 3.3 .2 1.59
9.4 Desmond Bane Mem 34 .567 23.4 4.8 4.6 1.6 2.9 .7 1.62
9.3 D Mitchell Cle 35 .564 26.1 5.4 4.3 2.1 2.6 .5 2.04
9.3 Bam Adebayo Mia 34 .576 22.1 11.3 3.5 1.3 2.6 1.1 2.02
9.2 Damian Lillard Mil 35 .595 24.1 4.7 5.8 1.1 2.9 .1 1.70
9.1 Trae Young Atl 36 .556 22.2 2.9 8.4 1.5 3.8 .0 1.55
8.9 Mikal Bridges Brk 35 .580 22.1 6.3 3.3 1.1 2.6 .5 1.49
8.6 Franz Wagner Orl 33 .556 21.0 6.8 3.3 1.1 1.9 .4 1.54
e82 31-40 tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.6 Evan Mobley Cle 33 .596 16.9 11.5 2.6 .9 2.4 1.8 1.51
8.3 Rudy Gobert Min 33 .606 15.4 13.0 1.0 .6 1.7 2.6 1.48
8.0 Lauri Markkanen Uta 34 .615 22.9 9.3 .9 1.3 1.4 .9 1.84
8.0 Paolo Banchero Orl 33 .552 19.5 7.9 4.5 1.1 3.4 .6 1.41
8.0 Zion Williamson NOP 31 .588 25.4 6.6 4.5 1.2 3.0 .3 1.84
7.9 K Porziņģis Bos 30 .648 24.7 7.9 2.0 .8 1.5 2.0 1.94
7.9 J Valančiūnas NOP 27 .627 18.4 12.1 2.6 .5 1.6 1.7 1.72
7.8 Jimmy Butler Mia 34 .589 22.4 6.1 3.6 1.3 1.9 .5 1.70
7.8 Devin Booker Phx 34 .597 28.9 6.5 7.8 .7 3.1 .5 2.43
7.8 Michael Porter Den 31 .587 18.9 9.5 1.6 .6 1.4 .9 1.45
e82 41-52 tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
7.6 Jaylen Brown Bos 35 .533 21.8 5.1 3.1 1.3 2.6 .6 1.37
7.6 Mark Williams Cha 27 .665 16.2 13.4 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.64
7.5 V Wembanyama SAS 30 .521 17.9 11.9 2.3 1.7 4.2 3.3 1.55
7.5 Kyle Kuzma Was 31 .559 21.8 6.7 3.9 .4 2.9 .7 1.40
7.4 Pascal Siakam Tor 34 .535 18.8 7.5 4.2 .8 2.8 .2 1.27
7.4 Kyrie Irving Dal 33 .557 21.9 4.4 4.7 1.4 1.6 .4 1.64
7.3 LaMelo Ball Cha 33 .561 22.1 5.9 6.5 1.5 4.3 .3 1.53
7.3 Brandon Ingram NOP 34 .560 22.5 5.5 4.5 .8 2.8 .2 1.46
7.3 D'Angelo Russell LAL 31 .591 19.3 3.9 6.3 .9 2.1 .7 1.38
7.2 Fred VanVleet Hou 38 .533 15.0 4.0 7.5 .7 1.5 .4 1.19
7.2 Myles Turner Ind 27 .600 18.4 11.0 1.4 .8 2.0 2.8 1.57
7.1 Jusuf Nurkić Phx 28 .540 14.2 12.5 4.4 1.3 2.9 1.7 1.49
https://www.basketball-reference.com/le ... otals.html
#53-60: J Jackson Jr, DeRozan, Vucevic, Poeltl, Capela, Ayton, D Murray, J Grant
61-70: T Harris, J Green, Zubac, J Smith Jr, M Wagner, C Anthony, Schroeder, Quickley, Brogdon, Lavine
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Tue Dec 05, 2023 2:17 pm
by Mike G
There is much consensus on the Top 4 players thus far:
Code: Select all
PER
34.1 Jokic
32.0 Embiid
30.3 Shai
29.1 Haliburton
28.5 Giannis
WS/48
.323 Jokic
.295 Shai
.280 Haliburton
.280 Embiid
.236 Porzingis
BPM
15.6 Jokic
11.0 Embiid
10.7 Haliburton
10.4 Shai
_8.7 Doncic
eW/484
3.47 Jokic
3.11 Embiid
2.93 Shai
2.56 Giannis
2.53 Doncic
2.35 Durant
2.31 Davis
2.26 Haliburton
https://www.basketball-reference.com/le ... anced.html
eWins is weighting Assists a bit light so far. If I move the coefficient to normal level, TH ranks #6.
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Sat Dec 16, 2023 2:16 am
by Crow
Siakam is the probably only guy in this top 50 with much chance to get traded this cycle.
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Sat Dec 30, 2023 7:23 pm
by Mike G
Season at 38%
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
17.3 Nikola Jokić Den .619 29.4 13.4 7.6 1.2 2.9 .9 3.10
17.2 Shai G-A OKC .631 34.1 5.9 5.3 3.0 2.1 .9 3.01
16.5 Joel Embiid Phl .635 39.3 12.7 5.3 1.1 4.1 2.1 3.52
15.5 Giannis Mil .630 31.8 11.5 4.5 1.3 3.9 1.2 2.69
14.8 Luka Dončić Dal .606 31.0 8.0 6.9 1.5 3.9 .6 2.58
13.1 Anthony Davis LAL .601 24.6 12.3 2.5 1.1 2.0 2.6 2.30
11.7 Alperen Şengün Hou .584 24.2 10.4 5.0 1.2 2.8 .9 2.13
11.7 LeBron James LAL .624 27.1 8.0 6.1 1.5 3.5 .7 2.22
11.6 Jayson Tatum Bos .584 26.7 8.2 3.7 1.0 2.8 .5 1.96
11.6 Kevin Durant Phx .629 29.6 6.5 4.8 .8 3.4 1.1 2.10
e82 11-20 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
11.5 Do. Sabonis Sac .622 19.6 12.7 5.8 .8 3.0 .6 1.93
11.1 Tyrese Maxey Phl .585 24.9 3.9 5.3 .7 1.4 .5 1.80
11.0 Scottie Barnes Tor .579 20.2 9.9 4.6 1.5 2.6 1.5 1.83
10.6 Ty. Haliburton Ind .632 23.7 4.4 9.3 1.0 2.8 .6 2.02
10.2 Anthony Edwards Min .567 27.6 6.0 4.6 1.5 3.4 .5 1.92
10.1 Karl-A Towns Min .612 25.3 10.6 2.7 .9 3.2 .6 1.86
10.1 Jalen Brunson NYK .583 24.7 4.3 4.9 1.1 2.4 .2 1.66
10.0 De'Aaron Fox Sac .593 28.5 4.8 4.8 1.8 2.7 .4 2.07
9.8 Kawhi Leonard LAC .622 25.6 6.3 2.8 1.5 1.5 .7 1.91
9.7 Damian Lillard Mil .609 25.4 4.5 5.5 1.0 2.9 .2 1.72
e82 21-30 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
9.6 Stephen Curry GSW .630 29.6 4.9 3.8 .8 3.4 .4 1.79
9.4 Julius Randle NYK .552 21.7 10.1 4.0 .6 3.3 .2 1.55
9.3 Trae Young Atl .577 23.8 3.0 8.3 1.3 4.2 .2 1.59
9.3 Chet Holmgren OKC .637 22.0 9.2 2.4 .9 2.1 3.3 1.82
9.2 Desmond Bane Mem .587 25.0 4.7 4.4 1.3 3.0 .7 1.61
8.8 Do. Mitchell Cle .576 26.7 5.7 4.4 1.8 2.6 .5 1.97
8.7 Devin Booker Phx .588 26.6 5.6 6.6 .7 2.9 .5 1.99
8.5 Franz Wagner Orl .552 20.7 6.6 3.4 1.3 2.0 .4 1.46
8.5 Paul George LAC .579 22.8 5.9 3.2 1.5 2.3 .4 1.53
8.4 Pascal Siakam Tor .570 20.6 7.0 4.0 .9 2.4 .2 1.41
e82 31-40 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.3 Rudy Gobert Min .623 15.3 13.9 1.2 .8 1.7 2.5 1.50
8.1 Paolo Banchero Orl .534 20.8 7.7 4.0 1.1 3.3 .6 1.39
8.1 Jaylen Brown Bos .564 23.8 5.4 3.3 1.1 2.7 .7 1.48
8.1 Jo. Valančiūnas NOP .627 18.8 12.7 2.5 .7 2.0 1.7 1.70
7.9 Fred VanVleet Hou .544 15.9 3.8 7.1 1.1 1.6 .5 1.27
7.9 DeMar DeRozan Chi .542 19.8 3.7 4.3 1.1 1.4 .8 1.34
7.8 Zion Williamson NOP .595 25.5 7.3 4.2 1.2 3.0 .4 1.83
7.8 Brandon Ingram NOP .576 23.5 5.1 4.5 .8 2.8 .5 1.49
7.5 Derrick White Bos .639 20.2 4.3 4.9 1.3 2.0 1.5 1.48
7.4 James Harden LAC .637 19.5 5.2 6.4 1.4 2.7 1.0 1.51
e82 41-50 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
7.4 Lauri Markkanen Uta .626 24.0 9.8 1.4 1.1 1.4 .7 1.88
7.3 Jaren Jackson Mem .563 22.0 6.4 1.5 1.0 2.3 1.9 1.35
7.3 Bam Adebayo Mia .564 21.6 11.1 3.6 1.2 2.7 1.0 1.85
7.1 Nikola Vučević Chi .509 15.0 11.2 2.9 .9 1.8 .8 1.31
7.1 Kr. Porziņģis Bos .648 25.6 8.3 1.7 .9 1.9 2.0 1.90
7.1 Vi. Wembanyama SAS .521 18.1 12.3 2.5 1.6 3.9 3.9 1.59
7.0 Jusuf Nurkić Phx .543 14.4 14.2 3.8 1.2 2.7 1.6 1.56
6.9 Myles Turner Ind .615 19.6 10.2 1.1 .8 1.9 2.9 1.53
6.9 Jarrett Allen Cle .684 18.8 11.4 2.6 1.0 2.1 1.1 1.59
6.7 Jimmy Butler Mia .578 21.7 5.8 4.1 1.2 1.9 .4 1.56
#51-60: Tobias, Zubac, Capela, Mikal Bridges, Dj Murray, M Porter, Kuzma, Cunningham, Jabari Smith, Jalen Williams
61-70: Conley, Poeltl, C Anthony, D' Russell, C White, Reaves, Kel. Johnson, Rozier, E Mobley, Westbrook
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Sun Dec 31, 2023 8:01 pm
by Crow
VanVleet 35th here and similar of BPM.
14th on pay.
A moderate overpay but they had to change the team structure & dynamic.
Will they still have him / like him in yr 3 of contract?
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Tue Jan 09, 2024 1:40 pm
by Mike G
at .435 of the season, a top 50
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
16.9 Shai G-A OKC .630 33.9 6.0 5.2 2.6 2.0 .8 2.93
16.8 Nikola Jokić Den .630 29.5 13.0 7.7 1.2 2.9 1.0 3.02
16.1 Giannis A Mil .634 32.6 11.7 4.6 1.3 3.7 1.2 2.76
15.3 Joel Embiid Phl .629 39.1 12.6 5.3 1.1 4.1 2.1 3.41
14.3 Luka Dončić Dal .604 31.8 7.7 7.0 1.5 3.9 .6 2.55
13.2 Anthony Davis LAL .606 24.7 12.1 2.6 1.2 2.2 2.6 2.26
12.4 Jayson Tatum Bos .598 28.5 8.5 3.8 1.0 2.8 .5 2.10
11.5 Alperen Şengün Hou .583 24.7 10.1 4.9 1.2 2.8 .8 2.10
11.4 Domantas Sabonis Sac .618 19.6 13.7 6.0 .9 3.4 .6 1.91
11.2 LeBron James LAL .610 26.3 7.5 6.0 1.5 3.4 .7 2.06
e82 11-20 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
10.7 Kevin Durant Phx .625 29.7 6.6 4.8 .8 3.2 1.1 2.10
10.7 T Haliburton Ind .625 23.5 4.7 9.4 1.2 2.7 .7 2.01
10.5 Anthony Edwards Min .575 28.7 5.8 4.3 1.4 3.5 .7 1.93
10.4 Tyrese Maxey Phl .576 24.4 3.6 5.3 .7 1.5 .5 1.69
10.0 Kawhi Leonard LAC .617 25.5 6.6 2.9 1.6 1.6 .8 1.92
10.0 Jalen Brunson NYK .582 25.0 4.1 5.2 1.0 2.4 .2 1.64
10.0 Scottie Barnes Tor .571 19.4 9.2 4.4 1.4 2.5 1.4 1.67
9.7 Karl-A Towns Min .609 25.5 10.3 2.7 .8 3.3 .6 1.79
9.5 Julius Randle NYK .556 22.7 10.0 3.9 .6 3.4 .3 1.56
9.2 Stephen Curry GSW .617 28.6 4.7 3.9 .9 3.3 .4 1.71
e82 21-30 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
9.1 Desmond Bane Mem .595 24.8 4.6 4.5 1.2 2.9 .6 1.58
8.9 Damian Lillard Mil .593 24.0 4.4 5.4 1.1 2.6 .2 1.56
8.9 Paul George LAC .593 23.9 5.9 3.2 1.6 2.3 .4 1.60
8.9 De'Aaron Fox Sac .569 25.7 4.6 4.6 1.7 2.7 .4 1.77
8.9 Donovan Mitchell Cle .573 26.7 5.5 4.5 1.8 2.7 .5 1.94
8.8 Paolo Banchero Orl .541 21.9 7.9 4.1 1.1 3.4 .6 1.47
8.7 Trae Young Atl .576 23.5 3.1 8.1 1.4 4.3 .2 1.48
8.6 Chet Holmgren OKC .640 21.6 8.6 2.5 .9 2.2 3.1 1.69
8.5 Devin Booker Phx .587 26.0 5.3 6.5 .8 2.9 .4 1.86
8.5 Pascal Siakam Tor .586 21.4 6.9 3.9 .9 2.3 .3 1.43
e82 31-40 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.1 Jonas Valančiūnas NOP .630 19.3 13.3 2.4 .7 2.0 1.6 1.77
7.9 Jaylen Brown Bos .562 24.0 5.3 3.3 1.1 2.8 .6 1.45
7.9 Brandon Ingram NOP .580 23.5 5.1 4.8 .8 2.7 .5 1.50
7.9 DeMar DeRozan Chi .555 20.3 3.7 4.2 1.1 1.4 .7 1.33
7.8 Rudy Gobert Min .620 14.8 13.9 1.1 .8 1.8 2.2 1.40
7.8 Franz Wagner Orl .552 20.8 6.7 3.4 1.2 2.0 .4 1.45
7.8 Zion Williamson NOP .601 26.4 7.3 4.3 1.1 3.1 .5 1.85
7.7 Jarrett Allen Cle .677 19.8 12.3 2.8 1.0 2.1 1.1 1.75
7.7 Lauri Markkanen Uta .625 24.5 9.5 1.4 1.0 1.3 .7 1.89
7.6 Bam Adebayo Mia .559 21.4 11.3 3.5 1.2 2.7 1.0 1.82
e82 41-50 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
7.6 Jaren Jackson Mem .569 22.4 6.4 1.6 1.0 2.2 2.0 1.41
7.5 Kr Porziņģis Bos .646 26.3 8.5 1.7 .9 1.8 2.1 1.98
7.4 Derrick White Bos .643 20.6 4.5 4.9 1.3 2.0 1.4 1.49
7.4 Fred VanVleet Hou .551 16.0 3.7 7.1 1.1 1.7 .6 1.20
7.4 James Harden LAC .635 19.5 5.1 7.0 1.3 2.8 1.0 1.48
7.3 Victor Wembanyama SAS .534 19.2 12.1 2.5 1.5 4.0 4.0 1.66
7.1 Jusuf Nurkić Phx .547 14.8 14.2 3.7 1.1 2.6 1.5 1.57
7.1 Myles Turner Ind .628 20.3 9.8 1.1 .7 1.8 2.7 1.55
6.9 Ivica Zubac LAC .649 17.1 13.3 1.3 .2 1.6 1.8 1.48
6.4 Clint Capela Atl .595 13.3 14.8 1.1 .9 1.3 2.3 1.46
6.4 Nikola Vučević Chi .508 15.0 11.1 2.9 .9 1.8 .8 1.28
#52-60: Mikal Bridges, Dej. Murray, M Porter, T Harris, Jalen Williams, J Murray, Cunningham, Butler, Poeltl
61-70: Jab Smith, K Irving, Kuzma, McCollum, C White, Conley, Reaves, Claxton, Drummond, N Reid
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 2:40 pm
by Mike G
Midpoint of season.
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
17.0 Nikola Jokić Den .640 30.0 13.2 7.5 1.2 3.2 1.0 3.05
16.8 Shai G-A OKC .636 34.5 5.8 5.2 2.4 2.1 .8 2.92
15.6 Giannis A Mil .632 32.1 11.7 4.7 1.3 3.7 1.1 2.73
15.2 Joel Embiid Phl .634 40.2 12.1 5.3 1.0 4.0 2.0 3.49
13.7 Luka Dončić Dal .601 31.8 7.9 7.0 1.6 3.9 .6 2.61
13.4 Anthony Davis LAL .607 24.8 12.2 2.8 1.2 2.3 2.5 2.29
12.3 Domantas Sabonis Sac .637 20.7 13.6 6.2 .9 3.3 .6 2.04
12.0 Jayson Tatum Bos .595 28.5 8.3 3.8 1.0 2.7 .5 2.13
11.1 Alperen Şengün Hou .579 24.0 10.0 4.5 1.4 2.9 .9 2.01
10.8 Tyrese Maxey Phl .574 24.5 3.5 5.3 .8 1.5 .5 1.72
e82 11-20 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
10.7 LeBron James LAL .603 25.8 7.6 6.0 1.4 3.5 .6 2.01
10.6 Kevin Durant Phx .629 29.3 6.6 4.5 .8 3.3 1.1 2.05
10.4 Karl-A Towns Min .621 26.2 10.1 2.8 .8 3.0 .6 1.90
10.4 Anthony Edwards Min .574 28.4 5.8 4.4 1.3 3.6 .6 1.89
10.3 Kawhi Leonard LAC .620 25.3 6.6 3.0 1.6 1.7 .9 1.93
10.2 Jalen Brunson NYK .581 26.1 4.2 5.4 .9 2.4 .2 1.75
10.2 Donovan Mitchell Cle .584 29.0 5.6 4.7 1.9 2.8 .4 2.17
9.9 Julius Randle NYK .554 23.4 9.8 4.0 .5 3.4 .3 1.63
9.6 Paul George LAC .603 24.8 6.0 3.0 1.5 2.2 .4 1.70
9.6 Scottie Barnes Tor .572 19.3 8.8 4.3 1.4 2.7 1.5 1.60
e82 21-30 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
9.5 Tyrese Haliburton Ind .626 23.9 4.7 9.5 1.2 2.8 .7 2.07
9.1 De'Aaron Fox Sac .569 25.6 4.4 4.4 1.8 2.6 .4 1.76
8.9 Lauri Markkanen Uta .639 25.7 10.2 1.6 1.0 1.2 .7 2.10
8.9 Stephen Curry GSW .612 28.0 4.7 4.1 1.0 3.3 .4 1.69
8.8 Damian Lillard Mil .588 23.9 4.4 5.3 1.1 2.5 .2 1.58
8.8 Paolo Banchero Orl .525 21.6 7.8 4.1 1.1 3.3 .6 1.46
8.7 Devin Booker Phx .590 25.9 5.2 6.3 .8 2.9 .4 1.83
8.7 Trae Young Atl .566 23.3 3.0 8.1 1.4 4.3 .2 1.47
8.6 Desmond Bane Mem .590 24.9 4.8 4.5 1.1 2.8 .6 1.62
8.6 Chet Holmgren OKC .631 21.4 8.3 2.7 .8 2.1 3.0 1.67
e82 31-40 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.5 Jaylen Brown Bos .578 25.5 5.5 3.2 1.1 2.8 .7 1.60
8.4 Rudy Gobert Min .633 16.1 14.1 1.1 .7 1.8 2.4 1.54
8.2 Bam Adebayo Mia .557 21.2 11.3 3.6 1.1 2.6 1.0 1.82
8.2 Jarrett Allen Cle .680 19.9 12.4 2.8 1.0 2.0 1.2 1.82
8.0 Jonas Valančiūnas NOP .631 19.2 13.1 2.5 .7 1.9 1.6 1.77
8.0 Pascal Siakam Tor .589 21.6 6.7 3.8 .8 2.2 .3 1.45
8.0 DeMar DeRozan Chi .553 20.0 3.9 4.1 1.1 1.4 .6 1.32
7.9 Zion Williamson NOP .602 26.6 7.0 4.5 1.1 3.0 .5 1.88
7.8 Victor Wembanyama SAS .545 21.1 12.2 2.6 1.4 4.0 3.9 1.83
7.6 Brandon Ingram NOP .571 22.8 5.3 4.8 .9 2.7 .5 1.49
e82 41-50 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
7.6 Fred VanVleet Hou .554 16.0 3.6 6.9 1.0 1.5 .7 1.22
7.5 Jaren Jackson Mem .562 22.7 6.6 1.6 1.1 2.2 1.9 1.47
7.2 James Harden LAC .628 18.9 5.1 7.0 1.2 2.8 .9 1.42
7.2 Jalen Williams OKC .634 22.1 4.5 4.0 1.2 2.2 .6 1.42
7.2 Jusuf Nurkić Phx .552 14.6 14.5 3.5 1.2 2.4 1.4 1.59
7.1 Franz Wagner Orl .552 21.2 6.8 3.4 1.2 2.0 .4 1.50
7.1 Nikola Vučević Chi .517 15.7 11.2 3.0 .8 1.7 .8 1.38
6.9 Tobias Harris Phl .604 19.0 6.4 2.7 .9 1.6 .6 1.22
6.9 Kr. Porziņģis Bos .638 25.1 8.0 2.1 .9 2.0 2.2 1.86
6.8 Kyrie Irving Dal .580 25.2 5.3 4.5 1.6 1.8 .5 1.93
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Sat Jan 20, 2024 4:00 pm
by Crow
Any interest in tweaking the EWins formula?
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 21, 2024 2:47 pm
by Mike G
Crow wrote: ↑Sat Jan 20, 2024 4:00 pm
Any interest in tweaking the EWins formula?
Always. What are you thinking?
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Sun Jan 21, 2024 7:38 pm
by Crow
Is EWins still consistent with this explanation?
viewtopic.php?t=9021#p25451
If so, I'd at minimum look at:
treating defensive and offensive rebounding separately
Is opp ppg overall or for when particular player is on court? What about pace adjustment?
Has league TS% been adjusted?
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Mon Jan 22, 2024 3:48 pm
by Mike G
Good questions.
To the Sco rating, I have applied the factor (TS%/OppTS%)^n as well as floating the .527 coefficient on player TS%. The TS%/OppTS% is much more strongly related to team wins. So a median shooting% on a good defensive team isn't docked, as long as he shoots better than his team allows.
The League shoots 54% against Min and 60% against Cha, so league avg is not relevant when assessing Hornets and Wolves players.
This is especially meaningful in playoff series, where the TS% range can be much wider. If you're giving up .650 TS%, shooting .573 is not nearly good enough.
Box scores do not distinguish Opp PPG when the player is on/off the court, nor Opp Reb etc. Low- and high-minute players on a team are judged the same, relative to what the team surrenders.
Higher pace is likely to produce more points or more rebounds or both; perhaps more turnovers. Estimation of possessions just seems like a complication which produces nothing.
By treating OReb and DReb separately, do we suppose they have different value to a team?
I have tried and not found any difference in pt-diff. Nor do I care about separating offense from defense generally. It's all about point differential.
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 3:37 pm
by Mike G
Season now 58% complete.
* denotes AllStars , currently
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
17.5 * Nikola Jokić Den .644 30.5 13.4 7.2 1.2 3.1 1.0 3.17
17.3 * Shai G-A OKC .634 34.9 5.7 5.2 2.4 2.3 .8 3.01
16.1 * Giannis A Mil .629 31.3 12.0 4.7 1.3 3.7 1.1 2.79
14.5 * Joel Embiid Phl .628 39.2 11.9 4.8 1.1 3.9 1.9 3.45
14.3 * Luka Dončić Dal .604 31.4 8.3 6.8 1.6 3.8 .6 2.69
12.8 * Anthony Davis LAL .605 23.8 12.3 2.7 1.1 2.1 2.4 2.27
12.6 Do. Sabonis Sac .643 20.3 14.0 6.0 .9 3.4 .6 2.09
12.3 * Jayson Tatum Bos .590 27.7 8.2 3.7 1.0 2.6 .6 2.13
11.4 Alperen Şengün Hou .582 23.7 10.1 4.5 1.3 2.9 .8 2.04
11.3 * Jalen Brunson NYK .588 27.6 4.2 5.2 .9 2.3 .2 1.93
e82 11-20 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
11.2 * Karl-A Towns Min .630 27.2 10.1 2.7 .8 3.1 .6 2.02
11.1 * Kevin Durant Phx .635 28.3 6.6 4.3 .8 3.0 1.2 2.05
11.0 * Kawhi Leonard LAC .622 25.5 6.8 3.0 1.6 1.6 .9 2.05
10.9 * Do. Mitchell Cle .581 28.7 5.7 5.0 1.9 2.9 .5 2.23
10.3 * LeBron James LAL .600 24.8 7.8 5.9 1.3 3.5 .6 1.98
10.3 * Devin Booker Phx .607 28.0 5.2 5.6 .9 2.7 .4 2.05
10.2 * Ant. Edwards Min .575 27.4 5.7 4.4 1.2 3.5 .5 1.83
9.9 * Tyrese Maxey Phl .576 24.0 3.4 4.9 .9 1.5 .5 1.69
9.7 * Julius Randle NYK .558 23.7 10.0 4.1 .5 3.5 .3 1.71
9.6 * Stephen Curry GSW .621 28.5 4.8 4.0 .9 3.3 .4 1.79
e82 21-30 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
9.2 * Paolo Banchero Orl .529 21.7 8.0 4.1 1.1 3.2 .6 1.55
9.1 Scottie Barnes Tor .563 18.5 8.4 4.3 1.3 2.8 1.6 1.51
9.0 * Paul George LAC .597 23.9 6.0 2.8 1.5 2.2 .4 1.66
9.0 De'Aaron Fox Sac .566 24.6 4.4 4.1 1.7 2.5 .4 1.70
9.0 * Damian Lillard Mil .583 23.6 4.5 5.2 1.0 2.5 .2 1.59
8.9 Lauri Markkanen Uta .635 24.4 10.0 1.6 1.0 1.3 .6 1.99
8.7 Rudy Gobert Min .637 15.9 14.3 1.0 .7 1.7 2.3 1.58
8.6 Jarrett Allen Cle .661 19.8 12.8 2.7 1.0 2.2 1.4 1.87
8.6 * T Haliburton Ind .619 23.3 4.7 9.4 1.2 2.6 .7 2.09
8.5 * Jaylen Brown Bos .569 24.0 5.7 3.4 1.2 2.6 .7 1.60
e82 31-40 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.5 Chet Holmgren OKC .620 20.2 8.7 2.5 .8 2.0 3.1 1.66
8.3 * Bam Adebayo Mia .552 19.7 11.3 3.6 1.1 2.5 1.1 1.75
8.2 Jo. Valančiūnas NOP .627 19.2 13.5 2.4 .6 1.9 1.5 1.84
8.2 Vi. Wembanyama SAS .550 21.8 12.2 2.7 1.4 4.2 4.0 1.92
8.0 DeMar DeRozan Chi .555 19.6 4.0 4.0 1.1 1.5 .7 1.31
8.0 Trae Young Atl .567 22.8 2.9 7.8 1.4 4.3 .2 1.44
7.9 James Harden LAC .625 19.0 5.3 6.9 1.2 2.7 1.0 1.52
7.7 Jaren Jackson Mem .549 22.5 6.5 1.8 1.2 2.5 1.8 1.48
7.5 Brandon Ingram NOP .566 22.0 5.6 4.7 .8 2.7 .5 1.45
7.5 Zion Williamson NOP .607 26.2 6.7 4.2 1.1 3.1 .4 1.84
e82 41-51 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
7.5 Desmond Bane Mem .590 24.8 4.9 4.4 1.1 2.8 .6 1.65
7.4 Nikola Vučević Chi .524 15.6 11.4 2.9 .8 1.6 .9 1.43
7.1 Fred VanVleet Hou .550 15.3 3.7 6.5 1.1 1.6 .9 1.18
7.1 Pascal Siakam Tor .589 21.3 6.6 3.7 .8 2.2 .3 1.45
7.1 Jalen Williams OKC .615 21.4 4.3 3.9 1.3 1.9 .6 1.43
7.0 Mikal Bridges Brk .565 20.4 5.2 2.9 .9 2.4 .5 1.17
7.0 Franz Wagner Orl .556 20.8 6.9 3.5 1.2 2.2 .4 1.49
6.9 Kr. Porziņģis Bos .637 25.0 8.0 2.0 .8 2.0 2.3 1.90
6.9 Jusuf Nurkić Phx .559 14.2 14.4 3.6 1.3 2.8 1.3 1.56
6.7 Dejounte Murray Atl .562 18.4 5.1 3.9 1.3 2.3 .3 1.16
6.7 Jimmy Butler Mia .612 22.9 5.7 3.8 1.3 1.8 .3 1.69
#52-60: T Harris, J Murray, M Turner, C White, D White, Sexton, Kuzma, Irving, Capela
61-70: M Porter, Claxton, Zubac, Jalen Green, McCollum, Rozier, Drummond, J Grant, D Russell, Miles Bridges
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2024 8:15 pm
by Crow
4 of top 24 here not named All-Star(yet). That's not bad.
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Sun Feb 11, 2024 5:47 pm
by Mike G
Meant to crank this out before all the recently-traded appeared. Oh well.
Teams have played 61 to 65% of their games now.
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
17.3 Nikola Jokić Den .642 31.2 13.5 7.1 1.2 3.2 1.0 3.11
17.0 Shai G-A OKC .635 35.2 5.7 5.3 2.4 2.3 .9 2.95
15.9 Giannis A Mil .629 32.3 11.7 4.9 1.3 3.6 1.1 2.76
14.5 Luka Dončić Dal .608 32.6 8.4 6.8 1.6 3.8 .6 2.67
12.8 Anthony Davis LAL .604 24.5 12.3 2.9 1.1 2.1 2.4 2.26
12.8 Joel Embiid Phl .628 39.9 12.0 4.7 1.1 3.9 1.9 3.36
12.5 Domantas Sabonis Sac .650 21.0 14.2 6.1 .9 3.4 .5 2.06
12.5 Jayson Tatum Bos .592 28.8 8.2 3.8 1.0 2.6 .6 2.16
11.5 Donovan Mitchell Cle .592 30.7 5.6 5.0 1.9 2.9 .6 2.31
11.2 Kawhi Leonard LAC .630 26.9 6.7 3.0 1.6 1.7 .9 2.07
e82 11-20 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
11.2 Kevin Durant Phx .634 29.3 6.7 4.2 .9 3.1 1.3 2.03
11.1 Jalen Brunson NYK .588 28.4 4.2 5.2 .9 2.3 .2 1.92
11.0 Karl-A Towns Min .626 27.9 9.8 2.6 .8 3.1 .7 1.98
10.8 Alperen Şengün Hou .581 24.0 10.4 4.4 1.2 2.9 .8 1.99
10.4 Anthony Edwards Min .576 28.4 5.7 4.4 1.2 3.5 .5 1.84
10.2 Stephen Curry GSW .630 31.0 4.9 3.9 .9 3.3 .4 1.90
10.2 LeBron James LAL .598 25.3 7.6 5.9 1.2 3.3 .6 1.91
10.0 Devin Booker Phx .607 28.8 5.0 5.4 .8 2.6 .4 2.00
9.1 Lauri Markkanen Uta .641 25.6 9.8 1.6 1.0 1.4 .5 2.01
9.1 Tyrese Maxey Phl .567 23.8 3.5 4.8 .9 1.6 .5 1.59
e82 21-30 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
9.1 Rudy Gobert Min .647 16.9 14.4 1.1 .7 1.6 2.2 1.62
9.1 Paolo Banchero Orl .530 22.0 7.9 4.2 1.1 3.1 .5 1.52
8.9 De'Aaron Fox Sac .562 24.6 4.3 4.1 2.0 2.6 .4 1.67
8.9 Jarrett Allen Cle .660 21.1 12.8 2.5 .9 2.1 1.4 1.89
8.9 Paul George LAC .590 24.0 5.8 3.0 1.6 2.2 .4 1.63
8.7 Julius Randle NYK .558 24.0 10.0 4.1 .5 3.5 .3 1.66
8.7 Scottie Barnes Tor .564 18.9 8.3 4.4 1.2 2.7 1.5 1.45
8.5 Damian Lillard Mil .586 24.3 4.3 5.2 1.1 2.6 .2 1.56
8.5 Chet Holmgren OKC .626 21.1 8.8 2.5 .8 2.0 3.1 1.66
8.4 * Pascal Siakam To-In .617 22.0 8.0 3.6 .9 2.1 .3 1.59
e82 31-40 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.3 DeMar DeRozan Chi .559 20.6 4.1 3.9 1.2 1.5 .6 1.34
8.2 Jonas Valančiūnas NOP .628 20.2 13.6 2.5 .6 1.9 1.4 1.86
8.2 Jaylen Brown Bos .570 24.4 5.7 3.4 1.2 2.6 .6 1.57
8.2 Bam Adebayo Mia .556 20.4 11.3 3.4 1.1 2.5 1.0 1.71
8.1 Tyrese Haliburton Ind .621 23.8 4.5 9.1 1.1 2.7 .8 1.95
7.8 Zion Williamson NOP .607 27.4 6.7 4.3 1.0 3.0 .5 1.90
7.7 Brandon Ingram NOP .568 22.9 5.7 4.8 .8 2.7 .6 1.47
7.7 Victor Wembanyama SAS .550 22.3 12.3 2.8 1.5 4.4 3.9 1.80
7.7 Trae Young Atl .575 23.6 2.7 7.7 1.5 4.3 .2 1.37
7.7 Nikola Vučević Chi .529 16.4 11.4 2.8 .8 1.6 .9 1.45
* Siakam rates are Pacers only; eW*82 are summed with Raptors'.
#41-50: F Wagner, Harden, Porzingis, Butler, J Jackson, Mikal Bridges, Nurkic, Jalen Williams, Bane, D Murray
51-60: J Murray, M Turner, Irving, C White, T Harris, VanVleet, D White, Sexton, Claxton, M Porter
61-70: McCollum, Kuzma, Capela, Duren, DiVincenzo, Drummond, Miles Bridges, J Collins, Zubac, J Grant,
Re: eWins 2024
Posted: Fri Mar 08, 2024 10:20 pm
by Mike G
Season at 76%
Code: Select all
e82 per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
16.7 Nikola Jokić Den .638 28.8 13.4 7.6 1.2 3.1 1.0 2.95
16.4 Shai G-A OKC .633 33.2 5.6 5.4 2.3 2.3 1.0 2.84
15.7 Giannis A Mil .639 31.3 11.7 5.2 1.2 3.5 1.1 2.77
14.2 Luka Dončić Dal .612 30.7 8.6 7.3 1.5 3.8 .5 2.54
13.1 Anthony Davis LAL .608 23.5 12.6 2.8 1.1 2.1 2.5 2.30
12.4 Jayson Tatum Bos .597 27.6 8.3 4.1 1.0 2.6 .6 2.14
12.2 Do Sabonis Sac .637 19.3 14.6 6.5 .9 3.3 .6 1.99
10.7 Kawhi Leonard LAC .619 25.1 6.7 3.2 1.7 1.8 .9 1.98
10.6 Anthony Edwards Min .575 27.8 5.7 4.5 1.3 3.2 .6 1.87
10.6 Alperen Sengun Hou .577 22.5 10.5 4.5 1.3 3.0 .8 1.94
e82 11-20 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
10.4 Karl-A Towns Min .618 26.3 9.7 2.8 .8 3.1 .7 1.95
10.4 Joel Embiid Phl .628 37.2 12.0 4.9 1.1 4.0 1.9 3.25
10.3 Kevin Durant Phx .621 27.0 6.7 4.3 .8 3.2 1.3 1.82
9.8 Do Mitchell Cle .595 28.5 5.6 5.1 1.8 3.0 .5 2.12
9.7 Jalen Brunson NYK .582 26.8 4.1 5.6 .9 2.6 .2 1.75
9.6 Rudy Gobert Min .651 16.6 14.4 1.1 .7 1.7 2.3 1.72
9.5 LeBron James LAL .608 24.5 7.4 6.3 1.3 3.3 .6 1.82
9.1 Stephen Curry GSW .611 28.3 4.9 4.3 .9 3.3 .4 1.71
9.1 Jarrett Allen Cle .648 19.8 12.5 2.6 .8 2.0 1.3 1.84
9.1 Chet Holmgren OKC .635 21.0 9.0 2.6 .8 2.0 3.1 1.75
e82 21-30 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
9.0 Devin Booker Phx .601 26.9 4.9 5.6 .9 2.6 .4 1.86
8.6 Lauri Markkanen Uta .624 23.5 9.6 1.7 1.0 1.5 .5 1.89
8.6 Vi Wembanyama SAS .560 22.1 12.5 3.2 1.7 4.4 4.4 1.97
8.6 De'Aaron Fox Sac .562 23.7 4.5 4.3 2.0 2.7 .4 1.61
8.5 Paolo Banchero Orl .539 21.8 8.0 4.5 1.0 3.2 .5 1.48
8.5 Tyrese Maxey Phl .567 22.9 3.6 4.9 .9 1.7 .5 1.51
8.5 Jaylen Brown Bos .576 24.4 5.9 3.4 1.1 2.6 .6 1.62
8.4 DeMar DeRozan Chi .569 20.5 4.1 4.0 1.0 1.4 .6 1.34
8.4 Bam Adebayo Mia .557 19.6 11.1 3.5 1.1 2.5 1.0 1.69
8.3 Jo Valančiūnas NOP .624 19.6 14.0 2.6 .5 2.0 1.5 1.94
e82 31-40 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
8.3 Paul George LAC .586 22.5 5.9 3.0 1.5 2.2 .4 1.55
8.1 Nikola Vučević Chi .529 16.6 11.6 2.8 .7 1.7 .9 1.49
8.0 Kr Porziņģis Bos .640 26.8 8.3 2.0 .8 2.0 2.2 2.11
7.9 Damian Lillard Mil .581 23.1 4.5 5.5 1.0 2.7 .2 1.44
7.8 Scottie Barnes Tor .558 17.8 8.5 4.7 1.3 2.9 1.5 1.37
7.7 Zion Williamson NOP .598 25.6 6.7 5.0 1.0 3.1 .7 1.79
7.3 Jaren Jackson Mem .547 22.9 6.5 2.0 1.3 2.7 1.8 1.53
7.3 Franz Wagner Orl .569 21.3 6.9 3.6 1.1 2.3 .5 1.47
7.2 Brandon Ingram NOP .572 22.4 5.6 5.1 .8 2.9 .6 1.41
7.1 Jalen Williams OKC .618 21.8 4.4 4.1 1.3 1.9 .6 1.45
e82 41-51 tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e484
7.1 Julius Randle NYK .558 22.8 10.1 4.2 .5 3.5 .3 1.59
7.1 Jimmy Butler Mia .617 23.3 6.0 4.3 1.6 1.9 .4 1.75
7.0 Myles Turner Ind .611 20.3 9.8 1.2 .7 2.0 2.3 1.62
7.0 Jusuf Nurkić Phx .558 14.2 15.1 4.1 1.3 3.1 1.4 1.60
6.9 James Harden LAC .624 18.5 5.4 7.0 1.1 2.7 1.0 1.28
6.9 Michael Porter Den .594 18.5 8.3 1.3 .5 1.3 .8 1.28
6.8 Kyrie Irving Dal .593 24.3 5.3 4.1 1.4 1.7 .5 1.79
6.8 Ty Haliburton Ind .604 20.6 4.5 9.2 1.2 2.7 .7 1.56
6.4 Dejounte Murray Atl .550 18.1 5.4 4.5 1.4 2.4 .3 1.13
6.3 Nic Claxton Brk .622 14.6 12.2 1.9 .8 1.5 2.7 1.48
6.3 John Collins Uta .599 16.8 11.6 1.2 .8 1.9 1.2 1.40
52-60: C White, Mik Bridges, J Murray, T Harris, D White, Sexton, Duren, Drummond, Capela
61-70: Portis, Kuzma, T Young, Mobley, McCollum, DiVincenzo, Mil Bridges, Kuminga, Zubac, Vassell