Home for all your discussion of basketball statistical analysis.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Sun May 05, 2024 12:30 pm
Wolves 1 - 0 Nuggets
106 - 99
Pythagorean Wins .71 - .29 , eWins .61 - .39
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.29 Anthony Edwards Min 42 .672 40.9 7.5 2.4 1.6 .9 1.7 3.28
.18 Nikola Jokić Den 41 .552 29.3 7.9 7.8 1.9 6.3 .0 2.08
.12 Mike Conley Min 31 .824 22.6 5.7 10.6 2.2 4.7 .0 1.89
.11 Rudy Gobert Min 35 .500 5.5 16.6 2.8 1.9 .0 3.1 1.46
.09 Karl-A Towns Min 31 .667 25.9 5.7 3.2 .0 1.2 .0 1.46
.09 Naz Reid Min 24 .696 27.4 6.8 3.8 2.6 4.2 .0 1.85
.09 Michael Porter Den 40 .625 18.0 6.0 .9 2.0 1.8 .9 1.04
.04 Aaron Gordon Den 33 .600 10.1 3.6 6.5 1.6 1.1 .0 .63
.04 Jamal Murray Den 34 .548 16.8 1.2 4.2 .0 1.1 .0 .54
.03 Reggie Jackson Den 13 .833 13.4 7.9 2.3 1.7 .0 .0 1.01
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.01 Justin Holiday Den 16 .500 4.5 11.0 .0 1.4 .0 .0 .34
.00 Christian Braun Den 19 .700 11.0 3.8 .0 .0 .0 .0 .12
-.00 Kentavious C-P Den 38 .750 6.0 2.1 2.8 1.4 1.0 1.0 -.02
-.01 Kyle Anderson Min 12 1.00 7.6 6.3 2.3 .0 2.6 .0 -.35
-.02 Jaden McDaniels Min 39 .000 .0 9.2 .8 .0 .9 .9 -.27
-.06 Ni A-Walker Min 23 .417 6.0 .0 .0 .0 4.3 .0 -1.18
shooting : Min .602 - .582 Den
rebounds: Min 42 - 34 Den
turnovers: Den 12 - 14 Min
https://www.basketball-reference.com/pl ... _2024.html
One-game numbers:
Code: Select all
. Min PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Den PER WS/48 BPM e480
Edwards 40.0 .410 16.3 3.28 Jokić 21.6 .051 4.2 2.08
McDaniels -1.9 -.086 -8.9 -.27 Porter 17.2 .084 4.0 1.04
Gobert 16.0 .201 5.7 1.46 KCP 9.4 .070 1.7 -.02
Towns 21.2 .208 4.8 1.46 Murray 11.0 -.004 -4.3 .54
Conley 21.9 .210 8.5 1.89 Gordon 14.5 .135 2.8 .63
Reid 23.7 .132 8.8 1.85 Braun 11.9 .088 -1.3 .12
Nic A-W -4.8 -.206 -14.6 -1.18 Holiday 10.3 .061 -0.6 .34
Anderson 2.6 .039 -8.0 -.35 Jackson 23.4 .245 8.7 1.01
Morris -9.1 -.292 -16.8 -1.05 Watson -11.5 -.407 -26.3 .57
. Min 16.4 .131 2.74 1.21 . Den 14.3 .068 1.22 .79
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Mon May 06, 2024 10:28 pm
First round summary stats:
Code: Select all
. Min mpg PER WS/48 BPM e484 . Den mpg PER WS/48 BPM e484
Edwards 40 27.6 .281 10.6 2.66 Jokić 40 32.3 .318 14.3 2.88
McDaniels 36 14.4 .171 0.9 .69 Gordon 40 15.9 .135 1.4 .89
Gobert 35 20.5 .236 3.7 1.56 Murray 40 14.4 .023 -0.2 1.25
Conley 32 11.7 .108 -0.7 .89 Porter 39 20.8 .191 6.4 1.40
A-Walker 31 15.0 .190 3.9 .86 KCP 36 6.5 .030 -3.5 -.03
Towns 28 24.0 .278 6.2 2.37 Braun 13 6.6 .017 -7.5 .03
Reid 18 13.2 .160 -0.5 .73 Watson 12 5.4 -.004 -4.2 -.15
Anderson 8 12.0 .137 -2.4 .73 Jackson 10 3.4 -.050 -7.8 .05
Morris 7 2.5 -.020 -7.7 .08 Holiday 7 .5 -.079 -7.4 -.25
. totals 234 17.7 .194 3.2 1.36 . totals 240 15.9 .115 2.0 1.07
Code: Select all
. OKC mpg PER WS/48 BPM e484 . Dal mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Shai G-A 38 21.8 .216 4.9 2.58 Dončić 43 21.8 .153 4.8 2.67
Je Williams 37 20.4 .214 5.1 2.19 Irving 40 24.1 .234 7.8 2.25
Dort 35 12.5 .222 3.0 .65 Washington 35 11.2 .078 -0.3 .45
Holmgren 32 17.3 .186 3.3 1.82 Jones 29 12.0 .108 -0.6 .30
Giddey 27 15.4 .184 3.3 1.53 Lively 20 22.3 .230 4.1 1.44
Wallace 18 10.9 .196 3.3 .13 Kleber 19 13.3 .152 3.8 .39
Wiggins 15 18.5 .256 6.3 1.20 Gafford 18 14.2 .112 -3.2 .66
Joe 14 10.2 .121 0.7 .45 Green 17 15.0 .190 2.9 .41
Ji Williams 11 16.3 .262 9.5 .94 Exum 9 .1 -.135 -11.6 -.32
Hayward 8 7.5 .171 1.8 .06 Hardaway 4 9.1 .068 -2.3 .20
K Williams 4 -.8 -.038 -9.7 -.22
. totals 238 15.9 .199 3.7 1.40 totals 234 16.8 .147 2.3 1.20
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Tue May 07, 2024 12:23 pm
Wolves 2 - 0 Nuggets
avg score 106.0 - 89.5
Pyth wins 1.81 - .19 , eWins 1.40 - .60
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.54 Anthony Edwards Min 40 .667 42.3 4.4 4.9 1.7 2.3 .9 3.26
.35 Karl-A Towns Min 33 .734 33.5 9.4 2.3 .7 1.7 1.1 2.51
.33 Nikola Jokić Den 40 .533 22.5 11.7 7.9 1.2 5.7 .5 1.99
.18 Mike Conley Min 32 .643 13.5 4.3 9.7 2.1 2.3 .6 1.35
.16 Naz Reid Min 27 .588 21.9 5.9 2.0 1.5 3.1 2.5 1.47
.14 Aaron Gordon Den 33 .644 16.7 4.1 4.4 1.4 1.2 .0 1.00
.10 Rudy Gobert Min 18 .500 6.0 14.4 3.3 1.2 .0 3.2 1.32
.09 Kyle Anderson Min 19 .444 7.6 10.3 8.3 2.1 2.7 .9 1.17
.07 Michael Porter Den 40 .518 12.2 5.4 1.4 1.6 3.1 .9 .41
.05 Jamal Murray Den 35 .362 9.8 7.7 3.1 .9 2.9 .5 .38
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.04 Justin Holiday Den 19 .800 12.8 6.0 .8 .7 .9 .0 .46
.02 Ni A-Walker Min 27 .633 13.0 3.9 .7 .0 2.5 1.9 .22
.01 Reggie Jackson Den 12 .444 7.9 6.4 2.4 1.0 1.4 .0 .23
.01 Christian Braun Den 15 .643 7.7 4.2 .0 .9 .0 1.0 .11
-.03 Jaden McDaniels Min 33 .167 1.4 5.9 2.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 -.20
-.05 Kentavious C-P Den 33 .500 4.4 2.9 1.7 1.4 1.2 .6 -.34
shooting : Min .592 - .506 Den
rebounds: 42.0 - 42.0
turnovers: Min 13.0 - 15.5 Den
Code: Select all
. Min mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Den mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Edwards 40 33.0 .347 12.1 3.26 Porter 40 10.3 -.015 -1.6 .41
McDaniels 33 .8 -.016 -7.3 -.20 Jokić 40 21.6 .080 5.1 1.99
Towns 33 27.3 .330 8.6 2.51 Murray 35 4.4 -.150 -8.7 .38
Conley 32 16.5 .205 4.4 1.35 Gordon 33 18.7 .147 6.3 1.00
Reid 27 18.7 .110 5.2 1.47 KCP 33 6.1 .011 -3.5 -.34
A-Walker 27 9.3 .063 -0.8 .22 Holiday 19 15.7 .172 5.5 .46
Anderson 19 17.5 .194 5.3 1.17 Braun 15 14.2 .103 1.7 .11
Gobert 18 16.0 .276 5.7 1.32 Jackson 12 10.4 .001 -0.8 .23
Morris 6 -3.7 -.176 -14.6 -.63 Watson 8 -5.6 -.274 -16.2 -.06
totals 232 17.5 .185 3.8 1.40 totals 234 12.1 .022 -0.4 .60
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Wed May 08, 2024 12:36 pm
Thunder 1 - 0 Mavs
117 - 95
Pyth wins .94 - .06 , eWins .72 - .28
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.22 Shai G-A OKC 37 .569 34.5 8.4 9.9 1.0 2.4 2.0 2.82
.12 Aaron Wiggins OKC 23 .889 40.8 6.8 3.3 1.4 3.6 1.5 2.43
.12 Chet Holmgren OKC 31 .576 25.1 7.9 1.4 2.3 1.5 3.6 1.78
.11 Daniel Gafford Dal 27 .500 19.2 15.1 1.2 .0 1.5 6.9 1.96
.09 Jaylin Williams OKC 17 .786 31.0 16.2 4.3 .0 .0 .0 2.55
.09 Jalen Williams OKC 35 .500 19.5 5.0 6.0 .0 1.3 1.1 1.22
.06 Kyrie Irving Dal 37 .645 22.5 1.0 2.7 2.1 4.2 1.0 .79
.06 Luka Dončić Dal 41 .396 12.5 5.4 7.3 1.9 4.8 .0 .67
.04 Isaiah Joe OKC 15 .750 18.4 6.1 4.9 2.1 .0 .0 1.32
.04 P.J. Washington Dal 26 .714 15.7 8.5 .0 1.5 1.5 .0 .67
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.04 Cason Wallace OKC 22 .583 12.1 4.3 5.2 1.5 .0 .0 .79
.03 Josh Green Dal 25 .611 15.1 5.4 3.7 .0 1.4 .0 .63
.02 Josh Giddey OKC 17 .250 2.3 10.3 5.0 .0 .0 2.2 .62
.01 Derrick Jones Dal 30 .700 9.7 2.5 2.2 .0 1.3 2.5 .21
-.01 Luguentz Dort OKC 26 .350 7.6 5.4 1.6 2.8 5.2 .0 -.16
-.01 Dereck Lively Dal 13 .333 3.1 9.8 2.2 .0 5.2 .0 -.38
-.02 Tim Hardaway Dal 17 .200 1.3 3.8 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.49
shooting : OKC .568 - .492 Dal
rebounds: OKC 52 - 39 Dal
turnovers: OKC 11 - 16 Dal
Crow
Posts: 10536 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow » Wed May 08, 2024 5:42 pm
McDaniels, -0.3, KCP -0.5.
87% of ewin split to top 8 combined players on Thunder and Mavs. Close to 95% in TWolves - Nuggets.
Other metrics may have somewhat different accounting but top players are still likely to be fairly nearly the full story.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Fri May 10, 2024 12:14 pm
Thunder
1 - 1 Mavs
avg score 113.5 - 107.0
Pyth wins 1.37 - .63 , eWins 1.19 - .81
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.49 Shai G-A OKC 40 .590 30.4 9.9 7.3 1.0 2.0 1.8 2.97
.29 Luka Dončić Dal 41 .522 19.8 7.0 6.4 2.0 2.8 .4 1.68
.22 P.J. Washington Dal 33 .765 22.9 9.4 2.0 1.5 1.8 .6 1.59
.19 Daniel Gafford Dal 27 .547 18.9 12.1 1.9 .6 2.8 4.1 1.65
.16 Jalen Williams OKC 37 .514 17.1 4.5 4.1 .5 1.1 1.0 1.07
.14 Chet Holmgren OKC 34 .500 15.0 7.2 3.5 1.2 3.0 2.7 1.01
.14 Jaylin Williams OKC 16 .731 23.0 14.5 4.1 .0 1.2 .0 2.18
.12 Aaron Wiggins OKC 22 .781 22.5 5.7 1.5 .9 1.8 1.6 1.31
.10 Kyrie Irving Dal 40 .547 12.8 1.8 5.8 1.7 2.9 1.4 .59
.07 Josh Green Dal 21 .733 17.7 4.1 3.0 .0 .9 .0 .81
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.06 Cason Wallace OKC 22 .591 9.3 4.8 2.9 2.6 .0 .0 .62
.05 Josh Giddey OKC 14 .455 11.3 9.9 2.6 .0 1.5 1.4 .87
.03 Isaiah Joe OKC 17 .722 12.9 4.1 1.9 1.1 1.1 .0 .42
.03 Tim Hardaway Dal 18 .559 13.2 3.7 .9 .0 .0 .0 .37
.01 Luguentz Dort OKC 30 .417 7.3 6.4 2.3 2.1 2.1 .0 .05
-.01 Dante Exum Dal 8 .313 6.2 2.2 2.0 .0 .0 .0 -.25
-.01 Derrick Jones Dal 29 .444 7.5 4.4 2.3 .0 1.3 1.3 -.07
-.01 Gordon Hayward OKC 6 .000 .0 5.6 2.5 .0 .0 .0 -.52
-.04 Dereck Lively Dal 17 .200 2.1 8.0 1.9 .0 3.2 1.0 -.54
shooting : OKC .566 - .539 Dal
rebounds: OKC 46.5 - 41.5 Dal
turnovers: OKC 10.5 - 13.0 Dal
After 2 games:
Code: Select all
. OKC mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Dal Min PER WS/48 BPM e480
Shai G-A 40 30.2 .318 12.5 2.97 Dončić 41 18.5 .063 7.7 1.68
Je Williams 37 14.7 .109 0.6 1.07 Irving 40 12.4 .040 2.6 .59
Holmgren 34 14.1 .059 0.1 1.01 Washington 33 22.3 .206 9.1 1.59
Dort 30 5.7 .008 -5.1 .05 Jones 29 5.9 -.025 -5.0 -.07
Wallace 22 15.3 .188 4.1 .62 Gafford 27 22.4 .136 3.4 1.65
Wiggins 22 21.6 .251 7.3 1.31 Green 21 18.1 .176 6.7 .81
Joe 17 13.8 .160 2.3 .42 Hardaway 18 14.3 .099 -1.3 .37
Ji Williams 16 25.5 .293 10.5 2.18 Lively 17 -4.0 -.221 -15.6 -.54
Giddey 14 10.0 -.023 -3.6 .87 Exum 8 -.4 -.158 -9.8 -.25
Hayward 6 1.1 .003 -7.9 -.52
. totals 236 16.6 .149 3.0 1.18 . totals 232 13.6 .053 1.4 .81
Crow
Posts: 10536 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow » Fri May 10, 2024 3:28 pm
Mavs front court starters well ahead of Thunder counterparts so far.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Sat May 11, 2024 12:50 pm
Wolves
2 - 1 Nuggets
avg score 100.7 - 98.7
Pyth wins 1.70 - 1.30 , eWins 1.60 - 1.40
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.62 Nikola Jokić Den 39 .554 24.4 13.1 8.2 1.7 4.8 1.3 2.51
.57 Anthony Edwards Min 39 .659 34.0 5.3 4.6 1.1 3.3 1.0 2.36
.40 Karl-A Towns Min 33 .763 28.4 8.6 2.5 .4 2.3 .7 1.94
.26 Aaron Gordon Den 33 .712 18.2 3.7 4.8 1.7 .8 .0 1.26
.22 Mike Conley Min 31 .571 12.2 5.6 8.3 1.8 2.9 .4 1.12
.20 Jamal Murray Den 36 .441 14.9 6.8 3.8 1.5 3.0 .3 .88
.19 Michael Porter Den 37 .610 17.9 5.5 1.3 1.5 3.0 .7 .83
.15 Naz Reid Min 24 .552 16.8 4.9 1.7 1.5 2.4 1.8 .96
.10 Rudy Gobert Min 21 .500 6.1 11.0 2.3 .7 .0 1.8 .76
.09 Kyle Anderson Min 17 .423 6.4 7.6 6.0 2.9 2.0 .6 .83
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.05 Justin Holiday Den 19 .786 12.9 4.9 1.1 .5 .6 .0 .43
.04 Reggie Jackson Den 11 .500 11.9 8.0 1.8 .8 2.0 .0 .54
.02 Kentavious C-P Den 34 .579 7.5 3.5 2.5 1.0 .8 .4 .11
.02 Christian Braun Den 16 .636 8.4 5.0 .0 .6 .0 .7 .17
.01 Jaden McDaniels Min 29 .326 4.3 6.0 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.7 .08
.01 Peyton Watson Den 7 .000 .0 12.0 .0 .0 .0 2.7 .15
-.01 Nickeil A-W Min 26 .595 10.8 2.8 1.2 .0 2.6 1.3 -.04
-.01 Monte Morris Min 6 .300 5.4 1.7 .0 1.8 .0 .0 -.34
shooting : Min .575 - .554 Den
rebounds: Den 41.3 - 38.7 Min
turnovers: 14.0 - 14.0
Code: Select all
. Den mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Min mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Jokić 39 24.7 .180 8.9 2.51 Edwards 39 25.5 .187 8.2 2.36
Porter 37 13.0 .079 0.5 .83 Towns 33 22.1 .220 7.1 1.94
Murray 36 9.6 -.034 -4.5 .88 Conley 31 14.3 .106 2.1 1.12
KC-P 34 8.7 .107 -1.9 .11 McDaniels 29 4.4 -.022 -4.9 .08
Gordon 33 19.8 .235 9.0 1.26 NA-W 26 6.5 -.016 -3.6 -.04
Holiday 19 13.4 .177 3.9 .43 Reid 24 15.4 .058 2.7 .96
Braun 16 12.1 .122 0.6 .17 Gobert 21 11.7 .142 0.4 .76
Jackson 11 11.8 .039 -2.8 .54 Anderson 17 15.8 .140 4.7 .83
Watson 7 -5.8 -.228 -16.2 .15 Morris 6 -1.0 -.180 -15.5 -.34
total 231 14.1 .104 1.5 .93 total 226 14.9 .103 2.0 1.06
mpg is minutes per team game, and totals indicate how many (short of 240) are in garbage minutes.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Sun May 12, 2024 11:00 am
Mavs 2 - 1 Thunder
avg score : OKC 109.3 - 106.3 Dal
Pyth wins 1.77 - 1.23, eWins 1.64 - 1.36
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.69 Shai G-A OKC 40 .578 29.8 9.2 6.5 1.0 3.0 2.7 2.73
.46 Luka Dončić Dal 41 .515 20.0 9.5 5.8 2.0 3.2 .3 1.81
.36 P.J. Washington Dal 35 .680 23.9 8.1 1.9 1.0 1.1 .3 1.64
.26 Jalen Williams OKC 37 .540 17.2 4.8 5.2 .3 1.8 1.0 1.13
.26 Daniel Gafford Dal 25 .569 18.4 11.5 2.7 .5 2.6 3.4 1.67
.25 Chet Holmgren OKC 34 .518 14.3 7.3 3.3 1.1 2.3 3.2 1.15
.24 Kyrie Irving Dal 40 .586 16.4 2.8 6.0 1.5 3.3 1.2 .98
.13 Jaylin Williams OKC 15 .656 16.0 11.7 3.2 .7 .8 .0 1.43
.11 Aaron Wiggins OKC 22 .674 16.8 5.4 .9 1.0 1.6 1.0 .81
.11 Isaiah Joe OKC 18 .813 19.4 3.5 2.2 1.2 1.3 .0 .97
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.08 Josh Giddey OKC 14 .500 13.9 7.5 2.4 .0 .9 .9 .88
.07 Josh Green Dal 19 .694 15.5 3.5 2.6 .5 1.2 .0 .58
.05 Tim Hardaway Dal 17 .519 13.0 3.7 1.1 .6 .0 .0 .46
.03 Cason Wallace OKC 19 .571 8.0 3.8 2.0 1.7 .0 .0 .29
-.00 Dereck Lively Dal 20 .348 5.9 8.7 1.5 .0 2.3 .5 -.02
-.01 Luguentz Dort OKC 33 .426 6.7 4.4 2.1 1.9 2.0 .4 -.04
-.01 Gordon Hayward OKC 5 .000 .0 7.2 1.7 .0 .0 .0 -.36
-.01 Dante Exum Dal 7 .313 3.7 4.1 1.2 .0 .0 .0 -.31
-.05 Derrick Jones Dal 31 .333 4.7 4.4 1.8 .7 1.6 .8 -.24
shooting : OKC .564 - .528 Dal
rebounds: OKC 44.7 - 43.7 Dal
turnovers: OKC 11.7 - 13.3 Dal
Code: Select all
. OKC mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Dal mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Shai G-A 40 27.9 .254 10.7 2.73 Dončić 41 18.4 .085 7.0 1.81
JeWilliams 37 14.8 .110 1.2 1.13 Irving 40 14.7 .086 4.5 .98
Holmgren 34 15.7 .100 1.7 1.15 Washington 35 21.1 .207 8.1 1.64
Dort 33 4.9 .000 -4.8 -.04 Jones 31 2.2 -.067 -6.9 -.24
Wiggins 22 16.0 .154 2.6 .81 Gafford 25 21.6 .157 5.0 1.67
Wallace 19 12.9 .147 2.0 .29 Lively 20 3.5 -.064 -9.6 -.02
Joe 18 18.7 .212 6.8 .97 Green 19 14.4 .148 4.3 .58
JiWilliams 15 19.9 .252 6.3 1.43 Hardaway 17 13.8 .089 0.5 .46
Giddey 14 12.5 .012 -1.7 .88 Exum 7 2.6 -.054 -7.7 -.31
Hayward 5 -.2 -.056 -9.5 -.36
. totals 237 15.8 .131 2.56 1.09 . totals 235 13.5 .073 1.79 .91
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Mon May 13, 2024 2:33 pm
Nuggets 2 - 2 Wolves
avg score 102.8 - 102.3
Pyth wins 2.06 - 1.94 , eWins 2.03 - 1.97
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.85 Anthony Edwards Min 41 .689 36.1 5.1 4.3 1.2 3.1 .9 2.53
.85 Nikola Jokić Den 39 .569 26.8 12.0 7.5 2.1 4.6 1.2 2.60
.51 Aaron Gordon Den 35 .802 23.4 4.7 4.8 1.5 1.1 .5 1.74
.43 Karl-A Towns Min 34 .617 21.1 9.9 2.5 .6 1.9 .5 1.50
.31 Jamal Murray Den 37 .469 15.5 6.5 4.6 1.7 3.0 .3 1.01
.30 Mike Conley Min 32 .573 12.9 4.8 8.3 1.5 2.1 .3 1.14
.18 Naz Reid Min 23 .608 17.3 5.5 1.3 1.1 1.8 1.4 .93
.15 Michael Porter Den 36 .600 14.2 5.2 1.2 1.2 2.5 .8 .51
.14 Rudy Gobert Min 25 .535 8.3 13.0 1.7 .4 1.9 1.5 .70
.08 Justin Holiday Den 19 .762 14.6 5.0 .8 .4 .9 .0 .49
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.07 Reggie Jackson Den 10 .556 13.9 7.6 3.3 .7 2.2 .0 .79
.05 Christian Braun Den 18 .735 11.5 4.7 .4 .4 .0 .4 .35
.05 Kyle Anderson Min 15 .393 4.7 6.6 4.9 2.2 1.7 .5 .43
.01 Kentavious C-P Den 34 .500 6.0 3.1 2.6 1.1 .6 .8 .04
.00 Jaden McDaniels Min 31 .394 5.7 4.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.5 -.01
-.05 Nickeil A-W Min 26 .482 7.6 3.2 1.8 .0 2.3 1.0 -.21
shooting : Den .581 - .571 Min
rebounds: Min 39.5 - 38.8 Den
turnovers: Min 13.3 - 13.5 Den
Code: Select all
. Den mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Min mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Jokić 39 26.6 .195 8.6 2.60 Edwards 41 28.6 .230 11.0 2.53
Murray 37 11.6 -.010 -3.0 1.01 Towns 34 18.3 .147 3.3 1.50
Porter 36 10.7 .052 -1.4 .51 Conley 32 15.7 .134 3.5 1.14
Gordon 35 23.7 .281 10.9 1.74 McDaniels 31 5.8 -.011 -4.0 -.01
KC-Pope 34 7.9 .075 -2.1 .04 NA-Walker 26 4.2 -.063 -5.8 -.21
Holiday 19 13.3 .151 2.5 .49 Gobert 25 11.0 .076 -2.1 .70
Braun 18 13.8 .168 1.2 .35 Reid 23 16.8 .092 3.4 .93
Jackson 10 15.2 .075 0.4 .79 Anderson 15 13.4 .098 2.3 .43
Watson 5 -5.8 -.260 -16.2 .08 Morris 4 -1.0 -.201 -15.5 -.41
totals 233 15.2 .114 1.9 1.02 . totals 230 14.9 .095 1.7 .98
Crow
Posts: 10536 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow » Mon May 13, 2024 2:47 pm
By EWins,
Gordon and the bench over Towns, Gobert and bench.
Jaden McDaniels, big rep, big contract, no apparent impact by this metric (right or wrong? Inadequate on defense). KCP either. NAW hurting.
McDaniels slightly negative on Darko projection, though has been rising over career. Where and when is the peak?
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Mon May 13, 2024 3:52 pm
All these metrics have McDaniels around zero impact and his sidekick Nickeil well less than zero.
Same guys who -- thru 3 games, anyway -- had played Durant and Booker basically even.
Gordon and Porter have almost stopped rebounding, and R Jackson is their 2nd best rebounder in this series. AG is #2 scorer and passer.
The stats Really do not agree on Murray. He may be pretty good (eW), pretty bad, or by far the worst player in the rotation (WS). He's #3 in Sco, Reb, and Ast rates.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Tue May 14, 2024 1:26 pm
Thunder 2 - 2 Mavs
avg score 107.0 - 103.8
Pyth wins 2.40 - 1.60 , eWins 2.20 - 1.80
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.95 Shai G-A OKC 41 .575 30.7 8.7 6.2 1.2 2.2 2.5 2.83
.57 Luka Dončić Dal 41 .484 18.7 9.4 6.6 1.9 4.0 .4 1.66
.41 P.J. Washington Dal 37 .626 20.8 8.6 1.4 .7 1.6 .5 1.33
.38 Chet Holmgren OKC 36 .570 15.5 7.6 2.5 1.1 1.7 3.3 1.28
.36 Jalen Williams OKC 38 .479 15.1 5.7 5.4 1.2 1.8 .7 1.13
.34 Daniel Gafford Dal 24 .566 18.1 11.6 2.2 .4 2.0 3.8 1.72
.25 Kyrie Irving Dal 40 .541 13.7 2.3 6.5 1.1 2.7 .9 .76
.16 Jaylin Williams OKC 14 .583 12.7 12.9 4.6 .6 .7 .0 1.42
.10 Aaron Wiggins OKC 20 .597 15.7 5.1 .8 .9 1.9 .9 .64
.09 Josh Giddey OKC 13 .444 14.2 6.1 3.3 .7 2.3 1.4 .85
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.08 Josh Green Dal 17 .636 13.5 3.8 3.2 .9 1.0 .0 .57
.07 Isaiah Joe OKC 17 .684 13.5 4.3 2.4 1.0 1.6 .0 .50
.06 Tim Hardaway Dal 19 .550 12.3 4.0 1.3 .9 .5 .0 .39
.06 Dereck Lively Dal 22 .365 6.7 8.5 1.9 .0 1.7 2.0 .31
.04 Luguentz Dort OKC 35 .455 8.5 5.2 1.6 1.4 1.5 .5 .15
.04 Cason Wallace OKC 19 .688 9.5 3.0 1.7 1.3 .5 .4 .24
.04 Derrick Jones Dal 30 .424 8.4 4.2 1.7 .6 1.6 1.8 .14
.01 Dante Exum Dal 7 .417 8.6 3.5 2.3 .0 .0 .0 .11
shooting : OKC .542 - .517 Dal
rebounds: OKC 44.8 - 44.5 Dal
turnovers: OKC 10.8 - 13.5 Dal
Code: Select all
. OKC mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Dal mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Shai G-A 41 28.6 .272 11.9 2.83 Dončić 41 15.4 .041 5.1 1.66
Williams 38 13.7 .088 0.8 1.13 Irving 40 12.1 .072 2.1 .76
Holmgren 36 17.7 .161 3.5 1.28 Washington 37 18.3 .151 5.8 1.33
Dort 35 6.8 .048 -3.5 .15 Jones 30 6.8 -.012 -3.1 .14
Wiggins 20 13.7 .107 0.5 .64 Gafford 24 21.7 .165 5.1 1.72
Wallace 19 12.4 .154 2.7 .24 Lively 22 7.8 -.002 -5.1 .31
Joe 17 12.9 .141 1.9 .50 Hardaway 19 12.3 .099 0.4 .39
oWilliams 14 18.8 .248 6.3 1.42 Green 17 13.3 .138 3.9 .57
Giddey 13 9.7 -.056 -2.1 .85 Exum 7 7.4 .032 -2.8 .11
Hayward 4 -.2 -.059 -9.5 -.28 .
KWilliams 3 3.4 .006 -2.2 .30 .
. totals 239 15.3 .133 2.6 1.10 . totals 236 13.2 .072 1.8 .90
Crow
Posts: 10536 Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow » Tue May 14, 2024 3:09 pm
Doncic with big playoff per game numbers but way below average on 3pt fg%, efg% and ts%.
Mike G
Posts: 6144 Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G » Wed May 15, 2024 11:57 am
Nuggets 3 - 2 Wolves
avg score 104.6 - 101.2
Pyth wins 3.04 - 1.96 , eWins 2.77 - 2.23
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
1.37 Nikola Jokić Den 40 .610 29.4 11.3 8.2 2.1 3.7 1.1 3.31
.94 Anthony Edwards Min 41 .654 29.1 4.9 4.7 1.1 3.2 .7 2.19
.67 Aaron Gordon Den 35 .737 21.5 6.4 4.8 1.5 1.4 .4 1.87
.57 Karl-A Towns Min 35 .606 20.7 9.3 2.6 .8 2.0 .4 1.56
.35 Jamal Murray Den 38 .480 15.4 5.5 4.3 1.6 2.8 .2 .88
.30 Rudy Gobert Min 28 .641 11.4 12.7 1.9 .8 1.6 1.6 1.03
.28 Mike Conley Min 25 .573 12.3 4.9 8.0 1.4 2.1 .3 1.06
.15 Naz Reid Min 22 .567 15.0 5.4 1.0 .8 1.7 1.4 .64
.12 Michael Porter Den 36 .545 12.0 5.9 1.2 1.0 2.4 1.0 .31
.10 Christian Braun Den 20 .660 11.3 5.3 .9 .6 .3 .9 .46
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.08 Reggie Jackson Den 10 .619 15.5 6.5 2.6 .6 2.4 .0 .76
.07 Kentavious C-P Den 34 .621 9.2 3.7 2.8 1.1 .9 .6 .20
.04 Justin Holiday Den 18 .727 11.8 5.4 .9 .3 1.1 .0 .20
.02 Kyle Anderson Min 15 .406 4.4 5.9 4.7 2.0 2.1 .4 .12
.00 Monte Morris Min 6 .375 8.3 3.0 2.4 .9 .0 .0 .07
-.01 Peyton Watson Den 4 .000 .0 11.2 .0 .0 .0 2.4 -.15
-.04 Nickeil A-W Min 28 .513 9.0 3.0 2.3 .0 2.0 1.2 -.14
-.05 Jaden McDaniels Min 31 .417 6.8 4.8 1.5 1.2 1.7 1.6 -.14
shooting :
Den .591 - .568 Min
rebounds: Den 38.6 - 38.2 Min
turnovers: Den 13.2 - 13.4 Min
Code: Select all
. Den mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480 . Min mpg PER WS/48 BPM e480
Jokić 40 31.1 .290 12.7 3.31 Edwards 41 24.6 .171 7.8 2.19
Murray 38 11.5 .009 -3.5 .88 Towns 35 18.4 .125 3.2 1.56
Porter 36 8.7 .028 -3.0 .31 McDaniels 31 6.4 -.026 -3.9 -.14
Gordon 35 23.9 .278 9.4 1.87 Ni. A-W 28 6.8 -.031 -3.4 -.14
Ke. C-P 34 10.0 .110 0.0 .20 Gobert 28 15.5 .125 1.1 1.03
Braun 20 14.2 .152 1.5 .46 Conley 25 15.7 .110 3.5 1.06
Holiday 18 10.4 .116 0.0 .20 Reid 22 13.9 .038 0.2 .64
Jackson 10 16.9 .098 0.9 .76 Anderson 15 11.9 .061 1.0 .12
Watson 4 -5.8 -.248 -16.2 -.15 Morris 6 8.7 -.056 -7.5 .07
totals 234 16.0 .132 2.3 1.11 . totals 232 14.8 .077 1.4 .89