2023 Playoffs, East Conf. round 1

[Mike G]

Sixers 1 - 0 Nets
121 - 101
Pythagorean Wins .92 - .08, eWins .71 - .29

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eWin   per36 rates    tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.15   Joel Embiid     Phl   33  .634   33.6   6.9   3.4   .9   2.5  2.2   2.13
.15   James Harden    Phl   36  .548   25.7   5.1  13.6   .9   4.6   .0   1.95
.13   Tobias Harris   Phl   29  .750   32.7   6.3   5.2   .0   1.4  1.3   2.13
.11   Mikal Bridges   Brk   34  .750   33.5   6.4    .8   .0   3.4  1.1   1.61
.09   Tyrese Maxey    Phl   33  .650   15.9   8.3   3.4  2.8    .0   .0   1.28

.07   P.J. Tucker     Phl   25  .500    8.2  12.7   3.0  6.1    .0   .0   1.38
.06  Cameron Johnson  Brk   27  .818   26.0   6.4   2.1   .0   2.8   .0   1.12
.06   Paul Reed       Phl   13  .846   34.6  11.6    .0  3.9   2.6   .0   2.22
.05   Nic Claxton     Brk   30  .500    4.4  14.4    .9   .0    .0  3.7    .79
.04 Spencer Dinwiddie Brk   36  .483   12.0   3.6   5.5  3.6   4.3   .0    .57

eWin   per36 rates    tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Day'Ron Sharpe  Brk   17  .750   12.3  13.0   5.7   .0   3.9  1.9   1.04
.04  Jalen McDaniels  Phl   17  1.25   14.5   9.2   3.8   .0    .0   .0   1.01
.03 De'Anthony Melton Phl   22  .333    6.9   5.5   7.5  1.2    .0   .0    .72
.02   Seth Curry      Brk   16  1.00   23.0    .0   1.5   .0   2.1   .0    .59
.00   Royce O'Neale   Brk   28  .400    3.6   4.2   5.5  2.1   2.5   .0    .05

.00   Georges Niang   Phl   20  .800   14.5    .0    .0   .0    .0   .0    .03
.00   Dorian F-Smith  Brk   18  1.00   12.9   2.3    .0   .0   2.1   .0   -.09
-.02  Joe Harris      Brk   14  .500    5.3   5.2    .0   .0   4.6   .0   -.65

shooting: Brk .652 - .624 Phl
rebounds: Phl 38 - 35 Brk
turnovers: Phl 9 - 20 Brk

https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... _2023.html

Celtics 1 - 0 Hawks
112 - 99
Pyth wins .84 - .16, eWins .67 - .33

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eWin   per36 rates  tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.17  Derrick White  Bos   39  .727   28.7   4.2   6.5    .0   2.0  1.9   2.13
.16   Jaylen Brown  Bos   37  .592   34.1  10.5   2.9   1.2   6.4   .0   2.06
.14 Dejounte Murray Atl   36  .444   21.0   6.8   5.2   2.7   1.0   .0   1.82
.12   Marcus Smart  Bos   32  .458   12.6   7.0   7.8   4.3   2.4  2.3   1.74
.11   Jayson Tatum  Bos   40  .521   22.6   8.9   1.8    .0   2.0   .0   1.33

.09 Robert Williams Bos   22  1.00   26.7  10.2   2.8   1.8   3.1  1.5   2.07
.05   Clint Capela  Atl   27  .750   15.1   8.9    .0   1.2    .0   .0    .97
.04   John Collins  Atl   29  .750   15.8   4.2   1.1    .0   1.3  2.5    .70
.04  Bg. Bogdanović Atl   28  .429    8.8   3.9   4.0   2.1   1.2  2.4    .71
.04   Trae Young    Atl   35  .372   13.9   2.6   7.1   1.9   5.3   .0    .57

eWin   per36 rates  tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03   Al Horford    Bos   38  .750    6.7   7.7   1.9   1.2   2.1  1.9    .38
.02  Jalen Johnson  Atl   13  .300    9.4  11.2   1.9   2.0   2.3   .0    .60
.02   Saddiq Bey    Atl   24  .429    6.7   4.5   3.4   2.4   1.4   .0    .32
.01 Malcolm Brogdon Bos   21  .313    5.5   6.6   2.9    .0    .0   .0    .17
.00 De'Andre Hunter Atl   30  .500   10.8   3.0    .0   2.2   1.2   .0    .07

-.01 Onyeka Okongwu Atl   19  .250    2.6   6.8    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.38
-.02  Sam Hauser    Bos   11  .000     .0   2.3    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.92

shooting: Bos .577 - .454 Atl
rebounds: Bos 58 - 45 Atl
turnovers: Atl 11 - 17 Bos


Knicks 1 - 0 Cavs
101 - 97
Pyth wins .63 - .37, eWins .57 - .43

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.29 Donovan Mitchell Cle   44  .576   33.8   3.5   6.4   2.9   1.7   .8   3.11
.15   Jalen Brunson   NY   30  .519   34.3   2.7   2.5   2.1   1.5   .0   2.39
.13   Josh Hart       NY   33  .773   23.1  11.7   2.1    .9   2.6   .0   1.84
.11   Jarrett Allen  Cle   43  .778   14.5  10.1   3.3    .0    .9   .0   1.22
.10   Julius Randle   NY   34  .432   20.4  11.9   4.4   1.9   6.6   .0   1.45

.07   Obi Toppin      NY   14  .900   29.5  10.2   2.3    .0   2.8   .0   2.23
.06   RJ Barrett      NY   31  .269    6.1   5.2   7.2   4.1   1.5   .0    .99
.05   Mi. Robinson    NY   26  .600    8.5  12.5    .0   2.4    .0   .0    .95
.03   Cedi Osman     Cle   19  .900   21.2   1.5   3.3    .0   1.7   .0    .88
.03  Is. Hartenstein  NY   22  .800   14.4   8.4    .0    .0    .0   .0    .76

eWin   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03  Darius Garland  Cle   43  .586   16.0   0.0    .8   4.0   4.3   .9    .34
.02   Evan Mobley    Cle   38  .308    5.7   9.0   1.8   1.1   1.9   .0    .22
.02   Quentin Grimes  NY   27  .500    6.2   7.5   1.4    .0    .0  1.4    .28
.01   Isaac Okoro    Cle   23  .375    7.6   4.0   3.0    .0    .0   .0    .12
-.03  Caris LeVert   Cle   18  .188    3.1   1.5   1.8    .0   1.8   .0   -.83
-.04  Im. Quickley    NY   24  .214    2.8   4.7   2.8    .0   5.2   .0   -.87

shooting: Cle .519 - .510 NYK
rebounds: NYK 51 - 38 Cle
turnovers: Cle 14 - 16 NYK

[Crow]

Trae Young's tenure in Atlanta is on the line.

Landry Fields better make some more meaningful roster moves in next 18 months.

[Mike G]

Heat 1 - 0 Bucks
130 - 117
Pyth wins .80 - .20, eWins .65 - .35

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eWin   per36 rates  tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.24   Jimmy Butler  Mia   43  .565   27.2   5.7   7.6  2.6   2.8   .0   2.65
.17 Khris Middleton Mil   33  .660   32.8  10.7   3.2   .0   5.5   .0   2.46
.14   Bam Adebayo   Mia   33  .564   22.2  13.2   6.2  2.2   5.9   .0   2.10
.14   Jrue Holiday  Mil   35  .421   11.4   7.9  12.1  1.0   1.0   .0   1.89
.13   Kevin Love    Mia   23  .818   24.8  14.7   1.1   .0    .0   .0   2.64

.09   Bobby Portis  Mil   27  .636   20.8  10.5    .0   .0    .0   .0   1.57
.08   Gabe Vincent  Mia   33  1.07   21.0   2.9   5.3   .0   2.4   .0   1.11
.06   Tyler Herro   Mia   19  .667   20.7   4.8   2.9   .0   1.9  1.8   1.40
.03   Caleb Martin  Mia   26  .833   20.1   5.0    .0   .0   2.7   .0    .50
.02 Wesley Matthews Mil   18  .750    9.0   5.4   1.2  1.7    .0  1.7    .55

eWin   per36 rates  tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.01  Grayson Allen  Mil   31  .857   13.9   2.5   2.5   .0   2.3   .0    .13
.00   Joe Ingles    Mil   15  .643   14.3    .0   2.8   .0    .0   .0    .16
.00   Giannis A     Mil   11  .500   13.2   9.5    .0   .0   2.9   .0    .16
.00   Max Strus     Mia   38  .800    7.6   6.5   1.6   .0   1.0   .0   -.04
.00   Brook Lopez   Mil   36  .588    8.2   4.4    .7  1.0   3.1  3.1   -.07

-.02  Kyle Lowry    Mia   19  1.00    4.0   2.1   3.9  1.6   1.7   .0   -.45
-.04  Jae Crowder   Mil   12  .200    2.0    .0   1.7   .0   2.4   .0  -1.54
-.04  Jevon Carter  Mil   23  .250    1.3   3.0   1.0   .0    .0   .0   -.84

shooting: Mia .688 - .574 Mil
rebounds: Mil 38 - 36 Mia
turnovers: Mil 13 - 16 Mia

[Mike G]

Sixers 2 - 0 Nets
avg score 108.5 - 92.5
Pyth wins 1.79 - .21 , eWins 1.39 - .61

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.41   Joel Embiid    Phl   35  .648   31.9  15.0   5.6    .8   5.4  2.6   2.78
.32   Tobias Harris  Phl   31  .695   30.3  11.4   3.8    .5    .6   .6   2.49
.25   Tyrese Maxey   Phl   37  .667   25.6   5.4   1.6   1.2    .0   .5   1.64
.23   Mikal Bridges  Brk   38  .646   26.5   4.8   3.4    .6   3.0   .5   1.45
.21   James Harden   Phl   38  .456   16.1   5.3  10.5   2.0   4.6   .0   1.31

.20  Cameron Johnson Brk   34  .742   26.6   4.2   1.4   1.4   1.7   .5   1.42
.10   P.J. Tucker    Phl   24  .273    3.3  13.7   4.1   3.1    .0   .0   1.01
.09   Paul Reed      Phl   12  .810   30.1  10.3    .0   2.0   3.8  1.2   1.86
.08   Sp. Dinwiddie  Brk   39  .433   10.5   3.3   5.4   1.9   2.5   .0    .49
.06   De'A Melton    Phl   22  .441   10.6   4.4   3.9   1.2    .8  1.5    .68

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04  Day'Ron Sharpe  Brk    9  .750   13.6  10.8   6.5    .0   3.8  1.8   1.15
.04   Seth Curry     Brk   19  .655   17.0   0.0   3.8    .0    .9   .0    .53
.03   Nic Claxton    Brk   26  .357    2.5  11.2   1.9    .0    .7  2.1    .31
.02  Dorian F-Smith  Brk   23  .583   10.5   6.3    .7   2.1   2.5   .0    .25
.02   Royce O'Neale  Brk   32  .313    3.7   4.8   4.3   2.2   1.1   .0    .12

.00  Jalen McDaniels Phl   20  .500    4.2   5.8   3.5    .7    .8   .0    .02
-.04  Georges Niang  Phl   17  .800    9.2   1.1    .0    .0   1.9   .0   -.53
-.04  Joe Harris     Brk   14  .300    2.2   3.3    .0   2.9   3.5   .0   -.66

shooting: Phl .586 - .557 Brk
rebounds: Phl 47.0 - 34.0 Brk
turnovers: Phl 14.0 - 14.5 Brk

[Mike G]

Celtics 2 - 0 Hawks
avg score 115.5 - 102.5
Pyth wins 1.66 - .34 , eWins 1.33 - .67

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.34   Derrick White  Bos   36  .746   31.7   5.3   4.2    .6   2.8  2.6   2.29
.29  Dejounte Murray Atl   38  .520   23.4   6.3   4.6   3.2   2.0   .0   1.86
.29   Jayson Tatum   Bos   40  .587   26.9   8.5   3.4    .5   3.1   .5   1.79
.23   Jaylen Brown   Bos   37  .580   26.7   6.6   2.3   2.2   5.6  1.0   1.48
.22   Marcus Smart   Bos   32  .543   15.0   5.9   6.7   3.8   1.9  1.1   1.61

.12   Trae Young     Atl   35  .430   18.7   2.9   5.9   2.0   5.5   .0    .84
.11  Robert Williams Bos   23  .909   18.7   7.8   1.9    .8   2.3  2.1   1.21
.10  Bg. Bogdanović  Atl   31  .628   14.3   3.0   3.5   2.1   1.1  1.1    .82
.10  Malcolm Brogdon Bos   25  .429   10.6   6.7   5.8    .7    .7   .6    .91
.08   Clint Capela   Atl   24  .615    9.3  10.2    .0   2.1    .0   .7    .82

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.08   Al Horford     Bos   35  .700    7.6   5.9   2.4   1.2   1.2  2.6    .55
.05  De'Andre Hunter Atl   34  .483   12.9   7.4   1.3   1.0   2.8   .0    .36
.02  Onyeka Okongwu  Atl   22  .500    5.6   9.3    .6    .0    .0  1.4    .28
.01   John Collins   Atl   30  .447    7.4   5.6   1.0    .0   1.3  1.8    .08
.01   Jalen Johnson  Atl    9  .273    5.6  12.0   1.1   1.4   3.0   .0    .14

-.02  Saddiq Bey     Atl   20  .273    2.7   3.6   1.9   1.5    .8   .0   -.29
-.03  Sam Hauser     Bos   13  .500    2.5   3.7    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.63

shooting: Bos .614 - .479 Atl
rebounds: Bos 51.0 - 47.0 Atl
turnovers: Atl 13.5 - 16.5 Bos


Cavs 1 - 1 Knicks
avg score 102.0 - 95.5
Pyth wins 1.41 - .59 , eWins 1.21 - .79

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.49 Donovan Mitchell Cle   42  .598   28.3   3.2   9.7   2.6   1.8   .9   2.86
.28   Jalen Brunson   NY   33  .490   25.6   4.1   4.5   2.8   1.9   .0   2.02
.27  Darius Garland  Cle   40  .662   28.4   1.4   3.8   2.2   4.3   .5   1.59
.25   Jarrett Allen  Cle   39  .639   12.6  11.5   3.4   1.7   1.0  1.4   1.55
.17   Julius Randle   NY   34  .471   22.3  10.3   2.8   1.4   6.8   .0   1.19

.13   Evan Mobley    Cle   39  .420    9.1  11.7   1.0   1.7   2.0  1.0    .81
.10   Josh Hart       NY   30  .786   15.0   8.4   1.2   1.0   1.9   .0    .80
.09   RJ Barrett      NY   32  .356    9.5   4.2   3.5   2.4    .6   .0    .66
.07   Caris LeVert   Cle   29  .540   16.7   3.0   2.4    .0   1.8   .0    .58
.06   Obi Toppin      NY   15  .615   18.8   4.5   2.2    .9   2.4  1.1   1.04

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.05   Mi. Robinson    NY   24  .571    6.0  10.5    .0   1.3   1.7  3.1    .51
.05  Is. Hartenstein  NY   25  .522    8.2   8.6   3.5    .6   1.5   .0    .45
.02   Quentin Grimes  NY   25  .474    6.1   6.2   2.3   1.9   1.7   .7    .22
.01   Cedi Osman     Cle   21  .500   11.2   5.6   1.6    .9   3.2   .8    .16
.00   Danny Green    Cle   10  .750    5.7   6.6    .0   3.9   1.7   .0    .07

-.01  Im. Quickley    NY   24  .441    9.8   3.0   2.2   1.2   3.2   .0   -.11
-.02  Isaac Okoro    Cle   13  .333    7.0   5.7   2.9    .0   2.9   .0   -.29

shooting: Cle .564 - .495 NYK
rebounds: NYK 43.5 - 40.5 Cle
turnovers: Cle 16.0 - 17.0 NYK

[Mike G]

Bucks 1 - 1 Heat
avg score 127.5 - 126.0
Pyth wins 1.08 - .92 , eWins 1.04 - .96

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eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.31   Jimmy Butler   Mia   36  .625   28.5   4.8   5.4   2.6   2.1   .0   2.10
.26   Jrue Holiday   Mil   34  .526   18.4   6.7  10.9   1.1   2.2   .0   1.83
.23  Khris Middleton Mil   31  .583   26.9   9.4   5.0    .0   3.6   .0   1.84
.21   Bobby Portis   Mil   28  .667   18.3  15.4   2.4    .7    .7  1.3   1.83
.18   Bam Adebayo    Mia   29  .556   22.5  10.4   3.8   1.9   5.3   .0   1.46

.11   Joe Ingles     Mil   20  .929   23.4   3.4   3.7   1.7   1.7   .0   1.36
.11   Kevin Love     Mia   17  .733   18.8  12.5   1.5   1.0   1.0  1.0   1.58
.11  Pat Connaughton Mil   13  .917   30.6   5.6   3.0   1.4   1.4  1.4   2.14
.11   Brook Lopez    Mil   35  .673   16.6   4.4   1.2   1.6   2.7  2.1    .76
.10   Gabe Vincent   Mia   27  .795   20.9   1.6   4.6    .0   2.1   .0    .90

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.08   Caleb Martin   Mia   28  .811   18.4   2.9   2.8    .6   1.9   .0    .71
.06  Duncan Robinson Mia   16  .850   18.3   7.8   2.5    .0   2.3   .0    .94
.05   Cody Zeller    Mia    6  1.00   13.4  25.2   6.1    .0   5.6   .0   1.87
.04   Tyler Herro    Mia   10  .667   20.2   4.6   2.9    .0   2.0  2.0   1.10
.03   Grayson Allen  Mil   31  .718   14.3   2.5   1.8    .0   1.8   .0    .24

.02  Victor Oladipo  Mia   13  .517   14.8   7.7   1.0    .0   2.7   .0    .46
.02   Ha. Highsmith  Mia    6  .500    3.8   6.3   2.0   5.4    .0  2.7    .84
.02  Wesley Matthews Mil    9  .750    8.3   5.7   1.4   1.8    .0  1.8    .52
.01   Giannis A      Mil    6  .500   16.1  10.5    .0    .0   3.4   .0    .51

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.01  Kyle Lowry     Mia   19  .583    5.7   5.2   4.0   1.8   4.6   .0   -.12
-.01  Max Strus      Mia   35  .632    4.1   6.1   1.2   1.1    .5   .0   -.07
-.02  Jevon Carter   Mil   19  .357    2.2   3.7   1.3    .9    .0   .0   -.32
-.03  Jae Crowder    Mil   14  .111     .7   3.7   1.8   1.2   1.2   .0   -.58

shooting: Mia .662 - .622 Mil
rebounds: Mil 41.5 - 38.5 Mia
turnovers: Mil 12.0 - 16.5 Mia

[Mike G]

Sixers 3 - 0 Nets
avg score 106.3 - 94.0
Pyth wins 2.51 - .49 , eWins 2.01 - .99

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.49   Joel Embiid    Phl   36  .588   24.6  14.0   4.2   1.0   5.4  2.4   2.19
.42   Tyrese Maxey   Phl   36  .689   27.0   4.9   2.1   1.3    .4   .3   1.83
.40   Tobias Harris  Phl   32  .651   24.0  10.5   2.7    .4    .8   .4   1.96
.37   Mikal Bridges  Brk   40  .570   23.7   4.9   3.7    .6   2.3   .6   1.49
.36   James Harden   Phl   35  .515   20.2   6.0   8.7   1.8   4.1   .0   1.65

.27   Cam Johnson    Brk   37  .708   21.5   4.2   2.1    .7   1.1   .3   1.17
.17   Sp. Dinwiddie  Brk   40  .489   13.1   3.0   5.7   1.5   2.7   .0    .69
.16   P.J. Tucker    Phl   25  .300    3.3  13.4   4.5   2.4    .5   .5   1.00
.15   Nic Claxton    Brk   26  .657   10.8   9.2   2.1    .5    .5  1.4    .88
.12   De'A. Melton   Phl   25  .538   13.3   3.8   2.8   2.2   1.4   .9    .77

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.11   Paul Reed      Phl   11  .655   20.2  14.0    .0   1.8   2.8   .9   1.60
.05   Seth Curry     Brk   12  .655   17.4    .0   4.0    .0    .9   .0    .62
.04  Day'Ron Sharpe  Brk    7  .750   11.2   8.9   6.9    .0   3.2  1.5    .99
.02   Royce O'Neale  Brk   31  .354    4.7   5.5   3.4   1.5   1.6   .4    .08
.01  Dorian F-Smith  Brk   27  .531    6.7   7.6    .8    .9   2.0   .5    .05

.00  Jalen McDaniels Phl   17  .450    5.3   6.7   2.6    .6   1.3   .0    .03
-.01  Cam Thomas     Brk    5  .429    9.1   1.8   1.7    .0   2.0   .0   -.31
-.05  Georges Niang  Phl   17  .722    8.9   2.2    .0    .0   1.9   .0   -.46
-.05  Joe Harris     Brk   10  .188    1.5   3.0    .0   2.0   3.2   .0   -.88

shooting: Phl .583 - .551 Brk
rebounds: Phl 46.7 - 34.0 Brk
turnovers: Brk 13.0 - 14.3 Phl

[Mike G]

Celtics 2 - 1 Hawks
avg score 117.7 - 111.7
Pyth wins 2.00 - 1.00 , eWins 1.75 - 1.25

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.42   Jayson Tatum   Bos   40  .572   24.9   8.7   3.4   1.0   3.3   .3   1.69
.41  Dejounte Murray Atl   38  .538   22.6   6.6   4.3   2.5   2.1   .0   1.75
.36   Marcus Smart   Bos   32  .570   18.2   5.2   6.7   3.5   1.6   .8   1.80
.35   Derrick White  Bos   34  .753   24.4   4.6   4.0    .7   1.9  1.8   1.67
.31   Trae Young     Atl   35  .503   23.2   4.2   6.3   1.7   5.1   .7   1.43

.22   Jaylen Brown   Bos   35  .549   21.2   5.1   2.4   2.5   4.8   .7   1.02
.18  Bg. Bogdanović  Atl   28  .712   16.8   4.0   2.8   2.0   1.3  1.2   1.06
.15   Clint Capela   Atl   24  .619   10.2  12.9    .0   1.9    .5   .5    .99
.14  Malcolm Brogdon Bos   26  .479   13.2   5.0   5.4    .4   1.4   .4    .85
.12  Robert Williams Bos   21  .923   15.0   8.2   1.7   1.0   2.7  1.5    .89

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.09   Al Horford     Bos   33  .647    7.3   5.7   2.5    .8    .8  1.9    .45
.09  Grant Williams  Bos    6  1.40   35.1   3.1   2.9   1.8    .0   .0   2.40
.05   Saddiq Bey     Atl   22  .553    8.7   6.4   1.9   1.0   1.0   .0    .34
.05   Jalen Johnson  Atl   10  .471   13.5   9.3   3.6   1.8   4.8   .0    .70
.04  Onyeka Okongwu  Atl   22  .577    6.1   9.3    .8    .0   1.0  2.4    .32

.03   John Collins   Atl   26  .472    8.5   6.9   1.1    .0   1.9  1.4    .17
.03  De'Andre Hunter Atl   34  .465   11.1   6.1   1.1    .7   2.6   .0    .13
-.05  Sam Hauser     Bos   12  .375    1.5   3.8    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.68

shooting: Bos .613 - .535 Atl
rebounds: Atl 47.3 - 43.7 Bos
turnovers: Bos 15.0 - 15.3 Atl


Knicks 2 - 1 Cavs
avg score 96.7 - 94.3
Pyth wins 1.74 - 1.26 , eWins 1.62 - 1.38

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.61 Donovan Mitchell Cle   40  .579   27.0   4.3   7.9   2.3   3.1   .6   2.41
.46   Jalen Brunson   NY   35  .511   26.5   4.1   5.2   2.6   2.3   .0   2.13
.27   Jarrett Allen  Cle   38  .659   10.7   9.3   2.6   1.0    .7  1.6   1.11
.25   Julius Randle   NY   33  .430   19.8  10.1   3.1   1.4   5.3   .0   1.21
.25   RJ Barrett      NY   32  .482   16.0   6.1   3.7   2.2   1.3   .0   1.26

.24  Darius Garland  Cle   37  .500   20.9   1.6   3.6   2.9   4.1   .3   1.05
.20   Josh Hart       NY   29  .833   19.3   8.2   1.2   1.5   3.0   .0   1.08
.15   Evan Mobley    Cle   38  .443    9.5  11.1   1.0   1.1   2.4  1.0    .64
.15   Mi. Robinson    NY   26  .536    7.5   9.8   1.5   1.8   1.0  2.8    .91
.15   Obi Toppin      NY   15  .558   19.9   5.3   2.3   3.4   2.4  1.4   1.57

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.13   Caris LeVert   Cle   31  .512   17.0   3.5   2.7    .0   1.6   .0    .68
.12  Is. Hartenstein  NY   22  .543   10.9   9.0   3.2   1.4   1.7   .5    .86
.05   Im. Quickley    NY   23  .542   14.1   2.5   2.5    .9   2.6   .0    .32
.02  Quentin Grimes   NY   21  .379    5.6   6.2   1.9   1.7   1.3  1.2    .19
.00   Isaac Okoro    Cle   13  .542   13.4   5.6   1.8    .0   3.8   .0    .01

-.01  Danny Green    Cle   11  .300    2.2   6.2   1.0   2.2   1.1  1.0   -.17
-.02  Cedi Osman     Cle   19  .438    7.4   5.2   1.1   1.2   2.4   .6   -.14

shooting: Cle .525 - .509 NYK
rebounds: NYK 44.0 - 41.0 Cle
turnovers: NYK 16.0 - 17.7 Cle

[Mike G]

Heat 2 - 1 Bucks
avg score 124.3 - 118.0
Pyth wins 2.00 - 1.00 , eWins 1.75 - 1.25

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.57   Jimmy Butler   Mia   33  .657   33.2   5.6   5.4   2.6   2.3   .0   2.76
.36  Khris Middleton Mil   32  .615   26.2   7.9   5.0    .8   4.3   .0   1.80
.30   Bam Adebayo    Mia   29  .542   20.1  12.2   4.4   2.1   4.8   .4   1.64
.29   Jrue Holiday   Mil   35  .513   17.2   6.1   8.0    .7   3.2   .4   1.32
.27   Bobby Portis   Mil   26  .623   15.9  15.9   2.1   1.4    .9   .9   1.68

.21   Kevin Love     Mia   18  .667   15.9  14.0   2.2   1.3    .7  1.3   1.84
.19  Duncan Robinson Mia   19  .949   26.5   6.8   2.6    .0   2.7   .0   1.60
.19  Pat Connaughton Mil   17  .868   22.3   7.8   3.1   1.4   1.4   .7   1.74
.17   Caleb Martin   Mia   29  .737   16.7   7.1   2.6   1.2   2.1   .0    .92
.07   Brook Lopez    Mil   33  .586   12.3   4.2   1.4   1.5   2.6  1.9    .36

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.07   Gabe Vincent   Mia   24  .673   16.8   1.8   4.6    .5   3.3   .0    .45
.06  Victor Oladipo  Mia   15  .561   14.3   6.4   1.3   1.6   1.6   .8    .67
.06   Joe Ingles     Mil   21  .738   16.3   2.3   2.9   1.1   2.8   .6    .47
.06   Cody Zeller    Mia    6  1.00    9.6  19.4   4.5   1.9   3.9   .0   1.50
.06   Grayson Allen  Mil   30  .712   14.3   3.4   1.9    .0   1.6   .0    .30

.05   Tyler Herro    Mia    6  .667   21.6   4.6   3.2    .0   2.1  2.0   1.28
.05   Ha. Highsmith  Mia    5  .750   12.3   7.7   1.8   4.4    .0  2.2   1.49
.04   Kyle Lowry     Mia   21  .629   11.6   3.8   4.0   1.6   3.4   .5    .30
.02  Wesley Matthews Mil    6  .750    8.5   6.0   1.5   2.0    .0  2.0    .54
.01   Giannis A      Mil    4  .500   16.6  10.8    .0    .0   3.5   .0    .43

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.01   Max Strus     Mia   31  .686    6.4   4.6   1.0   1.2    .4   .0   -.06
-.04   Jae Crowder   Mil   14  .250    2.8   3.5   1.9   1.7    .9   .0   -.46
-.05   Jevon Carter  Mil   16  .278    1.5   2.9   2.2    .7    .0   .0   -.47

shooting: Mia .660 - .598 Mil
rebounds: Mia 40.3 - 40.0 Mil
turnovers: Mil 14.0 - 15.7 Mia


Sixers 4 - 0 Nets
avg score 103.8 - 92.5
Pyth wins 3.29 - .71 , eWins 2.64 - 1.36

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.61   Tobias Harris  Phl   34  .648   24.7  11.2   2.3    .5    .6   .5   2.16
.52   James Harden   Phl   36  .476   18.7   6.6   9.3   1.5   3.9   .3   1.72
.50   Joel Embiid    Phl   27  .588   24.9  13.6   4.3   1.0   5.5  2.4   2.24
.48   Tyrese Maxey   Phl   37  .596   23.5   5.9   1.8   1.5   1.1   .2   1.57
.43   Mikal Bridges  Brk   39  .531   21.4   4.6   3.5    .5   2.0   .5   1.30

.33   Cam Johnson    Brk   38  .632   18.2   5.3   2.5    .8   1.3   .2   1.04
.29   Nic Claxton    Brk   29  .700   14.2   9.5   1.8    .3   1.0  2.2   1.21
.27   Sp. Dinwiddie  Brk   40  .532   15.2   2.8   5.7   1.2   3.0   .2    .81
.23   Paul Reed      Phl   17  .592   16.3  16.4   1.0   1.5   2.2  1.0   1.70
.18   De'A. Melton   Phl   26  .566   15.2   3.5   2.7   1.6   1.1   .7    .86

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.15   P.J. Tucker    Phl   27  .286    3.0  11.0   3.6   2.4    .4   .3    .70
.05   Seth Curry     Brk   15  .610   13.9   1.6   3.1    .0    .6   .0    .44
.04  Day'Ron Sharpe  Brk    5  .750   11.4   8.5   7.0    .0   3.2  1.5   1.03
.03  Dorian F-Smith  Brk   25  .543    8.2   6.1   1.0   1.1   1.9   .7    .15
.02   Royce O'Neale  Brk   30  .333    4.2   4.6   3.8   1.5   1.2   .3    .07

.00  Jalen McDaniels Phl   17  .542    6.6   6.2   2.0    .5   1.6   .0    .00
-.01  Cam Thomas     Brk    4  .429    9.3   1.7   1.7    .0   1.9   .0   -.30
-.04  Georges Niang  Phl   16  .773   10.3   1.8    .5    .0   1.6   .0   -.29
-.07  Joe Harris     Brk   11  .250    2.9   3.2    .0   1.4   2.2   .0   -.75

shooting : Phl .557 - .535 Brk
rebounds: Phl 48.5 - 35.0 Brk
turnovers: Brk 12.3 - 13.3 Phl

[Crow]

Cam Thomas used 4 minutes per game in playoffs.

[Mike G]

Celtics 3 - 1 Hawks
avg score 120.5 - 114.0
Pyth wins 2.71 - 1.29 , eWins 2.35 - 1.65

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.61   Jayson Tatum   Bos   40  .579   25.8   8.3   3.4    .7   3.2   .9   1.86
.55   Trae Young     Atl   37  .519   24.3   3.7   7.5   1.7   3.9   .5   1.80
.53  Dejounte Murray Atl   38  .543   21.4   6.8   4.3   2.1   2.3   .2   1.67
.46   Marcus Smart   Bos   32  .596   19.3   5.1   6.1   2.7   1.8   .6   1.72
.40   Derrick White  Bos   34  .725   22.8   4.1   3.5    .6   2.0  1.4   1.42

.34   Jaylen Brown   Bos   37  .574   22.3   4.6   2.3   1.8   3.9   .5   1.11
.24  Robert Williams Bos   23  .881   15.3  10.6   2.0   1.4   2.5  1.7   1.24
.18  Malcolm Brogdon Bos   25  .516   14.5   5.1   5.2    .3   2.0   .3    .87
.18   Clint Capela   Atl   26  .621   10.7  11.3    .0   2.0   1.5   .7    .84
.15  Bg. Bogdanović  Atl   26  .667   14.4   3.7   2.2   1.5   1.0  1.0    .72

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.14  De'Andre Hunter Atl   36  .549   14.1   6.0   1.2    .7   2.1   .3    .46
.11   Al Horford     Bos   33  .579    5.3   7.2   3.0   1.2   1.2  1.4    .40
.07  Grant Williams  Bos    5  1.40   28.2   2.7   2.4   1.5    .0   .0   1.82
.05   Jalen Johnson  Atl    9  .500   12.0   8.6   3.4   2.1   3.8   .0    .69
.02   Saddiq Bey     Atl   22  .491    6.9   5.6   1.4    .7    .7   .0    .09

.02  Onyeka Okongwu  Atl   21  .568    6.6   8.3    .6    .4   1.9  1.8    .09
.01   John Collins   Atl   26  .411    7.0   6.8   1.1    .0   1.8  1.4    .04
-.06  Sam Hauser     Bos   11  .500    2.6   4.1    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.61

shooting : Bos .619 - .539 Atl
rebounds: Atl 46.0 - 45.0 Bos
turnovers: Atl 14.5 - 15.3 Bos


Knicks 3 - 1 Cavs
avg score 98.0 - 94.0
Pyth wins 2.54 - 1.46 , eWins 2.27 - 1.73

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.65   Jalen Brunson   NY   37  .542   27.3   4.7   5.2   2.1   2.9   .2   2.13
.54 Donovan Mitchell Cle   41  .515   21.2   4.0   6.8   2.0   3.8   .4   1.59
.42  Darius Garland  Cle   37  .536   22.1   1.7   5.1   2.2   3.1   .2   1.35
.37   RJ Barrett      NY   33  .500   18.9   5.2   2.9   1.5    .9   .3   1.34
.30   Mi. Robinson    NY   26  .600   10.6  12.0   1.5   1.3    .8  2.8   1.35

.29   Josh Hart       NY   32  .684   19.0   8.3   1.5   1.6   3.2   .0   1.10
.28   Jarrett Allen  Cle   39  .652   11.2   7.7   1.8   1.0    .7  1.2    .87
.24   Julius Randle   NY   32  .410   16.7   8.9   2.7   1.1   4.6   .3    .91
.21   Caris LeVert   Cle   33  .523   15.8   4.9   2.4    .3   1.4   .3    .77
.21   Evan Mobley    Cle   37  .489   10.4  10.0   1.4    .8   2.3  1.2    .66

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.20   Obi Toppin      NY   16  .547   16.8   8.7   2.2   2.5   1.8  1.1   1.50
.16  Is. Hartenstein  NY   22  .513    8.8  11.0   3.3   1.9   2.3  1.2    .91
.04   Cedi Osman     Cle   20  .490   10.4   6.1   1.7   1.0   2.3   .4    .24
.03   Isaac Okoro    Cle   14  .524   14.8   3.9   1.3    .0   2.7  1.3    .31
.03  Quentin Grimes   NY   16  .379    5.7   6.6   1.9   1.7   1.4  1.2    .25

.01   Im. Quickley    NY   22  .464   10.3   3.0   2.4    .7   2.2   .0    .05
-.02  Danny Green    Cle    9  .300    2.0   5.8    .9   2.1   1.0  1.0   -.24

shooting : Cle .528 - .512 NYK
rebounds: NYK 44.8 - 39.0 Cle
turnovers: NYK 15.5 - 16.5 Cle

[Mike G]

Cam Thomas used 4 minutes per game in playoffs.

And Patty Mills 5 min. total; Seth Curry only got into 3 games.
The Nets needed points, but they needed rebounds more. There's some chance a decent rebounder will get a hot hand, but less likely a weak rebounder will suddenly become a strong one.
More Day'Ron Sharpe and less of Joe Harris? -- Hindsight.

[Crow]

Cam Thomas had the big games in February and many reacted big including Sam Vecenie who exclaimed that he was "always a bucket". I questioned / disputed that description on Twitter... because of the facts to date about general low efficiency in college and NBA Then he went mostly back on shelf and 11 for 36 from the field over a long stretch. Then he scored 46 pts in final regular season game. Then back on shelf for playoffs.

It is a story / issue. I don't know the long-term outcome. Thomas is unable or refuses to do anything but hunt baskets sometimes when not restrained (including rebounding), in part imo because of the lifelong praise conditioning for "getting buckets".

AAU, recruiting hypesters, draft hypesters all have corrosive affects. Sometime college coaches straighten things out, sometimes they don't. Sometime NBA coaches straighten things out, sometimes they don't. Sometimes players eventually figure out how to change, sometimes they don't. Thomas on Nets, another NBA team, Europe, China...?

Thomas, replacement level on BPM but approaching neutral on Darko. Still early... because drafted too early. Maybe it works for next coach, next team. What were Sean Marks' expectations and plans? What has he done for 2 years on this? (beyond fighting other huge fires) Where is Marks in 12-24 months?




Why didn't Vaughn use Sharpe more? Why did Claxton play slightly less than regular season? Why was he unable to achieve any change in rebounding results? Besides Sixers being good there. Vaughn goes to 0-8 in playoffs in 2 appearances.

[Mike G]

Heat 3 - 1 Bucks
avg score 123.0 - 117.0
Pyth wins 2.64 - 1.36 , eWins 2.32 - 1.68

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.00  Jimmy Butler   Mia   35  .692   39.5   6.5   4.3   1.8   1.9   .3   3.44
.41  Khris Middleton Mil   33  .593   22.4   7.0   5.3    .8   3.9   .0   1.49
.36   Bam Adebayo    Mia   30  .511   18.9  11.6   3.9   1.9   4.6   .6   1.46
.33   Jrue Holiday   Mil   36  .477   14.8   5.9   6.6   1.0   2.5   .5   1.10
.28   Brook Lopez    Mil   35  .631   17.6   5.7   1.0   1.6   2.4  2.1    .99

.28   Caleb Martin   Mia   28  .783   17.2   8.4   2.3   1.6   1.6   .0   1.20
.26   Bobby Portis   Mil   23  .593   15.2  14.2   1.8   1.2   1.6   .8   1.39
.26   Kevin Love     Mia   19  .630   13.0  13.1   2.3   1.4    .5  1.9   1.59
.20  Pat Connaughton Mil   18  .707   17.3   7.9   2.6   1.4   1.0   .5   1.36
.20  Duncan Robinson Mia   22  .939   20.4   6.0   2.0    .4   2.1   .0   1.12

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.18   Giannis A      Mil   12  .533   22.3   9.5   7.5    .8   5.3  1.5   1.80
.07   Gabe Vincent   Mia   25  .573   15.0   2.1   5.7   1.1   4.2   .0    .32
.06   Joe Ingles     Mil   20  .773   14.0   2.5   2.9   1.3   2.1   .4    .37
.06  Victor Oladipo  Mia   11  .561   14.4   6.0   1.3   1.5   1.6   .8    .65
.05   Tyler Herro    Mia    5  .667   21.8   4.4   3.2    .0   2.0  1.9   1.32

.05   Kyle Lowry     Mia   22  .571   10.4   4.4   4.5   1.6   3.7   .8    .25
.04   Ha. Highsmith  Mia    8  .563    7.1   7.5    .9   3.3    .0  1.1    .68
.04   Cody Zeller    Mia    7  .600    7.1  13.8   3.0   1.2   2.6   .0    .71
.02   Grayson Allen  Mil   31  .685   11.8   2.3   1.4    .6   1.2   .0    .08
.02  Wesley Matthews Mil    5  .750    8.6   5.5   1.5   1.9    .0  1.9    .48

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.05  Jae Crowder    Mil   10  .250    2.8   3.2   1.9   1.6    .8   .0   -.57
-.06  Jevon Carter   Mil   12  .278    1.5   2.7   2.1    .7    .0   .0   -.54
-.09  Max Strus      Mia   28  .649    5.9   3.8    .8   1.0   1.1   .0   -.38

shooting : Mia .644 - .581 Mil
rebounds: Mia 42.0 - 41.5 Mil
turnovers: Mil 14.0 - 15.8 Mia

[Mike G]

Celtics 3 - 2 Hawks
avg score 119.8 - 115.0
Pyth wins 3.16 - 1.84 , eWins 2.83 - 2.17

Code: Select all

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.71   Trae Young     Atl   38  .523   25.2   3.7   8.6   1.7   3.9   .4   1.79
.65   Jayson Tatum   Bos   39  .552   23.3   8.2   4.3    .6   2.9   .9   1.59
.51  Dejounte Murray Atl   31  .543   21.6   7.0   4.8   2.1   2.3   .2   1.60
.49   Derrick White  Bos   33  .729   22.9   4.4   3.9    .5   1.6  1.6   1.43
.49   Jaylen Brown   Bos   37  .601   25.0   5.0   2.9   1.4   3.9   .4   1.25

.44   Marcus Smart   Bos   31  .591   18.3   5.0   5.9   2.3   2.0   .5   1.37
.30  Bg. Bogdanović  Atl   27  .708   16.8   4.6   3.1   1.5    .8  1.3   1.07
.29  Robert Williams Bos   24  .855   15.3  10.5   2.3   1.2   2.0  1.4   1.16
.24  Malcolm Brogdon Bos   25  .525   15.3   5.1   5.3    .3   1.7   .3    .91
.21   Clint Capela   Atl   25  .588   10.3  12.0    .3   1.7   1.2   .9    .83

eWin   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.17   Al Horford     Bos   33  .521    4.8   7.1   3.6   1.2   1.2  2.2    .49
.15  De'Andre Hunter Atl   37  .556   13.2   5.6   1.0    .6   1.7   .2    .38
.08   John Collins   Atl   27  .477   11.0   6.0   1.2    .3   2.0  1.1    .29
.08  Grant Williams  Bos    4  1.40   32.3   3.0   2.9   1.7    .0   .0   2.06
.08  Onyeka Okongwu  Atl   22  .612    8.2   8.0   1.3    .6   1.9  1.8    .34

.07   Jalen Johnson  Atl   10  .457   10.6   9.0   4.2   1.7   3.1   .0    .69
.06   Saddiq Bey     Atl   22  .521    9.0   6.0   1.3    .6    .6   .0    .26
-.01  Sam Hauser     Bos   12  .636    6.4   4.5   1.0    .0    .0   .5   -.05

shooting : Bos .614 - .549 Atl
rebounds: Bos 44.6 - 43.6 Atl
turnovers: Atl 13.4 - 14.0 Atl