2026 playoffs 2nd round

[Mike G]

Knicks 1 - 0 Sixers
137 - 98
Pythagorean wins .99 - .01 , eWins .74 - .26

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.18   Jalen Brunson   NY   31  .795   47.8   1.4   3.2   2.1   1.3   .0   2.75
.12   Karl-A Towns    NY   21  .773   35.9  12.6   9.5    .0   5.7  3.5   2.79
.10   Mikal Bridges   NY   26  .850   29.1   3.4   6.4   1.3    .0   .0   1.93
.09   Josh Hart       NY   26  .500    8.7  13.5   7.6   3.8   1.5  1.4   1.65
.09   Paul George    Phl   26  .739   28.7   6.3   3.5    .0   1.4   .0   1.61

.08   OG Anunoby      NY   30  1.00   30.4   4.4   1.1    .0   2.6  1.2   1.35
.07   Kelly Oubre    Phl   26  .706   19.8  10.4   1.2   1.7   2.8  1.4   1.27
.05  Ariel Hukporti   NY   18  1.00   12.8  20.4    .0    .0   2.0  3.8   1.36
.05  Dominick Barlow Phl   13  .875   24.1  11.5    .0   3.1    .0   .0   1.83
.04   Tyler Kolek     NY   10  .800   33.5    .0  12.1    .0   3.6   .0   2.07

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Joel Embiid    Phl   25  .452   15.8   8.7   1.2    .0   1.5   .0    .75
.03   Pacôme Dadiet   NY    9  .667   14.9   4.4   6.7   3.4    .0   .0   1.39
.02   Jose Alvarado   NY    9  .625   16.3   4.4   3.4   3.4    .0   .0   1.19
.02   VJ Edgecombe   Phl   28  .500   12.8   1.9   2.1   1.5   1.3   .0    .34
.02   Tyrese Maxey   Phl   27  .520   16.4   6.0   2.2    .0   5.5   .0    .34

.02   Miles McBride   NY   16  .667   15.3    .0   3.8    .0    .0   .0    .51
.01  Quentin Grimes  Phl   24  .500    5.9   2.1   4.7   1.7    .0   .0    .26
.01   Mi. Robinson    NY   12  .333    2.8  13.4   2.5    .0    .0   .0    .32
.00  Trendon Watford Phl   13  .417   10.0   3.8   2.1   3.1   5.2   .0    .14
.00   Dalen Terry    Phl   12  .375    5.1    .0   2.3   3.3    .0   .0    .11

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.00  Landry Shamet   NY   12  .375    4.9    .0   5.1   2.5   3.0   .0   -.12
-.00  Justin Edwards Phl   17  .667   18.0    .0    .0    .0   4.0   .0   -.14
-.01  Jabari Walker  Phl   11  .333    3.5   9.1    .0    .0   3.1   .0   -.33
-.01  Andre Drummond Phl    9  .000     .0  16.5    .0    .0   7.5   .0   -.51
-.03 Jordan Clarkson  NY   13  .500    4.1   6.2    .0   2.3  11.2   .0  -1.01

shooting : NY .741 - .544 Phl + 26.5
rebounds: NY 39 - 28 Phl + 8.6
turnovers: NY 15 - 19 Phl + 5.3
note: the final column here is the expected point-differential gained from each stat advantage.

Code: Select all

. Phl    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . NYK    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Edgc'mbe 28   10.1  -.188   -2.9    .34      Brunson  31   42.6   .607   13.3   2.75
Maxey    27    7.9  -.280   -9.1    .34      Anunoby  30   21.0   .283    4.2   1.35
Oubre    26   19.1  -.039    3.3   1.27      Hart     26   22.0   .320    9.0   1.65
George   26   22.4   .034    7.9   1.61      Bridges  26   31.0   .463   12.7   1.93
Embiid   25   10.7  -.140   -5.9    .75      Towns    21   32.7   .463   13.4   2.79

Grimes   24   10.4  -.010   -0.3    .26      Hukporti 18   19.9   .317    1.6   1.36
Edwards  17    2.9  -.134   -9.5   -.14      McBride  16   16.5   .258    0.4    .51
Barlow   13   29.7   .314   10.7   1.83      Clarkson 13  -10.2  -.291  -21.1  -1.01
Watford  13    5.3  -.175   -8.7    .14      Shamet   12    3.8   .010   -7.6   -.12
Terry    12    8.2  -.038   -0.6    .11      Robinson 12    1.7   .075   -9.1    .32

. Phl    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . NYK    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Walker   11   -1.9  -.170  -16.0   -.33      Kolek    10   32.9   .471   12.5   2.07
Drummond  9  -13.0  -.557  -22.8   -.51      Alvarado  9   24.6   .326    7.0   1.19

.totals  240   9.7  -.127  -4.31    .51     . totals  240  23.3   .331   5.50   1.49

https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... _2026.html

Wolves 1 - 0 Spurs
104 - 102
Pyth wins .56 - .44 , eWins .53 - .47

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.14  Stephon Castle  SAS   28  .708   30.2   6.1   5.6    .0    .0   .0   2.39
.12   Mike Conley    Min   24  .750   27.0   2.9   7.7    .0    .0   .0   2.42
.12  Anthony Edwards Min   26  .692   32.4   3.9   3.4    .0   1.6  1.3   2.19
.10   Dylan Harper   SAS   29  .621   24.3   4.6   4.1    .0    .0   .0   1.69
.10  Vi. Wembanyama  SAS   40  .306    5.9  12.8   3.8    .0   2.9 10.9   1.19

.09   Rudy Gobert    Min   30  .368    6.6  11.7   3.1   4.6   1.5  1.2   1.39
.09   Devin Vassell  SAS   37  .609   14.8   4.6   2.5   3.2   1.1  1.0   1.11
.07  Jul. Champagnie SAS   31  .708   20.5   7.8    .0    .0   1.3   .0   1.07
.07   Naz Reid       Min   29  .750   20.2  10.4   1.0    .0   2.9  1.2   1.12
.05  Jaden McDaniels Min   35  .533   16.3   5.0   1.7   1.0   1.3  1.0    .72

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Julius Randle  Min   42  .457   17.6   8.2   1.4    .8   5.2   .0    .46
.03   Te. Shannon    Min   35  .471   13.4   5.0    .9    .0    .0   .0    .42
.02  Harrison Barnes SAS   10  1.00    9.8  12.8    .0    .0    .0  3.4   1.14
.01   Jaylen Clark   Min    7  1.00   14.8   4.6    .0    .0    .0   .0    .58
.01  Keldon Johnson  SAS   24  .500   12.0   2.7   1.2    .0    .0   .0    .14

.01   Bones Hyland   Min   12  .000     .0   2.7   4.8   2.7    .0  2.9    .27
-.02  Luke Kornet    SAS    9  .500    8.5   7.1    .0    .0   8.2   .0  -1.22
-.04  De'Aaron Fox   SAS   33  .357    8.6   3.1   5.6   1.2   7.2   .0   -.51

shooting : SAS .531 - .517 Min + 1.9
rebounds: SAS 47 - 46 Min + 0.8
turnovers: Min 12 - 14 SAS + 2.7

Code: Select all

. Min   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . SAS   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Randle  42    9.4  -.042   -5.1    .46      Wemby   40   15.4   .024    3.0   1.19
McDa'ls 35   14.3   .120    0.1    .72      Vassell 37   17.5   .201    7.4   1.11
Shannon 35   10.2   .103   -4.0    .42      Fox     33    -.8  -.232  -12.8   -.51
Gobert  30   17.8   .129    7.0   1.39      Champ'e 31   18.7   .183    3.5   1.07
Reid    29   15.1   .146    2.1   1.12      Harper  29   21.1   .257    4.8   1.69
Edwards 26   24.3   .251   10.4   2.19      Castle  28   23.4   .352    7.8   2.39
Conley  24   23.0   .316   13.5   2.42      Johnson 24   10.4   .059   -3.4    .14
Hyland  12   -4.5  -.237   -8.8    .27      Barnes  10   24.5   .326   11.1   1.14
Clark    7   16.5   .224    4.5    .58      Kornet   9     .9  -.169  -14.6  -1.22
totals 240   14.4   .112   1.83   1.06    . totals 240   15.0   .112   1.39    .94

[Mike G]

Pistons 1 - 0 Cavs
111 - 101
Pyth wins .78 - .22 , eWins .64 - .36

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.11   James Harden   Cle   35  .564   23.6   8.5   6.3   1.1   7.6  2.1   1.54
.10   Evan Mobley    Cle   35  .636   14.3   9.6   4.5    .0   1.1  2.1   1.38
.10  Ausar Thompson  Det   33  .688   14.7   9.0   5.6   1.1   1.2  1.1   1.46
.10  Duncan Robinson Det   28  .760   28.5    .0   2.6   2.6    .0   .0   1.72
.10   Jalen Duren    Det   35  .423   10.1  12.7   4.2    .0   1.1  2.1   1.34

.10  Cade Cunningham Det   42  .469   19.8   2.6   6.1   1.7   3.8   .0   1.11
.10   Max Strus      Cle   27  .704   25.6   6.7   2.3   1.3   1.4   .0   1.69
.09   Tobias Harris  Det   39  .556   19.3   7.6    .9   1.8   2.0   .0   1.16
.09  Daniss Jenkins  Det   29  .429   13.4   8.7   3.7   4.8   1.3   .0   1.49
.07 Donovan Mitchell Cle   36  .575   22.0   4.1   1.7   1.0   3.2   .0    .89

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03  Isaiah Stewart  Det   13  1.00   25.8   8.2   2.7    .0   5.8   .0   1.12
.03   Ron Holland    Det   10  .667   22.3   3.5    .0   3.4    .0   .0   1.28
.02   Keon Ellis     Cle   11  .375    6.0   9.7    .0   6.4    .0   .0    .90
.01  Dennis Schröder Cle   16  .643   21.9   2.2   5.6    .0   9.2   .0    .29
.00   Dean Wade      Cle   28  .833    6.7   4.0   1.1   1.3    .0   .0    .05

.00   Thomas Bryant  Cle   10  .400    9.5    .0    .0   3.5    .0   .0    .04
-.01  Jaylon Tyson   Cle   17  .000     .0  10.5   1.8    .0   2.2   .0   -.40
-.02  Jarrett Allen  Cle   19  .250    2.2   5.9   1.7    .0   2.0  1.9   -.46

shooting : Cle .574 - .547 Det + 3.7
rebounds: Det 45 - 41 Cle + 3.1
turnovers: Det 12 - 20 Cle + 10.6

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. Cle   min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . Det    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Mitchell 36   14.1   .007    0.0    .89   Cunningham 42   13.0   .063   -1.0   1.11
Mobley   35   20.5   .185    8.0   1.38      Harris  39   16.6   .160    0.6   1.16
Harden   35   18.9   .037    1.5   1.54      Duren   35   18.3   .149    1.2   1.34
Wade     28   10.2   .093    2.9    .05     Thompson 33   21.4   .267    7.1   1.46
Strus    27   24.2   .237    9.9   1.69      Jenkins 29   19.5   .159    4.7   1.49
Allen    19   -1.1  -.123  -12.1   -.46     Robinson 28   24.0   .323   13.2   1.72
Tyson    17   -1.4  -.100   -9.7   -.40      Stewart 13   15.8   .138    0.4   1.12
Schröder 16   10.5  -.095   -5.2    .29      Holland 10   20.5   .279    6.8   1.28
Ellis    11   15.3   .104    4.8    .90      LeVert   9   -2.2  -.047  -12.3   -.53
Bryant   10    8.8   .026   -6.1    .04      Green    4   14.4   .080    0.6   1.41
Merrill   6   -2.7  -.312   -9.6  -1.29                       
.totals 240   12.9   .045   0.83    .72    . totals 240   17.6   .171   3.03   1.28

Thunder 1 - 0 Lakers
108 - 90
Pyth wins .92 - .08 , eWins .71 - .28

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.24   Chet Holmgren  OKC   31  .632   30.7  15.2   1.1   1.2    .0  3.5   3.67
.17   LeBron James    LA   37  .771   30.5   3.9   4.8    .9   2.1   .0   2.19
.13  Is. Hartenstein OKC   25  1.00   16.9  14.2   5.7   1.5    .0  1.5   2.48
.10   Ajay Mitchell  OKC   28  .514   25.5   2.8   5.0    .0   1.5   .0   1.65
.08   Jared McCain   OKC   15  .857   36.2   5.1   4.6    .0    .0   .0   2.65

.07   Isaiah Joe     OKC   12  .750   31.8   3.2   2.8   3.1    .0   .0   2.68
.07   Marcus Smart    LA   32  .375   11.9   4.5   6.4   4.3   2.4   .0   1.00
.06   Deandre Ayton   LA   28  .417   11.0  15.4   2.1    .0   1.4  1.3   1.08
.06   Rui Hachimura   LA   37  .643   17.6   1.9   1.6    .9   1.0  1.0    .77
.05   Shai G-A       OKC   35  .545   22.4   2.2   6.0   1.1   8.3  2.1    .75

eWin   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03   Cason Wallace  OKC   20  .417    9.1   7.7   3.4   5.6   4.0  1.8    .80
.02  Jaylin Williams OKC   21  .500    5.6  12.8   4.9   1.8   3.9   .0    .36
.01   Alex Caruso    OKC   21  .500    8.1   3.7   3.3    .0    .0   .0    .17
.00   Luguentz Dort  OKC   28  .600    9.1   4.2   5.0    .0   3.0   .0    .06
-.01  Luke Kennard    LA   29  .583    8.6   6.1   1.0   1.2   2.6   .0   -.09

-.01  Jake LaRavia    LA   14  .750    8.7   2.5    .0   2.4   5.3  2.5   -.42
-.02  Jaxson Hayes    LA   16  .375    5.9  13.1   1.8    .0   7.0   .0   -.65
-.03  Austin Reaves   LA   36  .235    5.7   5.0   4.9    .0   4.3  1.0   -.37

shooting : OKC .593 - .492 LA + 13.7
rebounds: OKC 44.0 - 41.0 LA + 2.3
turnovers: OKC 16.0 - 18.0 LA + 2.7

Code: Select all

. OKC    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . LAL   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Shai     35   10.2  -.018   -4.1    .75      LeBron 37   28.1   .247   14.1   2.19
Holmgren 31   35.2   .448    5.6   3.67      Rui    37   15.0   .090    6.9    .77
Mitchell 28   16.2   .169   -2.0   1.65      Reaves 36   -3.5  -.268  -13.5   -.37
Dort     28    6.9   .090   -0.2    .06      Smart  32   13.3   .017    4.5   1.00
Hart'n   25   26.7   .463   13.4   2.48     Kennard 29    6.1   .009   -4.0   -.09
Caruso   21    7.5   .147   -2.4    .17      Ayton  28   13.0   .020   -2.8   1.08
J Will   21    9.1   .119   -0.2    .36      Hayes  16     .4  -.186  -13.9   -.65
Wallace  20   12.2   .124    3.9    .80     LaRavia 14    5.6  -.092   -0.4   -.42
McCain   15   30.3   .470   16.7   2.65   Vanderbilt 6    5.7  -.059   -6.7   -.13
Joe      12   31.7   .376   15.0   2.68      
totals  240   17.1   .211   2.61   1.42     totals  240  10.6  -.003  -0.36    .58

[Mike G]

Knicks 2 - 0 Sixers
avg score 122.5 - 100.0
Pyth wins 1.87 - .13 , eWins 1.44 - .56

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.36   Karl-A Towns    NY   24  .787   35.2  15.3   9.0    .8   4.8  1.5   3.58
.31   Jalen Brunson   NY   36  .649   32.6   1.3   4.1   1.5   2.1   .0   2.08
.23   OG Anunoby      NY   34  .750   23.5   5.4   1.5   2.1   1.1  1.1   1.63
.21   Mikal Bridges   NY   32  .761   20.7   5.0   3.6   1.1    .0   .6   1.61
.17   Paul George    Phl   35  .600   17.1   5.9   3.2   1.1   1.6  1.1   1.16

.13   Josh Hart       NY   35  .464    6.2   9.9   5.7   3.1   2.8   .5    .93
.13   Kelly Oubre    Phl   33  .689   16.3   6.8   1.4   1.2   1.7   .6    .95
.07  Dominick Barlow Phl   15  .929   16.9   7.0    .0   2.4   2.3  2.3   1.13
.07   Tyrese Maxey   Phl   37  .488   17.0   3.6   3.4    .5   4.9   .0    .43
.06  Ariel Hukporti   NY   13  .636    8.4  19.8    .0    .0   1.4  2.7   1.13

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06  Andre Drummond  Phl   12  .750    9.3  19.9   1.3   1.5   3.0   .0   1.11
.05   VJ Edgecombe   Phl   34  .537   13.7   4.0   2.3   1.1   2.7   .0    .37
.04   Joel Embiid    Phl   13  .452   16.6   7.2   1.3    .0   1.5   .0    .83
.03  Quentin Grimes  Phl   24  .545    7.5   3.5   4.3   1.5    .7   .0    .32
.03   Jose Alvarado   NY    8  .667   17.2   2.5   3.7   2.0   2.1   .0    .86

.01  Jordan Clarkson  NY   11  .571   13.2  13.6    .0   1.5   8.1   .0    .19
-.01  Miles McBride   NY   19  .500    8.8   1.1   2.4    .0    .9   .0   -.15
-.02  Justin Edwards Phl    9  .667   15.5    .0    .0    .0   4.0   .0   -.49
-.02  Adem Bona      Phl   10  .500    2.4  16.1   1.4    .0   8.2  3.3   -.44
-.02  Landry Shamet   NY   11  .375    3.6    .0   2.8   1.5   1.6   .0   -.54

shooting : NY .666 - .559 Phl + 14.5
rebounds: NY 38.0 - 33.5 Phl + 3.5
turnovers: NY 14.0 - 18.5 Phl + 6.0

Code: Select all

. Phl    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . NYK   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Maxey    74    9.4  -.164   -7.5    .43      Brunson 72   28.3   .305    4.8   2.08
George   69   17.7   .038    5.4   1.16      Hart    69   12.0   .115    1.9    .93
E'combe  68   10.8  -.088   -2.7    .37      Anunoby 68   25.0   .307    7.8   1.63
Oubre    66   17.6   .075    4.0    .95      Bridges 64   24.9   .313    8.1   1.61
Grimes   48   11.0   .053   -0.1    .32      Towns   48   35.2   .447   16.4   3.58

Barlow   29   22.9   .184    8.2   1.13      McBride 38    6.0   .044   -6.7   -.15
Embiid   25   11.4  -.119   -5.9    .83     Hukporti 25   14.7   .238   -4.4   1.13
Drummond 24   13.2   .050   -1.4   1.11     Clarkson 21    5.9  -.092  -11.5    .19
Bona     20     .2  -.172  -16.0  -0.44      Shamet  21    2.1  -.005   -7.0   -.54
Edwards  17    2.9  -.134   -9.5   -.49     Alvarado 16   16.6   .183    1.1    .86

. Phl    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . NYK   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Watford  13    5.3  -.173   -8.7    .01     Robinson 12    2.5   .036   -9.1    .44
Terry    12    8.2  -.034   -0.6    .02      Kolek   10   33.2   .448   12.5   2.48
Walker   11   -1.9  -.168  -16.0   -.61      Dadiet   9   30.2   .403   13.4   1.75
Broome    5     .0  -.147  -12.6   -.40      Diawara  7   30.1   .496    9.7   2.34

.totals 480   12.1  -.032  -1.85    .56    . total  480   20.3   .235   3.69   1.44
min. correl:   .03   -.15    .12   -.06                    .55    .47    .62    .43

Spurs 1 - 1 Wolves
avg score 117.5 - 99.5
Pyth wins 1.80 - .20 , eWins 1.40 - .60

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.33  Vi. Wembanyama   SA   33  .435   14.7  15.4   3.7    .5   3.0  7.7   2.42
.27  Stephon Castle   SA   26  .717   35.4   5.8   5.9   1.4   3.7   .0   2.48
.18   Dylan Harper    SA   26  .592   20.8   6.7   5.6   1.3   1.4   .0   1.71
.16 Julian Champagnie SA   27  .806   20.6   6.4   1.3   1.4    .7   .7   1.42
.15   Devin Vassell   SA   29  .558   14.8   5.8   4.2   1.9    .7   .6   1.25

.11  Jaden McDaniels Min   28  .549   18.5   4.8   3.0    .7   2.2  1.3    .97
.09   Mike Conley    Min   20  .625   14.4   2.5   6.0    .9    .0   .0   1.07
.09   Naz Reid       Min   26  .767   17.7   9.7    .5    .0   2.9   .7    .82
.07  Anthony Edwards Min   25  .556   20.8   3.7   1.5    .0   3.7   .7    .65
.06   Keldon Johnson  SA   22  .435   12.8   8.7   1.5    .0    .8   .8    .73

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Julius Randle  Min   35  .465   17.0   7.3   1.6   1.6   5.8   .0    .45
.06   De'Aaron Fox    SA   30  .491   16.4   1.7   4.7   1.8   4.6   .0    .51
.05   Rudy Gobert    Min   29  .333    5.8  11.5   1.9   2.5   3.4   .6    .44
.05   Te. Shannon    Min   30  .452   13.8   5.6    .9    .0    .7   .0    .41
.05  Harrison Barnes  SA   13  .778   18.2   7.1    .0    .0   1.4  1.3    .89

.04   Luke Kornet     SA   11  .750   11.3   5.3   1.3   2.8   3.0  4.3    .87
.03   Kyle Anderson  Min    8  .444   16.9   5.9   6.4    .0   2.3   .0   1.10
-.01  Bones Hyland   Min   12  .000     .0   2.5   4.1   1.4   1.5  1.4   -.26
-.01  Jaylen Clark   Min   11  .417    4.7   1.3   1.1   1.4    .0   .0   -.31
-.02  Carter Bryant   SA    8  .250    2.5   3.8   3.8    .0   2.2   .0   -.72

shooting : SA .580 - .488 Min + 12.5
rebounds: SA 51.0 - 44.5 Min + 5.1
turnovers: SA 15.0 - 17.5 Min + 3.3

Code: Select all

. SAS   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . Min    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Wemby   66   20.9   .164    4.5   2.42      Randle  69    8.3  -.120   -5.3    .45
Fox     59    7.6   .025   -5.5    .51      Shannon 59    9.1   .042   -5.1    .41
Vassell 58   17.0   .264    5.7   1.25      Gobert  58    8.3  -.083   -2.8    .44
Champ'e 53   22.2   .307    9.6   1.42    McDaniels 55   15.5   .041    1.6    .97
Harper  52   20.3   .274    4.7   1.71      Reid    51   13.6   .074    1.7    .82

Castle  52   24.4   .384    5.5   2.48      Edwards 50   11.8  -.041    0.1    .65
Johnson 43   10.5   .108   -5.9    .73      Conley  40   17.4   .185    8.7   1.07
Barnes  25   22.4   .350    5.2    .89      Hyland  23   -6.2  -.318  -11.4   -.26
Kornet  22   17.4   .258    5.4    .87      Clark   22    7.0   .025   -0.5   -.31
Bryant  16   -3.8  -.033  -10.9   -.72     Anderson 15   15.6   .018    3.1   1.10

. SAS   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . Min    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
McLau'n 10   17.2   .282    7.2    .70      Dosunmu 11   -5.9  -.398   -8.0   -.34
Olynyk  10   20.9   .272    8.8   1.51      Ingles  10   32.9   .287   21.8   2.34
Waters   8   39.6   .461   15.5   3.36     Phillips 10    6.4   .059   -0.8   -.26
.                                          Beringer  8   28.3   .164    5.8   1.99
          
. totals     17.7   .223   3.20   1.40     . totals      10.9  -.011  -0.76    .60
min. correl:  .08   -.18    .13    .48                    .09   -.06   -.21    .11

[Mike G]

Pistons 2 - 0 Cavs
avg score 109.0 - 99.0
Pyth wins 1.56 - .44 , eWins 1.28 - .72

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.25  Cade Cunningham Det   42  .565   22.7   2.9   7.2   1.2   4.6   .9   1.45
.24 Donovan Mitchell Cle   37  .557   26.2   5.1   2.2   1.6   2.6   .0   1.61
.23  Duncan Robinson Det   33  .735   25.4   1.9   2.8   2.7    .7   .0   1.72
.23   Tobias Harris  Det   38  .586   20.6   8.2    .5   1.8   1.7  1.0   1.48
.20  Ausar Thompson  Det   29  .618   15.3  10.7   4.4   1.8    .8   .6   1.65

.17  Daniss Jenkins  Det   28  .464   14.5   9.3   4.4   2.4   1.5   .0   1.49
.14   Jarrett Allen  Cle   25  .667   20.2   7.4   2.6    .8   1.5  1.5   1.39
.14   Evan Mobley    Cle   35  .548   11.3   5.3   4.1   1.7   1.6  2.6    .93
.11   Jalen Duren    Det   34  .413    7.9  13.2   2.6    .0   1.9  1.1    .78
.08   James Harden   Cle   36  .464   14.0   7.2   4.5   1.1   5.7  1.0    .54

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.07   Max Strus      Cle   28  .564   12.3   5.2   1.7    .7    .7  1.3    .59
.04   Dean Wade      Cle   26  .722   10.0   5.8    .6    .8    .0   .0    .35
.03   Caris LeVert   Det   11  .667   13.1   6.9   1.5    .0    .0   .0    .73
.03   Ron Holland    Det   10  .471   11.4   6.0    .0   3.4    .0  1.8    .74
.03   Keon Ellis     Cle    9  .600   10.7   6.0    .0   4.2    .0   .0    .79

.02  Isaiah Stewart  Det   14  1.00   17.4   6.8   1.2    .0   2.9   .0    .40
.00  Dennis Schröder Cle   18  .500   11.8   3.9   6.8    .0   5.9   .0    .05
-.00  Jaylon Tyson   Cle   20  .389    4.0   9.1   1.6    .0    .9   .0   -.06

shooting : Det .569 - .542 Cle + 3.6
rebounds: Det 43.5 - 38.5 Cle + 3.9
turnovers: Det 12.5 - 15.5 Cle + 4.0

Code: Select all

. Cle    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . Det    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Mitchell 73   19.6   .056    4.4   1.61   Cunningham 84   18.4   .162    3.6   1.45
Harden   72    9.4  -.095   -5.5    .54      Harris  75   19.5   .180    3.0   1.48
Mobley   70   16.4   .090    5.7    .93      Duren   68   12.2   .085   -4.2    .78
Strus    55   13.1   .076    2.0    .59     Robinson 65   21.8   .270   11.4   1.72
Wade     51   12.1   .102    2.8    .35     Thompson 57   21.4   .269    6.1   1.65

Allen    50   20.2   .187    4.5   1.39      Jenkins 55   18.6   .153    2.9   1.49
Tyson    39    5.9  -.033   -5.7   -.06      Stewart 28   10.6   .147   -4.0    .40
Schröder 36    7.6  -.094   -6.3    .05      LeVert  22   14.6   .196    2.4    .73
Ellis    17   17.5   .170    7.7    .79      Holland 19   15.4   .189    1.6    .74
Bryant   10    8.8   .008   -6.1   -.07      Green    8    8.8   .036   -0.8    .12
Merrill   6   -2.7  -.460   -9.6  -1.44                
         
. Cle          PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      . Det         PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
. totals      13.3   .037   0.88    .72     . totals      17.7   .180   3.03   1.28
min. correl:   .36   -.08    .24    .54                    .55    .06    .33    .69

Thunder 2 - 0 Lakers
avg score 116.5 - 98.5
Pyth wins 1.81 - .19 , eWins 1.40 - .60

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.45   Chet Holmgren  OKC   32  .687   29.5  14.7   2.1   2.9   1.3  2.9   3.43
.27   LeBron James    LA   38  .667   25.1   3.5   4.6   2.0   2.6   .0   1.76
.24  Is. Hartenstein OKC   26  .900   15.8  15.3   3.3   2.1    .8  2.1   2.23
.20   Ajay Mitchell  OKC   29  .576   25.3   3.8   5.8    .0   2.2   .0   1.69
.14   Shai G-A       OKC   32  .588   25.7   2.8   4.3   1.2   6.7  1.2   1.07

.13   Jared McCain   OKC   17  .833   34.7   2.5   1.9    .0   1.2   .0   1.83
.10   Rui Hachimura   LA   38  .708   16.2   3.5   1.5   1.0   1.5   .5    .66
.10   Marcus Smart    LA   33  .413   12.1   5.3   5.2   2.8   2.9   .0    .72
.10   Cason Wallace  OKC   26  .607   12.1   4.9   3.7   2.7   1.6  1.4    .90
.09   Isaiah Joe     OKC   10  .722   24.9   2.0   6.1   1.7    .0   .0   2.16

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.08   Austin Reaves   LA   38  .513   17.8   4.1   4.6    .0   4.6   .5    .51
.07   Deandre Ayton   LA   27  .325    6.3  18.0   1.1    .0   2.2   .7    .63
.05   Alex Caruso    OKC   22  .455    7.2   5.7   4.4   1.6    .9   .0    .55
.05  Jaylin Williams OKC   18  .667   10.6  10.5   3.6   1.0   2.2   .0    .67
.00   Luke Kennard    LA   28  .773   10.6   4.5    .5    .6   1.3   .0    .04

.00   Jaxson Hayes    LA   16  .643   10.4  11.8   2.6   1.1   5.8   .0    .03
-.04  Luguentz Dort  OKC   26  .409    5.7   3.5   4.0    .7   3.3   .0   -.35
-.04  Jake LaRavia    LA   12  .375    3.4   1.7   1.1   2.8   4.4  1.4   -.80

shooting : OKC .630 - .547 LA + 11.1
rebounds: OKC 38.0 - 35.5 LA + 2.0
turnovers: OKC 15.0 - 19.5 LA + 6.0

Code: Select all

. OKC    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . LAL   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Holmgren 63   30.8   .367    5.6   3.43      Reaves 75   10.2  -.028   -4.2    .51
Shai     63   19.1   .134    1.4   1.07      LeBron 75   24.3   .153    9.5   1.76
Mitchell 58   16.4   .156   -1.3   1.69      Rui    75   14.7   .059    4.7    .66
Harten'n 52   26.3   .402    9.5   2.23      Smart  66   10.8  -.030   -0.7    .72
Wallace  51   13.5   .140    3.9    .90     Kennard 55    9.7   .029   -1.3    .04

Dort     51    7.3   .091   -0.6   -.35      Ayton  54    6.1  -.118   -9.7    .63
Caruso   43   11.4   .153    0.1    .55      Hayes  31    8.0  -.070   -6.1    .03
J Will   35   10.3   .114    0.5    .67     LaRavia 24     .0  -.209   -5.6   -.80
McCain   33   23.8   .321    8.3   1.83      Thiero  8    -.5  -.074   -9.7   -.67
Joe      20   24.7   .270    9.1   2.16      V'bilt  6    5.7  -.239   -6.7   -.12

. OKC    min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     . LAL   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Wiggins   7   -9.2  -.147  -18.2   -.53      Bronny  4   15.1   .080    9.5    .34
K Will    4    4.3   .041   -6.3  -1.14      Knecht  4    -.8  -.399  -16.3   -.10
.                                            Smith   4   11.1  -.065   -9.3   1.55
         
. totals      17.9   .206   2.81   1.40      . totals    11.8  -.008  -0.83    .60
min. correl:   .41    .15   -.04    .39         (1-8)     .68    .68    .63    .73