Seeing some games and series that are chock-full of future Hall of Famers -- Dal/SA most notably -- I wondered if an inordinate number of great careers are represented in this year's playoffs.
Easier to state it quantitatively: Among current players with the most career Win Shares -- http://bkref.com/tiny/so8TO -- 16 of the top 20 are with teams that made the playoffs.
Some players disappeared in midseason: Billups (Det), Terry (Brk). Besides Billups, the other 3 whose team is off for the year were Lakers : Kobe, Nash, Gasol.
Of the next 20, again 16 are in the playoffs (or their teams are). Those who missed were Knicks -- Amare, Carmelo, Chandler -- plus R Jefferson (Uta).
Looking over the 41-60 group, I don't see the pattern breaking. Do veteran teams overwhelmingly make the playoffs? Or do veterans gravitate to contenders?
2014 playoff summaries and misc.
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
Summaries of 1st-round series. From b-r.com, we have PER, WS/48 and WS. Alongside are eWins and (avg = 1.00) eWin rate for a series. In a regulation game, 480 player minutes are required for one win. In series with overtimes, note a rate different than per-480.
Win Shares are unadjusted for extra minutes, so overtime games generate >1.00 WS.
The eWins system is a slavedriver: you get nothing for your overtime work.A few players with zero-2 minutes were dropped; and a minute is added or removed from some players, to get team total minutes.
Win Shares are unadjusted for extra minutes, so overtime games generate >1.00 WS.
The eWins system is a slavedriver: you get nothing for your overtime work.
Code: Select all
. Tor Min WS/48 WS eW e480 PER Brk Min WS/48 WS eW e480 PER
DeRozan 282 .135 .79 .83 1.41 18.3 Johnson 286 .142 .85 .75 1.26 18.7
Lowry 271 .130 .73 .79 1.40 17.6 Williams 254 .088 .47 .65 1.24 15.9
Valanc'as 200 .079 .33 .48 1.15 14.8 Pierce 210 .119 .52 .58 1.33 16.5
Patterson 199 .171 .71 .45 1.09 17.4 Livingston 167 .067 .23 .30 .87 11.6
Johnson 191 .137 .55 .43 1.09 16.3 Anderson 157 .058 .19 .12 .36 9.7
Vasquez 190 .105 .42 .46 1.16 14.6 Garnett 140 .197 .57 .53 1.82 20.3
Ross 158 -.096 -.32 -.12 -.36 1.1 Teletovic 126 .111 .29 .21 .80 15.3
Salmons 77 -.004 -.01 -.05 -.30 3.4 Blatche 109 .199 .45 .36 1.59 21.8
Hayes 38 .051 .04 .02 .21 9.1 Plumlee 87 -.003 -.01 .00 .01 5.6
Hansbrough 29 .070 .04 -.01 -.15 5.1 Thornton 73 .092 .14 .12 .78 15.2
Fields 26 .061 .03 .03 .51 11.0 Kirilenko 72 .136 .20 .06 .42 13.1
Novak 15 -.136 -.04 .01 .22 -1.0
De Colo 4 .050 .00 -.01 -.85 -5.6
. Tor 1680 .094 3.28 3.31 .95 13.9 Brk 1681 .112 3.91 3.69 1.05 15.5
. Ind Min WS/48 WS eW e480 PER Atl Min WS/48 WS eW e480 PER
George 284 .243 1.44 1.42 2.40 24.7 Millsap 267 .153 .85 1.00 1.80 20.0
Hill 258 .122 .66 .38 .71 13.0 Korver 250 .121 .63 .54 1.04 12.3
West 249 .118 .61 .58 1.11 16.4 Carroll 246 .106 .54 .21 .42 10.0
Stephensn 240 .110 .55 .67 1.33 16.1 Teague 242 .095 .48 .73 1.45 17.3
Watson 156 .132 .43 .29 .90 13.6 Antic 170 -.097 -.34 -.18 -.50 -1.0
Hibbert 153 -.037 -.12 -.07 -.21 4.3 Scott 146 .045 .14 .21 .70 10.2
Mahinmi 125 .085 .22 -.05 -.19 6.8 Williams 133 .009 .02 .17 .63 10.5
Scola 88 .134 .25 .25 1.34 17.7 Mack 118 .182 .45 .44 1.79 19.2
Turner 63 .108 .14 .17 1.27 14.2 Brand 81 .105 .18 .10 .59 9.7
Copeland 50 .027 .03 .03 .28 7.6 Martin 15 .145 .05 .03 1.02 15.0
Butler 6 -.316 -.04 -.01 -.54 -11.2 Schrer 7 .312 .05 .12 8.26 34.2
Sloan 4 -.302 -.03 -.02 -2.05 -10.2 Muscala 5 -.438 -.05 -.01 -1.12 -16.4
Allen 4 -.257 -.02 -.01 -1.12 -10.2
. Ind 1680 .118 4.12 3.63 1.04 14.7 Atl 1680 .085 2.99 3.37 .96 12.6
. Cha Min WS/48 WS eW e480 PER Mia Min WS/48 WS eW e480 PER
McRoberts 154 .095 .30 .24 .75 12.9 James 157 .345 1.13 1.14 3.50 32.6
Walker 153 .109 .35 .47 1.48 19.7 Wade 132 .130 .36 .43 1.55 17.5
Henderson 119 -.032 -.08 .09 .38 8.1 Bosh 129 .184 .49 .35 1.30 17.6
Jefferson 106 .081 .18 .30 1.37 19.4 Cole 112 .141 .33 .09 .37 11.6
Neal 104 -.164 -.36 -.04 -.18 3.4 Chalmers 103 .146 .31 .25 1.18 14.5
KGilchrist 90 .017 .03 .16 .86 12.0 Andersen 81 .279 .47 -.06 -.33 22.4
Do-Roberts 70 .209 .30 .13 .87 18.8 Allen 81 -.080 -.14 .24 1.41 .9
Zeller 53 -.010 -.01 -.02 -.22 6.8 Jones 64 .221 .29 .10 .77 17.7
Biyombo 48 .102 .10 .02 .17 11.1 Haslem 64 .034 .05 .02 .12 4.3
Ridnour 36 -.071 -.05 .05 .66 10.2 Lewis 32 .027 .02 .03 .51 7.8
Tolliver 21 .226 .10 .01 .27 15.5
Pargo 3 -.329 -.02 .00 -.51 -2.0
White 3 -.439 -.03 .00 .79 -8.8
. Cha 960 .041 .82 1.42 .71 12.8 Mia 955 .167 3.32 2.59 1.30 16.8
. Was Min WS/48 WS eW e490 PER Chi Min WS/48 WS eW e490 PER
Beal 205 .185 .79 .59 1.40 18.9 Butler 218 .098 .45 .22 .49 11.9
Ariza 195 .198 .80 .56 1.41 18.4 Noah 210 .056 .25 .39 .90 13.0
Wall 194 .130 .53 .64 1.62 18.8 Hinrich 167 .004 .01 .18 .54 8.4
Gortat 180 .059 .22 .34 .92 13.2 Dunleavy 163 .122 .41 .31 .94 15.7
Hilario 144 .106 .32 .45 1.54 17.7 Gibson 154 .220 .71 .55 1.77 26.5
Booker 121 .176 .44 .23 .92 15.4 Augustin 141 -.030 -.09 .23 .79 9.8
Webster 91 .123 .23 .10 .55 12.9 Boozer 121 .035 .09 .25 1.00 12.0
Miller 52 -.012 -.01 .06 .52 9.3 Snell 46 -.074 -.07 -.03 -.34 -.1
Gooden 36 .041 .03 -.04 -.48 1.4 Mohammed 5 -.064 -.01 .00 -.23 -8.5
Harrington 7 -.455 -.07 -.01 -.96 -21.8
. Was 1225 .129 3.29 2.91 1.17 15.9 Chi 1225 .068 1.75 2.10 .83 13.2
. LAC Min WS/48 WS eW e480 PER GSW Min WS/48 WS eW e480 PER
Jordan 257 .177 .95 .87 1.62 20.1 Curry 296 .130 .80 .81 1.32 18.9
Griffin 246 .145 .74 .90 1.76 21.9 Thompson 257 .044 .24 .35 .65 12.1
Paul 245 .150 .77 .92 1.79 20.1 Iguodala 248 .049 .25 .35 .67 12.7
Redick 205 .110 .47 .35 .82 14.8 Green 228 .109 .52 .52 1.09 16.1
Barnes 202 .078 .33 .16 .38 10.9 Lee 216 .080 .36 .48 1.07 15.6
Crawford 168 .155 .54 .43 1.22 19.8 Barnes 156 .032 .10 .10 .32 10.0
Collison 142 .113 .33 .24 .80 15.6 O'Neal 84 .117 .20 .18 1.03 18.3
Davis 78 .073 .12 .03 .17 9.9 Speights 68 .145 .21 .22 1.57 23.3
Granger 70 -.050 -.07 .00 -.02 4.0 Crawford 57 -.036 -.04 .06 .50 11.2
Turkoglu 41 .144 .12 .05 .53 15.1 Blake 45 -.064 -.06 -.04 -.45 3.3
Green 11 .081 .02 .01 .34 7.7 Armstrong 17 -.217 -.08 .01 .17 5.2
Dudley 9 .176 .03 .01 .57 17.5 Kuzmic 8 .098 .02 .00 .03 5.7
Hollins 6 .250 .03 .01 .81 20.3
. LAC 1680 .125 4.38 3.96 1.13 16.8 GS 1680 .072 2.52 3.04 .87 14.6
. Hou Min WS/48 WS eW e505 PER Por Min WS/48 WS eW e505 PER
Harden 263 .110 .60 .72 1.39 18.5 Lillard 268 .228 1.27 .89 1.67 23.8
Parsons 250 .103 .54 .44 .88 14.9 Batum 258 .108 .58 .48 .93 16.5
Howard 231 .184 .89 1.13 2.48 27.2 Aldridge 247 .197 1.01 1.09 2.22 27.8
Beverley 202 .048 .20 .04 .10 8.9 Matthews 239 -.010 -.05 .04 .09 9.2
Lin 177 .038 .14 .22 .62 12.4 Lopez 198 .102 .42 .33 .85 15.9
Asik 163 .026 .09 .11 .35 9.0 Williams 151 -.040 -.13 -.04 -.13 6.2
Jones 138 .139 .40 .30 1.08 17.8 Wright 79 .072 .12 .12 .75 14.4
Daniels 68 .208 .29 .08 .62 17.4 Robinson 58 .038 .05 .07 .59 13.2
Garcia 22 .028 .01 -.01 -.33 6.4 Freeland 15 -.084 -.03 -.01 -.26 .4
. Hou 1514 .100 3.16 3.03 1.01 15.9 Por 1513 .103 3.25 2.97 .99 17.0
. Okl Min WS/48 WS eW e509 PER Mem Min WS/48 WS eW e509 PER
Durant 324 .151 1.02 1.41 2.21 20.8 Gasol 299 .065 .40 .70 1.19 14.8
Westbrook 285 .122 .72 1.50 2.67 21.3 Conley 267 .087 .48 .81 1.54 17.8
Ibaka 263 .214 1.17 .65 1.26 18.8 Randolph 234 .018 .09 .51 1.11 13.8
Butler 196 .111 .45 .03 .08 8.9 Allen 230 .094 .45 .39 .85 15.5
Jackson 188 .165 .65 .45 1.21 16.2 Lee 224 .045 .21 .05 .12 9.1
Perkins 156 .112 .36 .07 .24 8.4 Miller 173 .084 .30 .09 .27 10.2
Fisher 110 .110 .25 .00 -.01 9.4 Udrih 115 .033 .08 .16 .73 13.3
Sefolosha 97 .090 .18 .03 .18 9.0 Prince 113 -.001 .00 -.08 -.36 5.2
Collison 80 .145 .24 .02 .13 9.7 Koufos 45 .116 .11 .09 1.00 19.0
Adams 67 .063 .09 -.04 -.33 5.5 Johnson 28 .159 .09 .06 1.09 21.5
Lamb 7 -.171 -.02 -.01 -.42 -7.3 Davis 25 -.028 -.01 .05 .99 16.8
Jones 4 .081 .01 .00 -.62 3.7 Leuer 23 .251 .12 .06 1.30 22.2
Thabeet 4 .042 .00 -.02 -1.99 -13.9 Franklin 4 -.426 -.04 .00 -.42 -10.3
. Okl 1780 .138 5.13 4.09 1.17 15.1 Mem 1780 .062 2.29 2.89 .83 13.6
. SAS Min WS/48 WS eW e480 PER Dal Min WS/48 WS eW e480 PER
Duncan 244 .198 1.01 .77 1.52 22.2 Nowitzki 263 .011 .06 .58 1.06 14.2
Parker 231 .017 .08 .61 1.26 16.1 Ellis 249 .048 .25 .50 .97 15.6
Leonard 229 .067 .32 .34 .71 12.9 Marion 193 .057 .23 .25 .63 12.6
Ginobili 192 .184 .74 .79 1.97 24.5 Calderon 191 .084 .33 .27 .69 13.1
Splitter 192 .264 1.06 .68 1.70 22.6 Carter 190 .141 .56 .39 .97 17.6
Diaw 162 .156 .53 .28 .82 15.7 Harris 175 .091 .33 .35 .95 15.8
Green 151 .150 .47 .28 .89 15.8 Dalembert 135 .145 .41 .35 1.24 17.1
Mills 114 -.019 -.05 .08 .33 8.7 Wright 90 .224 .42 .23 1.20 21.9
Belinelli 94 -.015 -.03 -.05 -.28 4.2 Blair 81 .253 .43 .36 2.14 28.7
Bonner 31 .055 .04 -.03 -.46 6.1 Crowder 81 .034 .06 -.02 -.12 6.9
Joseph 15 .046 .01 .02 .66 11.6 Ellington 14 .023 .01 .03 .94 13.3
Ayres 13 -.224 -.06 -.03 -.99 -7.9 Larkin 10 -.382 -.08 -.01 -.51 -9.3
Baynes 6 .055 .01 .00 -.14 4.8 James 8 .130 .02 .00 -.23 11.9
Daye 6 -.347 -.04 -.01 -.65 -11.1
. SAS 1680 .116 4.08 3.72 1.06 16.5 Dal 1680 .086 3.02 3.27 .94 15.5
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
For those interested, I've posted the Top-30 Playoff-Performers through the first-round. Ratings are sorted by Per-Game production, with Per-Minute numbers on the left to compare. The "HDR" metric I'm using is just a RAPM-SPM, so the numbers should be on a RAPM scale. Opponent strength is accounted for using regular-season SRS (unlike some who use Playoffs only).
http://hoopdon.weebly.com/1/post/2014/0 ... m-spm.html
http://hoopdon.weebly.com/1/post/2014/0 ... m-spm.html
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
I'll see your 30 and raise you 20. Per game eWins (per team game played) --
Code: Select all
eW/G per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk e484
.286 LeBron James Mia 39 .652 37.3 8.4 7.1 1.6 2.1 2.8 .2 3.50
.214 Russell Westbrook Okl 41 .471 23.6 9.3 9.2 2.6 1.4 4.5 .5 2.67
.203 Paul George Ind 41 .593 28.1 9.6 3.8 2.4 2.2 2.3 .5 2.40
.201 Kevin Durant Okl 46 .533 25.8 8.1 3.3 1.6 .7 3.2 1.2 2.21
.189 Dwight Howard Hou 39 .565 23.7 14.1 1.7 4.0 .6 3.2 2.7 2.48
.181 LaMarcus Aldridge Por 41 .536 22.9 9.1 1.9 3.2 .6 1.1 2.4 2.22
.148 Damian Lillard Por 45 .648 20.7 4.7 5.4 2.7 1.1 1.9 .1 1.67
.143 Paul Millsap Atl 38 .530 21.6 11.1 2.9 3.4 1.4 2.9 1.8 1.80
.131 Chris Paul LAC 35 .547 18.3 5.2 10.3 4.0 3.3 3.8 .0 1.79
.129 Blake Griffin LAC 35 .553 24.1 6.8 4.0 4.2 1.6 2.7 .9 1.76
eW/G per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk e484
.128 John Wall Was 39 .470 19.1 4.6 7.5 2.3 2.1 2.3 .4 1.62
.124 DeAndre Jordan LAC 37 .649 13.3 15.8 1.0 3.0 .4 2.0 4.0 1.62
.121 James Harden Hou 44 .509 19.8 4.2 5.0 2.9 1.7 3.1 .1 1.39
.118 DeMar DeRozan Tor 40 .534 22.5 4.2 3.6 3.0 1.0 2.5 .3 1.41
.118 Kemba Walker Cha 38 .609 21.5 4.3 5.7 1.4 1.9 3.9 .6 1.48
.118 Bradley Beal Was 41 .563 21.3 4.3 4.3 2.8 .9 1.4 .5 1.40
.116 Stephen Curry GSW 42 .588 20.0 3.3 7.0 2.2 1.5 3.3 .1 1.32
.116 Mike Conley Mem 38 .483 15.2 4.4 7.7 1.9 1.9 2.1 .1 1.54
.113 Kyle Lowry Tor 39 .554 21.3 5.0 5.0 3.6 .8 2.9 .0 1.40
.112 Trevor Ariza Was 39 .624 18.8 8.5 2.4 2.0 1.1 1.1 .6 1.41
eW/G per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk e484
.112 Manu Ginobili SAS 27 .599 25.3 5.0 6.1 3.1 2.9 4.3 .2 1.97
.111 Taj Gibson Chi 31 .607 25.8 7.5 .5 2.7 .5 1.9 2.7 1.77
.111 Tim Duncan SAS 35 .599 18.3 9.4 1.5 2.7 .2 .8 1.9 1.52
.107 Joe Johnson Brk 41 .594 21.3 3.5 2.8 1.5 .5 1.5 .3 1.26
.107 Dwyane Wade Mia 33 .538 22.5 4.0 5.9 3.3 1.4 2.8 .3 1.55
.104 Jeff Teague Atl 35 .519 23.2 4.2 5.7 2.3 1.1 3.3 .6 1.45
.100 Marc Gasol Mem 43 .455 13.7 6.6 3.9 3.3 1.5 1.5 .7 1.19
.097 Tiago Splitter SAS 27 .658 16.4 12.8 3.3 4.4 1.3 1.2 .2 1.70
.095 Lance Stephenson Ind 34 .552 19.8 9.5 3.0 2.7 .9 3.0 .4 1.33
.093 Deron Williams Brk 36 .529 18.3 2.4 6.6 3.2 1.4 2.7 .1 1.24
eW/G per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk e484
.093 Serge Ibaka Okl 38 .641 13.5 9.2 .7 3.1 .8 1.0 2.5 1.26
.090 Nene Hilario Was 29 .530 21.2 7.0 4.0 4.8 1.5 2.3 .8 1.54
.087 Chris Bosh Mia 32 .624 18.1 6.7 2.4 3.1 .9 .9 1.2 1.30
.087 Tony Parker SAS 33 .509 21.7 3.0 6.0 1.9 .5 3.6 .2 1.26
.083 Dirk Nowitzki Dal 38 .473 16.6 8.4 1.6 2.8 .8 2.2 .8 1.06
.083 Paul Pierce Brk 30 .580 18.3 6.0 3.5 4.2 1.8 2.4 .7 1.33
.083 David West Ind 36 .517 15.3 7.1 4.6 2.9 1.3 2.7 1.6 1.11
.079 Nicolas Batum Por 43 .540 11.5 4.5 4.7 1.7 1.1 .9 .6 .93
.078 Joakim Noah Chi 42 .525 10.1 11.7 4.3 3.3 .7 3.4 1.2 .90
.077 Kyle Korver Atl 36 .658 21.0 5.8 .8 2.2 .6 1.7 .3 1.04
eW/G per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk e484
.076 Kevin Garnett Brk 20 .596 17.7 11.2 3.1 4.5 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.82
.075 Al Jefferson Cha 27 .505 15.3 11.5 .8 2.4 .3 .4 1.4 1.37
.074 Draymond Green GSW 33 .576 12.8 9.7 3.1 5.2 1.9 2.8 1.9 1.09
.073 Zach Randolph Mem 33 .438 15.2 8.1 2.3 2.0 .8 1.6 .2 1.11
.073 Chandler Parsons Hou 42 .516 13.7 6.5 2.1 2.8 .6 .8 .3 .88
.072 Monta Ellis Dal 36 .502 19.8 2.7 3.0 2.8 1.3 2.3 .1 .97
.069 David Lee GSW 31 .561 15.8 11.5 3.0 4.8 .7 3.0 .0 1.07
.068 Jonas Valanciunas Tor 29 .633 16.3 14.1 .4 4.1 .0 3.8 1.3 1.15
.067 Marcin Gortat Was 36 .422 10.6 10.3 2.2 2.0 .6 1.9 2.0 .92
.065 Greivis Vasquez Tor 27 .518 13.3 5.3 7.7 4.0 .7 2.0 .2 1.16
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
Players with at least 150 playoff minutes who have averaged 30 pts, 8 reb, and 6 ast:
Players who have averaged 25-9-8 over 200+ minutes:
Players with at least 280 minutes, scoring 23 PPG on .590 TS% with 10 Reb/G and 4.5 Ast/G
Durant is averaging 29.9 - 9.6 - 3.4. Other players to have done this over as many minutes: Baylor (4 times), Oscar (1), Kareem (3), Hakeem (1), and LeBron(1)
These guys will end up with some other per game averages. Dwight Howard is done, with 231 minutes; and averages that are matched only by these:
Code: Select all
30-8-6 yr tm Min PPG RPG APG
Oscar 1963 Cin 570 31.8 13.0 9.0
Erving 1972 VaA 504 33.3 20.4 6.5
McGinnis 1975 InA 731 32.3 15.9 8.2
LeBron 2009 Cle 580 35.3 9.1 7.3
Durant 2013 Okl 485 30.8 9.0 6.3
LeBron 2014 Mia 157 30.0 8.0 6.0
Code: Select all
25-9-8 yr tm Min PPG RPG APG
Oscar 1963 Cin 570 31.8 13.0 9.0
McGinnis 1975 InA 731 32.3 15.9 8.2
Bird 1986 Bos 770 25.9 9.3 8.2
Westbrook 2014 Okl 285 25.6 9.7 8.0
Code: Select all
23-10-4.5 yr tm Min TS% PPG RPG APG
Kareem 1979 LAL 367 .636 28.5 12.6 4.8
Bird 1984 Bos 961 .607 27.5 11.0 5.9
Barkley 1986 Phl 497 .631 25.0 15.8 5.6
Barkley 1991 Phl 326 .630 24.9 10.5 6.0
George 2014 Ind 284 .595 23.9 10.7 4.6
These guys will end up with some other per game averages. Dwight Howard is done, with 231 minutes; and averages that are matched only by these:
Code: Select all
26-13.5-2.5 yr tm Min PPG RPG BPG
Kareem 1977 LAL 467 34.6 17.7 3.5
Duncan 2002 SAS 380 27.6 14.4 4.3
Shaq 2003 LAL 481 27.0 14.8 2.8
Dwight 2014 Hou 231 26.0 13.7 2.8
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
Why did all centers play so badly in the Atl-Ind series? Hibbert, Mahinmi, Antic, and Brand were about the 4 worst players in that series.
Pacers went centerless for about 5 mpg. Hawks more like 12 mpg -- including Brand as C for 12 mpg.
Pacers went centerless for about 5 mpg. Hawks more like 12 mpg -- including Brand as C for 12 mpg.
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
A few posts up, there's a long one that shows each 1st-round series, competing teams side by side:
For all 190 or so players, correlations with MPG:
PER : .550
eW/Min: .448
ws/Min: .418
For 126 players who averaged at least 10 mpg in the first round:
eW/Min: .492
PER : .394
WS/Min: .175
Code: Select all
. Hou Min WS/48 WS eW e505 PER Por Min WS/48 WS eW e505 PER
Harden 263 .110 .60 .72 1.39 18.5 Lillard 268 .228 1.27 .89 1.67 23.8
Parsons 250 .103 .54 .44 .88 14.9 Batum 258 .108 .58 .48 .93 16.5
Howard 231 .184 .89 1.13 2.48 27.2 Aldridge 247 .197 1.01 1.09 2.22 27.8
Beverley 202 .048 .20 .04 .10 8.9 Matthews 239 -.010 -.05 .04 .09 9.2
Lin 177 .038 .14 .22 .62 12.4 Lopez 198 .102 .42 .33 .85 15.9
Asik 163 .026 .09 .11 .35 9.0 Williams 151 -.040 -.13 -.04 -.13 6.2
Jones 138 .139 .40 .30 1.08 17.8 Wright 79 .072 .12 .12 .75 14.4
Daniels 68 .208 .29 .08 .62 17.4 Robinson 58 .038 .05 .07 .59 13.2
Garcia 22 .028 .01 -.01 -.33 6.4 Freeland 15 -.084 -.03 -.01 -.26 .4PER : .550
eW/Min: .448
ws/Min: .418
For 126 players who averaged at least 10 mpg in the first round:
eW/Min: .492
PER : .394
WS/Min: .175
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
After round 1, Ray Allen had the lowest WS (-.135) of any player from an advancing team.
After one game in round 2, he had .078 WS -- a gain of .213 WS in 26 minutes of play. That's a .393 WS/48 rate.
After one game in round 2, he had .078 WS -- a gain of .213 WS in 26 minutes of play. That's a .393 WS/48 rate.
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
Through 3 games vs Por, Duncan, Leonard, Splitter, Green, and Belinelli have a combined 2 turnovers in 400 minutes.
Belinelli is another who was about the worst player on his team in round 1, and about the best in round 2. Kawhi Leonard and Patty Mills have also made great turnarounds.
Ginobili led the Spurs in round 1 and is inconsequential in the last 3 games.
Belinelli is another who was about the worst player on his team in round 1, and about the best in round 2. Kawhi Leonard and Patty Mills have also made great turnarounds.
Ginobili led the Spurs in round 1 and is inconsequential in the last 3 games.
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
Leaders after 3 games in round 2:
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk e480
.62 Chris Paul LAC 34 .729 29.4 3.7 12.7 4.0 2.2 2.0 .0 2.93
.57 Russell Westbrook Okl 36 .675 30.5 7.9 8.6 2.7 1.0 4.2 .0 2.52
.56 LeBron James Mia 38 .632 27.9 6.6 4.6 1.9 1.0 1.6 .6 2.34
.52 Kevin Durant Okl 41 .596 26.4 7.4 5.5 2.3 .9 2.7 .6 2.02
.52 Tony Parker SAS 36 .565 31.1 3.4 8.2 2.7 1.0 3.9 .0 2.41
.41 Roy Hibbert Ind 27 .700 28.7 7.2 1.1 5.5 .0 .0 3.2 2.40
.40 Kawhi Leonard SAS 30 .684 23.6 9.8 .4 3.3 2.9 .0 .8 2.24
.37 Dwyane Wade Mia 35 .511 18.3 5.6 7.2 3.2 2.5 2.5 .4 1.71
.36 Blake Griffin LAC 36 .558 22.4 7.2 3.6 4.0 .7 2.2 1.3 1.59
.36 Paul George Ind 42 .468 17.6 6.5 4.7 2.9 1.7 2.5 .3 1.35
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk e480
.35 Bradley Beal Was 42 .492 19.3 4.1 4.6 2.9 2.3 3.1 .9 1.32
.34 George Hill Ind 34 .631 20.3 5.3 3.9 2.5 1.4 .8 .4 1.62
.32 Chris Bosh Mia 35 .549 15.6 9.5 1.4 1.1 .4 .4 2.1 1.47
.31 Joe Johnson Brk 35 .689 20.5 4.6 3.9 1.4 .3 1.1 .3 1.41
.29 Trevor Ariza Was 37 .667 16.1 9.1 .6 2.0 2.0 .7 .0 1.28
.28 Ray Allen Mia 27 .719 21.8 7.1 3.2 2.5 .4 1.2 .4 1.65
.28 LaMarcus Aldridge Por 41 .434 16.3 11.3 1.0 3.3 .9 2.6 .3 1.17
.27 Tim Duncan SAS 33 .494 14.2 8.9 2.9 2.2 .4 .4 1.8 1.39
.23 Serge Ibaka Okl 30 .719 20.9 8.3 .4 4.2 .4 2.5 1.6 1.22
.22 Marcin Gortat Was 34 .487 14.6 12.2 1.1 2.1 .0 2.7 1.1 1.03
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
A more comprehensive look at players who have turned it around, at least for now, from the 1st round to the 2nd:
And even more (due to increased competition) have turned around and not in a good way:Some at the top of these lists have seemed to be different players from the 1st round to the 2nd.
Not listed are those with <10 mpg in round 1.
Code: Select all
e480+ round 2 tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast e480 rd1: Eff% Sco Reb Ast e480
2.61 Roy Hibbert Ind 27 .700 28.7 7.2 1.1 2.40 .397 7.2 6.5 .7 -.21
2.01 Patrick Mills SAS 11 .771 35.4 1.8 2.6 2.34 .456 10.9 3.8 3.3 .33
1.98 Ray Allen Mia 27 .719 21.8 7.1 3.2 1.65 .342 4.2 5.0 3.5 -.33
1.70 Marco Belinelli SAS 22 .860 24.2 2.0 1.4 1.43 .458 6.1 4.9 .8 -.28
1.53 Kawhi Leonard SAS 30 .684 23.6 9.8 .4 2.24 .546 13.0 8.8 1.2 .71
1.15 Tony Parker SAS 36 .565 31.1 3.4 8.2 2.41 .509 21.7 3.0 6.0 1.26
1.14 Chris Paul LAC 34 .729 29.4 3.7 12.7 2.93 .547 18.3 5.2 10.3 1.79
1.07 Glen Davis LAC 12 .818 20.1 10.2 .9 1.24 .500 6.5 6.5 2.3 .17
.93 Ian Mahinmi Ind 15 .714 10.7 7.7 .0 .74 .404 2.6 7.1 .3 -.19
.92 George Hill Ind 34 .631 20.3 5.3 3.9 1.62 .552 15.4 3.5 3.7 .71
Code: Select all
e480- round 2 tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast e480 rd1: Eff% Sco Reb Ast e480
1.48 Reggie Jackson Okl 24 .440 7.9 3.0 3.4 -.27 .625 18.7 6.5 3.1 1.21
1.18 Nene Hilario Was 34 .363 11.9 4.8 1.5 .37 .530 21.2 7.0 4.0 1.54
1.16 LeBron James Mia 38 .632 27.9 6.6 4.6 2.34 .652 37.3 8.4 7.1 3.50
1.08 Damian Lillard Por 41 .449 14.1 3.8 4.1 .59 .648 20.7 4.7 5.4 1.67
1.07 Martell Webster Was 16 .313 2.3 3.3 1.5 -.53 .574 12.1 4.1 .9 .55
1.06 LaMarcus Aldridge Por 41 .434 16.3 11.3 1.0 1.17 .536 22.9 9.1 1.9 2.22
1.04 Paul George Ind 42 .468 17.6 6.5 4.7 1.35 .593 28.1 9.6 3.8 2.40
1.03 DeAndre Jordan LAC 32 .600 8.9 10.4 .4 .59 .649 13.3 15.8 1.0 1.62
.99 Manu Ginobili SAS 25 .421 13.6 5.4 6.2 .97 .599 25.3 5.0 6.1 1.97
.98 John Wall Was 39 .362 9.7 3.0 7.6 .64 .470 19.1 4.6 7.5 1.62
e480- round 2 tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast e480 rd1: Eff% Sco Reb Ast e480
.87 Paul Pierce Brk 31 .556 14.3 6.7 1.3 .46 .580 18.3 6.0 3.5 1.33
.75 Tiago Splitter SAS 29 .522 9.8 9.2 2.0 .95 .658 16.4 12.8 3.3 1.70
.68 Deron Williams Brk 35 .400 7.2 5.4 7.6 .55 .529 18.3 2.4 6.6 1.24
.68 Kevin Garnett Brk 20 .438 7.9 16.9 2.6 1.13 .596 17.7 11.2 3.1 1.82
.65 Andre Miller Was 9 .500 16.3 2.5 .0 -.13 .435 13.3 2.8 3.9 .52
.63 Darren Collison LAC 19 .409 7.7 2.7 4.8 .17 .515 15.0 2.5 5.4 .80
Not listed are those with <10 mpg in round 1.
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
I'm not someone that often complains about a coaches' rotations, thinking they, for the most part, know better what they're doing. But why why why is Scott Brooks playing Caron Butler. Butler can't defend a chair, yet he's put on Jamal Crawford. Adams over Nick Collison? It almost feels like Brooks is trying to loose the series
Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
Well, let's assume nobody is trying to lose. But I was thinking along the same lines: Are coaches such geniuses that they know immediately upon starting a series, that a given player is in or out of the rotation?
We hear about "bad matchups" and such; and we also see players whose performance seems to change dramatically between series.
A commenter during yesterday's game said Caron Butler excels at both ends of the floor. Maybe he meant 'equally good at both ends' -- he's been crap on offense.
Nick Collison missed the easiest shot of the game, late, point blank at the rim. Maybe he doesn't feel good.
I just thought OKC devolved into guys going 1-on-1. A couple of superhero types.
Ibaka was 2-2 from the arc and 0-3 inside it.
Durant and Westbrook took 58 of 92 shots, or 63%
Clipps deserved to win, Thunders didn't.
P.S. -- Is Doc Rivers a genius? What was up with Danny Granger playing most of the 4th, while DeAndre sat? He didn't score or pass, and he didn't stop anybody, except with a few fouls. But the team did great.
We hear about "bad matchups" and such; and we also see players whose performance seems to change dramatically between series.
A commenter during yesterday's game said Caron Butler excels at both ends of the floor. Maybe he meant 'equally good at both ends' -- he's been crap on offense.
Nick Collison missed the easiest shot of the game, late, point blank at the rim. Maybe he doesn't feel good.
I just thought OKC devolved into guys going 1-on-1. A couple of superhero types.
Ibaka was 2-2 from the arc and 0-3 inside it.
Durant and Westbrook took 58 of 92 shots, or 63%
Clipps deserved to win, Thunders didn't.
P.S. -- Is Doc Rivers a genius? What was up with Danny Granger playing most of the 4th, while DeAndre sat? He didn't score or pass, and he didn't stop anybody, except with a few fouls. But the team did great.
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Bobbofitos
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Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
I was harping on Randy Whitman all game yesterday for his insistence on trotting out Gooden/Harrington all 4th Q. They make a lot of mistakes. Vogel has all the evidence he needs that Evan Turner has brought AIDS into the Pacers lockerroom, and yet he hasn't been completely banished from the rotation.J.E. wrote:I'm not someone that often complains about a coaches' rotations, thinking they, for the most part, know better what they're doing. But why why why is Scott Brooks playing Caron Butler. Butler can't defend a chair, yet he's put on Jamal Crawford. Adams over Nick Collison? It almost feels like Brooks is trying to loose the series
Doc Rivers, who I am quite fond of, continues to get smashed w/ Collison paired with Paul (against OKC), and JJ Redick can basically only guard Thabo. He's also been overly conservative with foul trouble, given the lack of depth with his bigs. Brooks makes multiple mistakes constantly, some of the ones you mention aren't even the most egregious - to me, the simple lack of staggering RWB and Durant's rest is mind blowing, given its the easiest adjustment he can make which would immediately improve "2nd unit" performance. And so on and so on.
Realistically I trust what Pop does through and through, if he does or does not play a guy (game 1 cameo, Aron Baynes!) it's almost certainly optimal, if he matches up various players it's likely the best play, and if he funnels offense in a certain manner it's for a reason. Spo has gotten much better (James Jones in the 1st round!) and is not afraid to try things. It's not a coincidence those are the two teams that are fated to play again in the finals.
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Re: 2014 playoff summaries and misc.
Even when both guys are in the game, they each carry an enormous work load. It's amazing that they aren't exhausted in every 4th quarter.... the simple lack of staggering RWB and Durant's rest is mind blowing...
Maybe Brooks feels that the alternatives are :
(a) stagger their breaks; when one guy rests, the other's work load is at least doubled.
(b) rest them together; let various groups of subs mix it up, perhaps tire out and/or confuse the opponent which has prepared to compete against the 2 stars.
With (b), both stars come back rested and ready to take over the game.
In this series (5 games) KD and RW play 33% of OKC minutes; take 54% of est. true shot attempts; score 57% of points;
also get 32% of rebounds, 70% of assists, 52% of steals.
[change of topic alert]
What's all the hubub about the "game deciding" call on the late Reggie Jackson/Matt Barnes interaction? It should have been a foul; no way should it be Clippers ball out.
The refs didn't have the option to fix their non-call; they could have made it much worse, and they opted not to.