Pre-season stat trends

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Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Pre-season stat trends

Post by Crow »

Pre-season is not necessarily reliable for what is coming but here are some things I see in the stats:

Hawks defense continues to be horrible and that includes when Hunter and Collins play.

C Edwards can shoot but doesn't do much else.

Rozier and PJ Washington are doing well.

LaVine is hot. C White is getting bigger minutes than Satoransky and while I won't argue with trying to give him experience, Satoransky is part of far better raw team performance.

Cavs are weak pretty much everywhere.

Zingis is rusty.

Nuggets are not hitting 3s but opponents are not hitting any fgas.

C Wood should make Pistons.

Warriors can't shoot at team level or defend. Russell has by far worst raw on plus minus.

Westbrook is shooting poorly, has a 0.8 A/T0 and the second worst raw plus minus on team.

Jaren Jackson is not showing any sign of breaking out. Brandon Clarke is.

Herro is at top of Heat on offense.

Wiggins sucks badly.

Alexander-Walker is hot.

Knicks perimeter is weak.

A Gordon is off to a meh to weak start.

Sixers are not hitting the 3.

Suns presumed starters generally losing big. Bench doing pretty well.

Spurs 3pt rate is barely half of their opponents and it shows in the team efg%s and w-l.

SGA is getting very few assists.

Raptor must be playing fast. Scoring seems ok generally but the defense is terrible.

Mitchell, Conley and Bogdanovic all have terrible raw plus minus. And no wins yet.

Wizards are playing M Wagner and he is doing alright.
Mike G
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Location: Asheville, NC

Re: Pre-season stat trends

Post by Mike G »

The league is playing as young as it ever has, the avg on-court age now at 26.1 years.
It's been that young before, in 1983 and '77
Each time the league age dips, pace has peaked. The oldest year on record, 1999, age hit 27.9 and pace dipped to all-time low of 88.9

So this season, the 2 oldest teams -- Hou and Mil, both around 30 -- are among the 5 fastest paced.

FTA are at highest level in 14 years, partly due to the highest pace since the '70s.
FG% is currently lowest since 2004; 3FG% lowest since '99, and eFG% down .016 from last year's record.
TO%, if it stays where it is, would also be worst since '99. Overall ORtg is down 5.1 from last year!

High pace and worse shooting results in 46.5 Reb/G, most since the '70s.
OReb% is lowest ever.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/le ... _game.html
League is also running 7 pounds lighter than the peak from 2011-13.
Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Pre-season stat trends

Post by Crow »

Most of my pre-season notes are still right or close. Some shooters flipped from hot to cold or vice versa.
Crow
Posts: 10565
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Pre-season stat trends

Post by Crow »

Updates on earlier comments:

Hawks defense continues to be horrible and that includes when Hunter plays.

C Edwards is shooting the 3 meh and everything inside 15 foot poorly too and doesn't do much else.

PJ Washington is doing pretty well for a rookie. Rozier is pretty bad.

Satoransky way better than White and getting slightly more minutes..

Cavs are weak pretty much everywhere as a group but especially on the perimeter full of "scorers".

Zingis is rusty and not that good.

Nuggets are now average at hitting 3s. Opponents are hitting at the worst 3pt fg%.

C Wood made Pistons and has done very well.

Warriors can't shoot at team level or defend. Russell has been bad.

Westbrook is shooting poorly (under 46% efg%) , has improved his A/T0 but it is still meh. The 5th worst raw plus minus on team, 2nd worst in the main 7.

Jaren Jackson is not showing any sign of breaking out. Brandon Clarke is.

Herro has faded back to a bit below average on ts%


Alexander-Walker is ice cold.

Knicks are weak.

A Gordon is off to a weak start.

Sixers are hitting the 3 at a modestly better than average rate.

Suns doing pretty well.

Spurs' 3pt rate is about 75% of their opponents.

SGA is getting very few assists.

Wizards played M Wagner when healthy and he did well out there.
Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Pre-season stat trends

Post by Crow »

Westbrook fix up is one of the biggest changes.
Crow
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Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Pre-season stat trends

Post by Crow »

Shot a have shifted away from Harden and towards Westbrook over 10 games.

Could be an issue in playoffs.
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