Home for all your discussion of basketball statistical analysis.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Tue Sep 29, 2020 8:30 pm
preview of previous rounds' summary stats:
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LA Lakers mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Alex Caruso 24 8.7 .068 -1.7 .32
Alex Caruso 24 13.1 .130 1.5 .39
Alex Caruso 24 8.5 .046 -1.3 .23
Anthony Davis 33 37.2 .402 15.2 3.40
Anthony Davis 37 26.9 .235 5.1 2.58
Anthony Davis 38 28.0 .262 7.0 2.23
Danny Green 27 8.6 .068 -0.9 .42
Danny Green 26 12.4 .141 0.7 .51
Danny Green 24 8.9 .040 -2.0 .41
Dion Waiters (1) 6 7.2 .053 -4.9 -.12
LA Lakers mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Dwight Howard 19 17.2 .187 -3.2 .98
Dwight Howard 3 9.0 .036 -9.4 .19
Dwight Howard 20 18.7 .198 0.7 1.18
J.R. Smith (1) 11 -7.0 -.192 -14.7 -.80
Jared Dudley (1) 3 1.6 -.038 -3.1 -.28
JaVale McGee 13 26.5 .298 5.9 2.02
JaVale McGee 6 9.0 .052 -4.1 .14
JaVale McGee 8 .1 -.091 -11.1 -.14
LA Lakers mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Kentavious CP 26 10.6 .093 -0.8 .54
Kentavious CP 28 6.9 .060 -3.3 -.13
Kentavious CP 30 12.9 .116 1.9 .29
Kyle Kuzma 24 9.1 .074 -4.0 .54
Kyle Kuzma 25 15.8 .153 0.4 .64
Kyle Kuzma 22 9.0 .008 -4.4 .25
LeBron James 33 32.5 .321 12.7 3.34
LeBron James 36 28.7 .236 8.5 3.04
LeBron James 37 27.9 .222 8.2 2.79
LA Lakers mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Markieff Morris 18 6.3 .101 -3.5 .14
Markieff Morris 20 13.2 .129 0.4 .57
Markieff Morris 14 7.3 .048 -1.0 .15
Quinn Cook (1) 4 18.5 .209 3.3 .80
Rajon Rondo (2) 27 19.8 .195 6.7 1.39
Rajon Rondo (3) 21 17.1 .134 3.8 1.30
listed are numbers for rounds 1, 2, 3 (unless otherwise noted)
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Miami Heat mpg PER WS/48 BPM e484
Andre Iguodala 27 11.8 .170 2.6 .13
Andre Iguodala 16 8.3 .056 -0.2 .18
Andre Iguodala 17 10.6 .062 2.2 .06
Bam Adebayo 34 18.4 .160 2.0 1.92
Bam Adebayo 36 22.6 .253 5.5 2.04
Bam Adebayo 39 24.6 .220 7.1 2.06
Derrick Jones 11 13.5 .180 3.8 .35
Derrick Jones 3 41.5 .477 27.5 1.71
Derrick Jones 5 5.7 .044 -3.3 -.37
Miami Heat mpg PER WS/48 BPM e484
Duncan Robinson 25 14.0 .163 0.7 .89
Duncan Robinson 27 8.1 .055 -1.4 .15
Duncan Robinson 29 14.2 .127 3.1 .56
Goran Dragić 34 18.9 .143 1.9 1.82
Goran Dragić 35 17.1 .131 1.4 1.52
Goran Dragić 35 14.4 .038 -0.9 1.08
Jae Crowder 26 14.6 .176 1.6 1.17
Jae Crowder 34 15.1 .152 4.7 1.02
Jae Crowder 34 10.9 .053 0.2 .63
Miami Heat mpg PER WS/48 BPM e484
Jimmy Butler 34 20.5 .178 2.6 1.85
Jimmy Butler 37 25.5 .265 6.8 2.20
Jimmy Butler 38 17.9 .116 1.7 1.27
Kelly Olynyk 14 17.3 .146 2.7 1.52
Kelly Olynyk 18 22.0 .199 6.7 2.02
Kelly Olynyk 7 6.0 -.020 -7.5 .02
Kendrick Nunn 4 19.3 .245 6.0 1.32
Kendrick Nunn 5 1.4 -.123 -7.9 -.28
Kendrick Nunn 4 -6.4 -.204 -15.9 -.50
Solomon Hill (3) 3 6.6 .129 0.3 -.31
Tyler Herro 32 15.9 .175 0.9 1.05
Tyler Herro 32 10.9 .055 0.2 .75
Tyler Herro 35 18.1 .110 3.9 1.24https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... anced.html
Bam keeps getting stronger. He and AD are on a collision course.
DSMok1
Posts: 1119 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:18 pmLocation: Maine
Contact:
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by DSMok1 Wed Sep 30, 2020 12:00 pm
It's interesting. Los Angeles only has 2 players that are consistently very good, plus playoff Rondo. No one else even above average. Miami has Bam, and then several players that have been pretty good (plus Jimmy to close games).
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Thu Oct 01, 2020 9:35 am
Lakers 1 , Heat 0
116 - 98
Pythagorean wins .90 - .10 , eWins .70 - .30
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.24 Anthony Davis LAL 39 .654 38.1 8.1 4.7 .0 .9 2.8 2.98
.21 LeBron James LAL 37 .625 29.6 12.4 8.9 1.0 2.0 .0 2.76
.11 Jimmy Butler Mia 34 .742 27.6 2.2 3.8 2.2 2.2 .0 1.57
.09 Kendrick Nunn Mia 20 .818 31.4 8.2 2.3 .0 .0 .0 2.10
.06 Danny Green LAL 30 .611 14.7 4.7 1.2 2.4 2.4 3.7 .97
.05 Alex Caruso LAL 22 .714 18.6 5.7 3.0 1.5 1.5 .0 1.05
.04 Jae Crowder Mia 25 .750 16.9 2.9 .0 .0 .0 2.9 .76
.04 K Caldwell-Pope LAL 30 .520 15.5 2.3 .0 2.4 1.2 1.2 .61
.03 Andre Iguodala Mia 26 .500 8.0 6.5 5.5 .0 1.3 1.3 .60
.03 Dwight Howard LAL 15 1.00 6.4 18.4 4.8 .0 2.4 .0 .98
eWin per36 rates tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.03 Kelly Olynyk Mia 18 .333 5.1 9.0 5.1 .0 1.8 3.6 .73
.03 Goran Dragić Mia 15 .375 11.2 2.4 5.1 4.8 2.4 .0 .80
.02 Markieff Morris LAL 17 .667 18.3 5.4 1.9 .0 3.8 .0 .51
.02 Rajon Rondo LAL 25 .438 8.9 3.8 5.3 .0 1.3 .0 .35
.02 Kyle Kuzma LAL 22 .214 2.8 11.5 3.0 1.5 1.5 .0 .36
.02 Tyler Herro Mia 30 .378 11.8 4.6 2.4 .0 2.3 .0 .24
.01 Bam Adebayo Mia 22 .364 8.8 6.7 .0 .0 .0 .0 .15
-.01 Solomon Hill Mia 18 .333 4.3 5.4 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.25
-.03 Duncan Robinson Mia 27 .000 .0 5.4 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.54
shooting: LA .595 - .510 Mia
rebounds: LA 54 - 36 Mia
turnovers: Mia 8 - 12 LA
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Sat Oct 03, 2020 9:54 am
Game 1 PER, WS/48, and BPM. Derived by subtracting previously recorded stats from current stats at b-r.com
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. LAL Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
Anthony Davis 39 36.3 .443 14.7 2.98
LeBron James 37 29.6 .334 9.7 2.76
K Caldwell-Pope 30 11.7 .120 -0.7 .61
Danny Green 30 14.2 .126 6.3 .97
Rajon Rondo 25 9.1 .083 -5.2 .35
Alex Caruso 22 17.1 .255 3.0 1.05
Kyle Kuzma 22 1.1 -.022 -7.7 .36
Markieff Morris 17 7.7 .033 -2.9 .51
Dwight Howard 15 11.3 .241 1.2 .98
...
Lakers totals 240 18.1 .211 3.94 1.40
. Mia Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
Jimmy Butler 34 29.7 .198 12.2 1.57
Tyler Herro 30 2.9 -.279 -8.7 .24
Duncan Robinson 27 -4.0 -.146 -13.5 -.54
Andre Iguodala 26 14.1 .088 4.1 .60
Jae Crowder 25 17.2 .075 6.1 .76
Bam Adebayo 22 6.7 -.149 -10.4 .15
Kendrick Nunn 20 39.3 .417 17.6 2.10
Kelly Olynyk 18 10.1 .016 0.9 .73
Solomon Hill 18 -.8 -.093 -12.1 -.25
Goran Dragić 15 12.9 -.259 4.2 .80
Derrick Jones 7 0 -.227 -14.0 -.49
Heat totals 240 12.7 -.013 -0.27 .59
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Sat Oct 03, 2020 10:05 am
Lakers 2 , Heat 0
avg score 120 - 106
Pyth wins 1.68 - .32 , eWins 1.34 - .66
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eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.48 LeBron James LA 38 .611 28.9 11.3 7.3 1.0 1.0 .5 3.00
.46 Anthony Davis LA 39 .710 33.6 11.5 2.4 .5 1.9 1.4 2.81
.26 Jimmy Butler Mia 39 .623 21.3 4.7 6.5 1.4 2.5 .0 1.60
.13 Rajon Rondo LA 26 .605 15.8 4.8 7.6 .0 1.3 .0 1.23
.12 Kendrick Nunn Mia 25 .738 20.2 6.1 2.6 .0 1.4 .7 1.21
.11 Kelly Olynyk Mia 28 .571 14.7 8.6 2.8 .0 1.9 1.2 .96
.09 Jae Crowder Mia 27 .857 14.6 6.2 1.1 .0 .0 1.4 .84
.07 K Caldwell-Pope LA 31 .444 11.0 3.8 2.0 1.8 .6 .6 .54
.06 Dwight Howard LA 16 .727 8.2 11.9 2.8 .0 1.1 2.2 .85
.05 Danny Green LA 26 .412 7.4 4.5 1.8 2.8 1.4 2.1 .49
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.04 Markieff Morris LA 17 .636 13.3 8.1 2.4 .0 1.9 .0 .59
.04 Tyler Herro Mia 37 .463 11.4 5.4 2.3 .0 2.1 .0 .26
.04 Alex Caruso LA 23 .667 12.2 4.6 2.4 1.5 2.2 .0 .38
.03 Andre Iguodala Mia 26 .700 8.4 4.6 3.5 .0 .7 .7 .31
.03 Goran Dragić Mia 8 .375 10.5 2.4 5.5 4.8 2.5 .0 .86
.02 Kyle Kuzma LA 22 .424 8.6 7.9 1.9 .7 3.0 .0 .17
.00 Bam Adebayo Mia 11 .364 7.8 6.6 .0 .0 .0 .0 .05
-.02 Solomon Hill Mia 9 .333 3.5 4.9 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.44
-.03 Duncan Robinson Mia 25 .391 3.9 3.0 2.3 .7 .0 .0 -.25
shooting: LA .591 - .576 Mia
rebounds:
LA 49.0 - 36.5 Mia
turnovers: Mia 9.0 - 10.5 LA
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Sat Oct 03, 2020 10:30 pm
Two-game advance stats from b-r.com, plus eWins/480 min.
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. LAL Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
Anthony Davis 78 35.9 .358 10.4 2.81
LeBron James 76 32.0 .321 12.1 3.00
K Caldwell-Pope 62 10.2 .067 -2.3 .54
Danny Green 52 9.2 .033 1.0 .49
Rajon Rondo 51 19.2 .225 3.7 1.23
Alex Caruso 45 11.9 .126 -0.5 .38
Kyle Kuzma 44 5.1 -.046 -7.1 .17
Markieff Morris 33 11.1 .089 -0.4 .59
Dwight Howard 32 13.5 .166 0.5 .85
Quinn Cook 5 38.7 .503 22.2 3.17
J.R. Smith 4 -13.8 -.004 -20.0 -1.45
Lakers totals 480 18.8 .175 3.25 1.34
. Mia Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
Jimmy Butler 78 25.9 .173 6.8 1.60
Tyler Herro 73 6.6 -.118 -7.5 .26
Kelly Olynyk 55 15.5 .078 -1.3 .96
Jae Crowder 53 18.1 .115 6.1 .84
Andre Iguodala 51 14.4 .100 2.4 .31
Duncan Robinson 49 2.8 -.065 -7.4 -.25
Kendrick Nunn 49 24.9 .246 5.6 1.21
Bam Adebayo 22 4.1 -.332 -10.4 .05
Solomon Hill 18 -.8 -.102 -12.1 -.44
Goran Dragić 15 9.4 -.544 4.2 .86
Meyers Leonard 9 30.8 .457 11.5 1.48
Derrick Jones 8 -.5 -.275 -11.8 -.77
Heat totals 480 14.4 .029 -0.22 .66
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Mon Oct 05, 2020 9:13 am
Lakers 2 ,
Heat 1
avg score 114.7 - 109.0
pyth wins 1.99 - 1.01 , eWins 1.74 - 1.26
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.63 LeBron James LA 38 .610 27.4 11.0 7.0 .6 3.3 1.0 2.61
.61 Jimmy Butler Mia 41 .672 27.2 6.5 7.4 1.5 3.2 .6 2.37
.52 Anthony Davis LA 37 .717 29.3 9.9 2.5 1.0 3.1 1.0 2.26
.21 Kelly Olynyk Mia 29 .634 16.4 8.6 2.2 .8 1.3 .8 1.20
.15 Rajon Rondo LA 26 .500 10.5 6.8 6.7 .8 1.7 .0 .94
.13 Markieff Morris LA 19 .647 17.9 8.3 2.3 .0 1.7 .0 1.07
.13 Jae Crowder Mia 29 .692 12.9 7.4 1.0 .0 .5 .8 .70
.10 Kendrick Nunn Mia 23 .729 17.5 4.9 2.7 .0 3.1 .5 .68
.09 Dwight Howard LA 16 .800 10.4 10.6 2.5 .8 1.6 1.5 .92
.08 Tyler Herro Mia 36 .453 12.3 4.8 2.1 .3 1.8 .0 .37
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.07 Kyle Kuzma LA 22 .532 14.4 6.8 1.2 .5 2.5 .0 .52
.06 Meyers Leonard Mia 7 1.00 24.4 1.7 1.3 1.6 .0 .0 1.33
.06 K Caldwell-Pope LA 30 .426 8.6 3.9 1.7 1.6 .4 .4 .30
.05 Alex Caruso LA 24 .632 10.9 3.5 2.3 1.4 1.4 .0 .32
.03 Danny Green LA 23 .333 5.7 5.1 1.8 2.1 1.6 1.6 .22
.03 Duncan Robinson Mia 29 .449 6.4 3.9 2.3 1.3 .0 .4 .17
.03 Goran Dragić Mia 5 .375 11.0 2.5 5.7 4.8 2.6 .0 .94
.02 Andre Iguodala Mia 23 .667 7.5 4.0 3.8 .0 1.0 .5 .17
.01 Bam Adebayo Mia 7 .364 8.4 6.8 .0 .0 .0 .0 .13
-.01 Solomon Hill Mia 7 .500 6.6 4.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.26
shooting: Mia .593 - .580 LA
rebounds: LA 47.0 - 36.7 Mia
turnovers: Mia 10.3 - 13.7 LA
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 amLocation: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G Mon Oct 05, 2020 6:26 pm
3-game 'advanced' summary stats alongside e480
Code: Select all
. Lakers Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
LeBron James 115 27.4 .213 8.6 2.61
Anthony Davis 111 29.2 .260 7.6 2.26
K Caldwell-Pope 91 7.4 .039 -3.5 .30
Rajon Rondo 79 14.6 .128 1.0 .94
Alex Caruso 71 13.1 .136 0.7 .32
Danny Green 69 4.1 -.055 -4.7 .22
Kyle Kuzma 67 10.8 .031 -3.2 .52
Markieff Morris 58 16.4 .131 4.1 1.07
Dwight Howard 47 14.6 .154 1.5 .92
J.R. Smith 10 5.3 .072 -2.6 -.13
LAL totals 720 16.7 .128 2.12 1.16
. Heat Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
Jimmy Butler 123 32.0 .279 10.7 2.37
Tyler Herro 109 6.8 -.086 -7.0 .37
Duncan Robinson 88 7.0 .022 -3.5 .17
Jae Crowder 87 13.8 .083 1.5 .70
Kelly Olynyk 86 18.4 .159 2.2 1.20
Kendrick Nunn 69 16.1 .125 -0.3 .68
Andre Iguodala 68 12.0 .095 1.7 .17
Bam Adebayo 22 4.1 -.280 -10.4 .13
Solomon Hill 22 4.7 .010 -7.1 -.26
Meyers Leonard 22 27.6 .379 11.3 1.33
Goran Dragić 15 12.9 -.544 4.2 .94
Derrick Jones 8 - .5 -.252 -13.0 -.77
Mia totals 720 15.3 .077 0.66 .84
PER and WS/48
still think AD has done better than LeBron.
They and BPM all have Jimmy Trouble as mvp thru 3 games.