2026 MVP Tracker

[Mike G]

Another way too early to be meaningful thread, but someday you'll understand.

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Prob%   M-V-P !       tm    PER   WS/48   BPM
.390   Luka Doncic   Dal   43.4   .435   16.2
.341   V Wembanyama  SAS   43.5   .489   16.1
.100   Giannis A     Mil   43.0   .425   15.0
.099   Shai G-A      OKC   33.1   .321    9.7
.044  Austin Reaves  LAL   35.0   .393   11.0

.015   Tyrese Maxey  Phl   25.4   .259    6.9
.004  Chet Holmgren  OKC   25.4   .274    4.5
.004  Nikola Vucevic Chi   23.1   .264    5.6
.002   LaMelo Ball   Cha   28.0   .291    7.8
.001  Stephen Curry  GSW   34.2   .281   12.1 

https://www.basketball-reference.com/friv/mvp.html
Nobody from the Nuggets!?!

[Mike G]

Next In Line at bottom

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Prob   M!V!P!  tm     W%   PER   WS/48   BPM
.481   Wemby   SAS  1.00   36.9  .406   13.1
.363  Giannis  Mil   .80   41.9  .418   15.6
.068   Shai    OKC  1.00   29.8  .279    9.2
.036   Maxey   Phl   .80   25.6  .240    6.7
.022   Jokic   Den   .60   29.5  .340   12.9

.010   Reaves  LAL   .67   28.0  .269    6.5
.009  Vucevic  Chi  1.00   23.8  .244    6.1
.007  Holmgren OKC  1.00   23.8  .255    5.7
.003   Giddey  Chi  1.00   21.0  .162    3.3
.001 K Johnson SAS  1.00   21.2  .301    3.3

Prob   M!V!P!  tm     W%   PER   WS/48   BPM
---    Doncic  LAL   .67   38.1  .347   14.0
---    Curry   GSW   .67   26.1  .222    8.2
---  Markkanen Uta   .40   26.8  .261    7.8
---    Sengun  Hou   .50   24.2  .232    7.4
---    Randle  Min   .40   25.9  .224    7.0

Keldon Johnson is shooting .740 TS% with 12 pts and 6 reb. in 24 mpg off the bench.
Team Win% is quite a factor right now.

[Crow]

Doncic is with LAL.

10-15 names gives clues of possible future candidates but the current season contest is probably between 5-6 guys.

[Mike G]

Doncic is with LAL.

What? Nobody tells me anything.
Most of these guys will be long gone once their teams have lost a game or two.
I'm curious why Steph isn't top 10. Same win% and surely better than Reaves; or almost as good.

I just like recording this stuff that will seem like ancient history in a few months.
One or more of the Big Five will likely break something.

[Crow]

Wemby seems destined to win one, sooner or later. Doncic probably still is but might be less likely.

Next most likely new guy...
Maxey? I dunno. Sengun likely to compete for it.