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2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2024 1:45 pm
by Mike G
Round 1
Connecticut Sun 1 - 0 Indiana Fever
93-69
Pythagorean Wins .98 - .02 , eWins .74 - .26
https://www.basketball-reference.com/wn ... otals.html
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.23 DeWanna Bonner Con 31 .786 35.2 6.4 5.7 .0 1.2 2.4 2.92
.16 Alyssa Thomas Con 37 .400 11.1 8.9 12.3 .0 1.0 .0 1.68
.15 Marina Mabrey Con 32 .614 34.1 2.9 3.1 .0 2.2 .0 1.93
.12 Aliyah Boston Ind 33 .567 15.8 12.1 2.4 .0 2.2 2.2 1.41
.08 DiJ. Carrington Con 34 .538 16.1 4.9 3.1 .0 1.1 1.1 .96
.07 Olivia N-Ododa Con 14 1.00 19.8 12.7 .0 2.4 .0 2.4 2.07
.07 Caitlin Clark Ind 36 .306 6.7 4.0 5.9 3.0 2.0 1.0 .74
.06 Lexie Hull Ind 29 .455 4.7 7.5 2.8 5.0 1.3 1.3 .88
.05 Veronica Burton Con 20 .889 18.0 1.5 1.6 1.7 .0 1.7 1.08
.04 Kelsey Mitchell Ind 37 .512 16.6 2.9 3.6 .0 4.0 .0 .47
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.02 Damiris Dantas Ind 24 .750 15.6 2.8 .0 .0 1.4 .0 .27
.01 Brionna Jones Con 26 .250 4.2 6.4 1.4 5.8 7.1 1.4 .14
-.01 Erica Wheeler Ind 9 .500 2.6 .0 5.2 .0 .0 .0 -.23
-.01 NaLyssa Smith Ind 9 .000 .0 4.0 .0 4.1 8.2 4.1 -.50
-.02 Temi Fagbenle Ind 13 .000 .0 5.0 1.8 .0 2.5 .0 -.65
shooting : Con .578 - .473 Ind
rebounds: Con 36 - 29 Ind
turnovers: Con 10 - 13 Ind
New York Liberty 1 - 0 Atlanta Dream
83 - 69
Pyth wins .92 - .08 , eWins .71 - .29
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.23 Breanna Stewart NYL 32 .526 24.5 9.7 3.8 2.2 .0 3.4 2.93
.21 Leonie Fiebich NYL 25 1.11 48.3 1.1 1.6 2.8 1.5 .0 3.37
.16 Sabrina Ionescu NYL 26 .654 29.5 5.5 7.8 1.4 2.8 .0 2.51
.15 Rhyne Howard Atl 29 .438 14.5 6.8 4.1 3.9 1.3 3.8 2.07
.07 Jonquel Jones NYL 22 .692 19.1 9.0 5.5 .0 5.0 .0 1.27
.06 Laeticia Amihere Atl 10 .571 24.6 15.0 .0 .0 .0 3.3 2.59
.05 Tina Charles Atl 24 .480 15.2 9.6 .0 .0 1.5 .0 .79
.04 C. Vandersloot NYL 16 .333 7.4 5.0 7.0 4.1 2.1 .0 1.04
.04 Betnijah Laney NYL 30 .500 13.0 .0 6.7 1.2 3.7 .0 .50
.03 Naz Hillmon Atl 19 .692 17.6 5.2 .0 .0 1.9 .0 .59
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.03 Maya Caldwell Atl 17 .333 2.8 5.4 1.6 4.2 .0 2.0 .66
.01 Allisha Gray Atl 27 .409 9.7 6.1 2.2 .0 2.7 .0 .18
.01 Lorela Cubaj Atl 16 .500 3.5 9.5 .0 2.2 .0 .0 .29
.01 Haley Jones Atl 13 .500 14.1 2.3 2.1 2.7 5.2 .0 .29
-.00 Kennedy Burke NYL 11 .000 .0 2.4 3.4 .0 .0 3.0 -.13
-.01 Nia Coffey Atl 11 .000 .0 2.7 5.0 .0 .0 .0 -.37
-.01 Ezinne Kalu Atl 15 .364 6.9 .0 3.7 2.3 4.5 .0 -.28
-.02 Nyara Sabally NYL 16 .200 2.9 11.6 .0 2.1 8.5 2.1 -.38
-.02 Kayla Thornton NYL 17 .000 .0 3.1 2.2 .0 .0 .0 -.53
-.04 Jordin Canada Atl 20 .375 4.3 .0 6.0 1.9 9.1 .0 -.83
shooting : NY .546 - .445 Atl
rebounds: NY 37 - 36 Atl
turnovers: 14 - 14
Minnesota Lynx 1 - 0 Phoenix Mercury
102 - 95
Pyth wins .72 - .28 , eWins .61 - .39
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.21 Napheesa Collier Min 40 .731 30.2 5.3 3.1 .0 1.8 .9 2.10
.18 Natasha Cloud Phx 38 .688 25.1 5.8 6.4 1.0 4.8 1.0 1.86
.09 Co. Williams Min 25 .375 8.2 8.6 9.9 5.9 5.9 .0 1.50
.09 Kayla McBride Min 35 .690 17.4 3.0 3.5 .0 .0 .0 .99
.07 Bridget Carleton Min 35 .667 10.3 6.1 3.5 2.1 1.0 .0 .82
.06 Alanna Smith Min 21 .700 10.5 5.1 4.4 .0 1.8 5.3 1.21
.06 Myisha H-Allen Min 19 .714 15.9 8.9 4.6 .0 1.8 .0 1.25
.05 Diana Taurasi Phx 30 .656 19.7 2.4 1.6 1.2 3.7 .0 .67
.04 Kahleah Copper Phx 33 .485 11.5 4.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 .0 .52
.03 Natasha Mack Phx 11 .500 4.0 15.6 2.1 .0 .0 3.1 1.22
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.03 Brittney Griner Phx 31 .385 6.7 7.1 .0 1.2 1.2 2.4 .42
.03 So. Cunningham Phx 29 .800 8.3 5.1 .8 2.5 .0 .0 .44
.02 Celeste Taylor Phx 12 1.50 10.1 .0 3.8 .0 .0 2.9 .60
.02 Natisha Hiedeman Min 18 .286 4.1 3.7 6.5 1.9 1.9 .0 .34
.01 Monique Billings Phx 15 .500 2.9 9.2 .0 2.3 .0 .0 .25
shooting : Min .626 - .597 Phx
rebounds: 31 - 31
turnovers: Min 10 - 11 Phx
Las Vegas Aces 1 - 0 Seattle Storm
78 - 67
Pyth wins .88 - .12 , eWins .69 - .31
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.24 Tiffany Hayes LVa 26 .769 34.9 4.3 1.4 6.6 .0 .0 1.87
.22 A'ja Wilson LVa 36 .477 21.5 6.6 2.1 .0 1.0 5.1 1.21
.16 Chelsea Gray LVa 32 .640 22.2 1.9 8.2 1.1 3.4 1.1 1.01
.12 Skylar D-Smith Sea 37 .444 13.6 3.4 7.2 1.0 3.0 2.0 .67
.12 Nneka Ogwumike Sea 39 .382 9.3 8.0 2.5 1.9 .0 .9 .61
.08 Jackie Young LVa 30 .462 14.5 6.9 2.5 1.2 1.2 .0 .57
.05 Jordan Horston Sea 19 .833 20.3 4.6 .0 .0 .0 .0 .57
.05 Alysha Clark LVa 23 .875 14.7 3.7 3.1 1.5 1.5 .0 .47
.04 Gabby Williams Sea 37 .467 12.1 6.7 1.8 .0 3.9 1.0 .20
.02 Kiah Stokes LVa 15 ---- .0 15.6 .0 .0 .0 2.4 .32
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.01 Jewell Loyd Sea 26 .353 6.2 3.6 2.5 1.4 .0 .0 .11
.01 Mercedes Russell Sea 32 .500 8.4 11.7 .0 1.2 5.7 .0 .03
-.07 Kelsey Plum LVa 27 .125 1.4 .0 2.8 1.3 2.7 .0 -.50
shooting : LV .523 - .450 Sea
rebounds: Sea 40 - 33 LV
turnovers: LV 8 - 13 Sea
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Wed Sep 25, 2024 5:05 pm
by Mike G
NY Liberty 2 - 0 Atl Dream
avg score 87.0 - 75.5
Pyth wins 1.74 - .26 , eWins 1.37 - .63
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.49 Sabrina Ionescu NY 33 .671 33.9 3.0 7.5 2.1 2.2 .0 3.03
.29 Jonquel Jones NY 28 .707 22.2 11.8 3.7 1.2 3.9 .7 2.05
.27 Rhyne Howard Atl 35 .500 14.5 5.4 2.8 2.9 1.1 2.6 1.59
.26 Breanna Stewart NY 35 .465 15.7 8.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 1.6 1.49
.24 Leonie Fiebich NY 24 1.07 33.1 2.1 1.5 1.5 2.3 .0 2.01
.12 Allisha Gray Atl 34 .636 18.0 4.0 1.6 .0 2.7 .5 .72
.11 Tina Charles Atl 29 .531 13.9 7.5 1.4 .0 1.3 .0 .74
.09 Co. Vandersloot NY 16 .364 7.1 5.8 7.1 2.0 1.1 1.1 1.14
.07 Laeticia Amihere Atl 5 .571 23.4 15.4 .0 .0 .0 3.3 2.70
.04 Naz Hillmon Atl 24 .556 10.0 9.1 .6 .8 3.0 .0 .35
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.03 Betnijah Laney NY 31 .405 7.7 1.1 5.6 1.1 1.8 .0 .22
.03 Maya Caldwell Atl 9 .250 2.1 5.1 2.7 4.0 .0 1.8 .67
.01 Nia Coffey Atl 11 .389 7.7 5.6 2.3 .0 1.5 1.5 .22
.01 Haley Jones Atl 9 .500 12.6 3.4 1.4 2.0 3.7 .0 .24
.00 Nyara Sabally NY 11 .429 8.7 10.1 .0 1.5 6.4 1.6 .03
.00 Lorela Cubaj Atl 11 .500 2.4 7.0 1.1 1.6 .0 .0 .02
-.01 Kennedy Burke NY 6 .000 .0 2.7 2.9 .0 .0 3.0 -.19
-.02 Ezinne Kalu Atl 8 .364 6.6 .0 3.4 2.4 4.5 .0 -.41
-.02 Jordin Canada Atl 27 .423 5.9 1.2 7.5 .7 4.7 .0 -.13
-.02 Kayla Thornton NY 15 .000 .0 6.1 1.1 .0 .0 1.1 -.30
shooting : NY .565 - .514 Atl
rebounds: NY 34.0 - 33.0 Atl
turnovers: NY 11.5 - 12.5 Atl
Code: Select all
. Atlanta e400 PER WS/40 . New York e400 PER WS/40
Rhyne Howard 1.59 21.8 .119 Breanna Stewart 1.49 16.5 .136
Allisha Gray .72 15.3 .051 Sabrina Ionescu 3.03 33.0 .410
Tina Charles .74 13.1 .035 Betnijah Laney .22 6.8 .032
Jordin Canada -.13 6.6 -.121 Jonquel Jones 2.05 24.4 .269
Naz Hillmon .35 10.6 -.021 Leonie Fiebich 2.01 24.6 .294
Nia Coffey .22 5.8 -.055 Courtney Vandersloot 1.14 14.9 .131
Lorela Cubaj .02 7.5 .067 Kayla Thornton -.30 2.9 .014
Haley Jones .24 9.4 -.075 Nyara Sabally .03 .3 -.118
Maya Caldwell .67 12.3 .022 Kennedy Burke -.19 -3.3 -.070
Ezinne Kalu -.41 1.8 -.200
Laeti. Amihere 2.70 38.1 .321
. total .63 13.1 .014 . total 1.37 16.8 .178
avg score 80.5 - 71.5
Pyth wins 1.66 - .34 , eWins 1.33 - .67
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.50 A'ja Wilson LV 37 .542 21.7 8.7 2.0 .0 1.0 3.5 2.72
.34 Tiffany Hayes LV 26 .725 23.5 4.7 2.7 4.2 .7 .0 2.65
.27 Chelsea Gray LV 32 .528 16.9 2.8 9.0 1.1 4.5 1.1 1.68
.24 Nneka Ogwumike Sea 37 .397 10.4 7.9 1.6 2.9 .5 .5 1.31
.23 Skylar D-Smith Sea 36 .414 11.7 1.6 7.4 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.27
.16 Kelsey Plum LV 31 .585 19.6 3.0 2.9 .6 2.4 .0 1.07
.16 Jackie Young LV 30 .438 11.7 8.1 4.2 1.2 2.4 .0 1.05
.15 Gabby Williams Sea 37 .523 14.5 5.2 2.0 .5 2.0 .5 .81
.09 Ezi Magbegor Sea 14 .636 15.6 7.3 2.1 .0 .0 .0 1.26
.06 Jordan Horston Sea 18 .667 11.9 4.1 .0 3.0 2.0 2.0 .72
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
-.01 Jewell Loyd Sea 30 .357 6.1 3.5 2.0 .6 .0 .0 -.08
-.01 Alysha Clark LV 18 .500 6.6 4.1 2.9 1.0 1.9 .0 -.15
-.03 Kiah Stokes LV 17 .0 13.3 .0 .0 2.1 1.1 -.31
-.03 Mer. Russell Sea 23 .556 7.2 8.8 .0 .8 3.9 .0 -.24
shooting : LV .542 - .458 Sea
rebounds: LV 39.0 - 35.0 Sea
turnovers: Sea 8.5 - 11.5 LV
Code: Select all
. Las Vegas e400 PER WS/40 . Seattle e400 PER WS/40
A'ja Wilson 2.72 25.7 .266 Nneka Ogwumike 1.31 15.1 .041
Chelsea Gray 1.68 16.9 .125 Gabby Williams .81 13.4 .037
Kelsey Plum 1.07 14.1 .146 Skylar D-Smith 1.27 15.3 .032
Jackie Young 1.05 11.0 .085 Jewell Loyd -.08 5.1 -.033
Tiffany Hayes 2.65 30.2 .392 Mercedes Russell -.24 9.6 -.016
Alysha Clark -.15 5.6 .081 Jordan Horston .72 17.3 .152
Kiah Stokes -.31 2.7 .079 Ezi Magbegor 1.26 18.7 .174
Sydney Colson -1.06 -2.1 -.026
Me. Gustafson -1.16 -7.3 -.157
. Total 1.33 15.5 .176 . Total .67 12.3 .031
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Thu Sep 26, 2024 4:46 am
by Crow
Sweep, sweep, sweep, sweep. As expected, aided by series format.
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Thu Sep 26, 2024 1:10 pm
by Mike G
The WNBA is 0-4.
Half of teams making the playoffs get zero games at home.
The absolute worst way to format a series. Unprecedented and tragic.
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Thu Sep 26, 2024 3:06 pm
by Crow
It makes the regular season very important. Engineering top teams advancement probably helped with ratings, media coverage.
The format is different in next rounds. 2-2-1. Still favors higher seed. 1-1-1-1-1 would be most fair.
I'd think it will change in the future. More teams, more votes for more fairness beyond the top teams. Less concern about travel cost and hassle for teams and media. Not sure if networks have influence. They probably have wanted the top teams but might be ready for more drama, more games now.
Probably doesn't really matter to me in the end. I'm in outer orbit, if at all.
The range in playoff efficiencies is pretty extreme. A bad series isnt just 40% efficiency, it could be 30% or way less. I dont recall if "eff." in your use is efg% or ts% but 40% is low or very low. Just 2 games so far but a mix of outstanding performances and quite bad ones.
I think there is a big depth of talent issue, or at least depth of talent revealed issue. Expansion may make sense to league office, networks, players, maybe the most eager fans, but I don't know if the talent is deep enough to support. Certainly doesn't look compelling.
Looking at season data, it appears about 35% WNBA players have a ts% below 50%. In NBA, it is a bit over 20%.
WNBA Playoffs to date, 53% below 50% ts%. Caitlin Clark, 43.1%. Breanna Stewart, 47%.
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Thu Sep 26, 2024 8:08 pm
by Mike G
Con Sun 2 - 0 Ind Fever
avg score 90 - 75
Pyth wins 1.84 - .16 , eWins 1.42 - .58
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.39 Alyssa Thomas Con 39 .477 13.9 6.3 11.6 .5 .9 .0 2.03
.34 DeWanna Bonner Con 32 .597 22.1 7.1 3.8 1.3 1.1 1.1 2.15
.33 Aliyah Boston Ind 33 .589 16.2 15.2 2.4 .5 2.3 2.3 2.05
.25 Marina Mabrey Con 36 .537 22.0 2.2 4.3 .0 2.0 1.0 1.41
.22 Caitlin Clark Ind 38 .429 12.9 4.3 5.9 1.6 2.4 1.0 1.14
.16 Olivia N-Ododa Con 19 .875 14.5 9.4 .0 2.0 .0 2.7 1.65
.14 DiJ. Carrington Con 30 .571 15.2 5.0 2.3 1.4 1.9 .6 .98
.12 Veronica Burton Con 22 .720 16.9 2.7 2.9 .9 .8 .8 1.08
.03 Brionna Jones Con 20 .353 8.9 4.9 .9 4.2 4.6 .9 .28
.02 Lexie Hull Ind 30 .419 5.7 4.9 1.8 2.6 1.8 .6 .17
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.02 Kelsey Mitchell Ind 39 .487 14.3 2.6 2.7 .0 4.3 .0 .12
.02 Temi Fagbenle Ind 24 .500 5.1 7.3 2.1 .6 .7 .0 .18
.02 Damiris Dantas Ind 16 .615 13.9 1.9 .7 .0 1.0 .0 .19
-.01 NaLyssa Smith Ind 7 .000 .0 9.4 .0 2.2 5.3 2.6 -.36
-.03 Erica Wheeler Ind 10 .500 4.2 .0 3.7 .0 1.7 .0 -.61
shooting : Con .549 - .489 Ind
rebounds: Ind 36.0 - 32.5 Con
turnovers: Con 8.5 - 13.0 Ind
Code: Select all
. Sun min PER WS/40 e400 . Fever min PER WS/40 e400
Alyssa Thomas 77 19.9 .238 2.03 Kelsey Mitchell 77 6.7 -.134 .12
Marina Mabrey 71 15.7 .135 1.41 Caitlin Clark 76 13.9 -.001 1.14
DeWanna Bonner 64 23.1 .301 2.15 Aliyah Boston 65 23.0 .143 2.05
D Carrington 59 14.3 .163 .98 Lexie Hull 60 8.5 .004 .17
Veronica Burton 44 17.2 .249 1.08 Temi Fagbenle 48 9.3 .038 .18
Brionna Jones 40 3.7 -.101 .28 Damiris Dantas 32 11.5 .047 .19
Olivia N-Ododa 38 25.1 .384 1.65 Erica Wheeler 19 4.2 -.012 -.61
. NaLyssa Smith 13 2.6 -.182 -.36
. totals 400 17.0 .195 1.42 totals 400 11.3 -.004 .58
avg score 101.5 - 91.5
Pyth wins 1.60 - .40 , eWins 1.30 - .70
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.55 Napheesa Collier Min 39 .755 34.7 5.1 3.3 .5 1.9 1.4 2.84
.31 Natasha Cloud Phx 37 .645 19.0 5.9 6.6 1.0 3.0 .5 1.68
.16 Courtney Williams Min 25 .417 10.4 5.9 9.1 3.1 3.7 .0 1.35
.16 Alanna Smith Min 26 .655 11.6 5.7 3.7 3.0 2.1 2.1 1.26
.16 Bridget Carleton Min 36 .800 11.4 5.1 3.6 1.6 .5 .0 .89
.14 Brittney Griner Phx 30 .567 14.7 7.3 .0 .6 2.5 2.5 .93
.13 Kayla McBride Min 35 .614 14.8 2.6 3.7 .0 .5 .0 .78
.09 Natisha Hiedeman Min 18 .462 8.3 3.8 9.1 1.0 .9 .0 1.04
.07 Natasha Mack Phx 13 .609 12.4 9.8 .9 .0 .0 1.3 1.12
.06 Sophie Cunningham Phx 32 .650 5.6 5.6 2.7 1.7 .6 .6 .39
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.06 Myisha H-Allen Min 15 .550 9.9 9.3 3.0 .0 1.2 .0 .77
.04 Kahleah Copper Phx 30 .492 12.0 6.0 2.1 1.2 4.3 .0 .28
.04 Monique Billings Phx 14 .727 7.3 9.1 .8 1.2 .0 .0 .57
.04 Diana Taurasi Phx 30 .574 13.9 4.0 2.1 1.2 4.3 .0 .27
.01 Celeste Taylor Phx 14 .833 5.2 2.6 4.0 .0 .0 1.2 .20
-.01 Ce. Zandalasini Min 6 .250 2.3 2.7 .0 2.8 .0 .0 -.30
shooting : Min .627 - .592 Phx
rebounds: Phx 31.0 - 28.0 Min
turnovers: Min 8.5 - 12.5 Phx
Code: Select all
. Lynx min PER WS/40 e400 . Mercury min PER WS/40 e400
Napheesa Collier 78 37.5 .411 2.84 Natasha Cloud 73 25.7 .183 1.68
Bridget Carleton 71 16.5 .192 .89 Sophie Cunningham 63 10.6 .047 .39
Kayla McBride 69 15.5 .130 .78 Diana Taurasi 59 9.5 -.088 .27
Alanna Smith 51 18.0 .163 1.26 Kahleah Copper 59 7.1 -.142 .28
Courtney Williams 49 13.6 -.027 1.35 Brittney Griner 59 16.2 -.008 .93
Natisha Hiedeman 36 16.7 .123 1.04 Celeste Taylor 28 14.6 .111 .57
Myisha H-Allen 29 12.4 .089 .77 Monique Billings 28 18.1 .126 .20
C Zandalasini 12 1.6 -.153 -.30 Natasha Mack 26 23.8 .134 1.12
. Totals 400 19.2 .164 1.30 . Totals 400 15.0 .030 .70
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Wed Oct 02, 2024 10:10 pm
by Mike G
First round leaders -- 2 games for everyone.
Code: Select all
xyzW Player Tm min PER WS/40 e400 pW WS eW
.68 Napheesa Collier Min* 78 37.5 .411 2.84 .67 .82 .55
.54 Sabrina Ionescu NY* 65 32.7 .400 3.03 .47 .66 .49
.46 A'ja Wilson LV* 73 25.6 .260 2.72 .39 .49 .50
.39 Tiffany Hayes LV* 51 30.1 .388 2.65 .33 .51 .34
.38 Alyssa Thomas Con* 77 19.9 .238 2.03 .29 .47 .39
.38 DeWanna Bonner Con* 64 23.1 .301 2.15 .30 .49 .34
.35 Natasha Cloud Phx 73 25.7 .183 1.68 .39 .34 .31
.32 Jonquel Jones NY* 56 24.3 .265 2.05 .28 .38 .29
.29 Aliyah Boston Ind 65 23.0 .143 2.05 .30 .24 .33
.28 Leonie Fiebich NY* 47 24.5 .294 2.01 .24 .35 .24
xyzW Player Tm min PER WS/40 e400 pW WS eW
.26 Rhyne Howard Atl 69 21.7 .117 1.59 .30 .21 .27
.24 Olivia N-Ododa Con* 38 25.1 .384 1.65 .20 .37 .16
.24 Bridget Carleton Min* 71 16.5 .192 .89 .21 .35 .16
.23 Breanna Stewart NY* 70 16.5 .134 1.49 .20 .24 .26
.23 Marina Mabrey Con* 71 15.7 .135 1.41 .19 .25 .25
.22 Chelsea Gray LV* 64 16.6 .121 1.68 .19 .20 .27
.18 Kayla McBride Min* 69 15.5 .130 .78 .18 .23 .13
.18 Alanna Smith Min* 51 18.0 .163 1.26 .17 .21 .16
.18 Veronica Burton Con* 44 17.2 .249 1.08 .14 .28 .12
.18 DiJonai Carrington Con* 59 14.3 .163 .98 .14 .25 .14
xyzW Player Tm min PER WS/40 e400 pW WS eW
.17 Kelsey Plum LV* 61 13.9 .144 1.07 .13 .22 .16
.17 Nneka Ogwumike Sea 74 15.2 .041 1.31 .19 .08 .24
.16 Skylar D-Smith Sea 72 15.2 .030 1.27 .18 .06 .23
.13 Allisha Gray Atl 67 15.2 .052 .72 .17 .09 .12
.13 Caitlin Clark Ind 76 13.9 -.001 1.14 .17 .00 .22
.12 Gabby Williams Sea 74 13.4 .037 .81 .15 .07 .15
.12 Jackie Young LV* 60 11.0 .084 1.05 .08 .13 .16
.10 Natisha Hiedeman Min* 36 16.7 .123 1.04 .11 .11 .09
.10 Ezi Magbegor Sea 28 18.6 .175 1.26 .10 .13 .09
.10 Jordan Horston Sea 35 17.2 .154 .72 .11 .14 .06
.10 Brittney Griner Phx 59 16.2 -.008 .93 .17 -.01 .14
That is 31, or just about 4 per team.
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Wed Oct 02, 2024 10:17 pm
by Mike G
Round 2
Lynx 1 - 1 Sun
avg score 73.5 - 71.5
Pythagorean wins 1.15 - .85 , eWins 1.07 - .93
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.45 Alyssa Thomas Con 40 .603 19.5 7.9 7.0 2.3 2.3 .0 2.30
.31 Alanna Smith Min 29 .568 14.5 8.1 3.9 1.9 1.9 3.8 2.15
.29 Napheesa Collier Min 39 .418 10.5 9.1 4.4 1.4 2.4 2.4 1.52
.25 DeWanna Bonner Con 34 .397 11.4 8.0 4.2 2.8 1.1 .5 1.47
.18 DiJ. Carrington Con 36 .491 13.3 5.7 2.0 1.6 1.0 .5 1.01
.16 Bridget Carleton Min 33 .765 21.4 2.1 .0 1.1 1.7 .0 .95
.13 Marina Mabrey Con 38 .486 16.1 3.3 2.3 .5 3.4 1.0 .70
.10 Myisha H-Allen Min 13 .591 20.5 11.3 1.4 .0 2.7 .0 1.64
.09 Courtney Williams Min 30 .446 13.2 5.0 5.0 1.2 4.9 .0 .63
.07 Kayla McBride Min 37 .511 11.0 2.2 2.5 1.5 1.0 .0 .40
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.05 Olivia N-Ododa Con 10 .600 11.8 8.8 .0 1.7 .0 .0 .99
.03 Ce. Zandalasini Min 9 .833 16.6 3.7 2.1 .0 2.0 .0 .71
.01 Natisha Hiedeman Min 12 .429 7.1 3.9 4.4 .0 2.9 1.4 .23
.00 Brionna Jones Con 16 .400 7.3 4.0 4.4 .0 2.3 .0 .04
-.12 Veronica Burton Con 24 .250 1.7 1.9 2.1 .0 2.2 .0 -.98
shooting : Min .523 - .469 Con
rebounds: Con 35.5 - 33.5 Min
turnovers: Con 10.5 - 13.0 Min
Liberty 2 - 0 Aces
avg score 87.5 - 80.5
Pyth wins 1.44 - .56 , eWins 1.22 - .78
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.41 Sabrina Ionescu NY 38 .643 22.6 6.4 4.5 1.1 2.4 1.0 2.17
.40 Breanna Stewart NY 37 .590 23.6 6.2 5.7 1.1 3.5 .5 2.18
.39 A'ja Wilson LV 38 .592 20.7 6.7 3.8 .7 1.0 1.0 2.07
.22 Jonquel Jones NY 34 .614 14.7 11.2 3.1 .4 3.8 .5 1.29
.21 Jackie Young LV 33 .523 15.5 4.7 2.4 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.29
.14 Co. Vandersloot NY 18 .652 15.2 4.9 4.5 2.1 .9 .9 1.63
.11 Alysha Clark LV 30 .611 12.8 5.1 1.6 .9 1.2 .6 .73
.11 Tiffany Hayes LV 22 .480 7.0 5.7 6.0 2.3 .8 .0 .97
.04 Kayla Thornton NY 13 .733 15.8 2.6 .0 .0 .0 1.2 .67
.03 Kelsey Plum LV 32 .536 14.5 2.4 2.4 .0 3.4 .0 .21
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.02 Betnijah Laney NY 24 .375 5.3 6.3 2.9 1.1 2.3 .8 .19
.00 Chelsea Gray LV 32 .429 6.9 4.3 4.0 .0 2.9 .6 .01
-.01 Leonie Fiebich NY 30 .750 8.6 1.9 1.7 .4 .6 .0 -.05
-.03 Kennedy Burke NY 6 .250 2.1 2.8 2.6 .0 2.8 .0 -.91
-.05 Kiah Stokes LV 11 .000 .0 6.7 .0 .0 1.6 .0 -.90
shooting : NY .597 - .526 LV
rebounds: NY 33.0 - 25.5 LV
turnovers: LV 11.0 - 13.0 NY
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Sat Oct 05, 2024 2:42 pm
by Mike G
Lynx 2 - 1 Sun
avg score 79.0 - 74.7
pyth wins 1.94 - 1.06 , eWins 1.72 - 1.28
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.57 Napheesa Collier Min 37 .491 15.7 10.3 3.9 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.09
.54 Alyssa Thomas Con 39 .578 16.5 7.8 6.4 1.6 2.8 .0 1.83
.36 DeWanna Bonner Con 34 .462 12.8 7.7 2.9 2.2 .7 .4 1.41
.33 Alanna Smith Min 28 .622 13.8 7.2 3.0 1.3 2.6 3.9 1.58
.23 Co. Williams Min 31 .526 15.6 3.8 6.1 .8 4.3 .4 1.01
.21 DiJ. Carrington Con 35 .455 11.4 5.5 1.9 1.8 1.0 .3 .81
.20 Bridget Carleton Min 33 .717 17.1 3.6 .0 .7 1.1 .7 .82
.19 Brionna Jones Con 20 .569 18.9 4.2 4.8 .0 2.4 .0 1.27
.14 Marina Mabrey Con 37 .434 12.6 3.7 2.7 .3 2.6 1.0 .51
.14 Kayla McBride Min 37 .500 10.2 1.9 3.2 1.6 .7 .0 .49
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.12 Myisha H-Allen Min 12 .577 14.3 11.3 3.5 .0 2.7 .0 1.31
.05 Ce. Zandalasini Min 9 .833 18.4 3.5 1.2 .0 2.4 .0 .68
.01 Natisha Hiedeman Min 10 .500 9.4 3.0 3.0 1.0 3.1 1.0 .18
.00 Olivia N-Ododa Con 10 .500 5.6 7.7 .0 1.1 1.1 .0 .04
-.13 Veronica Burton Con 20 .300 2.7 1.5 2.6 .0 2.3 .0 -.87
shooting :
Min .562 - .473 Con
rebounds: Con 34.7 - 32.0 Min
turnovers: Con 10.7 - 12.0 Min
Liberty
2 - 1 Aces
avg score 85.3 - 85.3
Pyth and eWins 1.50 - 1.50
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.61 A'ja Wilson LV 36 .604 19.9 9.2 3.5 .5 1.7 1.0 2.22
.48 Breanna Stewart NY 35 .562 20.2 6.0 4.1 .8 2.4 .3 1.82
.43 Jackie Young LV 32 .574 19.4 5.4 3.0 1.1 1.1 .8 1.82
.34 Sabrina Ionescu NY 35 .576 14.9 6.0 4.8 .8 3.5 1.0 1.27
.26 Jonquel Jones NY 31 .613 14.0 9.9 2.5 .3 3.5 .8 1.13
.22 Tiffany Hayes LV 20 .561 11.0 5.5 5.2 3.9 1.6 .0 1.46
.19 Co. Vandersloot NY 18 .558 12.0 4.5 5.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.36
.19 Kelsey Plum LV 33 .617 17.5 2.6 2.3 .5 2.6 .0 .76
.11 Alysha Clark LV 29 .563 9.2 5.3 1.7 1.2 .8 .4 .52
.07 Chelsea Gray LV 31 .452 7.7 3.2 5.1 .0 2.3 1.2 .31
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.06 Nyara Sabally NY 5 .833 24.2 7.3 .0 4.2 7.6 1.9 1.70
.03 Betnijah Laney NY 23 .380 5.7 5.4 3.3 1.1 2.0 .5 .19
.03 Kayla Thornton NY 13 .737 11.9 2.3 .0 .6 .0 .8 .33
.03 Leonie Fiebich NY 29 .688 9.0 2.8 1.9 .3 .4 .0 .12
.00 Kennedy Burke NY 6 .429 5.9 4.2 2.7 1.1 1.5 .0 .00
-.03 Megan Gustafson LV 4 .000 .0 2.4 2.0 .0 .0 .0 -.84
-.04 Sydney Colson LV 5 .400 4.6 .0 4.7 2.6 7.3 .0 -.99
-.05 Kiah Stokes LV 7 .000 .0 6.1 .0 .0 1.5 .0 -1.02
shooting : NY .574 - .560 LV
rebounds: NY 33.7 - 28.3 LV
turnovers: LV 10.7 - 12.3 NY
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Sat Oct 05, 2024 3:41 pm
by Crow
5 on 5. Benches matter very little. Moreso than NBA? Probably.
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Mon Oct 07, 2024 8:22 pm
by Mike G
Lynx
2 - 2 Sun
avg score 79.8 - 79.0
Pyth wins 2.10 - 1.90 , eWins 2.05 - 1.95
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.89 Napheesa Collier Min 37 .553 19.0 10.7 3.5 1.5 2.2 1.7 2.43
.74 Alyssa Thomas Con 39 .555 15.4 8.3 7.1 1.4 2.8 .0 1.92
.62 DeWanna Bonner Con 34 .513 14.3 8.4 3.1 2.7 1.1 .5 1.82
.39 Alanna Smith Min 28 .673 13.6 6.2 3.4 1.0 2.9 3.6 1.41
.36 DiJ Carrington Con 35 .500 11.9 5.4 2.1 1.8 .8 .5 1.01
.32 Co. Williams Min 29 .531 14.9 3.6 6.0 1.3 3.5 .3 1.11
.17 Brionna Jones Con 19 .554 16.9 4.1 3.8 .0 2.9 .0 .88
.12 Kayla McBride Min 36 .488 8.0 1.9 3.8 1.3 .5 .0 .33
.11 Natisha Hiedeman Min 14 .605 16.0 1.7 3.4 1.8 3.0 .6 .83
.10 Marina Mabrey Con 37 .444 10.9 3.8 2.0 .2 2.2 1.0 .27
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.09 Myisha H-Allen Min 10 .545 13.4 10.5 3.7 .0 4.7 .0 .84
.07 Dorka Juhász Min 4 .833 13.0 10.7 3.5 .0 .0 .0 1.60
.07 Tyasha Harris Con 11 .714 18.7 2.3 .0 .0 1.6 .0 .62
.03 Bridget Carleton Min 33 .587 10.4 3.2 .3 .6 1.1 .8 .10
.03 Ce. Zandalasini Min 9 .813 16.6 2.7 .9 .0 2.9 .0 .32
.01 Olivia N-Ododa Con 8 .500 5.0 9.1 .0 1.1 1.1 .0 .11
-.11 Veronica Burton Con 18 .361 3.7 1.8 2.5 .9 1.9 .0 -.63
shooting : Min .570 - .508 Con
rebounds: Con 33.3 - 30.8 Min
turnovers: Con 10.3 - 12.3 Min
Liberty 3 - 1 Aces
avg score 83.0 - 79.5
Pyth wins 2.48 - 1.52 , eWins 2.24 - 1.76
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.82 A'ja Wilson LV 37 .597 19.7 8.6 2.9 .6 1.5 2.0 2.26
.74 Breanna Stewart NY 36 .524 19.0 7.5 4.4 .8 2.3 1.3 2.05
.54 Sabrina Ionescu NY 36 .612 18.4 6.0 4.3 1.0 3.6 .8 1.53
.39 Jackie Young LV 31 .504 14.6 5.2 2.9 1.1 .9 .6 1.26
.35 Jonquel Jones NY 30 .612 15.7 9.1 2.1 .2 3.0 .6 1.17
.27 Tiffany Hayes LV 20 .548 13.1 5.2 5.0 2.7 2.1 .4 1.39
.27 Co. Vandersloot NY 18 .582 14.2 3.9 5.8 1.1 1.8 1.4 1.46
.23 Kelsey Plum LV 34 .573 16.1 2.2 1.9 1.0 1.9 .0 .69
.19 Leonie Fiebich NY 29 .717 11.4 4.1 2.7 .5 .3 .0 .67
.11 Chelsea Gray LV 32 .449 7.3 2.7 5.4 .7 2.6 1.1 .33
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.10 Alysha Clark LV 30 .500 6.8 5.1 2.5 1.2 .6 .3 .33
.08 Nyara Sabally NY 4 .833 29.2 7.9 .0 4.9 8.4 2.1 2.25
-.00 Betnijah Laney NY 24 .328 4.4 5.8 2.6 1.2 1.9 .4 -.01
-.02 Kayla Thornton NY 13 .560 7.8 3.7 .0 .5 .7 .7 -.13
-.02 Kennedy Burke NY 8 .273 2.7 7.4 1.9 .8 2.0 .0 -.25
-.05 Sydney Colson LV 5 .286 3.3 .0 4.6 2.2 6.8 .0 -1.16
-.06 Megan Gustafson LV 5 .333 1.7 1.5 1.5 .0 1.6 .0 -1.11
-.06 Kiah Stokes LV 5 .000 .0 6.0 .0 .0 1.6 .0 -1.07
shooting : NY .554 - .527 LV
rebounds:
NY 37.3 - 28.0 LV
turnovers: LV 9.5 - 12.5 NY
Code: Select all
. NY min PER WS/40 e400 . LV min PER WS/40 e400
Stewart 145 22.1 .181 2.05 Wilson 146 23.4 .169 2.26
Ionescu 142 17.7 .136 1.53 Plum 137 12.3 .044 .69
Jones 120 15.2 .136 1.17 Gray 128 9.0 -.028 .33
Fiebich 116 13.8 .201 .67 Young 123 16.1 .081 1.26
Laney 94 3.2 -.049 -.01 Clark 119 9.1 .082 .33
Vandersloot 73 19.8 .217 1.46 Hayes 79 18.9 .172 1.39
Thornton 50 8.2 .113 -.13 Stokes 21 -3.9 -.132 -1.07
Burke 32 -1.0 -.100 -.25 Gustafson 20 -3.6 -.110 -1.11
Sabally 15 21.8 .113 2.25 Colson 18 -9.6 -.363 -1.16
. totals 800 14.9 .131 1.12 . totals 800 13.2 .062 .88
2nd round numbers are current figures minus the 1st round (* minutes).
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Wed Oct 09, 2024 6:36 pm
by Mike G
Lynx 3 - 2 Sun
avg score 81.4 - 78.6
Pyth wins 2.97 - 2.03 , eWins 2.73 - 2.27
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
1.21 Napheesa Collier Min 37 .579 21.6 10.3 3.5 1.4 2.2 2.2 2.64
.68 Alyssa Thomas Con 39 .541 13.2 7.4 6.8 1.1 3.0 .0 1.40
.64 DeWanna Bonner Con 34 .507 14.1 8.7 2.5 2.3 1.7 .4 1.51
.57 Courtney Williams Min 29 .571 18.6 3.9 6.3 1.5 3.7 .5 1.56
.48 Alanna Smith Min 29 .698 13.7 5.4 3.4 1.0 2.6 3.3 1.33
.45 DiJ. Carrington Con 35 .483 12.4 6.9 1.9 2.1 1.9 .6 1.03
.34 Brionna Jones Con 20 .571 19.4 6.8 3.0 .0 3.3 1.1 1.38
.22 Kayla McBride Min 35 .508 10.4 1.9 3.9 1.3 1.0 .0 .51
.20 Natisha Hiedeman Min 14 .647 17.2 2.6 3.5 1.9 2.3 .5 1.13
.13 Marina Mabrey Con 32 .469 11.9 3.5 1.8 .2 2.0 .9 .34
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.11 Tyasha Harris Con 16 .696 17.3 1.8 .4 .4 1.3 .0 .56
.06 Dorka Juhász Min 4 .833 12.5 9.4 3.2 .0 .0 .0 1.31
.04 Myisha H-Allen Min 11 .513 10.4 8.3 3.4 .0 4.8 .6 .33
.01 Olivia N-Ododa Con 6 .500 5.0 8.9 .0 1.0 1.0 .0 .10
.00 Bridget Carleton Min 32 .517 8.4 2.9 .6 .7 .9 .9 .00
-.05 Ce. Zandalasini Min 9 .542 8.1 3.3 .7 .0 2.1 .0 -.40
-.10 Veronica Burton Con 18 .320 3.0 1.4 2.9 1.1 1.5 .7 -.44
shooting :
Min .571 - .508 Con
rebounds: Con 33.6 - 30.4 Min
turnovers: Con 11.8 - 12.2 Min
Code: Select all
Min Lynx min PER WS/40 e400 Con Sun min PER WS/40 e400
Collier 184 28.7 .280 2.64 Thomas 194 18.5 .128 1.40
McBride 177 12.2 .077 .51 Carrington 176 15.0 .082 1.03
Carleton 162 8.4 .060 .00 Bonner 170 17.9 .129 1.51
Williams 147 18.4 .118 1.56 Mabrey 160 8.5 -.005 .34
Smith 143 16.6 .140 1.33 Jones 99 17.7 .094 1.38
Hiedeman 70 18.2 .164 1.13 Burton 91 4.1 -.036 -.44
Hines-Allen 53 8.4 -.029 .33 Harris 78 11.4 .108 .56
Zandalasini 45 3.2 -.060 -.40 Nelson-Ododa 30 12.6 .037 .10
Juhász 18 21.6 .317 1.31
. totals 1000 16.1 .125 1.09 . totals 1000 14.1 .077 .91
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Thu Oct 10, 2024 10:29 pm
by Mike G
A Finals preview.
Ranked by minutes, 1st and 2nd round rates and totals.
Code: Select all
Breanna Stewart NY Min Napheesa Collier
PER WS/40 e400 rd PER WS/40 e400
16.5 .134 1.49 1 37.5 .411 2.84
22.1 .181 2.05 2 28.7 .280 2.64
20.3 .166 1.87 12 31.3 .319 2.70
Sabrina Ionescu NY Min Kayla McBride
PER WS/40 e400 rd PER WS/40 e400
32.7 .400 3.03 1 15.5 .130 .78
17.7 .136 1.53 2 12.2 .077 .51
22.4 .219 2.00 12 13.1 .092 .58
Jonquel Jones NY Min Bridget Carleton
24.3 .265 2.05 1 16.5 .192 .89
15.2 .136 1.17 2 8.4 .060 .00
18.1 .177 1.45 12 10.9 .100 .27
Leonie Fiebich NY Min Courtney Williams
PER WS/40 e400 rd PER WS/40 e400
24.5 .294 2.01 1 13.6 -.027 1.35
13.8 .201 .67 2 18.4 .118 1.56
16.9 .228 1.06 12 17.2 .082 1.51
Betnijah Laney NY Min Alanna Smith
_6.7 .034 .22 1 18.0 .163 1.26
_3.2 -.049 -.01 2 16.6 .140 1.33
_4.6 -.016 .08 12 17.0 .146 1.31
Courtney Vandersloot NY Min Natisha Hiedeman
14.8 .131 1.14 1 16.7 .123 1.04
19.8 .217 1.46 2 18.2 .164 1.13
18.3 .191 1.36 12 17.7 .150 1.10
Kayla Thornton NY Min Myisha Hines-Allen
PER WS/40 e400 rd PER WS/40 e400
_2.9 .023 -.30 1 12.4 .089 .77
_8.2 .113 -.13 2 8.4 -.029 .33
_6.2 .079 -.20 12 9.8 .013 .49
Kennedy Burke NY Min Cecilia Zandalasini
_5.0 -.019 -.19 1* 4.0 -.030 -.30
-1.0 -.100 -.25 2* 3.2 -.060 -.40
_0.5 -.079 -.23 12 3.4 -.054 -.38
Nyara Sabally NY Min Dorka Juhász
_6.0 .003 .03 1* 17.0 .166 1.66
21.8 .113 2.25 2* 21.6 .317 1.31
12.6 .049 .95 12 21.4 .309 1.33
Both team feature 5 starters averaging >26 minutes; 2 more going 12-18 mpg; and 2 at <8 mpg.
* Since I somehow failed to save 1st round PER and WS/40 for the bottom 2 on each side, their 1st and 2nd round rates are estimated.
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 1:07 am
by Crow
#1 faces #2. Both 2 way strong.
Liberty the better rebounding team despite Lynx having 8 at over over 170 lbs to Liberty's 6.
Re: 2024 WNBA Playoffs
Posted: Fri Oct 11, 2024 1:15 am
by Crow
Liberty had a 50% lead at halftime on total rebounds. 90% and growing on offensive rebounds in early 2nd half.
Tight because of difference in 2pt shooting.
Ionescu 4 for 17 at the moment.