Search found 115 matches

by eminence
Sun May 26, 2019 1:05 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 Draft
Replies: 24
Views: 10113

Re: 2019 Draft

Yep, that's Grant. I see him as a starting 4 someday, might have enough weight to play some 5, but I'd be surprised full time. Reminds me a bit of a Trevor Booker. Not as bouncy and more skill to his game but mostly just a high energy smaller big who can do a bit of everything. Maybe current Thaddeu...
by eminence
Sat May 25, 2019 8:29 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 Draft
Replies: 24
Views: 10113

Re: 2019 Draft

Here's a rough tiering of guys I like as prospects. Leaving off internationals and Garland as I don't feel I've caught enough of them to accurately judge at all. Tier 1 Zion Tier 2 Culver Hunter Washington Williams Tier 3 Edwards Morant White Alexander-Walker Barrett Horton-Tucker Thybulle Clarke Bol
by eminence
Thu Apr 25, 2019 5:19 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Was it a good/bad shot?
Replies: 4
Views: 2236

Re: Was it a good/bad shot?

The putback thing I wouldn't worry about too much at that stage, but it certainly wasn't a good look.

Was a pretty good shot though :D
by eminence
Fri Apr 19, 2019 6:36 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 playoffs, West round 1
Replies: 31
Views: 14335

Re: 2019 playoffs, West round 1

Korver's battling a knee injury of some sort, been surprised to see him at all, even slower than normal. Mitchell/Royce/Ingles/Crowder/Gobert is the lineup I want to see. Strong in fairly limited RS minutes (+20.5 in 102 minutes -6th most). Theoretically works similarly with Favors (terrible, but on...
by eminence
Wed Apr 17, 2019 5:04 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus
Replies: 85
Views: 23858

Re: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus

Did you just try to minimize squared error the first time around? If you're looking to reign in outliers you could look at raising your p in your L^p norm minimization? Not sure how much that'd change your average error or how well it'd work, but worth looking into.
by eminence
Mon Apr 15, 2019 8:18 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 playoffs, West round 1
Replies: 31
Views: 14335

Re: 2019 playoffs, West round 1

Let us never again speak of the 'defense' Utah played last night. As a Jazz fan I pray to all things holy I don't have to see it again this series.
by eminence
Fri Apr 12, 2019 9:25 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus
Replies: 85
Views: 23858

Re: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus

I'm not sure how position would be implemented reliably from the box score, height/weight or what? It is relatively easy to determine position strictly from the box score. No, height/weight would not be included. It seems kinda circular at that point. Not to say it wouldn't work. Would you lean tow...
by eminence
Fri Apr 12, 2019 8:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus
Replies: 85
Views: 23858

Re: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus

I'm not sure how position would be implemented reliably from the box score, height/weight or what?
by eminence
Fri Apr 12, 2019 5:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus
Replies: 85
Views: 23858

Re: Reconstructing Box Plus/Minus

When we say 'box-score' that means min/pts/oreb/dreb/ast/stl/blk/tov/pf along with shooting %'s? What size sample are you going for maximum 'accuracy' on? Ranging from single game to full season(more?)? Should the other still be weighted? Also, the 5yr RAPM looks really nice! I love Korver at near o...
by eminence
Tue Apr 02, 2019 5:06 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 team win projection contest
Replies: 150
Views: 121671

Re: 2018-19 team win projection contest

I'd really like to eke out an edge over Pelton, always feels good to finish ahead of a professional :D
by eminence
Mon Apr 01, 2019 12:54 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Thunder
Replies: 2
Views: 1914

Re: Thunder

Not sure they could get any significant return for Westbrook/Adams (don't think they seriously consider moving Westbrook). I'd classify them as a minor disappointment going into the playoffs, but correctable if they can upset or even just push a serious contender. For the future the fixes seem prett...
by eminence
Fri Mar 29, 2019 2:09 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 Draft
Replies: 24
Views: 10113

Re: 2019 Draft

I can see the size/athleticism comparison for Clarke/Gordon, but in roles I think they're fairly different. I don't remember Gordon as a prospect really, but Clarke has a defensive feel that's pretty elite.
by eminence
Fri Mar 22, 2019 5:21 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 Draft
Replies: 24
Views: 10113

Re: 2019 Draft

I've never tried to put together an actual draft model, but just off eye test and a glance at the stats I'd have him 2nd or 3rd in the last decade or so. AD #1 and debating with Luka.
by eminence
Fri Mar 22, 2019 4:36 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019 Draft
Replies: 24
Views: 10113

Re: 2019 Draft

Higher/mid lotto seems like a great spot to look for trade downs this season. Most of the guys I'm kind of liking in this draft are looking like they'll go mid-first or later. I'll have to put together at least a lottos worth of guys sometimes. Zion really is something though, pretty dang unique pla...
by eminence
Thu Mar 21, 2019 4:16 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Dirk, Wade, Vince, Melo, Pau career retrospectives
Replies: 3
Views: 2010

Re: Dirk, Wade, Vince, Melo career retrospectives

Pau is the first other guy to come to mind.

Vince has been almost shockingly effective at 42.